IGD: Padres @ Diamondbacks (14 Jul 07)

Sat, Jul 14, 2007Ballhype: hype it up!
by Geoff Young
Game #89
time: 6:40 p.m. PT
tv: 4SD
sp: Chris Young (8-3, 2.00) vs Livan Hernandez (5-5, 4.54)
pre: Padres.com, SI.com

I can’t stand watching Livan Hernandez pitch, but I have tremendous admiration for the guy. He has successfully taken Muhammad Ali’s rope-a-dope strategy and applied it to baseball. The results may be “aesthetically challenged,” but in the end, Hernandez has assembled a nice little career.

Chris Young, meanwhile, gets to pitch in a real game again, which hopefully means no more cheap-ass home runs. Go Padres!

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126 Responses to “IGD: Padres @ Diamondbacks (14 Jul 07)”

  1. Ben B. Says:

    Completely agree with you on watching Livan Hernandez pitch. It’s infuriating that he and Doug Davis have peripherals and WHIPs as poor as they do, and yet have respectable ERAs.

    We are again treated to Cruz slicing balls left-handed again today, as he’s starting in left and batting 7th. I guess he earned it with his homer yesterday.

  2. Phantom Says:

    1: I really wish Bradley would be in there. He’s been immensely valuable thus far.

  3. Mike Says:

    why in the world would Bradley not start today? If he’s healthy he should be out there.

  4. LynchMob Says:

    NOG is an out-machine!

  5. Phantom Says:

    4: Indeed he is. He needs to be dropped in the lineup.

  6. LynchMob Says:

    And, lately, so is Adrian :-( I’m confident his situation is not long-term … but it sure is *bad* …

  7. Geoff Young Says:

    #4: Since 5/1/07:

    NOG: .207/.288/.287
    Kouz: .291/.348/.515

    One of these guys bats #2, the other #8.

  8. Phantom Says:

    7: Yikes. I don’t know why Bradley isn’t starting.

  9. Phantom Says:

    Don’t like to see Tony Clark going against CY. Tall people hit CY better than the shorter ones.

  10. Geoff Young Says:

    #8: TV guys are saying it’s because Bradley is 0-for-8 career against Livan. Seems like a small sample to me…

  11. Phantom Says:

    10: It sure is. Livan Hernandez frightens me as a Padre fan, because he seems to really give us problems.

    C’mon CY, K the big guy!

  12. Phantom Says:

    And I mean to add that the D’Backs broadcast is even worse than usual. Some guy is in for Mark Grace and he’s an asbolute annoying douche.

    One of his brilliant lines thus far: “I’ve just figured out the next innovation in baseball. They’ll move the coaches boxes since nobody stands in them!”

    Thank you sir for that stunning bit of crack commentary.

  13. Ben B. Says:

    10: Surely Bradley’s 0-8 is counteracted by his .400/.500/.400 line as a Padre (in a similar sample size)? In a Padres uniform, Bradley is one of the greatest hitters ever! Clearly the sand and blue has magical powers on Bradley.

  14. LynchMob Says:

    OK, post #4 was whining … and post #6 was headed that direction … now, trying to be serious … what do you think Bud’s waiting for before he does shuffle the lineup? At some point if NOG keeps makin’ a lot of out, it seems like Bud will move him down. And at some point, if KK keeps hitting the ball, Bud will move him up.

    It sure seems like 2 months of ABs is enough data to make decisions on …

    NOG    Avg  OBP  SLG
    May   .220 .316 .310
    June  .208 .286 .277
    July  .167 .211 .250
    
    KK    Avg  OBP  SLG
    May  .303 .375 .576
    June .247 .295 .411
    July .385 .414 .654
    
  15. Geoff Young Says:

    #14: I dunno, but Kouz just hit another homer.

  16. LynchMob Says:

    14 … and it’s the trend on NOG that’s *really* scary! And that includes a good game in July (I saw it, at Petco, vs Marlins, July 4th).

  17. Ben B. Says:

    If Kouz had been hitting second last night, he would have gotten one last at bat to try and complete the cycle.

    Holy ****, Kouz is on fire.

  18. LynchMob Says:

    15 … cool … solo shot from the bottom of the order … dude’s ON FIRE!

  19. LynchMob Says:

    Rox lose …

    http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/boxscore?gid=270714108

    … and I’m good with that … they’re gettin’ a bit too pesky!

  20. LynchMob Says:

    Sledge has a 2-run double to start his rehab for AAA Portland tonight …

    http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....a_srcaaa_1

  21. Geoff Young Says:

    Cameron and Kouz are pretty much carrying the offensive load right now. OPS since May 1:

    Cameron 899
    Kouz 863
    Adrian 749
    Khalil 707
    Bard 696
    Cruz 594
    NOG 575

  22. LynchMob Says:

    21 … OG doesn’t even make the list?

