Frame by Frame

One aspect of the Padres we examined in the Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual was their run differential by inning in 2007. Among other things, we learned that the Padres completely dominated the ninth inning of games last year, outscoring their opponents, 81-44. Not including extra frames, the Pads had negative run differentials in just two innings (sixth, -2; seventh, -4) in ’07.

With about 20% of the 2008 schedule in the books, I thought it might be instructive to see how the this year’s Padres are doing. I also thought it might be fun to try a different approach in looking at this question. Instead of using straight runs scored minus runs allowed, what if we use the Pythagorean theorem to determine the expected number of wins at various points during a game? For example, how would the Pads’ expected win total after three innings compare with that after six?

I used the 1.83 exponent version of the Pythagorean theorem (yeah, PythagenPat and Pythagenport are slightly more accurate, but they’re a pain to calculate and the extra precision isn’t worth the extra effort in our case — we’re checking email, not overclocking the processor) and found the following:

Expected Wins through End of Inning
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 End
Statistics are courtesy of Baseball Reference and are through games of May 4, 2008. “End” includes extra-inning games. For 2008, totals are expressed in seasonal notation (i.e., expected wins per 162 games).
2006 111 91 88 88 86 86 87 86 87 86
2007 84 89 87 88 88 87 86 85 89 89
2008 44 51 52 59 77 76 63 60 57 57

The first thing that jumps out is how awful the Padres have been in the first inning of games. They’ve been outscored, 24-14, in that inning, which translates to an expected record of 44-118. (Don’t get too hung up on the exact numbers here, we’re just trying to get a feel for how good or bad the team performs at point A relative to point B.)

You’ll also see how well the Padres are doing in the middle innings. We’ll look at this more in a moment, but for now it’s enough to know that the the Pads have outscored their opponents, 15-2, in the fifth so far this year (holding guys to a line of .099/.188/.119 always helps). That’s remarkable for a team with an overall run differential of -43.

Now for the really depressing news. The Padres are getting hammered in the late innings. The seventh has been their worst so far (outscored, 24-6), but really, it doesn’t get much better after that. From the seventh inning on, the Padres have been outscored, 65-28. How bad is that? Keep reading…

Another way to look at this is to break games into three segments: first three innings, second three innings, and everything else. Here are the Pythagorean records for the same three seasons using only runs tallied in the designated innings:

Expected Wins for Innings
Year 1-3 4-6 7+
Statistics are courtesy of Baseball Reference and are through games of May 4, 2008. “End” includes extra-inning games. For 2008, totals are expressed in seasonal notation (i.e., expected wins per 162 games).
2006 88 85 87
2007 87 87 93
2008 52 104 29

Again, for this table, we’re using only runs scored in the particular innings noted. You’ll see that the Padres were very consistent in ’06 and got stronger toward the end of games in ’07. This year, in an admittedly small sample, the story has been quite different. The team stumbles out of the gate, scrambles to make up ground in the middle innings, and then gives it all back (and then some) at the end.

How much of the poor end game falls on the hitters, and how much on the pitchers? Good question:

From Seventh Inning to End
  BA OBP SLG sOPS+
Statistics are courtesy of Baseball Reference and are through games of May 4, 2008.
7th inning
Padres .196 .272 .277 50
Opponents .276 .361 .415 110
National League .254 .332 .394
8th inning
Padres .209 .282 .296 63
Opponents .252 .314 .358 89
National League .250 .336 .389
9th inning
Padres .198 .255 .323 76
Opponents .300 .376 .456 154
National League .230 .311 .371
Extra innings
Padres .192 .281 .244 34
Opponents .238 .315 .313 60
National League .250 .367 .376

The rightmost column (sOPS+) denotes how well the Padres are performing relative to MLB. As with OPS+, 100 is average, so for rows marked “Padres,” higher is better, while for rows marked “Opponents,” lower is better.

I was hoping we might identify the specific root of our problems in late innings, but it’s pretty much a systemwide failure. The eighth inning is almost tolerable, while everything else is a complete mess.

We’re dealing with extremely small samples, but I can tell you that Cla Meredith has been brilliant (.176/.211/.235) in the seventh inning, while Joe Thatcher (.379/.441/.552) has been brutal. Thatcher has faced more batters in that inning than anyone else on the Padres staff this year; I don’t know how those appearances break down in terms of leverage, but I’d be strongly inclined to move Thatcher into a less meaningful role until he and Darren Balsley can figure out what he’s doing on the mound.

