More Bits and Pieces

So I got Opening Day tix yesterday. We’re way down in the right field corner. The phone operator gave me a few choices, all of which were more or less in the same area. I told her I didn’t care, that if she could get me in the park, I’d be ecstatic. And I am.

Very little time today, so it’s bullet points again.

Stolen from the Fanstop board folks (they read the coolest stuff ;-) ):

  • Lake Elsinore Storm Year in Review – Part I (Yahoo). Compares Josh Barfield to Jeff Kent; mentions Freddy Guzman, Michael Johnson, USD alum Greg Sain, and a handful of others as possible future big-league contributors.
  • You CAN Mess With Texas. Every Time (Management by Baseball). An interesting take on the A-Rod deal, from a slightly different angle. More outstanding work from one of the best baseball writers on the Web.
  • Pedro Guerrero and the Dark Ravine (Big Bad Baseball). Don Malcom’s articles are always entertaining and often informative. This one takes a look at Guerrero’s good team/bad team splits. It’s only one player, and it’s hard to say where this will lead. But I like the question Don asks and the fact that he is willing to ask it.

Stuff I found all by myself:

Off to pay some bills. More later…

Just the Facts

I was up late last night helping rid a buddy of 22 virii on his machine (yikes!), so this will be real short and sweet.

Spring Training Notes

Pitchers and catchers have reported. Position players arrive Wednesday. Let’s check out what’s going on so far:

  • Padres pleased to see a healthy Hoffman (U-T). Trevor Hoffman, David Wells, and Tim Stauffer all looked good during their first workouts. Wells will start the Petco Park opener, with Brian Lawrence opening the season in Dodger Stadium three days earlier.
  • Long longs for chance as regular for Padres (U-T). Long has extensive experience at all three outfield positions and is so dedicated to defense that he recently commissioned a spider web tattoo on his right arm. I was hoping for a different end to that sentence, but I guess a spider tattoo will have to do. We’ll just assume that actual work on his defense will follow.
  • Padres take steps to avoid injury bugaboo (U-T). Talks about the exercise facility at Petco, and new strength coach Joe Hughes. More good reports on Hoffman and Wells, as well as Phil Nevin.
  • Padres look for Eaton, Peavy to step up (NC Times). A good look at two of the Pads’ young guns and what they need to do to take their games to the next level.
  • Hernandez creates buzz behind the plate (NC Times). To be sure, Hernandez isn’t the model defensive catcher—he threw out just 24 percent of attempted base stealers last season and allowed the most stolen bases in the American League. Why does a catcher’s defense continue to be measured by how well he throws out opposing baserunners? Sure it’s a consideration, but in today’s game does it really matter all that much? I don’t think so. Anyway, the article actually has a lot of positive things to say about the Pads’ new backstop. It’s just that sentences like that bug me.
  • Padres find Japanese reliever in control (U-T). Akinori Otsuka doesn’t like American food, has a funky delivery, and is eager to face Barry Bonds.
  • A League of His Own (MIT Alumni Association). Christian over at the Cub Reporter pointed me to this cool look at Rule 5 pick Jason Szuminski. With a suddenly deep bullpen, the Pads wouldn’t seem to have room for Szuminski, but it’s always nice to have options just in case someone gets hurt (knock wood). This is great: "I get the occasional physics question from fellow pitchers, but I must say a lot of those books on the physics behind pitching are just plain wrong."

Is this just the best time of year or what?

Return of the Ash

Apologies to Tolkien for the headline, but the Pads are bringing back Andy Ashby in the hope that he can contribute in 2005. This is sort of like what the Yankees did with Jon Lieber last year. Ashby was always one of my favorites when he was here the first time, and while I’m not sure how much he has left in the tank, this strikes me as a relatively low-risk move that could pay dividends. Besides, he can’t be any worse than Ismael Valdes, right?