  23. LynchMob Says:

    Any chance that was a “strike ‘em out + throw ‘em out - double play”?

  24. Geoff Young Says:

    #22: He was on the DL such a long time, and I was using 150 PA as cutoff. If we go to 100, add these two:

    OG: 699
    Sledge: 665

  25. Geoff Young Says:

    Whew, CY is getting some very loud outs tonight.

  26. Phantom Says:

    21: I’m surprised that Adrian is so much higher than Khalil, but I guess he had a solid April and May before falling apart.

  27. LynchMob Says:

    20 … btw, Hensley will pitch in that AAA Portland game tonight … assuming the Beavers make 3 outs in the top of the 1st … currently 4-0 Beavers …

  28. LynchMob Says:

    26 … I think Khalil’s split is .100/.607, right?

  29. LynchMob Says:

    After 3 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Young 45-30; L Hernandez 43-26.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Young 2-5; L Hernandez 3-3.

    Batters faced - C Young 9; L Hernandez 11.

    … kinda hard to complain about the # of pitches CY has thrown … 9-up, 9-down!

  30. LynchMob Says:

    The STORM can still be a fun team to watch …

    http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....a_hdmafa_1

    … 5-0 after 1 inning … Colt Morton with HR #1 …

  31. Geoff Young Says:

    Attaboy, Khalil.

  32. Phantom Says:

    NEW CLUB RECORD!!!!

  33. Phantom Says:

    31: That makes me so happy to see. Even better is that that was on a 3-1 pitch.

  34. Ben B. Says:

    So it’s back to hitting solo home runs, is it guys?

  35. Phantom Says:

    34: With men on, we leave ‘em there. Without men on, we crush ‘em.

  36. Rich Campbell Says:

    What do you think a healthy Khalil ends up with in dingers this year?

    Hmmmm…maybe we SHOULD have signed him to an extension. But I have to admit, I thought we should wait and see if he could stay healthy.

  37. Ben B. Says:

    Fortunately, only hitting solo home runs is completely unsustainable. Eventually, someone will have to be on base, and the hitter will completely space out and forget he’s there and accidentally hit a home run.

  38. Phantom Says:

    By the way, whats the most aggravating about the D’backs broadcast is the freaking buzzer they use for denying correct answers to trivia questions.

  39. Phantom Says:

    36: I think that if Khalil ends up relatively healthy all year (he’s already out-produced previous years), they’ll sign him to a 2 or 3-year extension. There’s still no viable option for replacing him within the organization and he’s still clearly very valuable for the team.

  40. Ben B. Says:

    Haha! Our Chris Young is superior!

  41. LynchMob Says:

    27 … Hensley starts his game with HBP + BB … bleh …

  42. Ben B. Says:

    Chris Young is now 0-5 career against Chris Young.

  43. LynchMob Says:

    30 … Colt Morton likes playing for the STORM … he HR’d in the 2nd inning also!

  44. LynchMob Says:

    41 … on a more positive note, Hensley then got Piazza out (he’s down on a rehab) and then a GIDP … no harm, no foul …

  45. Geoff Young Says:

    OG times the slow breaking ball and hammers it. Nice!

  46. Rich Campbell Says:

    um, what was that about forgetting a man was on base?

  47. Phantom Says:

    There’s a HR with men on for ya. Catch THAT one Salazar.

  48. Mykl Says:

    Ow! My daughter just slugged me in the arm. We’re going to the game tomorrow… she’ll be wearing a D-backs jersey and I’ve got the Padres gear :)

  49. Ben B. Says:

    An OG homer, and it happened with a runner on base!

  50. Geoff Young Says:

    Damn, Adrian just crushed that ball.

  51. Ben B. Says:

    Was that robbed? Gameday has it beyond the wall.

  52. Phantom Says:

    Could the AZ announcers try to enforce the “jinx” anymore. Jeez.

  53. Mykl Says:

    you think the tv announcers are bad, you should hear the sh*t the AZ radio announcers are giving Kouz for not going after that foul ball

  54. LynchMob Says:

    Oh my OG!

  55. Phantom Says:

    Damn you Tony Clark. Why do you gotta break up the perfect game like that?

  56. Ben B. Says:

    It was only the fifth inning and CY had thrown a lot of pitches. I’ll settle with condemning him for scoring a run that cuts the lead to three.

  57. Rich Campbell Says:

    Amazing. I can’t even imagine “owning” somebody like that. 3 for 5 with 3 dingers. Wow.

  58. LynchMob Says:

    9 … nice call!

  59. Phantom Says:

    57: Stupid tall people hit much too well off of CY.