As noted earlier, the eighth has been okay. Kevin Cameron, Wil Ledezma, and Glendon Rusch all get smacked around, but those guys generally come into games that are already out of hand. His early shakiness notwithstanding, Heath Bell (.208/.276/.264) has been just fine in the eighth.

In the ninth, obviously Trevor Hoffman has struggled early and he’s working the highest-leverage situations. Meredith, Bell, and Enrique Gonzalez have been terrible, while Rusch has merely been bad — all in tiny samples (only Hoffman has faced more than 10 batters in the ninth this season).

On the hitting side, I won’t break it out by each inning, but the top performers for innings 7-9 by OPS are Paul McAnulty (22 PA, .200/.273/.400), Khalil Greene (40 PA, .206/.250/.412), and Tony Clark (20 PA, .250/.400/.250). So yeah, the Padres simply stop hitting after the sixth inning, which puts extreme pressure on a bullpen that hasn’t been as sharp as it was last year.

Who is to blame for the Padres’ late-inning woes? Most everyone wearing a uniform, really.

Padres Farm Report (5 May 08)

Before we get to Sunday’s games, here’s a brief chat I had with John Conniff, of MadFriars.com, about his impressions from a recent trip to Portland:

Ducksnorts: The big names at Portland, of course, are Chase Headley and Matt Antonelli. How do they look so far this year?

Conniff: Obviously by the numbers that they are putting up not that great. The big difference that I could see from them this year from last at San Antonio is they are both having trouble adjusting to the fact that Triple-A pitchers can throw strikes early in the count with their secondary pitches and have better fastball command than Double-A. Consequently they are both hitting behind in the count it seems nearly every time and are forced to try to hit pitches that they don’t want to or strike out.

It was interesting watching Headley on my last day in Portland, when he was able to get ahead in the count on all four at-bats; he drove the ball into the gaps, resulting in a pair of doubles and a single that should have been a double.

Ducksnorts: With Luis Rodriguez on the DL and Oscar Robles being claimed on waivers by Philadelphia, is there anyone in the organization who can play a legitimate shortstop at the higher levels right now?

Conniff: No, it’s the weakest positions in the whole system. Sean Kazmar in San Antonio has some potential defensively, but his bat is a big question. Edgar Gonzalez, Adrian’s older brother, is having a nice year, but he’s more of a utility option. [Marshall] McDougall, who has been getting the majority of the time, is more of a third baseman filling in.

Ducksnorts: Who has surprised you, either positively or negatively, on the Beavers in the early going?

Conniff: Antonelli’s slow start is the big one, but then again he’s been cold for awhile. He hit .229 in August for San Antonio, .214 in the Arizona Fall League, .150 in spring training and now .195 in his first full month in Triple-A. Now you can make some good arguments that he was pretty tired in his last month at San Antonio and in the AFL, spring training statistics are worthless and not many people are hitting in Portland right now — but still it does send up a few red flags, mainly he might have to become a little more aggressive early in the count.

The biggest surprise on a positive side, even though I didn’t get to see it because he was just coming off of the DL, were the raves that Will Venable was receiving for his play in center field — which after what I saw in San Antonio last year I didn’t think he was capable of. Both the Padres and the local guys in Portland, who will rag on a player if they don’t think he is playing well, were impressed with his ability. His swing has also improved quite a bit and he’s driving the ball more.

One other factor that was affecting everyone in Portland is that the weather in April is truly miserable. It rained every day I was there and the games were played in forty degree temperatures, which I think screwed everyone up.

Ducksnorts: Last question — After the games what is there to do in Portland, and where do you go to eat?

Conniff: Portland is a really nice city to walk around, very quaint and kind of funky. Powell’s City of Books is a great place to browse, and Portland is full of great Asian restaurants and New York style delis. If you have to pick one place to go eat, hit Jake’s Famous Crawfish, a few blocks from the stadium — a little expensive, but great food and ambiance.

