Playoff IGD: Mets @ Cardinals (14 Oct 06)

first pitch: 5:05 p.m., PT
television: FOX
matchup: Steve Trachsel (15-8, 4.97 ERA) vs Jeff Suppan (12-7, 4.12 ERA)
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Holy run support, Steve Trachsel and Jeff Suppan hook up in Game 3 of the NLCS, as the series shifts to St. Louis, tied at one game apiece. The Mets scored 6.61 runs per game in Trachsel’s 30 starts this year, while the Cardinals plated 5.73 per game for Suppan.

Gee, must be nice.

Playoff IGD: A’s @ Tigers (14 Oct 06)

first pitch: 1:35 p.m., PT
television: FOX
matchup: Dan Haren (14-13, 4.12 ERA) vs Jeremy Bonderman (14-8, 4.08 ERA)
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Tigers go for the sweep at home against the A’s. Former Oakland farmhand Jeremy Bonderman (drafted under Grady Fuson’s watch and a focal point of Moneyball) faces Dan Haren, part of the package that sent Mark Mulder to St. Louis. Haren also was born in Monterey Park, where I lived in the mid- to late-’70s. Feel free to chat about the game or anything else; I’ll have another IGD up at 4 p.m. PT for the NLCS.

Playoff IGD: Cardinals @ Mets (13 Oct 06)

first pitch: 5:05 p.m., PT
television: FOX
matchup: Chris Carpenter (15-8, 3.09 ERA) vs John Maine (6-5, 3.60 ERA)
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Who is John Maine, and how did he put up such good numbers this season? He coughed up a few too many homers, but opponents hit just .212/.287/.399 against him; not too shabby.

Playoff IGD: A’s @ Tigers (13 Oct 06)

first pitch: 1:30 p.m., PT
television: FOX
matchup: Rich Harden (4-0, 4.24 ERA) vs Kenny Rogers (17-8, 3.84 ERA)
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It snowed in Detroit on Thursday. Forecast for Friday afternoon calls for temperatures in the mid-40s and precipitation. Yuck.

Friday Links (13 Oct 06)

The day job is completely kicking my butt right now, so just a few links for you today without much commentary.

  • Over at Padres RunDown, Peter’s posted the first few installments of his Top 25 Padres Minor League Players: 21-25, 16-20, 11-15, and 6-10.
  • Eight years later, opportunity knocks for Hoffman (ESPN). Nice piece by Jayson Stark on everybody’s favorite closer.
  • Family tragedy impacts Williams (San Diego Union-Tribune). Wow, I had no idea. Woody Williams’ older sister shot and killed her husband in June 2005. Hard to imagine trying to focus on baseball when you’re dealing with something like that. [via Nick G. in the comments]
  • Alderson says he doesn’t expect regime change; Padres CEO hints that Towers, Bochy to return (North County Times). Makes sense to me. The front office has been pretty successful over the past three years. They can do better, but they already have improved, so why can’t that continue? (And just because Bruce Bochy has been granted permission to talk with other clubs doesn’t mean he’s not returning.) Article also indicates what we’ve long suspected, that Dave Roberts won’t be re-signed. I love what Roberts has done in his two seasons with the Padres, but that kind of production is so out of line with his career norms and at his age, the only way I could see him returning is as a fourth outfielder. And with the numbers he’s put up here, Roberts probably can find someone to sign him a starter. I’ll be sorry to see him leave — he’s about as wrong (in a good way) as I’ve been about a player — but it’s probably best for both sides. Carlos Lee is mentioned as a potential replacement, which is fine with me as long as the price is right. What would that be? I dunno, haven’t looked at the market real close just yet.
  • Shop ’til they bop (San Diego Union-Tribune). There’s a handy chart in this one showing how the Padres’ contracts shake out through 2009. The usual suspects show up here: Adrian Beltre and Barry Zito, as well as Japanese veterans Daisuke Matsuzaka and Akinori Iwamura. Quoth Kevin Towers: “We plan to be very aggressive in the Japanese market.” Okay, I guess we’ll see.
  • A brave look at the future? Winning Padres hoping to emulate Atlanta model (North County Times). Brian Hiro sees reason for optimism. He mentions some intriguing names, including Andy Pettitte and Kerry Wood.
  • Speaking of Zito, Baseball Crank has good things to say about him and backs it up with data. There’s another guy on the Crank’s list who is a free agent and who isn’t getting as much play: Mark Buehrle. He’s an extreme finesse pitcher coming off a down year, but Buehrle has a pretty solid track record. I wonder how much he’d cost.
  • Nothing to do with baseball, but there’s no such thing as a bad Spinal Tap reference. As someone who owns a car and a few guitars, I have to admit, I don’t get the tie-in. That said, this is one of the funniest things I’ve seen in a while.

Happy Friday, folks. Enjoy!

Playoff IGD: Cardinals @ Mets (12 Oct 06)

first pitch: 5:05 p.m., PT
television: FOX
matchup: Jeff Weaver (8-14, 5.76 ERA) vs Tom Glavine (15-7, 3.82 ERA)
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While the Tigers were busy beating the A’s again in Oakland, the first game of the NLCS was postponed due to rain. They’ll try it again tonight, with the same scheduled starters.

Former Padres in St. Louis? That would be backup catcher Gary Bennett. The Cards have no San Diego products on their roster.

The Mets have left-handers Oliver Perez and Royce Ring (SDSU). Plus they don’t have Albert Pujols, which is enough to get me behind their cause.

Enjoy the game!

Playoff IGD: Tigers @ A’s, Cardinals @ Mets (11 Oct 06)

first pitch: 5:00 p.m., PT
television: FOX
ALCS matchup: Justin Verlander (17-9, 3.63 ERA) vs Esteban Loaiza (11-9, 4.89 ERA)
NLCS matchup: Jeff Weaver (8-14, 5.76 ERA) vs Tom Glavine (15-7, 3.82 ERA)
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Inexplicably, MLB has scheduled both games at the same time. San Diego native Esteban Loaiza gets the call for the A’s in the ALCS. I’d make disparaging remarks about Jeff Weaver here, but they’d ring hollow after his performance against the Padres in the NLDS. Feel free to chat about the games or pretty much anything else.

Playoff IGD: Tigers @ A’s (10 Oct 06)

first pitch: 5:00 p.m., PT
television: FOX
matchup: Nate Robertson (13-13, 3.84 ERA) vs Barry Zito (16-10, 3.83 ERA)
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Two lefties hook up in the opener at Oakland. Barry Zito will be a free agent at season’s end, and every now and then you hear rumblings about the Padres being interested in his services, but I’m not sure they will (or should) be willing to pay what I suspect he’ll be asking.

No former Padres on the Tigers. One of their players, reliever Joel Zumaya, is a San Diego native.

On the A’s side, “infielder” D’Angelo Jimenez, and outfielders Mark Kotsay and Jay Payton played for the Friars. Right-hander Esteban Loaiza, the aformentioned Zito, catcher Jason Kendall, and third baseman Eric Chavez all have strong San Diego ties.

Guess we have to pull for the A’s in this one, although Jimenez almost is enough to tip the scales the other way. Enjoy the game, everyone!

Acknowledgments and Off-Season Schedule

First, I have to thank you all for your continued support of Ducksnorts over the years and particularly in 2006. Some days I don’t have quite the energy to keep it going and then I remember that you guys are out there, always ready to talk about the Padres. How can I resist? :-)

Seriously, I couldn’t do this without each and every one of you. My wife, who reads Ducksnorts religiously, has mentioned on more than one occasion how good the comments are at the site. I take that as a tremendous compliment, and you should, too.

Thanks again for reading, discussing, and otherwise being a part of Ducksnorts — it was especially cool to meet so many of y’all in person this year. Thanks also for buying Ducksnorts gear (I’m pleasantly surprised at how popular the “479 Saves: Change Is Good” T-shirts have been) and donating to the dog food fund using that little PayPal button thingy over there on the right. Always much appreciated.

Okay, I’m getting all weepy eyed; back to business. So, what’s the plan for the off-season? Good question.

By popular demand, we’ll be running IGDs through the remainder of the playoffs and World Series. That gives us an excuse to hang out and chat a little longer, right?

Then once that’s over, I’ll be posting original material once or twice a week until spring training (mostly about how to improve the ballclub, I’d expect, but I’m open to suggestions). The rest of the time, it’ll be some combination of looking back through the archives, linking to other folks, or just opening up the conversation to anyone who wants to talk.

The other main things I’ll be doing at Ducksnorts are some routine maintenance and, as mentioned a while back, working on a Ducksnorts book. The plan is to run excerpts periodically throughout the winter; feedback will be encouraged.

Additionally, I will continue to write about general baseball topics daily at Knuckle Curve. You are, of course, more than welcome to join me over there as well.

There it is. We’ll have the ALCS IGD up and running about 4 p.m. PT. Go, um, whoever.

You’re as Good as Your Skills, but Only if You Use Them

My baseball career ended at age 15. Lack of identifiable talent, if you must know. But I did play tennis competitively throughout high school, and I was forever on the cusp of making the varsity squad.

The way the tennis team worked was that in order to move up the ranks, you had to play “challenge” matches against the guys above you. I was usually right at the top of the JV ladder, and I had some skills. Good ground strokes, when I was able to hit them. Good serve, when it was working. I could move around the court fairly well, although I was more comfortable at the baseline than at the net.

My problem was that although there were a lot of things I could do reasonably well on a tennis court at any given time, the chances that I actually would do more than, say, one or two of them well at the same time were pretty remote. I had some talent but no consistency. I could make some real nice plays, but I could blow some real easy ones.

In short, I couldn’t be counted on to get the job done when it mattered. And because I had some talent (being young, I overestimated how much, but that’s another story) it frustrated the heck out of me that “lesser” players were ranked above me. They did not possess the skills that I had, or that I thought I had, and I couldn’t understand how they were able to advance while I didn’t.

My nemesis was a guy named Jon. I constantly played challenge matches against him but never could beat the guy. And for the life of me, I couldn’t figure out why. I hit my ground strokes harder than he did, my serve was stronger than his, I could cover more court than he could, and even my net game (not a strength for me by any stretch) was at least as good as his.

The only thing Jon had going for him, and it’s a big one, is that he could return almost any shot. He wouldn’t necessarily hit it hard or with a lot of spin, but he would put it in play and usually in a spot he wanted. His entire game was predicated on your making mistakes. And unless you were very good, chances are you would make those mistakes and he’d win with a smile, while you’d walk away muttering under your breath, wondering how he could beat you.

At the time, you’re thinking it’s luck. You can do everything better than he can, and you know it. But when push comes to shove, you can’t get all facets of your game working at the same time, while Jon’s game never varies. He’s consistent. He always executes. He has a plan; it’s not a sexy plan but he nails it every time and you walk away frustrated, every time.

At some point — and it may be years later — you have to acknowledge that even if you’ve got the better individual skills, unless you’re able to harness those and coordinate them all in a manner that allows you to win with consistency, you don’t have the better game. The serve, the ground strokes, the net game — none of that matters if you’re shooting yourself in the proverbial foot with unforced errors. If you routinely fail to execute maneuvers that are necessary to your winning a match and you subsequently lose the match, it’s nobody’s fault but your own. And it’s prideful folly to insist that you are the better player despite all evidence to the contrary.

Even if you are certain that you possess stronger individual skills than your opponent, the inability to use those skills to your advantage is a fatal flaw that needs to be corrected. If you are smarter and more self-aware than I was at age 17 (heaven help you if you aren’t), you should be able to examine your own game with honesty and identify the weak points, then work to address those points so that the next time you meet your opponent, you’ll be better prepared to do battle.

Luck will play a part, of course, because whether we prefer to acknowledge it or not, that is always an element. But anything you can do to help tip the odds in your favor is a good thing. Because the next time you get that chance, you don’t want to walk away until everyone else has fallen. And if you don’t believe that, then why are you even playing?

* * *

Congratulations to the Padres on a great season, and thanks for all the thrills. I have no doubt that next year will be even better. Is it Opening Day yet?