Friday Links (9 May 08)

Don’t know how we ended up with so many of these, but here they are:

  • Padres can’t pin hitting woes on Petco (ESPN, h/t parlo). Quoth Khalil Greene:

    I’m not going to consistently say it, but the ballpark plays a major factor in it — more than anybody lets on at times. That’s the reality of it. You don’t want to make excuses and say, “I would have done this if the ballpark was a different size.” But as a hitter, if you hit a ball 380 feet the other way and it’s a fly out, that’s hard to overcome.

    If anyone has a right to complain, it’s Greene (see pp. 26, 27, and 55 of the Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual).

  • Knock on wood: Beavers on way (North County Times, h/t Field39). Padres GM Kevin Towers talks about the direction of his ballclub:

    The best move is to get some of these kids to come up and play.

    We may be able to shake this up a little bit because we are at the point now that we need to do something. Maybe the prospects can come up and, hopefully, jump-start the club a little bit.

  • What’s the lowdown on the Padres’ slowdown? (San Diego Union-Tribune, h/t JP). The Padres are slow, but that’s not really why they are losing right now. There are some choice quotes from CEO Sandy Alderson, including this one:

    If you do the analysis, what the analysis tells you is the key to scoring runs is on-base percentage and power. Therefore speed and stolen bases become a nice-to-have component of your team, not a need-to-have component of your team. Once we get to the point where we have all of the on-base potential and power that we need, we can make those adjustments in our overall offensive and defensive package. All of that is with one footnote, and that is outfield defense is somewhat more important at Petco than it is elsewhere.

    Therefore, the speed and quickness manifestation are more important. (A lack of speed in the outfield) might be a flaw. Some people thought our inability to throw out runners last year was a flaw. It was. But what you have to do is net all of that out. The bottom line is you’ve got to take advantage of your strengths, minimize your weaknesses, or live with those weaknesses to the best of the net result.

    I always get a kick out of the cliche “speed never slumps.” I find it almost as amusing as the careers of, say, Omar Moreno and Tom Goodwin.

  • Atlanta 5, Padres 2: Why they lost (Padres Nation). Kevin doesn’t like the way Bud Black is handling his bullpen, and who can blame him?
  • Writing’s on center-field wall (San Diego Union-Tribune, h/t Oside Jon. I find it fascinating that fans seem to be more frustrated with Jim Edmonds this year than they were with David Wells last year. Not that they don’t have a right to be frustrated with Edmonds, but why did Wells get a free pass for sucking?
  • Pads most likely to make the hall? (Friar Forecast). Fun stuff from MB.
  • I got the perfect thing for your million dollar living room (Gaslamp Ball). Hey look, you can buy a Petco Park seat. If you’re going to dream, you might as well dream big.
  • Planet Padres goes to Lake Elsinore (Planet Padres). Another satisfied customer. Seriously, if you haven’t made the trip up to The Diamond, I highly recommend it.
  • Iguchi’s Key Is Working The Count, But Not At All (Sacrifice Bunt). Melvin Nieves isn’t impressed with the way stats are deployed during telecasts. He talks specifically about the relationship between Tadahito Iguchi’s P/PA and OPS+. You know who used to see a ton of pitches? Ruben Rivera. Too bad he couldn’t do anything with them.
  • Despite the losing record, Padres still packing in the faithful at Petco (San Diego Union-Tribune). On the bright side, Padres fans aren’t quite as fickle as I sometimes fear they might be.
  • Pitchers Can Be Clutch, Too! (Baseball Analysts). David Appelman studies clutch pitching. A certain Jake Peavy scores well using his method.
  • Q&A with Grady Fuson (San Diego Union-Tribune). Grady Fuson talks about the Padres’ new Dominican Republic academy. No word on how the facility will affect beer prices at Petco.
  • Picking Apart the Draft: 2004 (Baseball Analysts, h/t Didi). Of the first 10 picks, only Detroit’s Justin Verlander has established himself at the big-league level. Too bad the Padres didn’t have him on their radar. I didn’t hate the Bush pick at the time, although the process that led to it baffled me. Now, of course, I hate the pick and the process. Benefit of hindsight and all that…
  • Hot Atlanta adds fuel to the fire (San Diego Union-Tribune, h/t PM). Here’s a sobering thought:

    From 1988 through 2006, the Padres were the only National League team that never got one 20-home run season from a homegrown player; in that same span, the Braves got 45 seasons of at least 20 homers from nine players.