Meantime, Greg Maddux is returning to the Cubbies for 3 years/$24M. So is anyone else a little relieved now that he didn’t end up in San Diego? Don’t get me wrong, he’d have been a terrific addition. But three years? David Wells and his one year with incentives are looking better right about now.

What else. The Yankees and Red Sox are still bickering over the A-Rod thing. Again, I hate to take George Steinbrenner’s side on anything, but when the team with the second largest payroll starts complaining about the spending habits of another team, you have to ask yourself how credible that is. Oh, and Alfonso Soriano is two years older than previously reported, which isn’t as bad as some had speculated.

Speaking of which, Albert Pujols signed a 7-year/$100M deal with the Cards. Not bad for a guy who pulled in $950k last year.

That’s all for now. More as it happens…

More A-Rod Thoughts

I still can’t decide which is more obnoxious: someone paying the wealthiest team in baseball to take the best player in the game off their hands, or moving a Gold Glove shortstop to third base to accommodate one of the worst defenders at his position.

Much as it pains me to do this, I need to present a few blog entries looking at the deal from the Yankees’ perspective. If you can get past the giddiness, Alex Belth and Jay Jaffe provide their usual solid analysis.

  • Yeah, You Get Props Over Here (Bronx Banter). Depressing quote: “You know, I’ve been so punch-drunk by the thought of A Rod coming to town that I haven’t thought much about Soriano at all.” Must be nice to have a team that can fart away a player of that caliber.
  • Yes Way-Rod (Futility Infielder). Depressing quote: “The Yanks end up paying less money — 40 percent of the total contract, an average of $16 million a year — for seven years of A-Rod than the Rangers will for three. The Rangers’ cost: $46.7 million per year in uniform, a Texas-sized sum in the annals of the sport’s financial history.” Remind me again how Tom Hicks owns an MLB franchise?

On the bright side, think of how humiliating it will be if the Yankees still aren’t able to win the World Series. Hey, just trying to bring a little ray of light to the upcoming season.

I can imagine a reporter asking George Steinbrenner in October if there was anything more he could’ve done to help his team win and Steinbrenner just laughing at him. What’s he gonna say? “Well, maybe if I’d signed Vlad Guerrero to back up Bernie Williams at DH, things would be different.” Please…

Meanwhile, Back at the Ranch

First off, what’s up with calling Los Angeles "La-La Land"? Maybe it’s because I grew up there, but that’s never struck me as a particularly clever name for the place.

At any rate, the Dodgers have brought on former A’s assistant GM Paul DePodesta to run the ship. DePodesta is another young, up-and-comer well-versed in sabermetrics. There is definitely a paradigm shift taking place in the front offices of MLB clubs. Wonder how long it will take for statheads to dominate the scene and for old-fashioned tools-based analysis to go underground, from which it one day can re-emerge as cutting edge.

DePodesta is highly regarded as a GM prospect. With the Dodger ownership situation finally being resolved, DePodesta will be given a better chance to succeed than was his predecessor, Dan Evans. We’ll see what he does with that chance.

Other Stuff

Regular contributor Howard Lynch sends these our way:

Mailbag

Thanks, as always, for all the letters. The feedback on Best Of Ducksnorts has been overwhelmingly positive, to the point where I’m already planning next year’s edition.

Before I pull a muscle patting myself on the back, let’s get to today’s letter. This one comes from N.B., who asks about the pictures of Petco Park I’ve posted here at Ducksnorts:

The most recent picture on your web-site is almost a year old – feb 23rd, 2003. Is that any indication of how rapidly the stadium construction is progressing?

Er, well um, you see… No, that’s about the date I left my downtown job and unfortunately stopped being able to take pictures of the stadium on a regular basis. I’ve been meaning to fix that for a while, but just haven’t gotten around to it.

Bad webmaster, no donut.

As for the stadium, it’s actually in real good shape. It opens for business the second week in March for a college baseball tournament, then makes its big-league debut April 8 against the Giants. Meantime, if you need your fix of stadium pix, here’s where you want to be:

That’s all for now. Keep those e-mails coming. Next time we’ll do a little prospecting.

