IGD: Padres vs Brewers (26 May 07)

Sat, May 26, 2007Ballhype: hype it up!
by Geoff Young

first pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Justin Germano (2-0, 0.47 ERA) vs Claudio Vargas (3-0, 3.68 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

Lame dad-type thing to say: Love the participation, but as a reminder to everyone, please take a moment to review the Comments Policy. If you think I’m scolding you, I’m not; just want to make sure this continues to be the best place for intelligent discussion of Padres baseball.

Okay, enough of that. Kevin Kouzmanoff is on fire. Among National League batters with 50 or more plate appearances in May, nobody has a higher OPS than Kouz (1141). Also, his OPS at home (851) is more than 300 points higher than his OPS on the road (540).

Of course, OPS is a nonsense stat. But we use it anyway because it’s easy and it gives us a rough idea of how a guy is doing.

Anyway.

The other story is Justin Germano, who has done a remarkable job of filling in for Clay Hensley while the latter is on the DL. Germano’s K/9 is alarmingly low (2.37) and he would appear to be due for a “correction” at any moment. Still, he’s gotten the job done.

I thought tonight might represent more of a challenge for Germano, but Milwaukee’s offense (4.73 runs per game) isn’t really much different from Atlanta’s (4.79) or Seattle’s (4.70). Here’s hoping he can enjoy the ride a little longer.

Go Padres!

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101 Responses to “IGD: Padres vs Brewers (26 May 07)”

  1. PM Says:

    In LA tonight so no channel 4 or 1090, I’ll be relying on Ducksnorts for the score and commentry. Also, I saw a very cool baseball hiaku book at the book store last night and thought it would be fun to create some for tonight’s game. Haikus are three lines, 5 syllables, 7 syllables, 5 syllables. Here is my first lame attempt:

    Parking frustration
    Finding seats before first pitch
    Play ball, all is well

    Current score: 0
  2. LynchMob Says:

    re Germano … a writer at BP recently studied all the GameDay pitching data and determined that Germano is in the Top 10 of pitchers who vary their velocity the most … Germano comes in with a StdDev of 7.2 mph … compare that to Greg Maddux (at 2.5 mph, 11th lowest) and Cla Meredith (1.9, 4th lowest) … interesting …

    Current score: 0
  3. Peter Friberg Says:

    Or…

    “…If you think I’m scolding you…” You may have a guilty concious.

    ;-)

    Sorry, couldn’t resist.

    Current score: 0
  4. Bruce Says:

    In an effort to jump start the offense, Buddy has gone with our secret silent weapon: B(l)um gets the start at SS tonight. Is Robles on this team or is he here to shine everyone’s shoes?

    Current score: 0
  5. LynchMob Says:

    What is up, PM?
    Sad to hear you’re in LA
    And not at Petco

    Current score: 0
  6. Jonathan S. Says:

    It is a tight game
    I sit wondering, mouth wide
    He let Blum pinch hit

    Current score: 0
  7. Jonathan S. Says:

    Germano pitching
    Is this finally the night
    The bubble will burst?

    Current score: 0
  8. Ben B. Says:

    I actually don’t mind when Blum starts. We need to give Khalil days off, and Blum is our best (read: only) option to do that. It’s when he gets at bats where we have other, better options to hit that it really bothers me. Really, really bothers me.

    Current score: 0
  9. LynchMob Says:

    With Greene struggling
    It’s time for B(l)um, the good news?
    He can not pinch-hit

    Current score: 0
  10. LynchMob Says:

    Ouch, Sledge (batting .200) moves up to 6th in the lineup … while the Brewer’s #8 hitter is hitting .350 … Hmmm … can’t make a Haiku out of that ugliness …

    Current score: 0
  11. LynchMob Says:

    Nice 12-pitch top of 1st for Germano …

    Current score: 0
  12. Ben B. Says:

    Stop sac bunting, Cruz
    In the first inning of game
    Against bad pitcher

    Current score: 0
  13. Ben B. Says:

    Apparently the Brewers are as bad as us about throwing out runners.

    Current score: 0
  14. LynchMob Says:

    DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONG!