    Trading Andy Sheets straight up for Phil Nevin makes up for a lot, but yikes…

  • Draft Tracker: May 7 (Baseball America, h/t Tom Waits). USD’s Brian Matusz checks in at #3:

    Surest of the sure things, a three-pitch lefty who misses bats with more than enough fastball and excellent secondary stuff.

  • 2008 Draft Report (MiLB.com). Speaking of the draft, this should come in handy.
  • The 10 worst No. 3 hitters since 1957 (Hardball Times). Garry Templeton batted third for the Padres in ’82? Good Lord, that’s horrible.
  • Franchise Managerial Hiring Tendencies (Hardball Times). Chris Jaffe provides another glimpse into his forthcoming book on managers, which is going to rock.
  • How can general managers increase the value of their franchise? (Hardball Times, h/t Masticore317). John Beamer continues his series on valuing franchises.
  • Exactly what are effective throwing mechanics? (Hardball Times). This is fascinating stuff.
  • The failure dynasties (ESPN). Feeling down about the Padres? Hey, it could be worse. Jonah Keri highlights some truly bad organizations.
  • Saturday Near the Park (Baseball Analysts, h/t Lance Richardson) Rich Lederer and his son Joe played a baseball name game. Somehow I ended up in here, sandwiched between Michael and Chris Young.
  • Padres Game Sunned Out (The Onion, h/t Jeremy). On a brighter note…

That’s all for now. Happy Friday! (It helps if you don’t think so much about baseball…)

Padres Farm Report (9 May 08)

Triple-APortland 8, Omaha 7

Craig Stansberry (SS): 0-for-5, BB (.232/.360/.411, 19 BB, 19 SO)
Matt Antonelli: 0-for-5, BB (.188/.319/.348, 20 BB, 22 SO)
Chase Headley: 5-for-5, 2B, BB (.304/.383/.464, 15 BB, 33 SO, 11 2B)
Brian Myrow: 1-for-5, 2B, BB (.318/.450/.536, 27 BB, 26 SO)
Edgar Gonzalez (RF): 3-for-5, HR, BB (.307/.404/.440, 11 BB, 12 SO)
Will Venable (DH): 1-for-5, BB, SB (.296/.315/.423, 2 BB, 15 SO)
Chip Ambres (CF): 1-for-5, 2B, BB (.274/.381/.481, 18 BB, 23 SO)
Nick Hundley: 2-for-4, 2 2B, BB (.217/.275/.410, 7 BB, 15 SO)
Josh Banks: 5.1 IP, 10 H, 5 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 5 SO (10.22 ERA, 5.84 K/9)
Paul Abraham: 1.2 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 0 SO (5.21 ERA, 7.58 K/9)
Jared Wells: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0 SO (3.60 ERA, 6.60 K/9)

The Beavers won on a two-run double off the bat of Myrow in the top of the ninth… Every batter in the Portland lineup drew at least one walk… Not a bad night for Headley… Conspicuously absent is Jody Gerut, who could be in San Diego by the time the Padres suit up for their next game.

More coverage at the Portland Oregonian.

Double-AMidland 11, San Antonio 6

Chad Huffman (DH): 2-for-4, 2B, BB (.331/.416/.480, 18 BB, 24 SO, 10 2B)
Kyle Blanks: 2-for-5 (.310/.407/.451, 19 BB, 12 SO)
Drew Macias: 0-for-5 (.230/.333/.413, 18 BB, 26 SO)
Jose Lobaton: 0-for-3 (.232/.280/.244, 7 BB, 18 SO)
Steve Garrison: 3.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 4 BB, 3 SO (4.30 ERA, 5.52 K/9)
Neil Jamison: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 0 SO (1.69 ERA, 5.91 K/9)

Garrison needed 90 pitches (only 51 of which were strikes) to get through 18 batters… Ex-Padre Todd Donovan launched a grand slam to spearhead an eight-run fifth for Midland.