* * *
Thanks again to John for stopping by and giving us the lowdown. To the box scores…

Triple-APortland 9, New Orleans 5

Edgar Gonzalez (3B): 0-for-4, BB, E
Jody Gerut: 2-for-3, HR, BB
Chase Headley: 4-for-5
Brian Myrow: 2-for-4, HR
Chip Ambres (CF): 1-for-4
Nick Hundley: 1-for-4, 2B
Craig Stansberry (SS): 2-for-4, 2B
Matt Antonelli: 0-for-2 (didn’t start)
Cesar Ramos: 5.2 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 3 HR, 0 BB, 4 SO (9 GO)
Adam Bass: 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 3 BB, 0 SO

The Beavers scored six in the bottom of the first. Must be nice… Gerut could receive another look with the big club before long, especially if Jim Edmonds fails to provide sufficient (or any) evidence that he’s worthy of a roster spot.

Double-ASan Antonio 5, Corpus Christi 3

Drew Macias: 2-for-5, 2B, HR
Chad Huffman: 1-for-3, 2 BB
Kyle Blanks: 0-for-5
Mike Ekstrom: 5 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 2 HR, 0 BB, 3 SO
Neil Jamison: 0.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 0 SO

High-ALake Elsinore 13, High Desert 11

Cedric Hunter: 5-for-6, 2 2B
Rayner Contreras: 3-for-5
Eric Sogard: 3-for-5
Mitch Canham: 1-for-4, BB
Kellen Kulbacki: 1-for-5

After going 1-for-17 in his previous four games, Hunter sat on Saturday. On Sunday, he knocked five hits on Sunday. Guess that moved worked okay, huh? Sogard pushed his batting average back above .400 for the season.

Low-ACedar Rapids 4, Fort Wayne 1

Luis Durango: 1-for-3
Andrew Cumberland (SS): 0-for-4
Justin Baum: 0-for-4
Bradley Chalk: 1-for-4
Felix Carrasco: 1-for-3, BB
Yefri Carvajal: 1-for-4, SB
Mat Latos: 3 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 3 SO
Geoff Vandel: 4 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 2 SO

More coverage at OurSports Central.

IGD: Padres @ Marlins (4 May 08)

Greg MadduxPadres (12-19) @ Marlins (16-14)
Greg Maddux vs Andrew Miller
10:10 a.m. PT
Channel 4SD
AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 184
MLB, B-R

Miller walked more batters in 64 innings last years than Maddux has walked over the past two seasons, a stretch spanning 236 1/3 innings. Fire up a pot of coffee and get ready for some morning baseball.

Padres Farm Report (4 May 08)

Brian Giles should have one more hit to his credit this season. Not that it affected the outcome, but Alfredo Amezaga absolutely didn’t catch Giles’ soft liner in the top of the eighth. Also, what a strange game for Paul McAnulty: hit by a pitch, thrown out trying to advance on a popup to third base, lost his glove while chasing down a foul fly ball to left, almost hit in the on-deck circle by a drive off the bat of Josh Bard

Triple-APortland 6, New Orleans 1

Matt Antonelli: 1-for-4
Jody Gerut: 2-for-3, 2B, BB
Chase Headley: 0-for-3, BB
Brian Myrow: 2-for-4, HR
Chip Ambres (CF): 1-for-3, 2B, BB
Craig Stansberry (SS): 1-for-3, E
Shawn Estes: 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 4 SO
Josh Banks: 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0 SO

Gerut is officially out of control. I cringe a little whenever Estes pitches well.

Double-ASan Antonio 4, Corpus Christi

Drew Macias: 0-for-4
Kyle Blanks: 1-for-4
Craig Cooper: 0-for-3
Chad Huffman (PH): 0-for-1
Steve Garrison: 5.2 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 1 SO
Jonathan Ellis: 1.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB 1 SO
Neil Jamison: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO

The Missions scored three runs in the final two innings. The last two were unearned and came against former Padres farmhand Jose Oyervidez.

High-AHigh Desert 3, Lake Elsinore 1

Javis Diaz: 0-for-5
Rayner Contreras: 1-for-4, BB
Eric Sogard: 1-for-4, BB
Mitch Canham: 0-for-1, E
Kellen Kulbacki: 1-for-3, 2B, BB
Nathan Culp: 6.2 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 6 SO
Ernesto Frieri: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 2 SO

Canham was pulled in the fourth inning, not sure why.