    Current score: 0
  15. Ben B. Says:

    There they go throwing Mike Cameron inside fastballs again.

    Current score: 0
  16. LynchMob Says:

    After 1 full …

    Pitches-strikes - C Vargas 26-15; J Germano 12-9.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Vargas 0-1; J Germano 1-1.

    Batters faced - C Vargas 6; J Germano 4.

    Current score: 0
  17. Steve from Boston Says:

    Hey, I’m turning in late… what happened? Cameron hit a two run homer?

    Current score: 0
  18. LynchMob Says:

    17 … yup … on an inside fastball … to LF … with NOG on 3rd …

    Current score: 0
  19. Steve from Boston Says:

    18: Thanks dude!

    So I’ve been thinking a bit about Blum. I’ve come to the conclusion that he sucks.

    Current score: 0
  20. Ben B. Says:

    Geoff Blum has struck out
    I am shocked and bamboozled
    What else is new here

    Current score: 0
  21. Rich Campbell Says:

    haiku night, eh?

    I have nothing to add in that vein.

    Current score: 0
  22. LynchMob Says:

    THru 2 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Vargas 42-26; J Germano 24-17.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Vargas 1-1; J Germano 3-2.

    Batters faced - C Vargas 10; J Germano 8.

    Current score: 0
  23. LaMar Says:

    I watched the LA/Cubby game on FOX and Matty V was a star. He and Mark Grace make a pretty good team. It was either that or the fact that the Dogs lost.

    Current score: 0
  24. Ben B. Says:

    Germano’s not supposed to regress by giving up a ton of homers! That’s supposed to be a sustainable skill. He’s supposed to regress by giving up lots of hits on balls in play.

    Current score: 0
  25. Rich Campbell Says:

    I don’t think I like this Braun kid… mostly because he’s playing against us. Having a nice first two days in the bigs, rook?

    Current score: 0
  26. Anthony Says:

    Can we stop talking about moving the fences in now?

    Current score: 0
  27. Sean Callahan Says:

    Yea, let’s move the fences in. Not enough home runs at PETCO….

    Current score: 0
  28. Rich Campbell Says:

    Well, looks like Cruz got the lead back… I’m channel 4-less tonight, in my sis’ house in Temecula.

    Current score: 0
  29. LynchMob Says:

    Thru 3 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Vargas 61-37; J Germano 40-29.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Vargas 1-3; J Germano 3-4.

    Batters faced - C Vargas 15; J Germano 12.

    Current score: 0
  30. Steve from Boston Says:

    Tired, Exhausted,
    But the Padres are playing,
    Oh, one more inning.

    Current score: 0
  31. LynchMob Says:

    Hang in there, Steve … we might be McAnulty PH tonight!

    Current score: 0
  32. LynchMob Says:

    Down on the Farm … Freese and Antonelli with solo-shots for Lake Elsinore … http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....a_hdmafa_1 … but the pitching? Not so good …

    Current score: 0
  33. LynchMob Says:

    At least Blum saw a lot of pitches … and got a BIP …

    Current score: 0
  34. LynchMob Says:

    Man-Bo padding his stats tonight … he’s 2-for-2 already! Let’s cash in!

    Current score: 0
  35. Ben B. Says:

    33: Exactly. Good at bat by Blum’s standards.

    Germano now has two sacs on two pitches. Can someone watching the broadcast tell if those were good bunts?

    Current score: 0
  36. LynchMob Says:

    Jared Wells, coming of 2 good relief appearances for the Portland Beavers, is back to being a Starting Pound Puppy … http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....a_lvgaaa_1

    Current score: 0
  37. LynchMob Says:

    35 … How could they be “bad”? … they worked … isn’t that the definition of “good”? Or are you asking if they were somehow “lucky”?

    Current score: 0
  38. BZ Says:

    Petco Park Homers
    What the freaking heck is up
    Balls Sail Away Now

    Current score: 0
  39. LynchMob Says:

    Thru 4 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Vargas 70-43; J Germano 54-38.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Vargas 3-4; J Germano 3-6.

    Batters faced - C Vargas 19; J Germano 16.

    … these stats, and the score (3-2 Padres) seems a good reflection of what’s happened so far …

    Current score: 0
  40. Ben B. Says:

    Maybe I mean “pretty”. Were they down either line as opposed to right back to the pitcher, who took the gimme out rather than make the riskier play?

    Germano got in touch with his inner Nolan Ryan today. 4 k’s in 4.1 innings thus far.

    Current score: 0
  41. Rich Campbell Says:

    4 K’s but two bombs…is he using his fastball more? is he just challanging more? has he had a curve or two flatten out?

    Grrrr… I want to SEE

    Current score: 0
  42. Ben B. Says:

    That was four Padre at bats in a row decided on the first pitch. Vargas, having enough of this, ended it with a pitchout. The way we’ve run on the Brewers, and how they’ve been forced to counter this with pitchouts, is really reminiscent of our struggles to stop the running game.

    Mike Cameron, frustrated he wasn’t able to make an out on the first pitch because of the pitchout, lines out on the second.

    Current score: 0
  43. Steve from Boston Says:

    40: *I* thought they were very good bunts. Especially the first. Right down the first bace line, had a tiny tiny chance of beating it out. Second was good too, very confident and the like.

    Current score: 0
  44. LynchMob Says:

    I’m stuck seeing KK on a 2-2 count for a while now … what’s going on?

    Current score: 0
  45. Steve from Boston Says:

    It’s 3-2 and Kouz keeps fouling balls off.

    Current score: 0
  46. Steve from Boston Says:

    He just hit a bullet into left but Jenkins made a pretty sweet catch to get it. One of those ones where it probably didn’t have to be as hard as he made it look, but, I guess it did. You know?

    Current score: 0
  47. Ben B. Says:

    Nice 11 pitch at bat by Kouz. Makes up for all those other 1 pitch at bats.

    Current score: 0
  48. LynchMob Says:

    47 … ah, so he fouled off a bunch of pitches … which is why all i saw was stuck on a 2-2 count … nice AB … ended in a line-drive … KK be da man!

    Current score: 0
  49. Rich Campbell Says:

    Kouz is making believers… Rookie of the Month is a lock. Player of the Month? Think he has a shot?

    Current score: 0
  50. Jonathan S. Says:

    I must find a way
    To put Kevin Koizmanoff
    Into a Haiku

    Current score: 0
  51. LynchMob Says:

    Thru 5 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Vargas 89-55; J Germano 67-47.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Vargas 4-6; J Germano 4-7.

    Batters faced - C Vargas 23; J Germano 19.

    … one more inning for Justin, then it’s bully time!

    Current score: 0
  52. Jonathan S. Says:

    Woeful is this blog
    Without any corrections
    To my dumb typos

    Current score: 0
  53. Steve from Boston Says:

    Dick’s Sporting Goods Store
    Commercial so over played
    Will never shop there

    Current score: 0
  54. LynchMob Says:

    Gotta PH for Germano here, right?

    Current score: 0
  55. Ben B. Says:

    Gotta PH for Blum there, right? Oops, too late.

    Current score: 0
  56. Ben B. Says:

    Why does Cruz get told to bunt in the first inning with a runner on second and no outs and Blum does not in the sixth in a close game?

    Current score: 0
  57. LynchMob Says:

    36 … Portland, without Paul McAnulty in their lineup, is getting no-no’d tonight thru 5 …

    Current score: 0
  58. Ben B. Says:

    McAnulty’s on deck!

    Current score: 0
  59. Ben B. Says:

    The radio guys mentioned bringing in a lefty to pitch to McAnulty, and for a second I panicked. But then I realized, Blum can’t pinch hit! We have Bard or Khalil on the bench that can hit lefties just fine, or we could just stick with McAnulty. And there is no way Blum can hit here!

    Current score: 0
  60. LynchMob Says:

    55 … great question!

    56 … great question!

    Rally caps on full for McAnulty!

    Current score: 0
  61. LynchMob Says:

    After 6 …

    Pitches-strikes - C Vargas 100-60; B Shouse 4-2; J Germano 81-54.