Circus Maximus

So A-Rod and a boatload of cash go to the Yankees for Alfonso Soriano and a PTBNL.

My thoughts on this deal are complex and not terribly well formed just yet, so we’ll go with fragments today.

  • How does Tom Hicks own a MLB franchise? Giving the best player and a bunch of money to the richest team in baseball seems an exhorbitant price to pay for irresponsible spending. There should be some accountability for this sort of thing. If I were a Rangers fan right now, I’d be livid. I’d probably cancel my season tickets if I had them. If Hicks can afford to throw $67M at the Yankees, then why would he need my money?
  • You think the Red Sox are kicking themselves right now for not offering a little more money to the Rangers? Or kicking the players’ union for blocking their deal? Or the Yankees for outhustling them in the end? Or the Rangers for dealing with the Evil Empire? Or someone, just because? Talk about demoralizing.
  • You think the Red Sox are demoralized; how about the poor Devil Rays? This has been one of the worst-run franchises in MLB since its inception and now look what they’re up against. Check out this influx of talent to the AL East:
      Kevin Brown
      Keith Foulke
      Tom Gordon
      Ted Lilly
      Javy Lopez
      Kenny Lofton
      Rafael Palmeiro
      Sidney Ponson
      Curt Schilling
      Gary Sheffield
      Miguel Tejada
      Javier Vazquez

    Add to this the fact that there are three very shrewd GMs in the division, and there’s almost no hope.

  • Bearing the Devil Rays’ plight in mind, does anyone think that geographic location as a determinant of divisions has outlived its usefulness? Maybe it’s time to think about grouping teams by payroll or the previous season’s record? Yeah, it would be a pain in the rear to realign every year or two and the schedule-makers wouldn’t be real happy, but how long can the Tampa Bay franchise continue to exist in an environment where their season is effectively over by February every year? It will be interesting to see how long folks in that part of Florida keep coming out to games. Then again, as long as the Yankees and Red Sox each keep coming to town several times a year, they’ll probably be able to stay in business. The Yankees, in an arrangement decidedly better than that of the Expos, will enjoy the advantage of having two home venues.
  • If I hear someone blame A-Rod for this mess, I’m going to scream. It isn’t his fault that Hicks couldn’t afford to pay A-Rod for his services.
  • If I hear someone blame Scott Boras for this mess, I’m going to scream. It isn’t his fault that A-Rod is arguably the best player in the game and Hicks was willing to pay him as such.
  • If I hear someone blame George Steinbrenner for this mess, I’m going to scream. Much as I hate defending Steinbrenner for anything, it isn’t his fault that Hicks panicked and dropped A-Rod in his lap.
  • Moving Rodriguez to third base to accommodate the defensively challenged Derek Jeter is an idiotic move. But it won’t hurt the Yankees because both players are stellar hitters and they’re surrounded by a team of All-Stars. The only folks it will hurt are possibly Kevin Brown, who serves up a ton of grounders, and fantasy geeks such as myself, who will bemoan Rodriguez’ move to a less scarce position. On the other hand, I don’t own A-Rod in any of my leagues, so what do I care?
  • Brian Cashman is brilliant. Yeah, he’s got more money than everyone else, but he doesn’t act like it. The guy does his homework and he pounces when sees an opportunity. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: It’s scary that the Yankees have a guy this good running things.

Here are some links:

We’ll talk about Padre stuff tomorrow or the next day. Meantime, enjoy the circus…

Other Places

Nothin’ much to talk about, so I’ll let others do the work for me today. Watched a little of Tuesday night’s rebroadcast. We beat the Diamondbacks in Phoenix, but the highlight for me was seeing Gary Bennett hack 3-0 against Curt Schilling. Man, am I going to miss that.