Low-AFort Wayne 10, Cedar Rapids 9

Bradley Chalk: 0-for-5, BB
Andrew Cumberland (SS): 1-for-4, 2B, BB
Justin Baum: 1-for-2, 3 BB
Shane Buschini: 4-for-5, 2 2B
Yefri Carvajal: 0-for-3, BB, SF
Jeremy McBryde: 3 IP, 2 H, 3 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 4 SO
Matt Teague: 3 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 2 SO

That’s a lot of runs for a Midwest League game.

IGD: Padres @ Marlins (3 May 08)

Jake PeavyPadres (11-19) vs Marlins (16-13)
Jake Peavy vs Ricky Nolasco
4:10 p.m. PT
Channel 4SD
AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 184
MLB, B-R

Highlight of Friday’s game? Watching Jennifer Aniston and Owen Wilson run around an empty stadium while filming some movie. That Wilson sure can shake it…

Padres Farm Report (3 May 08)

Triple-APortland 6, New Orleans 4

Matt Antonelli: 0-for-3, 2 BB
Jody Gerut: 0-for-3, BB, HBP
Chase Headley: 2-for-4, 2B, BB
Brian Myrow: 0-for-3, SF
Chip Ambres (CF): 1-for-4
Edgar Gonzalez (3B): 0-for-4
Will Venable (PH): 1-for-1
Nick Hundley: 0-for-3
Craig Stansberry: 1-for-1, HR (didn’t start)
Josh Geer: 6 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 5 SO (9 GO)
Clay Hensley: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0 SO
Jared Wells: 1 IP, 0 H, 1 R, 4 BB, 1 SO

The Padres are being cautious with Venable, who hasn’t played the field since returning from the disabled list earlier this week… Wells gets a save for that performance. Sure, why not.

Double-AFrisco 14, San Antonio 10

Drew Macias: 2-for-3, 2 BB
Chad Huffman: 3-for-4, BB
Kyle Blanks: 2-for-5, E
Craig Cooper: 1-for-5
Jose Lobaton: 0-for-5, E
Matthew Buschmann: 5 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 3 HR, 1 BB, 6 SO

Ah, I love a pitcher’s duel.

High-ALake Elsinore 2, High Desert 1

Javis Diaz: 0-for-4
Cedric Hunter: 0-for-4
Eric Sogard: 1-for-2, 2B, BB
Mitch Canham: 2-for-3, 2B
Kellen Kulbacki (DH): 0-for-3
Rayner Contreras: 0-for-2, E
Drew Miller: 6.1 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 11 SO

Kulbacki made his Elsinore debut… Nice game from Miller.

Off the field, Dr. Seuss is taking a page out of MLB’s book on how to win friends and influence people. I’m down with protecting one’s assets, but it seems to me this could have been handled a little better. Still, I love the Storm’s official statement. I respect anyone who can spoof Dr. Seuss in response to a cease-and-desist letter. That is solid.

Low-AFort Wayne 7, Cedar Rapids 5

Luis Durango: 0-for-4, BB
Andrew Cumberland (SS): 1-for-4, BB
Justin Baum: 1-for-4, 2B, BB
Bradley Chalk: 1-for-3, BB
Felix Carrasco: 1-for-3, BB
Yefri Carvajal: 1-for-3, BB
Jeremy Hefner: 2.1 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 2 SO

Carvajal drew his fifth walk of the season (against 25 strikeouts); everybody drink.

IGD: Padres @ Marlins (2 May 08)

Justin GermanoPadres (11-18) vs Marlins (15-13)
Justin Germano vs Mark Hendrickson
4:10 p.m. PT
Channel 4SD
AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 184
MLB, B-R

The Padres continue to have a terrible approach when leading off an inning. Unfortunately, one of the worst offenders is leadoff hitter Brian Giles, who is hitting .108/.195/.135 in those situations. It’s only 41 plate appearances, but yuck.

Leading Off an Inning
  PA BA OBP SLG
Statistics are courtesy of Baseball Reference and are through games of May 1, 2008.
Padres 279 .154 .215 .228
Opponents 277 .252 .314 .413
National League 4106 .256 .316 .419

Small sample or not, that is some kind of ugly…

Series Preview: Craig @ FishStripes Talks Marlins

After a tough series in Philadelphia, the Padres head to Miami for three against the Marlins. I recently caught up with Craig at Fish Stripes, and we talked a little about his team.

Ducksnorts: The Marlins are off to a surprisingly strong start in 2008. What have been some of the key factors, and will they be able to sustain their early success?

Craig: The Marlins have basically slugged their way into first with the help of an excellent bullpen. The Fish are second in the NL in home runs (37), fourth in slugging percentage (.444), tied for second in triples (8), and sixth in batting average (.261).

Along with a bullpen that has picked up where it left off last year and is fourth in the NL in bullpen ERA (3.16).

Yes, there is a chance they can hang in the race. There is reason to believe the offensive can continue slugging at this rate since the young Marlins set the team records for HR, RBI, TB, XBH, SLG in 2006 and proceeded to break the team records in those categories in 2007. In fact this year’s squad just set a new team home run record for the month of April with 36. The real question of whether they can hang in the race comes down to: Can the starting pitching improve? As the Marlins stand right now they only have two starters who can put up quality starts consistently. The other three may go five innings if everything is perfect. If the Marlins can continue to put runs on the board long enough for some of the starters on the DL to return or if the present bottom three starters can actually learn to pitch at the major league level, then it is possible. Likely? Who knows, but I wouldn’t bet the rent on it.

Ducksnorts: I have a soft spot for players who establish themselves as big leaguers a little later than most. One of my current favorites is Josh Willingham. What can you tell me about his game beyond what the stats show?

Craig: It was always known Willingham could hit but early on the organization was having trouble trying to find a position for him in the field. They eventually put him at catcher in the minors. After the great fire sale of 2005 when the next season the Marlins brought mainly rookies to camp Willingham was listed as the “possible” starting catcher. As it turned out, he wasn’t a very good catcher and he was plagued with disc problems in his back, which still persist today. Since his bat needed to be in the lineup, late in spring training the club put him left field, a position he was quite unfamiliar with.

The jump to the majors is a big adjustment for most players but to do that while trying to learn a new position on the fly can be overwhelming. Willingham tied for seventh in the 2006 ROY.

He is still learning to play the field, in between the times where his back is bothering him. He comes forward on the ball well but still has some problems going back, but is improving. Willingham may or may not be in tonight’s game due to injuries but you should see him sometime this series, I hope.

Oh, for fun, Willingham hunts alligators in the Glades. I’m not sure what he does with it when he catches one and I’m not sure I want to know. How his contract allows him to do participate in this activity, I will never know.

Ducksnorts: The Marlins are a complicated organization. They’ve never won their division but they have two World Championships to their credit in 15 years of existence. The owner exhibits no obvious desire to invest in the team. As a fan, what is it like to follow a club that appears from the outside to have no growth potential?

Craig: Being a Marlins fan is not for the timid or the normal causal fan because once you start liking a player, he is gone. Buying some gear with a player’s name on it is a certain kiss of the death. The rally cry used by most fans is that: “We’re cheering for the name on the front of Jersey, not the name on the back.” I have never found the rally to cry to be real comforting.

It’s not completely true that the front office won’t invest in the club; they have in the past. They did in 2003, 2004, and 2005, when it was thought the team could make a playoff run. Now, they didn’t invest by Yankee standards, mind you, but they did increase the payroll and did add some free agents.

In the last few years the Marlins have sold off every player once they start earning a “major-league salary” for prospects. The baseball people have a good eye for talent and the Marlins minor-league system is good at grooming them, so at any time they could close the revolving door and grow the team. It is the hope of most fans that the revolving door will shut once the Marlins get a stadium of their own.

As for me, I will believe it when I see it.

Ducksnorts: How amazing is Hanley Ramirez, and how difficult will it be to see him leave when he becomes too expensive?

Craig: I used to think that Miguel Cabrera was the most gifted hitter I had ever seen in person — now, I’m not so sure. Hanley is unbelievable! I could list stat after stat after stat to back that up but it would just be easier for everyone to look them up.

Of course, it is not a forgone conclusion that Hanley won’t remain with the Marlins throughout the rest of his arbitration years; he could, and I don’t own anything with Hanley’s name on it. So there is a chance, but I think I have a better shot at winning the Florida State Lottery than seeing that happen.

If he goes, of course it will be tough to see him go. Will it be harder than Cabrera, [Dontrelle] Willis, [Josh] Beckett, [Brad] Penny, [Carlos] Delgado, [Mike] Lowell, [Luis] Castillo, [Jeff] Conine, [Alex] Gonzalez, [Moises] Alou, [Gary] Sheffield…? I don’t know. I guess I will find out if it ever happens. In the meantime I will just enjoy watching him play and if that day comes, I will do what I always do: mope around the house for a few hours and then break out my copy of the Baseball America Propect Handbook and try to find out who the heck is on the team now.