    Ground balls-fly balls - C Vargas 4-7; B Shouse 0-1; J Germano 5-9.

    Batters faced - C Vargas 26; B Shouse 1; J Germano 23.

    … another GREAT outing for Germano! ZERO walks!

    Current score: 0
  62. Ben B. Says:

    61: And FOUR strikeouts!

    Current score: 0
  63. LynchMob Says:

    Nice 7th by Cla … let’s not forget that Hoffy has the “cranky” arm … and Cla’s had trouble in multi-inning outings … and both Bell and Linebrink pitched yesterday … Hmmm … no wonder Bud makes the big bucks :-)

    Current score: 0
  64. Ben B. Says:

    4 NL West closers are among the top 5 in saves in the NL. It’s a testament to the type of games played among NL West teams.

    Current score: 0
  65. LynchMob Says:

    re: Craig Wilson … it would sure seem like he (and/or ANYONE getting released from any MLB team) would be a good fit for our AAA team …

    Current score: 0
  66. LynchMob Says:

    Not a good showing by the top of the order in the bottom of the 7th … 1-2-3 …

    Current score: 0
  67. LynchMob Says:

    53 … Good-night, Steve …

    Current score: 0
  68. LynchMob Says:

    Linebrink in for the 8th … guess that means Hoffy is available …

    Current score: 0
  69. LynchMob Says:

    32 … now they’re hittin’ up a Storm … Crosta with a GS … Antonelli with his 14th SB (who knew?) …

    Current score: 0
  70. LynchMob Says:

    Ryan Braun showing that he’s the next KK (May version) …

    Current score: 0
  71. Ben B. Says:

    69: Have you heard Antonelli was the Massachusetts state player of the year in hockey in high school? I guess he’s quite the athlete. He also moved up the defensive spectrum from third to second base.

    Current score: 0
  72. Ben B. Says:

    Holy cow, it’s a triple (!) by Adrian!

    Current score: 0
  73. Turbine Dude Says:

    Better late than never. I’m having DSL issues.

    Good game so far.

    Current score: 0
  74. LynchMob Says:

    73 … I’ve been having issues myself … may not be (just) your DSL …

    Current score: 0
  75. LynchMob Says:

    72 … somebody tell me *HOW* adrian gets a triple? the most exciting 2 minutes in sports?

    Current score: 0
  76. LynchMob Says:

    Muscle with a PH … maybe that’ll move up in the PH pecking order?

    Current score: 0
  77. Ben B. Says:

    75: LOL. From the radio, it sounded like the ball got stuck in the Brewers bullpen for a while, and Adrian was still almost out at third.

    Current score: 0
  78. LynchMob Says:

    71 … re: Antonelli … a quick look at his overall stats for 2007 show he’s doing even better than I had figured … http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....pid=453327 … that’s .318/.427/.475 for a .902 OPS in 210+ PAs (before tonight’s HR) … and only 1 CS (to go along with his 14 SBs) and only 32 Ks (to along with his 31 BBs) … and, as you say, a move up the defensive spectrum to 2B … we’ve got ourselves a ball player!

    Current score: 0
  79. Turbine Dude Says:

    I can’t believe we are ahead and Silent L was playing.

    Current score: 0
  80. LynchMob Says:

    77 … “a while” = 2 minutes?

    Current score: 0
  81. LynchMob Says:

    Did anyone notice if Hoffy was warming up before we scored the 2 runs in the bottom of the 8th?

    Brocail? Hmm, OK … “too close” for Cameron or Hampson? I s’pose …

    Current score: 0
  82. Ben B. Says:

    Yeah, Hoffman was up, and he’s up now too in case Brocail creates a save situation for him.

    Current score: 0
  83. Ben B. Says:

    I have no idea why Brocail was brought in there, when he got rocked last night and Cameron and Hampson have pitched really well but have had a lot of time off. A 4 run lead is not a high leverage situation; it’s ok to trust one of those guys.

    Current score: 0
  84. Turbine Dude Says:

    Trevor time!