High-ASan Jose 4, Lake Elsinore 2

Javis Diaz: 0-for-4 (.289/.331/.439, 7 BB, 33 SO, 9 SB)
Cedric Hunter: 1-for-4 (.321/.401/.374, 17 BB, 14 SO)
Eric Sogard: 1-for-2, 2 BB (.398/.510/.545, 29 BB, 12 SO, 16 2B)
Mitch Canham: 0-for-3, BB (.260/.390/.406, 21 BB, 19 SO, 4 E, 6 PB)
Kellen Kulbacki: 0-for-3, BB (.200/.333/.250, 4 BB, 3 SO)
Drew Miller: 5.2 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 2 SO (3.93 ERA, 8.13 K/9)

Hunter is rebounding nicely from a subpar 2007, Sogard’s numbers are just sick, and Canham is hitting the ball well (although his defense leaves a bit to be desired at this point).

Low-ASouth Bend 6, Fort Wayne 5

Luis Durango (CF): 2-for-5, BB (.235/.343/.271, 14 BB, 15 SO, 7 SB)
Andrew Cumberland (SS): 0-for-5, BB, E (.229/.287/.295, 8 BB, 11 SO, 8 SB, 11 E)
Shane Buschini: 2-for-4, 2B, HR (.387/.429/.645, 3 BB, 8 SO)
Felix Carrasco: 2-for-5, 2 2B (.253/.303/.484, 7 BB, 42 SO)
Justin Baum: 0-for-5 (.221/.327/.379, 16 BB, 22 SO)
Bradley Chalk (DH): 2-for-5, 3B (.279/.367/.346, 14 BB, 14 BB, 5 SB)
Yefri Carvajal: 3-for-5, 2 2B, SB (.230/.268/.336, 7 BB, 32 SO, 4 SB)
Geoff Vandel: 4 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 3 SO (5.16 ERA, 6.67 K/9)
Mat Latos: 4 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 1 SO (2.57 ERA, 7.71 K/9)

I never thought anyone could make Russell Branyan look like a contact hitter, but Carrasco is doing just that.

IGD: Padres @ Braves (8 May 08)

Wil LedezmaPadres (12-22) @ Braves (17-15)
Wil Ledezma vs Jo-Jo Reyes

10:00 a.m. PT
no TV
AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 186
MLB, B-R

In an extraordinary display of mercy, Thursday morning’s contest will not be televised.

Padres Farm Report (8 May 08)

Triple-AOmaha 7, Portland 1

Craig Stansberry (SS): 1-for-3, 2B, BB
Jody Gerut (CF): 0-for-4
Chase Headley: 2-for-3, 2B, BB
Brian Myrow: 0-for-4
Chip Ambres (RF): 0-for-3, BB
Will Venable (DH): 0-for-4
Nick Hundley: 0-for-4
Matt Antonelli: 1-for-3
Josh Geer: 6 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 1 HR, 4 BB, 3 SO
Dirk Hayhurst: 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 2 SO

Gerut and Ambres have flip-flopped positions. I wonder if the front office is trying to determine whether Gerut can play center field? Antonelli in the #9 hole again.

In other news, Shawn Estes will be summoned from Portland to replace the injured Kevin Cameron (elbow). This is the problem with stashing Estes on the 40-man roster. At some point you need to justify his presence. Unfortunately, Estes hasn’t been good in more than a decade and he’s 35 years old, so we probably shouldn’t expect him to start now.

A total of 125 pitchers have worked 600+ innings for the period 2002-2008. None has a worse ERA+ during that stretch than Estes. Here are the worst of the worst:

  1. Shawn Estes, 82
  2. Casey Fossum, 83
  3. Adam Eaton, 84
  4. Aaron Sele/Glendon Rusch/Eric Milton, 85

Yep, the Padres now have two of the five worst pitchers in baseball over the past 6+ years on their staff. Sometimes redundancy is a good thing. This isn’t one of those times. Estes adds no value in the short term or the long term. Why is he here?

Double-ASan Antonio 4, Midland 3

Drew Macias: 2-for-5, HBP, SB
Chad Huffman: 1-for-4, 2 BB
Kyle Blanks: 2-for-5, HR, BB
Craig Cooper: 0-for-5
Jose Lobaton: 0-for-5
Matthew Buschmann: 5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 8 SO
Jonathan Ellis: 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0 SO

Blanks finally hit his second homer of the season.

High-ASan Jose 6, Lake Elsinore 0

Cedric Hunter: 2-for-3, BB
Rayner Contreras: 1-for-4
Kellen Kulbacki (DH): 0-for-3, BB
Cory Luebke: 5.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 0 HR, 3 BB, 3 SO

The Storm have been blanked at home in back-to-back games.

