IGD: Padres vs Mets (9 Aug 2005)

first pitch: 7:05 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4
matchup: Chan Ho Park (8-5, 5.84 ERA) vs Pedro Martinez (12-3, 2.81 ERA)
preview: Padres.com

As those of you who caught the inaugural edition of Ducksnorts Radio will know, the Mets come to town with a better record than the Padres. Actually, many others of you will know that as well, but humor me.

(And if you haven’t listened to the podcast yet, I encourage you to do so. It’s very much a work in progress, but I’ve gotten some good feedback, and I’ll be doing more of these in the future. Topic and music suggestions are always welcome.)

I also compared the Park/Martinez matchup to the Darrell May/Johan Santana showdown of a couple months ago. But this is even more of a mismatch than that was. May’s ERA (5.20) entering the June 19 contest at Minnesota was only 56% higher than Santana’s (3.32).

Park’s checks in around 108% higher than Pedro’s. I don’t know how valid it is to compare two pitchers ERAs in this manner, but I do know that it’s valid enough to tell me I don’t like the Padres’ chances tonight.

Head-to-Head Matchups
  AB BA OBP SLG
Park vs current Mets 83 .337 .456 .651
Martinez vs current Padres 119 .269 .315 .521

You don’t want me to break down the individual hitters against Park. Suffice to say, anyone who has faced him much has had terrific success. But you probably figured that out from the .314 ISO.

How good is a .314 ISO? Manny Ramirez has a .313 ISO this year, good for fourth out of the 158 qualifiers in the big leagues. Would it be fair to say Park turns hitters into Ramirez? Add 55 points to Manny’s BA, 80 points to his OBP, and 70 points to his SLG, and it would.

On the other side, Ryan Klesko (.345/.406/.828 in 29 AB) has four of the Pads’ seven homers against Pedro. Here’s hoping Ryno’s back is good enough to get him in the lineup. Eric Young (.273/.429/.818 in 11 AB) also has done well against Martinez.

So the good news is that Martinez hasn’t dominated this lineup. The bad news, of course, is that he doesn’t need to dominate. He just needs to show up at the ballpark.

Bottom line? You never concede a game before it starts, but I’m looking for baby steps here. If Park pitches better than he did in his Padres debut, I’ll be happy. Well, maybe “happy” is too strong a word, but you get the idea.

Linkengruven

Okay, get out to the game tonight. Or hang out here and chat. Listen to the podcast. Aw, heck; do whatever you want to do. Just be sure to have fun doing it. Go Pads!

86 Responses »

  1. Final lines:

    Martinez: 5 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 0 BB, 4 K, 2 HR
    Park: 5.2, 5, 2, 1, 8, 0

    Crazy.

  2. Maybe the new car smell hasn’t worn off, but I think we stole Olivo from the Mariners. This guy looks like a much better hitter than advertised.

  3. Olivio gets an RBI hit. All the starters have hits.

  4. He sent the catcher. Mauch wouldn’t have done that.

  5. Love that Padre baserunning!

  6. I was just about to say that I really like Olivo…then he had to go and do that. What’s up with this team’s baserunning

  7. Now all position players have a hit. Should have knocked in Olvio if Bochy wouldn’t have sent him.

  8. They are not smart baserunners, and Bochy compounds it by thinking he has the 1985 Cardinals.

  9. Geoff, can you go to any page off the front of that site? I am having trouble doing that.

  10. Yes, Pedro A, Park, and Oliveo look pretty good. I’m wondering if that cool bay air is lousy for hitters but great for pitchers because it adds a tackiness to the ball that gives them more grip.

    Anybody know how Nevin is doing?

    Linbrink looks like a chimunck with those cheeks.

    Also, separated at birth:
    Joe Randa and Joe Montana

  11. Kevin, I tried to load it and this is the error message I got:

    BaseballLibrary.com Site Work

    The page you were directed to was not found, due to brief but unavoidable site maintenance as we move servers.
    Thank you for your patience.

    They must be upgrading, like how Met fans wish they could upgrade Offerman.

  12. Nevin still stinks. I got an error message also, a different one, but an error message just the same.

  13. Damn, Sweeney cannot make that throw to second. Great play by Khalil to get one the lead runner.

  14. I can’t get to any other pages at Baseball Library either.

    Hammond is off DL and warming up.

  15. Also, I don’t think Bochy sent Olivo. Those two were having a little “chat” when Olivo got back to the dugout.

  16. Good. I hope the chat was something like, “Catchers don’t run.”

  17. Hammond is one of my favorite players, but what does he do to warm up — make sure his jersey is tucked in?

  18. Holy crap, Giles just got robbed on an amazing play by David Wright. Dove for a pop fly over his head and caught it with the bare hand. Wowza!

  19. Maybe I’m biased, but the word that comes to mind is “Khalil-esque”

  20. Nevin update: 10 for 37 (.270), 1 HR, 3 RBIs, 8Ks, seven game hit streak.

  21. Yeah, hate to hate on Nevin, but not that impressive in a hitters’ park.

  22. Nady in as part of the double switch

  23. The Mets broadcasters are talking about how Bochy thinks Olivio is fast, faster than Benito Santiago back in the day.

  24. They’re intentionally walking Roberts to load the bases for Randa. I’m calling slam.

  25. I’m thinking RBI/fielder’s choice.

  26. So much for the slam. Nice job by Roberts to disrupt the turn at second.

  27. Interesting tidbit from the TV guys: Mark Loretta was the first batter Chan Ho Park faced as a pro in North America. Double-A Texas League, San Antonio vs El Paso.

  28. Arizona and SF have lost, LA is down 5-2 in the 8th.

  29. Padres RHP Adam Eaton was put back on the disabled list so he can go down to the minor leagues and make at least three starts. Eaton (9-2, 3.76 ERA) was on the DL from June 16 through July 31 with a strained tendon in his right middle finger. He pitched out of the bullpen on the recently completed road trip, throwing two innings in two appearances, but that arrangement didn’t work out as intended. … Taking Eaton’s roster spot was left-handed reliever Chris Hammond (5-1, 2.96 ERA), who had been on the DL since July 20 with a strained neck.

  30. Game over. Park gets the win. Pads are 4 up on the Snakes.

  31. That will do it. The Padres have beaten Johan Santana and Pedro Martinez with a pair of nobodys. The Padres have also lost to some of the worst pitchers in the game. Go figure.

  32. Park on postgame show. Says he is very happy to be back in the NL. Too much adrenaline in first start at Pittsburgh. Says he knew the Mets hitters better than the Pirates hitters. Felt like his command was off in his Padres debut because he’d had so much time off between starts.

  33. impressive outing by Park. I didnt think he had one of those starts left in him. If he has a couple of more like that left in the tank, then the Nevin deal might not be so bad after all, considering that Eaton is still unable to start.

    I am not changing my opinion YET, mind you..but I am wavering a little.

    btw, Kevin, Nevin started his American league tour with a fine 0-8 and 3 k’s..since then he has been doing pretty well. Hitting the ball long to right center again.

  34. You’re right, about the time they got back home.

  35. I just saw David Wright’s “Kevin Mitchell” catch. Wow.