  60. Mykl Says:

    59: intersting… maybe melvin should run a quick IQ test before the pinch-hit

  61. Rich Campbell Says:

    59. Unless they’re Derek Lee. *Grin*

  62. LynchMob Says:

    Thru 5 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Young 81-52; L Hernandez 82-49.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Young 3-6; L Hernandez 4-7.

    Batters faced - C Young 17; L Hernandez 22.

    … 6 Ks vs 0 BBs for CY!

  63. Ben B. Says:

    61: Even the best hitters only connect 1/3 of the time. Give him two more punches and he could probably land one of them. Punching .333 isn’t bad.

  64. Geoff Young Says:

    #51: No, it was to deep center. Young had his back up against the wall when he caught it.

    #55: I still can’t believe Clark kept that ball fair.

  65. LynchMob Says:

    How fun that KK will be hitting lead-off for the 3rd straight time next inning (hint: Cruz is a bit of an out-machine lately also) …

  66. LynchMob Says:

    Thru 6 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Young 81-52; L Hernandez 93-56.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Young 3-6; L Hernandez 5-9.

    Batters faced - C Young 17; L Hernandez 25.

  67. Ben B. Says:

    Maybe we should put Kouz’s power behind OG’s on base skills and move NOG down and let him and Cruz be out machines together.

  68. LynchMob Says:

    44 … Hensley settled down real nice … only 1 H given up thru 4 IP …

  69. Ben B. Says:

    It’s too bad OG makes so much money. Otherwise he’d be such a heroic scrappy fellow with his current skill set.

  70. LynchMob Says:

    This would be a nice spot for a non-NOG #2 hitter … doncha think?

  71. LynchMob Says:

    69 … amen!

  72. LynchMob Says:

    70 … re: NOG … I’m *shocked* he K’d in that situation … *NOT*!

  73. Phantom Says:

    Byrnes’ IF single makes me really nervous in this situation. I don’t want to see this game implode.

  74. Phantom Says:

    73: Gulp, I hate my prognostication.

  75. Geoff Young Says:

    #74: Um, yeah.

  76. Geoff Young Says:

    OMG, Cruz played that horribly; thank goodness he managed to catch it.

  77. Phantom Says:

    Um, wow Cruz.

  78. Phantom Says:

    How the hell is Bell so hittable tonite? WTF?

  79. Ben B. Says:

    Sometimes balls just fall in. I’d be more concerned about him if they were getting extra base hits or if he were walking guys.

  80. Geoff Young Says:

    #78: I dunno, but I’ve seen about enough…

  81. Phantom Says:

    This is a freaking train wreck. HOW THE HELL IS THIS HAPPENING!

  82. Phantom Says:

    Damnit, we CANNOT afford to lose this game! The Dodgers already won in extra innings. We can’t do this.

  83. Geoff Young Says:

    Why did Adrian cut that ball?

  84. Phantom Says:

    WHY WAS THAT CUT OFF!?!?!?!

  85. Phantom Says:

    God damn, why can’t we just catch a break here and win a series?

  86. Phantom Says:

    Adrian better hit like a 5-run HR to make up for that gaffe. We could still have a lead here.

  87. Ben B. Says:

    Once again looking at the boxscore I am at a complete loss how to explain how the score is the way it is. The Padres have three homers, the Diamondbacks one; those are the only extra base hits in the game. The D-Backs have struck out 9 times, with no walks. The Padres have struck out 5 times, with 3 walks. It is inexplicable.

  88. Geoff Young Says:

    I still like our chances. Tie game, battle of the bullpens:

    SD relievers: 2.45 ERA, .218/.286/.314
    Ari relievers: 3.71 ERA, .247/.327/.395

  89. Sean Callahan Says:

    86: And CY could still have a decision…

  90. LynchMob Says:

    Maybe Bradley PH’s for Cruz next time up?

  91. Ben B. Says:

    Nope, no five run homer. Just a continuation of his struggles.

  92. Geoff Young Says:

    #89: That’s the pisser in all this.

    On a positive note, Adrian has hit the ball very hard a couple times tonight. Same thing happened to Kouz just before he got out of his horrible funk to start the season. Here’s hoping…

  93. LynchMob Says:

    Is everybody trying for another solo HR?

  94. Phantom Says:

    God I hope we don’t blow this. We really, really, really need to pull this out to get back some momentum and confidence.

  95. Phantom Says:

    Son of a *****. I can’t believe we coughed up that lead. I know this game isn’t over, but man, this one hurts.

  96. Ben B. Says:

    At least we only blew a 4 run lead. The Dodgers blew a 6 run lead.

