IGD: Padres @ Pirates (3 Aug 2005)

first pitch: 4:05 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4
matchup: Chan Ho Park (8-5, 5.66 ERA) vs Dave Williams (8-8, 4.27 ERA)
previews: ESPN | Padres.com

Padres busted out in a big way Tuesday night. Despite some early baserunning gaffes, the Friars topped the Pirates, 11-3, in the opener at PNC Park. Jake Peavy mostly dominated, and the offense pounded out 15 hits.

The game also featured the return of Adam Eaton, who made his first big-league relief appearance after 123 starts. Eaton worked a scoreless ninth to preserve the victory. Word is he still cannot throw the good curve ball, so he’ll be working out of the bullpen for the foreseeable future.

Recently acquired Chan Ho Park makes his Padres debut Wednesday night. With Eaton and Tim Stauffer out of the rotation, the Pads now feature a starting five of Peavy, Woody Williams, Brian Lawrence, Park, and Pedro Astacio. Doesn’t look real good, but how does it compare with the other NL West contenders?

NL West Starting Pitchers: Apr 1, 2003 – Aug 1, 2005
Pitcher GS IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA
Dodgers
Penny 75 200 197 88 82 18 55 140 3.69
Perez 75 200 194 94 88 27 48 139 3.98
Lowe 89 200 226 126 104 20 65 117 4.67
Weaver 80 200 221 112 106 22 56 130 4.77
Houlton 9 200 242 138 127 23 73 141 5.70
Total 328 200 211 107 97 22 57 131 4.35
Padres
Peavy 79 200 172 79 73 24 67 193 3.27
Williams 81 200 205 98 94 22 55 135 4.22
Lawrence 88 200 210 101 95 24 52 113 4.26
Park 43 200 229 135 129 30 95 135 5.81
Astacio 23 200 247 150 150 39 76 126 6.73
Total 314 200 204 102 97 25 64 143 4.35
Diamondbacks
Webb 85 200 184 93 77 16 86 164 3.46
Vazquez 88 200 188 97 91 28 50 181 4.08
Gosling 8 200 227 99 91 22 102 95 4.12
Halsey 27 200 236 122 97 20 52 119 4.35
Vargas 46 200 205 118 109 37 85 133 4.90
Total 254 200 196 102 90 25 70 158 4.05
Games started are the raw total; all other numbers are prorated to 200 innings. Stats courtesy of David Pinto’s Day by Day Database.

Surprisingly, Arizona is in the best shape in terms of recent performance. They’re also the most volatile, with everyone beyond Brandon Webb and Javier Vazquez relatively unknown. You have a pretty good idea of what those two will do; not so much with the remainder. Of course, the return of Shawn Estes and Russ Ortiz could change things. I just went with the guys that are in the rotation right now.

I’m fascinated to see what Park has left in the tank. Fascinated, as in watching a hummingbird in flight, not a van on fire.

I hope.

98 Responses »

  1. Go, go, Chan Ho!

  2. I think it was Miguel Olivo that was asked what he thought about PetCo Park and he was saying what a good guy he was. Chan Ho / PetCo… ha

  3. Ha…ha….

    Yeay, Nady in the lineup today vs. lefty.
    Gotta stop platooning X.

    Go Padres!

  4. X does have a pretty significant L/R split. I still think he should play every day, but I’d have a hard time not playing Sweeney against right-handed pitching. He has absolutely dominated against them this year.

  5. cover your eyes when you watch this one…

    still, I am praying for a win..if we can hit, Park will be good enough. If we dont hit, Cy Young wouldnt be good enough.

  6. Klesko out of the lineup due to back problems…

  7. That’s the way to score, 1 run on no hits.

  8. Yahoo box score shows it as an “earned run” … that’s the least-earned run i’ve seen in a while :-)

  9. I don’t think it is an earned run. Not sure if that was ruled a passed ball or wild pitch.

  10. Welcome to the Padres, Chan Ho …

    - C. Duffy singled to left

    … ug.

  11. Double ug …

    - F. Sanchez walked, C. Duffy to second

  12. Yahoo box score says Wild Pitch …

  13. The pitch was very high, but the guy got a glove on it before it escaped.

  14. Triple ug …

    - J. Gerut singled to right, C. Duffy scored, F. Sanchez to second, F. Sanchez scored, J. Gerut to second on third baseman J. Randa’s fielding error

  15. “the guy” = Olivo?

  16. CHP must think he’s still in Texas, where he had an offense to save his bacon.

  17. wonderful start, Padres get no hits and Pirates get 3..

    we are in trouble…

  18. No, the guy is the Pirates catcher.

  19. no hit again…

  20. park doesnt have enough stuff to throw a wild pitch. williams threw one past doumit.. that the guy you are talking about?

  21. Right, him, that’s what I just said.

  22. chan ho looking good against the guys with .200 or less batting averages…lol

  23. dang, one,two,three inning…

    im impressed

  24. Chan Ho is settling down …

    - J. Wilson flied out to right
    - D. Williams lined out to shortstop
    - C. Duffy lined out to shortstop

    … let’s hope it’s just Stauffer-itis :-)

    After 2 full …

    Pitches-strikes – C Park 39-21; D Williams 31-18.

    Ground balls-fly balls – C Park 2-4; D Williams 3-3.

    Batters faced – C Park 10; D Williams 7.

    … and, yes, now the Yahoo box is showing the Padres’ run as unearned …

  25. hey hey hey welcome to the national league olivo..

  26. need some DONGs – been way too long!

  27. Well, I don’t care how Park pitches, we gotta start hitting. Yesterday was a good start, now lets get at this guy or get him outta the game by working the pitch count.

  28. Where’s Lance when you need him? Olivohomers on a line drive to left.

  29. Chan Ho has to be enjoying the .250 BABIP so far today.

  30. I just noticed that only one of PetCo’s runs was earned.

  31. we are making this too easy for them..

  32. Richard,

    Compare please: total offensive contribution to 2005 Padres (by VORP?) – Olivo in 1 PA vs that “slugger” Nevin in 300+ PAs.

  33. I don’t have a VORP spreadsheet.

    That being said, I’m pretty sure Nevin’s VORP was a positive number and I doubt the single home run pushes Olivo past him.

  34. is it just me or does Randa seem to be less that effective defensively at eb? Maybe Burroughs was a lot better than we gave him credit for and we just got spoiled. Randa has a good defensive rep.

    btw, randa’s offense hasnt been that great either.

  35. You’re right, of course, but with Nevin’s grand total of 4.1 VORP in that many PAs, well, a new guy doesn’t need to do a whole lot to surpass that contribution.

  36. Randa is an above average third baseman defensively. Sea was well above average defensively. The fact that Randa has been essentially replacement level offensively just makes him appear worse in the field.

  37. You’re right, dprat. It won’t take much.

    PetCo just walked a guy after having him in the hole 1-2.

  38. too soon to yank him?

  39. PetCo has been not only bad, but unlucky tonight. 5 runs allowed over 3 innings. His dERA would suggest he should have only given up 3.25 so far.

  40. thru 3 full …

    Pitches-strikes – C Park 66-39; D Williams 51-33.

    Ground balls-fly balls – C Park 5-4; D Williams 3-5.

    Batters faced – C Park 17; D Williams 12.

    … ug.

  41. Dave Williams on the other hand has been relatively lucky. He has given up only two runs over three while his dERA suggests he should have given up 2.73 over that same period.

  42. giles still no hits in pittsburg..surprising. he hit real well here in the past

  43. Didn’t he have three walks yesterday, hank?

  44. Good news for us “old men” …

    - J. Franco homered to deep right center, J. Francoeur scored
    :-)

  45. Dave Williams’s dERA (adjusted for 3.7 rather than 9 IP), is at 3.46.

  46. Padres are letting Williams off the hook despite his 4.50 BB/9 and 2.25 K/9 rates.

  47. Padres have a .077 BABIP tonight. That’s crap.

  48. dont score too many runs without a hit. Giles is supposed to be our best hitter. I will grant you he is our best WALKer..

    HITS drive in runs..

  49. well there you go, another inning without allowing a run…amazing..

  50. Through 4 IP, Chan Ho’s…

    dERA: 8.28
    ERA: 6.75
    RA: 11.25