    Current score: 0
  85. LynchMob Says:

    Ya, like Cameron or Hampson couldn’t have done that …

    Current score: 0
  86. Turbine Dude Says:

    Bad throw by Kouz. Could have been worse.

    Current score: 0
  87. Turbine Dude Says:

    I hate this tight rope act.

    Current score: 0
  88. LynchMob Says:

    A chinq in the KK armour …

    Current score: 0
  89. LynchMob Says:

    Now I’m sweatin’ …

    Current score: 0
  90. Turbine Dude Says:

    Finally! We grabbed 1st place.

    Current score: 0
  91. LynchMob Says:

    Any chance Heath Bell is warming up?

    Current score: 0
  92. LynchMob Says:

    91 … never mind :-) :-) :-)

    Ah, yes, 1st place in the NL West … it’s nice …

    Current score: 0
  93. Sean Callahan Says:

    24 hours late, but finally back in 1st place…

    Current score: 0
  94. Ben B. Says:

    All right, time to lower the leverage of Brocail’s innings and use Cameron or Hampson instead. That’s three straight bad outings.

    Current score: 0
  95. Turbine Dude Says:

    I wish I could have seen more of this game other than the last 3 innings.

    Current score: 0
  96. LynchMob Says:

    Dodgers come to town on June 5/6/7 … for some reason, I’m looking forward to that!

    Which reminds me … I’m hoping that the Padres skip Wells’ next turn … which falls on the off-day-Monday (Jake tomorrow) … and then even skip him again next round (which does not make anyone else go “short rest”, only “normal rest”, ie not “extra rest”) which would mean Wells’ next start would be back at Petco on June 6th and then enable Jake to pitch game 3 of that Dodger series on June 7th … hey, I think that’s what I’d do … it’ll be interesting to see if Bud plays the rotation that way … might be hard to skip Wells two times after that great start he had on Wednesday vs Cubs … but …

    Current score: 0
  97. LynchMob Says:

    96 … Check that … my details are off … Wells spot comes up on the 2nd … perhaps Hensley can take that turn (at Washington)? Eh, it’s a pitcher’s park also, I guess let Wells go … or …

    Here’s what I’d do if I were manager-for-a-month …

    22 H Jake
    23 H Wells
    24 H Young
    25 H Maddux
    26 H Germano
    27 H Jake
    28 off
    29 R Young
    30 R Maddux
    31 R Germano
    1 R Jake
    2 R Hensley
    3 R Young
    4 off
    5 H Wells
    6 H Jake
    7 H Maddux
    8 H Young
    9 H Hensley
    10 H Wells
    11 off

    This “rotation” has Jake pitching every 5th day (which is more than “every 5th game”) … assumes Hensley is back for June 2nd … and gets Wells’ next 2 starts at Petco (at the beginning and end of the 6-game home stand) … and gets Jake a start in the Dodger series (which doesn’t happen if Jake pitches “every 5th game”) …

    Some interesting possiblities for Bud … setup by his starting Jake last Tuesday (when it was Wells’ turn) …

    Current score: 0
  98. LynchMob Says:

    Padres “game notes” ( http://presspass.mlb.com/dbdoc.....0_1682.pdf ) is showing Wells as probably starter for Tuesday @ Pit … that’d be a bummer … ’cause then it seems like we’re committed to Wells getting his next 2 starts on the road (maybe this isn’t as big of a deal as I’m making it … but … his 2007 home/road split seems significant, Home ERA = 2.67 in 5 starts vs Road ERA = 8.84 in 4 starts) … AND would push Jake out of the Dodger series (unless we skip a Maddux or Germano start in there) …

    Current score: 0
  99. Geoff Young Says:

    Just got back from game
    Fun, exciting victory
    Downtown hurts my head

    Current score: 0
  100. Geoff Young Says:

    #78: Antonelli is a stud whose skill set will play beautifully at Petco Park. He is a pest at the plate and he runs extremely well. Dude has game.

    Current score: 0
  101. LynchMob Says:

    1st Place NL West
    Bats swinging, opponents beat
    Say goodnight, Geoff Young!

    Current score: 0

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