Veteran second baseman Todd Walker will be released today by the Padres. Walker won an arbitration hearing in February that set his 2007 salary at $3.95 million. By releasing him now, the Padres owe him just $987,000. GM Kevin Towers, however, claims that Walker’s salary “didn’t factor into the decision.”
Should we take Towers at his word? Setting aside money for a moment, let’s take a look at the baseball side of this equation. Walker essentially could have filled one of three roles for the Padres this season:
- Starting second baseman
- Utility player
- Left-handed pinch-hitter
We’ll examine each of these possibilities:
Starting Second Baseman
Walker was penciled in as San Diego’s starting second baseman until Marcus Giles fell into the Padres’ lap last December. This is similar to when Mike Piazza joined the ballclub late in spring 2006 and pushed Doug Mirabelli into a backup role. Obviously Walker is a much better player than Mirabelli, but the point is, there’s that same dynamic of a guy coming in unexpectedly and gumming up the works.
On offense, Giles is projected to hit somewhere in the 742-787 OPS range, while Walker is pegged at 704-787. Even if we call this a wash (Walker’s floor is lower, and he’s more likely to be in the midst of his decline years, but let’s give him the benefit of the doubt here), Giles’ glove should give him the edge.
Acknowledging that range factor is not the perfect defensive metric, here’s how the two stack up in recent years:
Giles vs Walker, Range Factor 2004 – 2006
|
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
Giles |
5.42 |
5.18 |
4.91 |
Walker |
4.36 |
4.59 |
4.35 |
Yes, that’s a nasty downward trend for Giles (although injuries may have played a role — part of the risk in signing Giles in the first place), but he still reaches a lot more balls than Walker.
So basically Giles is 5 years younger than Walker, a superior defender, and at least as good on offense. He also, for those who take stock in such things, is having a much better spring. In other words, Giles is better qualified for the job in every way.
Utility Player
A utility player should be able to perform a wide variety of tasks reasonably well. He doesn’t have to be as good as the regulars he occasionally is called on to replace, but he shouldn’t put his team at a huge disadvantage when forced to take the field.
In a perfect world, your utility guy can play seven positions. If his bat is especially potent, four might suffice. How does Walker measure up here? Let’s look at his career innings by position:
2B: 8272
3B: 606.2
1B: 376.2
SS: 4
LF: 2
Almost all of Walker’s experience (89% of innings) is at second base. Runner up is third base, but that accounts for just 6.6% of Walker’s career innings, and he demonstrated convincingly last year that he cannot play the position.
First base? Most of his time there came last year with the Cubs while Derrek Lee was on the shelf, but he seemed to do okay. Maybe Walker could spell Adrian Gonzalez against tough lefties:
Gonzalez and Walker vs LHP 2004 – 2006
|
BA |
OBP |
SLG |
Gonzalez |
.312 |
.345 |
.489 |
Walker |
.271 |
.367 |
.417 |
Or maybe not.
In Walker, we have a “utility player” who can play two positions. I’m not sure how useful that is. Much as I hate to say anything overly positive about Geoff Blum, he is a better option. So is Oscar Robles.
Left-Handed Pinch-Hitter
This probably was Walker’s best fit on the current Padres. The main problem there is that he hasn’t fared well as a pinch-hitter (.241/.283/.315 in 54 AB) over the past three seasons. It’s not much of a sample, and I imagine Walker probably could transform himself into a Mark Sweeney type.
Is there anyone else on the roster that could fill the role of left-handed bat off the bench? Off the top of my head, I count Russell Branyan, Jack Cust, and Paul McAnulty. None of these guys is accomplished in that role, but all three have more offensive upside than Walker.
In other words, Walker is a decent option, but probably not the best available to the Padres.
Back to the Money
Here’s where things get interesting. The Padres potentially save $3 million by releasing Walker. The players’ union is expected to file a grievance claiming that this move was financially driven rather than performance driven. It’s a union’s job to protect its people, so I’ve got no real problem with that.
What I find fascinating is the fact that the Padres are willing to take the risk that they’ll end up having to pay Walker big bucks to take his services elsewhere. Yes, the Pads could save money on the deal, but we know the MLBPA is one of the strongest labor unions in the world, so there’s also a pretty decent chance that the cost will be the same either way.
I don’t know enough about how the arbitration process works to say whether the union’s grievance has teeth. That said, I can’t imagine the union making a stink if it thought there was no chance of victory.
From where I sit, the Padres essentially are saying that, for reasons outlined above, they can’t use Walker. Given that fact, they’re releasing him now rather than later to avoid paying him for services they’ve already determined they don’t need.
At the same time, I’m sure the Padres recognize that they may be forced to pay Walker anyway. It’s a lousy situation for both sides (and I know I’ve only presented management’s side — Walker is a decent second baseman in a market where there just isn’t much demand for his skill set), but would anyone rather the Padres keep a guy around just because they’re paying him? We’ve seen that before, and it’s not much fun.
If the union files a grievance and wins, I expect some folks will have a good laugh at the Padres’ expense, claiming that they got slapped down for trying to be cheap. I won’t be one of them. To me, this is a team making the best baseball decision regardless of potential consequences.
The situation stinks for Walker, who is no longer the best man for the job he was signed to perform. It stinks for the Padres, who have reminded us why they typically don’t go to arbitration with their players.
In the end, the club has to defend its NL West title and field the best possible 25-man roster, which doesn’t include Walker. If the union can get money for their guy in the process, so be it. If the Padres can avoid paying that money, so be it. Either way, let’s hope for a quick resolution so this doesn’t take focus away from trying to win games once the bell rings.
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