Without further ado, here we go…

  • Have you seen Jody Gerut‘s blog? If you don’t know, Gerut is an outfielder for the Cleveland Indians. He’s also a pretty decent writer who provides a perspective seldom heard in this kind of format. This isn’t stereotypical ballplayer stuff. It’s worth a read.
  • This has nothing to do with baseball, but Josh Woodward’s blog is one of my daily reads. If you’re interested in music, songwriting, and the like, be sure to check it out. One of my particular fascinations in life has to do with the mechanics of a song, and Josh is good enough to give us his insights into the craft of lyric writing. I’m definitely with him on the use of internal rhymes.

I was going to give you more places to go, but work beckons. Until next time…

Guitar Solos

Warning, low baseball content today. Skip to end of entry to read.

A good guitar solo (or any instrumental solo) in popular music effectively serves three purposes:

  1. It gives the vocalist a break from singing, a chance to catch his or her breath before launching into the second half of the song.
  2. It gives the listener a break from the vocal line and, in some cases, the verse/chorus structure that leads up to the solo.
  3. It gives the instrumentalist a chance to shine, to occupy the spotlight ordinarily reserved for the vocalist, to show his or her chops.

There is an art to good soloing. Some amount of technique is needed. Attitude is a must. Respect for the song, for one’s fellow musicians, and for the listener helps. When a player steps into a solo, he is constantly straddling the fine line between self-expression and self-indulgence. The intended impact on the audience (including the other performers who have to listen to the solo) is one of, "Hey, that was a fun little jaunt; let’s get back on the highway and finish our journey." A bad solo, on the other hand, elicits more of a "Geez, what the heck are we doing here? Let’s go already."

The latter is undesirable for many reasons. First and foremost, it irritates the crowd, which is the cardinal sin of performing live. Second, it disrespects the fellow musicians. If you’re going to take the spotlight, make a meaningful statement. Don’t just noodle around without aim (unless that is your specific intent; there is a difference between conscious aimlessness, if you will, and wanking for the sake of wanking). Finally, it diminishes the impact of the song as a whole. In writing and performing songs, anything that doesn’t add value needs to be removed. As Johnny Cochrane might say, "If it doesn’t fit, you must omit."

Structurally, there are several different ways a solo can work within the boundaries of a song:

  • It can mirror the vocal melody, providing the listener with a familiar motif but a different voice.
  • It can use the vocal melody as a starting point and build countermelodies based on the original motif.
  • It can create its own motif that has little or nothing to do with the rest of the song.

The first two, if done skillfully, make for fun and relatively easy listening. Think of early rock ‘n’ roll: Bill Hailey and the Comets, Elvis, early Beatles ("And I Love Her" contains a beautiful short solo based on the vocal melody). The third is a bit more thought provoking and demands more of the listener (and the players, for that matter). The interlude in Queensryche’s "Silent Lucidity" is a song into itself. Those chord changes and melody appear nowhere else in the song. The first time a listener hears it, it’s a little shocking because there is no way to predict its presence in the piece based on what has come before it. But that shock is also the source of delight, and it’s why the solo still sounds fresh after repeated listenings.

Another guitar solo that serves as a "song within a song" comes in Guns ‘N’ Roses’ "Sweet Child O’ Mine." This is a particularly relevant example to me, as our singer does a terrific Axl Rose and I would like nothing more than to be able to play this song live.

The structure of the song is pretty simple. Three chords in the verse, three more in the chorus (two of which also are contained in the verse). So far we’ve got four chords. No problem, right? Well, there’s the matter of the hypnotic riffs that weave their way throughout the song, but those aren’t too complicated. They require a certain amount of dexterity and stamina to play, but they’re not difficult.

Then along comes the solo, wherein we are introduced to a slew of different chords and a melody that has nothing to do with the rest of the song. That’s from the listener’s perspective. The player, meanwhile, is confronted with a piece that moves effortlessly among various positions on the neck of the guitar and sings. The lines are ridiculously fluid, there are some funky rhythms to negotiate (involving that chucka-chucka sound of attacking the strings with the pick hand while muting them with the fret hand), and there is one particularly fast run at the apex of the solo (where everyone hammers on the same chord for several measures and the drums build to a crescendo, before the song moves into yet another chord progression).

It’s this part of the solo that is a pain in the rear and, not coincidentally, what makes the solo what it is. I plug into my digital 4-track, set the tempo to about 105 beats/minute, and play part of a phrase from that run over and over again. We’re talking nine notes here. If I can play it five times without messing up (this could be flubbing a note or even ending up with my hand in the wrong position; if I have the wrong finger on that final note, I can’t get to the next part of the phrase), then I bump it up to 108 beats/minute and repeat the process.

I’ve always been a "wing-it" kind of player when it comes to solos. Find the key and go for it. Eventually you’ll stumble onto something that works and you’ll add or subtract to that as needed for each individual performance. I liked to think that I was being spontaneous by playing that way. And I probably was. And I’ll continue to play that way a lot of the time. But there are songs for which you absolutely have to play the recorded solo (AC/DC’s "Shook Me All Night Long"). Although playing someone else lines might seem less creative or spontaneous, the individual guitarist will always bringing something of himself to the work. The challenge is to have the discipline to (a) learn the part and (b) make a personal statement while remaining true to the original message.

I think I’ve made it all sound a great deal harder than it actually is. Or maybe not. But the point is, it’s worth the effort. One of the more satisfying moments a performer can have is to completely nail a solo. In my experience, that almost never happens (there’s always something you could have done better), but when it does, it’s a real good feeling.

And the larger point of all this nonsense is that sometimes I need to write about stuff other than baseball here. When I do, I try to approach it like a guitar solo. A little break for me, a little break for you. With luck, you enjoyed the ride and are ready to continue onward in the world of baseball. So let’s slip briefly back into that world before calling it a day.


Odds and Ends

  • 2004 Padres Spring Training schedule First game: Thursday, March 4, against the Mariners. That’s 23 days away for those scoring at home.
  • Padres sign reliever Antonio Osuna to a minor-league deal. Here’s the Transaction Oracle’s take on the move. I agree with Dan that this a terrific pickup for the Pads. Very little risk, potentially high reward. Still can’t figure out Dan’s issues with Sterling Hitchcock. I can think of a lot worse guys to have at the back end of a rotation.
  • BA’s Josh Boyd To Become Area Scout For Padres Before his days at BA, Josh used to moderate some of the old AOL STATS baseball message boards. He’s a knowledgable guy. I’ll miss his work at BA but it’s good to see him get a shot at scouting after the work he put in at the Scout Development Program a couple years ago.
  • The 2003 Baseball Primer Primeys "The Primey Awards are the ultimate awards for online baseball research, analysis, and commentary. They serve two purposes: to recognize the great baseball work being done on the Internet, and to direct people to interesting, innovative, or useful analysis or resources they may have missed." Go cast your vote.

Regular reader and sender of excellent tips Howard Lynch pointed me to these:

  • The Genesis, Implementation, and Management of New Systems Oakland Athetics’ assistant GM Paul DePodesta writes about shifting paradigms within baseball, the emphasis on "new" statistics, and the like. Probably the most interesting aspect to me is that we get a sense of why the common sabermetric attitude toward scouts as stodgy old men developed: because there is a good degree of truth in it. The hope here is that the new boss isn’t the same as the old boss, and that the self-professed purveyors of objective analysis show a greater openness to ideas different from their own than do those that they would replace. I’m not speaking of anyone in particular when I say this, but arrogance about one’s own opinions is not something that is confined to scouts and tools-oriented evaluators of talent. Not saying they don’t exist, but they do not have a stranglehold on the market. Not by a longshot.
  • On Deck’s Positional Rankings Padres represented:

    Tagg Bozied, 1B #12
    Michael Johnson, 1B #23
    Josh Barfield, 2B #3
    Jake Gautreau, 2B #12
    Bernie Castro, 2B #23
    Billy Hogan, 3B #34
    Khalil Greene, SS #5
    Freddy Guzman, OF #62
    Tim Stauffer, RHSP #53
    Javier Martinez, RHSP #82
    Ben Howard, RHSP #84
    David Pauley, RHSP #118
    Justin Germano, RHSP #159
    Rusty Tucker, RP #16

Junk Drawer

First off, I’m very flattered by the interest in the Best of 2003 compilation. It’s been up for about 48 hours now, and so far we’ve had 149 downloads. The few folks I’ve talked to who’ve actually had a chance to read through some of it have had good things to say. I look forward to hearing more comments, criticisms, and the like over the next several weeks. How can this thing be even better next year?

Not that I’m committing to anything just yet. :-)

Okay, a bunch of stuff has been piling up on my list of things to show you, so here they all are, in no particular order, with as much commentary as I can provide in 20 minutes.

  • The Where’s Where Of Baseball Stats (Batter’s Box). "This article is a review of web sites offering Major League Baseball player statistics in the form of individual player cards."
  • Deciphering the Peoria Complex: Bavasi vs. Towers (Sons of Buhner). One of the ridiculous number of excellent Mariner blogs on the scene takes a look at the maneuverings of two GMs.
  • Defense Ranked by Rate2 (Raindrops). According to this defensive metric, Ryan Klesko, Mark Loretta, and Sean Burroughs were roughly average defenders last year. Ramon Vazquez was the second worst defensive shortstop in baseball, ahead only of Derek Jeter.
  • Future 500 (On Deck). The Padres rank #29 among organizations, ahead of the Astros. Here are the Padre individual rankings:

    31. Khalil Greene, SS
    67. Josh Barfield, 2B
    140. Tim Stauffer, RHP
    243. Javier Martinez, RHP
    247. Ben Howard, RHP
    310. Freddy Guzman, OF
    311. Jake Gautreau, 2B
    327. David Pauley, RHP
    373. Rusty Tucker, RP
    439. Justin Germano, RHP
    496. Billy Hogan, 3B

    Gut reaction: Barfield and Tucker are too low, Gautreau is too high, John Knott and Michael Johnson are notably absent.

  • Motor City Mayhem: I-Rod As Human Egg-White (Management by Baseball). This blog is gradually becoming one of my favorites.
  • Pdf995 This is a free download that allows you to create PDFs. It’s what I used for the Best of 2003. Sure beats dropping a boatload of cash for Adobe Acrobat. Not that that isn’t a slick tool, but when you’re operating on zero budget…
  • Ten Mistakes Writers Don’t See (Holt Uncensored). Useful nuggets of information for anyone who writes.
  • PowerPoint Anthology of Literature This is pretty amusing, especially if you’ve studied literature at all. Found it via another curious site: Beautiful Stuff.

Okay, that actually took more like 35 minutes. I’m outta here…

Ducksnorts: Best of 2003

I kept threatening it would happen, and now it has. I’m very pleased to announce the release of Ducksnorts: Best of 2003 (2003.pdf, 811k; opens in new browser window). Weighing in at 150 pages and a svelte 811k (it’s a quick download even for dialup users), Best of 2003 contains a look back at the Padre season that was, along with a bunch of other stuff. Like the blog itself, it’s about 80% baseball, 20% whatever else happens to be on my mind. Everything is pretty much lifted from the blog, and edited/annotated as appropriate.

The book (if I may call it that) was fun, but time-consuming, to put together. I sincerely hope you enjoy reading through it. I haven’t decided whether I’ll do another of these in the future, so if after perusing it you find that you gained something of value from it, let me know. Compiling Best of 2003 was no small task, but I’m happy to do it again as long as I know it’s filling a need and not just taking up disk space and bandwidth.