In other words, I am a Marlins fan and this is what we do.

Ducksnorts: Andrew Miller, part of the haul for Miguel Cabrera, has stumbled out of the gate. Presumably the Marlins saw something in Miller that they liked. What have you seen so far?

Craig: Andrew Miller has electric stuff but he has problems with the mastery of his pitches. His has no consistent control over any pitch he throws, and his velocity is all over the place. One fastball may be clocked at 97 mph and the very next one could come in at 93 mph. So far his starts have consisted of finding the one pitch he can get over the plate with any regularity and just throwing that one over and over again.

Miller really should have started the season in the minors but with the attrition to starting staff — it’s on-the-job training in the majors. But I will say this: If he has few more starts like his last one he may be minor-league bound real soon, which is just fine by me. One day Miller may be an excellent major-league starter but he isn’t there yet. Shoot, what am I saying, you can’t even see there from where he is right now.

* * *

Thanks again to Craig for chatting with us and providing some insight into what it’s like to be a Marlins fan. Here’s hoping the team can find a legitimate ownership group at some point in the future and maybe create a little stability in that market. Closer to home, here’s hoping the Padres can take the weekend series…

Padres Farm Report (2 May 08)

Triple-APortland 5, Oklahoma 4

Matt Antonelli: 0-for-4, BB
Jody Gerut: 2-for-5, 2B, SB
Chase Headley: 0-for-3, 2 BB
Brian Myrow: 1-for-4, BB
Chip Ambres (CF): 2-for-3, BB
Will Venable (DH): 1-for-4
Nick Hundley: 1-for-4, BB
Craig Stansberry: 1-for-3, BB
Enrique Gonzalez: 4 IP, 3 H, 3 R, 1 HR, 4 BB, 2 SO, WP
Dirk Hayhurst: 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 HR, 0 BB, 2 SO
Paul Abraham: 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 3 SO
Jared Wells: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 2 SO, HBP

Brian Meehan at the Portland Oregonian has written a nice article on Myrow’s pursuit of the big-league dream (h/t Rain Delay), which has included a stop in Korea, among many other places. On his time in Korea:

They want to make their baseball look as good as possible and to do that they have to make it look like Americans are not killing the league. So the more success you had, the bigger the strike zone gets. I would tell the umpire I want the same strike zone as the guy hitting then and they would just laugh.

Good read about a good hitter.

Double-AFrisco 12, San Antonio 10

Chad Huffman: 4-for-5, 2B
Kyle Blanks: 2-for-5, 3B
Drew Macias (DH): 2-for-5
Craig Cooper: 3-for-5, 3B
Jose Lobaton: 0-for-1
Jonathan Ellis: 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO

The Missions almost made a terrific comeback in this one. They were down, 11-1, after two innings. San Antonio scored three in the ninth and had the tying run up with one out but ran out of steam. Always good to see a team fight till the end.

High-AInland Empire 8, Lake Elsinore 7

Cedric Hunter: 0-for-5
Eric Sogard (DH): 2-for-3, 2 BB
Mitch Canham: 2-for-3, 2B, 2 BB
Rayner Contreras: 0-for-4, BB, E
Cory Luebke: 6 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 6 SO (10 GO)

Low-A

The Wizards didn’t play on Thursday. Kellen Kulbacki has been promoted to Lake Elsinore.

IGD: Padres @ Phillies (1 May 08)

Randy WolfPadres (11-17) @ Phillies (15-13)
Randy Wolf vs Adam Eaton
4:05 p.m. PT
Channel 4SD
AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 185
MLB, B-R

Do you suppose Eaton misses San Diego? I’m thinking maybe he does. Let’s take a closer look at everyone’s favorite perpetual breakout candidate:

Adam Eaton, with or without the Padres

  G IP/G ERA H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9
Statistics are courtesy of David Pinto’s Day-by-Day Database.
with Padres 133 5.98 4.34 8.90 1.14 3.18 7.04
with other teams 48 5.31 5.86 10.55 1.52 3.74 5.54

Once upon a time, I liked Eaton as much as I liked Jake Peavy. Sad to say, the train has left the station…