  97. Mykl Says:

    90, yeah it does. Padres could have used this one big time and gave it away. Webb v Germano tomorrow

  98. Phantom Says:

    Our vaunted pitching staff has been showing way too many holes lately.

  99. Mykl Says:

    D-backs hadn’t had a hit until the 5th… 2 through 6. They now have 8.

  100. Ben B. Says:

    98: On the bright side, our not so vaunted lineup has been showing fewer holes recently.

  101. Sean Callahan Says:

    Still like our chances? Our bullpen has given up four runs on 8 hits in two innings…

  102. Phantom Says:

    100: That’s true, but this is disgusting. Our pitching is our strength. Wen it fails this massively, this team is screwed.

    I know we scuffeld coming out of the All-Star Break last year, but this is unacceptable.

  103. LynchMob Says:

    At least KK gets another AB …

  104. LynchMob Says:

    Let’s go get Liney a W?

  105. Mykl Says:

    Valverde for the (blown) save! Let’s get this done

  106. Geoff Young Says:

    #101: Not as much as when I wrote that. ;-)

  107. Ben B. Says:

    Pitchers have a limited amount of control over the outcome of at bats. It would be nice to see more strikeouts, but they haven’t killed themselves with walks or homers. Sometimes the balls just fall in, sometimes the opposing hitters do a good job hitting good pitches. Until the bullpen starts striking out every batter they face, games like this will happen.

  108. Sean Callahan Says:

    They have limited control over batted balls in play….

  109. Sean Callahan Says:

    Do your thing KK…

  110. Geoff Young Says:

    Bummer. Better luck tomorrow…

  111. Ben B. Says:

    I cannot believe we have 7 runs over the past two games despite 5 home runs, 8 bb’s, and 10 k’s.

  112. Phantom Says:

    110: We’re trying to give away this division. I cannot f’ing believe how this turned out. CY leaves with a 3-run lead and we can’t win the game.

    I’m completely speechless and destroyed. This team has not looked the same over the past month as they did in the beginning of the year.

  113. Richard D. Says:

    SD bullpen since break:

    7 IP 8 ER…

    God I hope it’s just rust…

  114. Mykl Says:

    Admittedly, i don’t know a whole helluva lot. But pulling out a 2-hit witch for a pinch hitter with nobody on seemed odd. Then leaving Bell in that long was flat out baffling.
    Ah well, get tomrrow’s another game. Get it, net a one-game loss in the series, and get the hell out!
    I’ll be in section 114. Go Padres :)

  115. Geoff Young Says:

    #112, 113: Rough patches happen; hopefully this one won’t last very long. As I’ve said since spring training, the NL West is going to be a dogfight between Ari, LA, and SD right to the end.

    Strap in and get comfy…

  116. Richard D. Says:

    On the bright side, AZ needed help to win this one.
    Consider this:

    1) Tony Clark got the definition of a “cheap” HR… it may has well been into Petco Porck.

    2)Adrian isn’t a moron and lets the ball go (or even throws home after the cut) and Tony Clark is out, the guy runs like, well… me.

    3) Orlando Hudson gets jammed in the 8th and gets an “excuse me” double, Kooz is one step to his right and it’s a soft line-out.

    4) Valverde gets two frickin’ gift strike calls against Kooz (can you say “fastball at the ankles”)

    5) That was Bell’s worst outing of the year, odds are he doesn’t do that again.

    85. is right, we AZ got all the breaks, we got none.

  117. Ben B. Says:

    Continuing with my blame everything on bad luck analysis, the Padres have a .196 BABIP in this series. The D-Backs have a .375 BABIP. Tonight the Padres were 3-23 on balls in play. The D-Backs were 9-27.

  118. Phantom Says:

    I know I’m being very fatalist and reactionary right now, but we haven’t played well lately. Going back before the break, our last quality series was against the Dodgers in LA. Since then, it’s been pretty ugly.

  119. Ben B. Says:

    118: Oh yeah, I would say it’s actually been even worse than that, since the Dodgers series had two close games that we won and blowout that we lost. I’d say the last good series we had was against Chicago when CY had the fight with Lee.

    But I don’t really believe in momentum or anything like that since it’s not possible to predict when one streak is going to end and the next is going to start, so I think the year as a whole gives us a better idea of how the team is going to play from here on out than the last two weeks do. And based on that, the Padres are probably the best team in the National League. This loss sucks, but there are plenty more games to go, and hopefully we’ll be the recipient of some lucky wins in the future.

  120. Phantom Says:

    119: I just would like to see some of these one-run games start coming our way. This can’s possibly continue all year, right?

  121. JP Says:

    Even in this era of bullpen over-specialization, does CY have to come out after the 6th ? Why ? Is he ailing or had he thrown a lot of pitches ?

  122. JP Says: