In-Game Discussion: Padres @ Twins (17 Jun 2005)

first pitch: 5:10 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4
matchup: Tim Stauffer (1-2, 3.93 ERA) vs Carlos Silva (5-3, 3.15 ERA)
previews: CBS | Padres.com

Wow, Silva has walked just 4 batters in 80 innings this year! And he’s striking out fewer than three batters per 9 innings. Bizarre.

Okay, my wife is “anxious” to leave the hotel room, so you’ll have to provide the rest of the analysis today. Here’s hoping Minnesota is kinder to the Padres than was Detroit.

Quick Hits

Niagara Falls, and So Do the Padres

The bus ride from Toronto to Niagara Falls takes a little over an hour and a half. You pass through towns such as Mississauga, Burlington, and St. Catherine’s (hometown of Rush’s Neil Peart) before reaching Niagara. I was expecting to be disappointed, but no such luck. Sure, the place is touristy, but I’m from SoCal, so I’m used to that. Once you get past the kitsch, the actual falls are overwhelming.

Niagara Falls

After literally soaking in the falls, we drove through the town of Niagara-on-the-Lake, which depending on your point of view could be described as “quaint and charming” or “silly and pretentious”; use whichever you apply to La Jolla. On the upside, the tour included a wine tasting, so we were able to sip some of the local product before heading back to Toronto.

Niagara Falls

Somewhere along the way, I struck up a conversation with a couple of Diamondbacks fans who were on our bus. Being fellow Americans, and not wishing to appear overly boorish in front of our Canadian hosts, we set aside our allegiances and had a nice chat, during the course of which we agreed on three things:

  1. Niagara Falls is spectacular
  2. Nobody wants to win the NL West
  3. It is much easier to watch a baseball game in which you have no rooting interest

Was there a point to this? I think somewhere around here I’m supposed to transition from our trip to Niagara Falls to how poorly the Padres are playing. That was the idea behind the headline, right? Maybe the Tigers metaphorically pushed our guys over the edge. Or we could be even less subtle and refer to falling in the standings. I don’t know; I hadn’t actually thought this far ahead when I wrote the headline (which itself has subject-verb agreement issues, but that’s a whole other story).

I’m lost. I don’t know how to get out of this. Let’s hope the Padres can do a better job getting out of their current funk.

In-Game Discussion: Padres @ Tigers (16 Jun 2005)

first pitch: 10:05 a.m., PT
television: none
matchup: Woody Williams (2-4, 4.56 ERA) vs Jeremy Bonderman (7-4, 4.05 ERA)

The city of Toronto continues to impress. Excellent dim sum in the afternoon, exquisite sushi in the evening. Another ballgame, this time with the roof open for the first couple of innings. Rogers Centre is a much nicer venue with the roof open; unfortunately the enjoyment was fleeting, as the weather had other ideas. Good game, though, as the home team took the final stanza of their series against St. Louis, 5-2.

We’re off to Niagara Falls today, so again you’re on your own. Thursday’s game is real early and not on TV. I stink at faking enthusiasm so I won’t bother. Here’s hoping for better days soon.

Curious Stat of the Day

Padres hitters 9/1/04 – 6/14/04 (minimum 150 PA, descending order by XB%):

            G  AB   BA  OBP  SLG  ISO  XB%  BB% BB/SO
Greene     57 198 .268 .318 .470 .202 .472 .064  .350
Giles      92 337 .279 .386 .496 .217 .468 .151 1.649
Klesko     83 280 .300 .412 .511 .211 .369 .158  .981
Nady       61 159 .264 .343 .453 .189 .357 .084  .536
Roberts    43 160 .281 .359 .431 .150 .356 .114  .875
Hernandez  88 324 .287 .327 .460 .173 .355 .054  .500
Nevin      91 346 .249 .304 .434 .185 .349 .081  .369
Blum       43 149 .268 .325 .396 .128 .275 .074  .857
Loretta    66 263 .300 .381 .369 .069 .165 .099 1.579
Burroughs  64 226 .279 .347 .336 .057 .127 .072  .545

XB% is XBH/H, BB% is BB/PA.

In-Game Discussion: Padres @ Tigers (15 Jun 2005)

first pitch: 4:05 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4
matchup: Adam Eaton (9-1, 3.18 ERA) vs Mike Maroth (4-7, 4.54 ERA)
previews: CBS | Padres.com

Jake Peavy got part of the way out of his mini-funk Tuesday night but his defense let him down and the Padres’ June swoon continues, as the club is now 3-9 during the month. Fortunately, the only starter to record a win for the Friars in June goes Wednesday. Eaton has become the Pads’ stopper this year and the club will be counting on him to turn things around against the Tigers tonight. Of course, the club had better do its part to help him do just that. Note that in this context, shoddy fielding and poor clutch hitting do not constitute help.

The Padres have been outscored, 58-30, so far in June. Ryan Klesko (.303/.395/.424) is the only regular with an OPS over 800 during the month. Amusingly, Eaton has the highest OPS (1600), albeit in just 5 at-bats. Guys who are struggling at the plate include Geoff Blum (.231/.268/.256), Khalil Greene (.222/.222/.267), Dave Roberts (.200/.273/.200), and Damian Jackson (.174/.167/.174). As a whole, the team is hitting just .231/.283/.325 in June and scoring 2.5 runs per contest.

For the Tigers, Maroth is most famous for losing 21 games in 2003, but as are most 20-game losers, he’s a pretty decent pitcher. He’s around the plate, gets hit some, and doesn’t strike out a lot of guys. Basically a left-handed Brian Lawrence. He also has a severe home/road split this year:

       AB   BA  OBP  SLG  ERA
Home  167 .335 .374 .497 6.20
Road  142 .225 .286 .401 2.79

Then again, last year Maroth’s ERA at home was over two runs lower than on the road, so this probably speaks more to the volatility of small sample sizes than to any actual tendency.

The one other thing I noticed about Maroth is that he is not one of those pitchers that gets tougher as the game progresses. He’s a guy you can get to the second or third time through the lineup:

Inn   AB   BA  OBP  SLG
1-3  141 .220 .277 .284
4-6  140 .343 .383 .607
7-9   28 .321 .333 .536

Breaking it down even further (and I’m taking some educated guesses on the plate appearances here because the exact numbers are not available; these should be very close):

#Pit   AB   BA  OBP  SLG
1-60  185 .249 .299 .308
61+   124 .339 .378 .669

Of the 11 home runs Maroth has surrendered this season, 10 have come after the 60th pitch. The numbers from 2004 aren’t quite as extreme, but he was tougher to hit early than late last year as well.

Here’s hoping the Padre bats wake up tonight and do some damage. As I’ve said before, runs would be nice.

Baseball Under the Concrete and Steel

The day began with bland Japanese food for lunch. Japanese food can be many things, but seldom is it bland. Today, it was.

From there I strolled to the Hockey Hall of Fame, which is in the middle of a shopping center. While there, I learned or rediscovered a few things:

  • Mario Lemieux was inducted into the HOF before Wayne Gretzky. This surprises me, but as I’ve said before, I don’t follow hockey all that closely.
  • Gretzky was a ridiculous talent. I knew this, having seen most of his career while it happened, but watching video of him reminded me just how good he had been.
  • Gretzky finished his career with the New York Rangers. I can’t remember if I’d known this, but there it is.

One somber point came from seeing all the records updated through the most recent NHL season and realizing that it had ended over a year ago. If I were a hockey fan, that would just kill me. I hope the geniuses at MLB never let things get that bad.

After the HOF, I wandered through various parts of downtown. The tall buildings seemingly made only of glass. The old brick churches, and the parks that surrounded them – always with dubious, yet pleasant, characters milling about the grounds or sitting on benches, waiting for something or someone to take them elsewhere.

CN Tower

I had intended to follow a path carefully laid forth in one of my tour books, but I managed to stray from it and, not wanting to walk around with my head buried in the pages of a book, I headed north to Dundas and made my way toward Chinatown. Once there, I saw that this is where I should have eaten lunch.

But I didn’t, so I had a cup of coffee instead.

The air was pungent with herb shops, dim sum cafes, and open-air markets. The din of a language incomprehensible to me, yet familiar, trailed behind as I walked south along Spadina toward the CN Tower and Rogers Centre (formerly known as the SkyDome). There, nearly anonymous in my Akinori Otsuka T-shirt and Padres cap, I purchased a $2 ticket for Tuesday night’s game between the Blue Jays and the Cardinals.

Baseball field at Rogers Centre

A word about domed stadiums. I won’t say they’re not right, but I will say they’re not right for me. Something about looking up at concrete and steel girders where sky should be. I kept thinking there should be a halftime, or an intermission, or something. Don’t get me wrong, it’s a nice enough facility. It’s just that you’re already down a strike with the DH. Throw in some artificial turf, and slap a roof on top, and it doesn’t feel like baseball to me.

That said, the place has a few redeeming features. First, there’s a hotel in it. I’m not sure if that’s cool, but it’s so bizarre, it must be. Second, they serve my new favorite Canadian beer on tap. I’m not a great fan of India Pale Ale, but this stuff is really good.

Video scoreboard and hotel at Rogers Centre

Finally, they play Rush tunes between innings. Well, okay, they played a Rush tune, but that’s more than I’ve heard in 99% of the stadiums I’ve visited. And it wasn’t Tom Sawyer, either. That makes up for a lot.

The game? Larry Walker belted two homers. He got a warm reception after the first, because even Blue Jays fans seemed to value his being Canadian more than his being a Cardinal. Former Blue Jay hurler Chris Carpenter pitched as good a game as I’ve ever seen in person, limiting his old team to just one hit and fanning 10 in a 7-0 shutout.

Oh, and the folks at Rogers Centre, as they have been everywhere in Toronto, were extremely pleasant. I look forward to catching another game or two there while I’m in town.

Toronto skyline at dusk

In-Game Discussion: Padres @ Tigers (14 Jun 2005)

first pitch: 4:05 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4
matchup: Jake Peavy (5-1, 2.67 ERA) vs Jason Johnson (4-5, 3.33 ERA)
previews: ESPN | Padres.com | CBS

In a rematch of the 1984 World Series, the Padres head to the Motor City for three games with Los Tigres. Current Friars skipper Bruce Bochy (.228/.250/.435) was the backup catcher on the ’84 Pads, while Detroit manager Alan Trammell (.314/.382/.468) started at shortstop for the eventual champions.

Turning to tonight’s matchup, Johnson has been very tough against right-handed hitters this year (.216/.252/.284), but lefties have done pretty well against him (.301/.357/.481). I don’t know if he’s added a new pitch or what, but last season there was virtually no lefty/righty split for Johnson. The guess here is that either Mark Sweeney or Robert Fick will DH in this one for the Pads.

Also, Johnson gets tougher as the game goes on:

 #Pit  AB   BA  OBP  SLG
 1-15  40 .375 .432 .550
16-30  53 .340 .333 .660
31-45  47 .191 .255 .319
46-60  45 .178 .224 .267
61-75  48 .188 .204 .271
76-90  41 .220 .250 .220
91-105 26 .385 .485 .385

After the 30th pitch of a game, batters are hitting just .218 against Johnson over 211 at-bats, with a whopping seven extra-base hits. Padres need to get to him early.

On the other side, when lefties hit Peavy, they continue to hit him hard. The batting average (.226) is fine, but the XBH% (.600) and ISO (.226) not so much. Peavy has had two subpar starts in a row, which is very unusual for him; the Padres need him to get back on track now and for a long time to come.

Folks, you are my eyes and ears for this one. Any coverage I’m likely to get out here will come from people with very little, if any, interest in the Padres. I’m counting on you to tell it like it is in the comments.

Notes and Links

Greetings from Toronto. It was warm and rainy last night when we arrived, very much like Hawai’i, of all places. After settling into our room, we wandered around what I believe was the Financial District before eventually stumbling onto an open restaurant. After spending the entire plane trip scouring various tour books, we ended up having pasta and beer at the place closest to the hotel. Isn’t that the way.

We are within walking distance of SkyDome, and I’ll be at the Battle of the Birds (Cardinals/Blue Jays) this evening. Thank goodness an NL team is playing, eh? (“Eh, I said ‘eh’, eh?”) And apparently they have this deal here where you can get into Tuesday night games for $2 Canadian. That’s like $1.50, or roughly six peanut shells at Petco.

Okay, onto the links:

Off to the hockey Hall of Fame. I’m not a great fan of hockey, but I watched enough of it as a kid (grew up following the Triple Crown Line era Los Angeles Kings) to appreciate the sport. Plus I’ve discovered over the years that pretty much any opportunity to visit a sports Hall of Fame shouldn’t be missed.

From the Vault: Brad Wilkerson, Hank Blalock

[The Padres completed their longest homestand of the year a disappointing 5-8 but remain in first place, 2 1/2 games ahead of the Dodgers. With an off day, and because I am currently en route to Toronto for a little R&R, we take a trip in the wayback machine. The below was originally posted July 10, 2001.]

Anaheim shortstop prospect Brian Specht has been promoted to Double-A Arkansas. On the basis of what he did last season, he deserved to start 2001 there but he’s young, so there’s no hurry.

Olympian Brad Wilkerson will make his big-league debut Thursday. Hitting machine. Think Rusty Greer or pre-Ruthian Luis Gonzalez.

What’s up with that celebrity softball thing at the All-Star Game? I don’t want to see Fez from That 70s Show taking rips at a Goose Gossage lob. My friend Dave, who attended the event, said it was painful to watch. I believe it.

Adam Eaton is on the shelf. Elbow sprain. Supposedly not as serious as the sprain that’s kept lefty Kevin Walker out the past several weeks. Brian Tollberg will take Eaton’s spot in the rotation. I’d say there’ll be a logjam when Eaton returns but by that time, Sterling Hitchcock and Woody Williams will probably be gone.

Padres second-rounder Matt Harrington is struggling in the Northern League. A 9.47 ERA in 19 IP isn’t helping his cause.

Hank Blalock at the Arizona Fall League

San Diego product Hank Blalock is tearing up the Texas League after tearing up the Florida State League. John Sickels once compared him to George Brett. Sickels went out on a limb there but right now, Blalock is hitting like Brett. Of course, Double-A isn’t the big-leagues but this kid has a chance to be special.

So do a couple of his high school teammates, catcher Scott Heard of the Rangers and righthander Matt Wheatland of the Tigers. [Ed note: Wheatland now plays for the San Diego Surf Dawgs.]

That’s it for now. Enjoy the All-Star Game. And don’t forget to watch the Triple-A All-Star Game tomorrow night!

In-Game Discussion: Padres vs White Sox (12 Jun 2005)

first pitch: 1:05 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4
matchup: Brian Lawrence (3-6, 4.78 ERA) vs Freddy Garcia (6-3, 3.51 ERA)

Great comeback win Saturday night against the White Sox. Rookie Tim Stauffer allowed a first inning run but otherwise matched Mark Buehrle pitch for pitch. But with one out in the bottom of the ninth, and with Jeff Brantley’s favorite closer on the hill, Ramon Hernandez launched a solo homer into the left field seats to tie the game, 1-1. Four batters later, Damian Jackson punched a grounder past the drawn-in infield to plate Sean Burroughs with the winning run.

Stauffer threw strikes early and often, showing excellent command of the breaking ball and working smart sequences. He was efficient, throwing just 92 pitches (65 for strikes) in seven innings.

The Padres look to take the series in a Sunday afternoon affair that marks the end of their longest homestand of the year. The breakdown:

                               AB   BA  OBP  SLG
Lawrence vs current White Sox  62 .306 .368 .468
Garcia vs current Padres       84 .286 .362 .357

Juan Uribe (.375/.400/.667 in 24 AB) has faced Lawrence the most, and done the most damage. For the Padres, Robert Fick (.455/.500/.455 in 11 AB) and Ramon Hernandez (.368/.368/.474 in 19 AB) have had the most success against Garcia. Phil Nevin (.071/.188/.071 in 14 AB) hasn’t done much. Given Nevin’s recent general lack of production, today might be a good time to give Fick the start at first base.

Four Years of Blogging

Ducksnorts has been around since 1997, but the first blog entry was made on June 12, 2001.

Did I think I would still be blogging today? To be honest, I wasn’t sure I would still be blogging on June 13, 2001. I’m glad I decided to stick around. :-)