Low-ABurlington 7, Fort Wayne 4

Luis Durango (DH): 0-for-1, 2 BB
Justin Baum: 1-for-4, 2B
Shane Buschini: 0-for-4
Felix Carrasco: 2-for-4, 2B, HR
Bradley Chalk: 1-for-3, BB, SB
Yefri Carvajal: 1-for-4
Matt Teague: 3.2 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 3 SO
Jeremy McBryde: 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 4 SO

Carrasco is becoming a favorite of mine. Not that he’s a great prospect, mind you, especially now that he’s moved across the diamond to first base, but I have a soft spot for TTO guys.

IGD: Padres @ Braves (7 May 08)

Randy WolfPadres (12-21) @ Braves (16-15)
Randy Wolf vs Tim Hudson
4:00 p.m. PT
Channel 4SD
AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 186
MLB, B-R

I saw Hudson’s big-league debut, against the Padres at the Q. Despite his dominant showing that evening, it took me a while to accept Hudson as front-line starter. From July 2001:

I’ve been slow to jump on the Hudson bandwagon but he’s making it very difficult for me to maintain my position. I was at his big-league debut, and while he struck out 10 Padres that night, I attributed it to the fact that he was facing a pretty bad lineup and nobody knew who he was. I’ve been waiting for hitters to stop biting on that splitter and it just hasn’t happened. Hudson has become a much better pitcher than I’d expected. There are no chinks in his armor. He prevents hits, keeps the ball in the park, has great command, and sports a ridiculous groundball/flyball ratio. He’s a young, healthy Kevin Brown. Throw out April, during which he allowed half of his 12 homers, and his ERA is an even 2.00.

Well, I don’t know about Kevin Brown. Then again, Hudson’s most similar pitcher through age 31 is Mike Mussina, a potential Hall of Famer. That’s not bad company to keep.

The Shape of Things to Come

Top of the ninth, two on, one out. Adrian Gonzalez steps to the plate. Braves manager Bobby Cox summons ex-Padre Royce Ring, who promptly hangs a breaking ball. Gonzalez swats it high and deep down the right-field line. He, catcher Brian McCann, and plate umpire Wally Bell all watch as it sails into the Atlanta night… just foul for strike one.

Ring proceeds to fan Gonzalez. After a pitching change, Kevin Kouzmanoff lofts a harmless fly ball to center, into the waiting glove of another ex-Padre, Mark Kotsay. Game over. The Padres lose again.

That’s the season in a nutshell so far. The Padres play poorly, and then, when they get opportunity, it fizzles… or misses by a few feet, whatever.

I’m not prepared to give up on the season. Maybe it’s a reflection on how well the Padres have played since moving to Petco Park, or maybe it’s just my own stubbornness, but I refuse to believe that these next 129 games should serve merely as an audition for 2009. This seems too much like panic to me, and I don’t like making decisions based on fear.

That said, changes are needed. And from what I hear, they are a-comin’, possibly as early as this weekend. Some of these are already rumored to be in the works and have been discussed in the comments, but here are a few moves I’d like to see made to improve the Padres for this year and give them a better chance to compete right now:

