OBG08 Revisited: Pitchers

Friday, October 10, 2008
by Geoff Young
We're looking back at our pre-season community projections. On Wednesday we covered the hitters; today we turn to the pitchers. Left-Handers Justin Hampson, 2008  IPERA Projected484.21 Actual30.22.93 Our most optimistic projection had Hampson at a 3.50 ERA. Joe Thatcher, 2008  IPERA Projected582.86 Actual25.28.42 We missed this about as badly as we could. So did other people: CHONE had Thatcher's ERA at 3.67, Marcels had it at 3.86, ZiPS at 2.96. Randy Wolf, 2008  IPERA Projected1244.18 Actual190.14.30 Wolf's ERA for the Padres was 4.74. The bigger shock is that he made it through a season healthy for the first time since 2003. I wouldn't mind seeing him back in San Diego next year. I can think of worse options, many of which I got to see firsthand after Wolf was traded to the Astros. Right-Hander...
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Posted in Projections | 7 Comments »

Padres Farm Report (20 May 08)

Tuesday, May 20, 2008
by Geoff Young
Triple-A -- Tucson 5, Portland 2 Craig Stansberry (SS): 1-for-3, BB, E Chase Headley: 1-for-4 Brian Myrow: 0-for-4 Michael Barrett: 1-for-2 Chip Ambres (CF): 1-for-4, HR Matt Antonelli: 0-for-3, E Nick Hundley: 0-for-2 (didn't start) Josh Banks: 6 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 8 SO Clay Hensley: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO Jared Wells: 1 IP, 3 H, 3 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 0 SO Good to see Barrett and Hensley back in action... The Beavers led, 2-1, after seven but fell apart at the end. Double-A -- Frisco 4, San Antonio 1 Drew Macias: 0-for-4 Chad Huffman (DH): 2-for-4, HR Kyle Blanks: 0-for-4 Seth Johnston (3B): 0-for-4, E (11) Craig Cooper: 1-for-3, 2B Colt Morton: 1-for-3 Steve Garrison: 5.2 IP, ...
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Posted in Minors | 27 Comments »

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Random Roster Notes

Tuesday, March 18, 2008
by Geoff Young
Brian Giles saw his first action this spring on Monday. He went 0-for-2 against the Diamondbacks in Tucscon, but who cares? The important thing is, he was in the lineup and able to play right field. Quoth Giles: This was a pretty good test. I know it was only three innings, but the conditions weren't that good out there. It's a little wet in the outfield, and it's windy and cold. Meanwhile, Rule V draftee Callix Crabbe is pushing hard to make the Padres' Opening Day roster. Batting eighth and starting at third base on Monday, Crabbe singled twice and doubled in three trips to the plate. He's hitting .415 this spring, which doesn't tell us as much as his career .369 OBP ...
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Posted in Roster Notes, Spring Training | 41 Comments »

OBG08 Projections for Padres Pitchers

Sunday, February 17, 2008
by Geoff Young
Yesterday we ran the hitters, today it's time for the moundsmen: OBG08 Projections for Select Padres Pitchers PlayerNo.IPERARange Key: No., number of people who submitted guesses; IP, innings pitched, ERA, duh; range, lower and upper guesses for ERA. Left-Handers Hampson, Justin11484.213.50 - 5.05 Thatcher, Joe11582.861.96 - 3.42 Wolf, Randy151244.183.71 - 4.91 Right-Handers Bell, Heath12812.762.25 - 3.53 Cameron, Kevin11533.783.10 - 4.85 Germano, Justin14814.623.74 - 5.50 Hensley, Clay13804.433.80 - 5.20 Hoffman, Trevor15513.212.60 - 5.00 Maddux, Greg171914.093.80 - 4.29 Meredith, Cla14722.972.40 - 3.41 Peavy, Jake212122.812.12 - 3.20 Prior, Mark14684.163.21 - 5.15 Young, Chris171793.232.40 - 4.15 I don't know if people got tired of the project toward the end or just had less confidence in projecting pitchers (especially relievers), but there was less participation here. I'm not being critical, ...
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Posted in Projections | 8 Comments »

OBG08: Cameron, Hampson, and Others

Tuesday, February 12, 2008
by Geoff Young
OBG08: Le Menu Josh Bard/Michael Barrett Adrian Gonzalez Tadahito Iguchi Kevin Kouzmanoff Khalil Greene Scott Hairston Chase Headley Jim Edmonds Brian Giles Jake Peavy Chris Young Greg Maddux Trevor Hoffman Heath Bell Cla Meredith Welcome to the back end of the bullpen. It's hard to say who, exactly, will be here. I'm assuming that Kevin Cameron and Justin Hampson will be back -- possibly even pitching in meaningful situations now that Doug Brocail is gone. Beyond Cameron and Hampson, the Padres have plenty of options: Michael Gardner, Enrique Gonzalez, Carlos Guevara, Wil Ledezma, Joe Thatcher, Mauro Zarate, and probably some others I'm forgetting. I won't bother with all those guys, although you're more than welcome to include them in your guesses. Cameron: ...
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Posted in Projections | 27 Comments »