justin germano

OBG08 Revisited: Pitchers

Friday, October 10, 2008
by Geoff Young

We're looking back at our pre-season community projections. On Wednesday we covered the hitters; today we turn to the pitchers. Left-Handers Justin Hampson, 2008 IPERA Projected484.21 Actual30.22.93 Our most optimistic projection had Hampson at a 3.50 ERA. Joe Thatcher, 2008 IPERA Projected582.86 Actual25.28.42 We missed this about as badly as we could. So did other people: CHONE had Thatcher's ERA at 3.67, Marcels had it at 3.86, ZiPS at 2.96. Randy Wolf, 2008 IPERA Projected1244.18 Actual190.14.30 Wolf's ERA for the Padres was 4.74. The bigger shock is that he made it through a season healthy for the first time since 2003. I wouldn't mind seeing him back in San Diego next year. I can think of worse options, many of which I got to see firsthand after Wolf was traded to the Astros. Right-Hander...

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Posted in Projections | 12 Comments »

Padres Farm Report (25 Jun 08)

Wednesday, June 25, 2008
by Geoff Young

If your avatar is missing from the comments, it's because I'm testing a theory. Let me know if you notice a difference in the site's performance. Triple-A -- Tacoma 4, Portland 2 Matt Antonelli: 0-for-5 Luis Rodriguez: 1-for-4 Chip Ambres: 0-for-4 Brian Myrow: 1-for-2, 2 BB Will Venable: 1-for-4 Nick Hundley: 0-for-3, BB Vince Sinisi (DH): 0-for-3 Justin Huber: 1-for-3, HBP Justin Germano: 5.2 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 1 R, 2 BB, 2 SO Enrique Gonzalez: 1 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 1 SO Sean Henn and Wil Ledezma also worked in this ...

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Posted in Minors | 8 Comments »

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Padres Farm Report (20 Jun 08)

Friday, June 20, 2008
by Geoff Young

Triple-A -- Portland 3, Tucson 2 Matt Antonelli: 1-for-3, BB Peter Ciofrone (3B): 1-for-3, BB Chip Ambres (RF): 2-for-4, 2B Brian Myrow: 1-for-3, 2B, BB Will Venable (CF): 1-for-4 Nick Hundley: 2-for-4 Vince Sinisi (LF): 1-for-3, BB Justin Germano: 6.2 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 BB, 5 SO; 1-for-2, 2B Joe Thatcher: 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO Double-A -- San Antonio 2, Corpus Christi 0...

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Posted in Minors | 18 Comments »

Padres Farm Report (15 Jun 08)

Sunday, June 15, 2008
by Geoff Young

Triple-A -- Portland 10, Fresno 4 Peter Ciofrone (3B): 2-for-4, BB Chip Ambres (RF): 1-for-4, HR, BB Brian Myrow: 0-for-4, BB Will Venable (CF): 2-for-4, 2B, BB Vince Sinisi (LF): 2-for-5, E Matt Antonelli: 2-for-4 Luis Rodriguez (PH-SS): 0-for-2, BB Justin Germano: 6 IP, 9 H, 4 R, 1 HR, 0 BB, 5 SO Dirk-Hayhurst: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO Word on the street is that Chase Headley will ...

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Posted in Minors | 3 Comments »

Padres Farm Report (10 Jun 08)

Tuesday, June 10, 2008
by Geoff Young

Triple-A -- Las Vegas 8, Portland 4 Peter Ciofrone (LF): 3-for-4, BB Chase Headley (3B): 2-for-5, 2 2B Brian Myrow: 2-for-3, 2 BB Chip Ambres (RF): 2-for-5 Will Venable (CF): 2-for-4 Nick Hundley: 0-for-4 Matt Antonelli: 0-for-4 Justin Germano: 6.1 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 3 SO (12 GO), E Mauro Zarate: 0.2 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 SO Adam Bass: 1 ...

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Posted in Minors | 21 Comments »

Padres Farm Report (4 Jun 08)

Wednesday, June 4, 2008
by Geoff Young

Triple-A -- Las Vegas 6, Portland 1 Peter Ciofrone (LF): 1-for-4 Vince Sinisi (1B): 0-for-4 Chip Ambres: 1-for-3, HR, BB Will Venable (CF): 0-for-4 Craig Stansberry: 1-for-3, BB Matt Antonelli (PH): 0-for-1 Chase Headley (PH): 0-for-1 Justin Germano: 6 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 1 HR, 1 BB, 8 SO (7 GO) Mauro Zarate: 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 2 SO Antonelli is pushing the Padres toward a decision they'd probably rather ...

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Posted in Draft, Minors | 24 Comments »

When Projections Go Bad

Friday, May 30, 2008
by Geoff Young

What the heck, now is as good a time as any to revisit pre-season projections. I know, OPS and ERA aren't the end-all and be-all, but they're good enough for government work... Projections vs Reality: Hitters OPS PlayerBJ CH MA MI ZI DSAct Statistics are courtesy of FanGraphs and are through games of May 29, 2008. Click on column head for more info about projection system. Josh Bard785741791728767767540 Adrian Gonzalez839840842810862879894 Tadahito Iguchi760737756723751732657 Kevin Kouzmanoff882796789740837858741 Khalil Greene762764752747742773599 Scott Hairston833740769721722794714 Jim Edmonds830766782739784756498 Brian Giles820777783732773789815 Gonzalez and Giles are doing as well as or better than expected; Iguchi, Kouzmanoff, and Hairston are underperforming; and Bard, Greene, and Edmonds aren't even close. Projections vs Reality: Pitchers ERA PlayerBJ CH MA...

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Posted in Projections | 42 Comments »