  • Use Colt Morton or find a backup catcher that Bud Black trusts and is willing to pencil into the lineup twice a week. Josh Bard‘s fumes are running on fumes, and his entire game is suffering for it. Bard is a solid big-league catcher, but you’d never know it from watching him the past few weeks. Black needs to get him more rest. Say what you will about Bruce Bochy’s in-game tactics, the guy knew how to utilize his bench. This would not have happened under Bochy’s watch.
  • Offer Callix Crabbe back to the Brewers and get a real utility player. Crabbe is a second baseman with decent on-base skills masquerading as a jack-of-all-trades. He isn’t the second coming of Bip Roberts, and he isn’t a legitimate option at shortstop — the fact that he hadn’t played an inning at the position since 2003 in the Midwest League should have been a clue, but apparently not. Who takes Crabbe’s place? Oscar Robles? Oops, the Phillies claimed him off waivers. Luis Rodriguez? Oops, he’s on the disabled list. Sean Kazmar? Well, he can play shortstop but he’s hitting .179/.273/.253 at Double-A. I never thought I’d utter these words, but I actually kinda miss Geoff Blum.
  • Release Jim Edmonds and try someone else in center. I don’t really care who — Scott Hairston, Jody Gerut, Chip Ambres, Will Venable if he’s healthy. Heck, even Drew Macias wouldn’t be terrible, which is more than can be said for Edmonds. Bringing in the veteran on the cheap was a nice idea, but this is less Mike Piazza/Greg Maddux and more David Wells (Second Edition). When the Padres picked up Edmonds I figured that his bat — with the possible exception of residual on-base skills — was done but that he might have value defensively in center field. Well, he doesn’t. So now the Padres are starting a no-glove, no-hit guy at a key position and batting him fifth. That’s an outstanding way to lose ballgames.
  • Remove Justin Germano from the rotation. His smoke-and-mirrors act isn’t fooling anyone. The Padres have plenty of internal options to replace Germano. None is particularly exciting, but I’m prepared to accept “passable” right now. Clay Hensley has suffered a setback in his rehab and Mark Prior… well, who knows what he’s doing. On the big club, Wil Ledezma is pumping mid-90s octane from the left side in garbage time. How well will his success in meaningless situations translate to a starting role? I don’t know, but I wouldn’t mind finding out. Other possibilities include Josh Geer (a Germano clone, less the detailed scouting reports against him), Cesar Ramos (a lefty version of Geer), and Shawn “I Was Good in ’97″ Estes. So, yeah, let’s try Ledezma.
  • Keep Joe Thatcher out of crucial situations until he figures out what he’s doing. Make him the long man or, better, send him back to Triple-A and bring up someone else from Portland — perhaps Dirk Hayhurst (3.48 ERA, 11.76 K/9, .213 BAA in 20.2 IP).
  • Lose Glendon Rusch. I have no explanation for his continued presence on the roster. Honestly, I’d rather see his spot occupied by a position player. One of my few criticisms of Black as a manager is his insistence on carrying seven arms in the bullpen and concurrent refusal to trust more than four or five of them. If the guys at the back of the line can’t be relied upon to perform their duties, then they don’t belong in the big leagues.

I’m also wondering a bit about the coaching staff. The Padres’ baserunning has been atrocious this year. Some of this can be blamed on a general lack of speed, but even slow guys can run the bases intelligently. I don’t know who or what is at the root of the Pads’ recklessness on the bases, but if I’m third-base coach Glenn Hoffman, I’m not feeling real comfortable right about now.

Same goes for Wally Joyner. This team has a recent history of axing its hitting coaches, and both Dave Magadan and Merv Rettenmund were getting much more out of their charges when they were let go. The fact that Joyner and Kevin Towers were college teammates could complicate matters, but they’ve been in the business long enough to know how it works.

There are a bunch of trade rumors floating around as well, but it’s hard to separate the wheat from the chaff, so we won’t go there. That and I’m out of breath. Stay tuned…

Padres Farm Report (7 May 08)

Triple-APortland 12, New Orleans 11

Craig Stansberry (SS): 2-for-5, 3B
Jody Gerut: 1-for-4, 2B, SF
Chase Headley: 1-for-5, HR
Brian Myrow: 2-for-4, 2 HR, BB
Chip Ambres (CF): 2-for-5, HR
Will Venable (DH): 1-for-5
Edgar Gonzalez (3B): 1-for-4, BB
Matt Antonelli: 1-for-3, HR
Enrique Gonzalez: 6 IP, 10 H, 6 R, 1 HR, 3 BB, 0 SO
Adam Bass: 2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 HR, 0 BB, 2 SO
Jared Wells: 0.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0 SO

The Beavers held a 4-3 lead headed to the seventh, when both offenses went nuts. After falling behind, Portland scored six in the top of the ninth to take a 12-7 lead, then hung on for dear life as Omaha answered with four of its own… Antonelli dropped from his customary leadoff spot to the #9 hole. He responded with one of Portland’s six home runs on the evening.

More coverage at the Portland Oregonian.

Double-ACorpus Christi 6, San Antonio 5

Chad Huffman: 3-for-4, HR
Kyle Blanks: 2-for-4
Craig Cooper: 0-for-4
Drew Macias: 0-for-1 (didn’t start)
Neil Jamison: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO

High-ASan Jose 8, Lake Elsinore 0

Cedric Hunter: 1-for-4
Rayner Contreras: 0-for-4
Eric Sogard: 1-for-4, 3 E
Mitch Canham: 0-for-4
Kellen Kulbacki: 2-for-3, BB
Javis Diaz (DH): 0-for-3, BB
Corey Kluber: 3 IP, 7 H, 7 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 6 SO
Ernesto Frieri: 3 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 2 SO

Three errors for Sogard? Ouch. One in the third, one in the fourth, one in the seventh… I’m getting a little tired of seeing our polished college pitchers get smoked. If these guys can’t advance quickly, then what’s the point of drafting them? I dunno, Kluber looked pretty good the one time I saw him. I’m just in a lousy mood. Losing sucks.

Low-ABurlington 5, Fort Wayne 4

Bradley Chalk: 1-for-5
Andrew Cumberland (SS): 1-for-4, 2B
Justin Baum: 0-for-3, BB, E
Shane Buschini: 2-for-4
Yefri Carvajal (DH): 1-for-3, BB
Jeremy Hefner: 3 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 SO

IGD: Padres @ Braves (6 May 08)

Chris YoungPadres (12-20) @ Braves (15-15)
Chris Young vs Jair Jurrjens
4:00 p.m. PT
Channel 4SD
AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 186
MLB, B-R

Fun with anagrams…

Chris Young: Crushing Yo, Grouchy Sin, Chugs Irony, Churns Yogi, Cushy Groin, Coy Rushing

Jair Francoise Jurrjens: Ninjas Jar Fierce Jurors

Series Preview: Mac Thomason Talks Braves

The Padres continue their East Coast swing with three in Atlanta starting Tuesday evening. To learn more about the 2008 Braves, I checked in with Mac Thomason, of the venerable and most excellent blog Braves Journal.

Ducksnorts: The NL East looks to be tight again this year. How do you like the Braves’ chances?

Thomason: I’d like it better if I was confident in John Smoltz’s shoulder or Rafael Soriano’s elbow. The Braves are going to score some runs; they’re outscoring the Phillies this year even with the Phillies’ park advantage. But right now the starting pitching is a huge mess (I realize that the Braves have been better at preventing runs than scoring them so far, but looking at this roster, I don’t see that holding up), and the only starter anyone seems to have confidence in is Jair Jurrjens. That’s not good. Right now, I think that the Phillies are the favorite.

Ducksnorts: The Braves appear to be playing better than their record suggests. One area where they’ve struggled is in one-run games. What’s going on there, and do you envision it improving?

Thomason: This problem in one-run games has been going on for some time; they were 18-25 in them last year, and 19-33 in 2006. In those years, you could generally blame the bullpen and the constant closer turnover (I call the Braves’ closer situation The Curse of Gene Garber) but the bullpen has actually been pretty decent this year. So maybe it’s just one of those things, but 0-9 is ridiculous.

Ducksnorts: How do Chipper Jones and John Smoltz (his recent trip to the disabled list notwithstanding) continue to avoid the decline phase of their careers?

Thomason: I don’t know. If I knew, I’d bottle it. It may partially be that the time they missed due to injuries has paradoxically helped them, keeping them from overexerting themselves. Chipper, as a hitter, has very few flaws, and I think that a lot of the time it’s less that the strengths go away than that they don’t stay strong enough to hold off the flaws.

Ducksnorts: You’ve got a few ex-Padres playing in at Atlanta. How are Buddy Carlyle, Royce Ring, and one of my favorites, Mark Kotsay, doing over there?

Thomason: Kotsay… has been better than I feared he would be. He’s played well defensively, and pretty much been a non-factor (positive or negative) on offense. The Braves seem to have a three-way rotation in left and center going on right now, with him sharing time with Matt Diaz and Carlos Gregor Blanco.

I’m not sure what the deal is with Ring, who’s thrown only four innings this year. He got pounded in a couple of appearances against right handers, and Bobby seems to have decided to use him strictly as a LOOGY. His last four appearances have been for a third of an inning apiece. He’s got a 9 ERA, but has pitched better than that.

Carlyle’s doing pretty well in a relief role, even though he always seems ready to get his head handed to him. We complain about the bullpen a lot, but it’s been the work of guys like Carlyle that’s kept the team in games.

Ducksnorts: Along with the veterans that many of us grew up watching — Jones, Smoltz, Tom Glavine — there also are plenty of kids on this team. Brian McCann and Jeff Francoeur have established themselves as big leaguers, and Yunel Escobar appears to be doing the same. Who are some of these other guys, and what should I know about them?

Thomason: McCann and Francoeur are the Odd Couple. They’re longtime friends, and roomed together when they came up. McCann (Oscar) is paradoxically the more disciplined hitter, a lefthanded-hitting catcher with power. His biggest weakness is common to the type — he’s painfully slow. Francoeur (Felix) is a tools guy who is slowing making himself into a good player. Every year, he seems to learn another pitch that he shouldn’t swing at. He’s got a really great arm, and eventually people will learn to stop trying to run on him.

Escobar may secretly be a clone of Edgar Renteria. He’s another right-handed-hitting shortstop with a high average, some pop, and good on-base skills. Some projection systems didn’t like him coming into the season, but a lot of that was that he had very little history entering the year (he was a Cuban refugee drafted in 2005) and he one full year in the minors was a bad one. He will annoy the hell out of you if you root for the other team.

Kelly Johnson, the second baseman, is the leadoff hitter, and the streakiest baseball player I’ve ever seen. One week, he will look hopeless, and the next week he looks like Chase Utley’s big brother. When he’s on, he will hit for power and average and walk 15% of the time. When he’s off, the one thing he’ll do is work the count.

Jair Jurrjens came over from the Tigers in the Renteria trade; he’s projected as a mid-rotation starter and has looked strong so far… Gregor Blanco was born 20 years too late, he’s a left-handed-hitting outfielder with no power at all, but a good average, some walks, and a whole lot of speed.

* * *

There you have it. Thanks again to Mac for swinging on by and giving us the dirt on his team. As always, we wish the Braves luck once the Padres are out of town.

Padres Farm Report (6 May 08)

Triple-APortland 5, New Orleans 4

Matt Antonelli: 2-for-6, BB
Jody Gerut: 2-for-7, SB
Chase Headley: 2-for-6
Brian Myrow: 2-for-3, 2B, 3 BB
Chip Ambres (CF): 2-for-6, 2B
Nick Hundley: 0-for-5
Craig Stansberry (SS): 2-for-4, 2B, 2 BB
Edgar Gonzalez (PH): 1-for-1, HR
Wade LeBlanc: 6 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 1 HR, 1 BB, 5 SO, HBP
Dirk Hayhurst: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 3 SO
Jared Wells: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0 SO
Paul Abraham: 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 0 SO
Josh Banks: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO

The Beavers needed 12 innings to win this one. They left 17 runners on base, while the Zephyrs left 4. That would have been an irritating loss… Gerut has recorded two or more hits in 8 of his last 11 games… I don’t care how old Myrow is, he still deserves a shot somewhere… The game might have ended sooner but Portland ran out of position players, forcing Shawn Estes into a pinch-hitting appearance with a runner on second and one out in the 11th. Estes flied out to right, and then Hundley struck out swinging to end the inning and prolong the contest.

Double-ACorpus Christi 3, San Antonio 2

Drew Macias: 1-for-5, 2B
Craig Cooper (1B): 1-for-5, HR
Chad Huffman: 1-for-3, HBP
Jose Lobaton: 1-for-3, SF
Will Inman: 6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 8 SO
Jonathan Ellis: 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB 1 SO

Inman’s record in the low minors is sick, but his first exposure to Double-A — which came in 2007 — yielded mixed results. This year is a different story so far. He’s got a tidy 2.11 ERA and he’s holding opponents to a .197 batting average. Inman’s strikeout rate is 8.69 per 9 IP, so it’s not all smoke and mirrors. He’s also allowed just one home run, which is nice given that one of his biggest problems last season was a lingering case of gopheritis. The sample remains small, but this is encouraging.

High-A

In honor of my birthday, the California League took the day off. What a sweet gesture.

Low-AFort Wayne 4, Burlington 3

Luis Durango (DH): 1-for-5
Andrew Cumberland (SS): 1-for-4, E
Shane Buschini: 1-for-2, BB
Bradley Chalk: 1-for-4, SB
Felix Carrasco: 1-for-4
Yefri Carvajal: 1-for-4
Robert Woodard: 6 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 1 HR, 0 BB, 3 SO
Wynn Pelzer: 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO

That’s 10 errors in 24 games for Cumberland, who is hitting .240/.295/.302. Bright sides? He’s 19 years old and controlling the strike zone. It’s not much, but we take what we can get… Carrasco has fanned in 38 of his 90 plate appearances this year.