Decade of Ducksnorts

Yep, we’ve been here 10 years. That’s, like, 70 in Internet years. I was going to create a snazzy badge to commemorate the event, but what follows will be plenty self-indulgent on its own. Come, follow me…

Old Incarnations

I can’t find any versions earlier than 2000 (I probably have a few on a floppy somewhere, but I don’t have any machines currently in operation that can read a floppy). Anyway, here’s what’s still out there:

  • Geocities (2000). This is me teaching myself how to build web pages in the mid- to late-’90s. Love the green background. Before Geocities, we were on AOL.
  • geoffreynyoung.com (July 2001). You always remember your first domain. Especially when it’s your name. Unless, of course, you forget your name, which sucks.
  • Ducksnorts.com (July 2002). The original tagline — “One fan’s take on the grand ol’ game of baseball” — seems quaint now. Remember that there weren’t really any baseball blogs back then. That’s why there’s an explanation of what a “weblog” is right up front. It’s not because I thought people were idiots or anything.
  • Ducksnorts.com (February 2003). I’m especially partial to this version. I did the redesign as part of a class project. That class helped me land a job as a web developer. I didn’t use WordPress or any other automated tools here. I hand coded every line of the site in Crimson Editor (which I still use today for a lot of things) and FTP’d all the pages. If I needed to update a link in the sidebar, I used search and replace routines (hooray for regular expressions!) and re-uploaded the entire site via FTP. Always test your search and replace routines.
  • Ducksnorts.com (January 2005). Shiny new masthead. The shot of Petco Park is from my wife’s old office.
  • All-Baseball.com (January 2006). This is when I “sold out” and joined a network. All-Baseball.com was absorbed by Most Valuable Network shortly after I joined. I learned a lot about publishing software and the potential power of blogging. With slick new tools, we were able to add a great deal of interactivity. It’s easy to forget now that for years, we didn’t have comments at Ducksnorts. What a difference that made!

Old Entries

These aren’t necessarily the best of what’s appeared here (like I could judge that anyway), but they give us at least some idea of where we’ve been over the years:

  • Be Careful What You Wish For (September 1997). The obligatory “first stab” at writing about baseball for an audience. I’m not particuarly proud of this one beyond the fact that it represented the beginning of something that has turned out to be pretty cool.
  • Padres Farm Report: Mike Darr/Gary Matthews (May 1998). I compared Matthews to Steve Finley, Quinton McCracken, Devon White, and Brian McRae. I really wish that at least one of those guys had ended up in his top 10 comps at Baseball-Reference. I compared Darr to Todd Hollandsworth, who shows up at #2 on Matthews’ list; do I get any credit for that? Nah, I didn’t think so.
  • California/Carolina League All-Star Game (July 1999). Wow, I’d completely forgotten that Marcus Giles played in this game. I also liked Kory DeHaan when he was still in the Pirates organization. Kip Wells? Mike Gonzalez? I feel old.
  • Distant Early Warning: Rookie Ball Hitters (February 2000). I used to write for an outfit called Top Prospect Alert. Here I am, getting excited about Rookie Ball hitters. Some of them actually panned out to one degree or another: Josh Hamilton, Wilson Betemit, Carl Crawford, Wily Mo Pena, Hank Blalock, Ben Broussard, Alexis Rios. Ouch, Vince Faison. Did I really compare him to Kenny Lofton? Yes, I’m afraid I did.
  • Thoughts on the College World Series (June 2001). This was the inaugural blog entry. I don’t think I called it “blog” back then; pretty sure it was still “weblog.” Again, I wasn’t just covering the Padres. There were, seriously, at most two dozen baseball blogs at the time, and I don’t believe any of them were specific to a single team. Then again, maybe they were; it’s hard to remember.
  • Bozied, Barfield, and Other Prospects (April 2002).
    Brian Lawrence? Deivi Cruz? Tom Lampkin? Sean Burroughs? Kevin Jarvis? Maybe things were better on the farm: Ben Howard? Bernie Castro? Darren Blakely? Ben Johnson? Eric Cyr? Hey, there’s Xavier Nady and Josh Barfield. Whoa, there’s Justin Germano.
  • White Stripes, Web Sites, a Little Bit of Baseball (July 2003). I used to play in a band. I used to talk about that here every once in a while, maybe to make it seem like I had a life or whatever. Anyway, there were, like, five people reading my stuff back then so I didn’t mind wasting time so much back then.
  • Bittersweet (October 2004). From the entry:

    The Friars made a lot of improvements in 2004, but there are a lot of questions going into next season. Will David Wells return and if not, who will replace him in the rotation? Can Adam Eaton and Sean Burroughs take their games to the next level? Which of the sluggers who can’t really play the field will be back, and what do the Padres do with Xavier Nady if the answer is both? What do they do with Nady anyway?

  • Fun with Numbers: Jake Peavy (February 2005). Again, quoting myself:

    Assuming offensive levels stay about the same, Peavy’s worst case ERA is about 4.00 or so. I’ve seen the reports that suggest Peavy was lucky last year, but I’ll set the over-under for 2005 at 2.70. It’s aggressive, but I don’t think he’ll slip as far as some folks might expect.

    For the record, Peavy’s ERA in 2005 was 2.88. I point this out not to make myself sound smarter than I actually am, but because I usually end up looking like a real idiot when I make these sorts of predictions.

  • World Baseball Classic Recap: Semifinals (March 2006). This remains one of my favorite moments at Petco Park. Also, I miss Aki. Not enough to give back Adrian Gonzalez and Chris Young, of course, but still…
  • Cooperstown Road Trip Photos (August 2007). I will never forget my drive to Cooperstown. Thank you for being a part of it.

And on that note, thanks for being a part of Ducksnorts, period. I’ve said it before, but it bears repeating: without you, this thing doesn’t happen.

Rock on…

1969: Sisk Finally Wins

September 6, 1969, San Diego: Padres 3, Dodgers 1 (box score)

Clay Kirby and Don Sutton hooked up in the third of a four-game series at San Diego Stadium. Kirby, for reasons I cannot find, exited early, with Tommie Sisk taking over in the second.

The game remained scoreless, with neither team threatening at all, until the bottom of the sixth. Then, after Sisk struck out to start the inning, Jose Arcia and Roberto Pena singled. Ollie Brown followed with a fly ball to center that scored Arcia, and Al Ferrara knocked a double that brought home Pena to give the Padres a 2-0 lead.

Los Angeles put two runners on in the seventh, but Sisk worked out of the jam. The Padres then added an insurance run in their half of the inning. Cito Gaston hit a one-out triple, and Chris Cannizzaro brought him home with an infield single.

The Dodgers made some serious noise in the eighth. Bill Sudakis led off with a single. After Sisk retired the next two batters, he gave up a single to pinch hitter Len Gabrielson. Maury Wills then singled to left, cutting San Diego’s lead to 3-1.

With two on and two out, Billy McCool relieved Sisk, who had allowed just one run over 6 2/3 innings in relief of Kirby. Dodgers skipper Walter Alston countered by pulling Willie Crawford in favor of Manny Mota against the southpaw. Mota, a fine hitter who probably deserved more of a shot earlier in his career, struck out to end the threat.

The Dodgers got the tying run to the plate in the ninth, but McCool slammed the door and the Padres had won their third straight over the visitors. On a personal level, Sisk had notched his first victory of the season, improving his record to 1-10 in front of just over 10,000 fans.

IGD: Padres @ Diamondbacks (5 Sep 07)

Game #139
time: 6:40 p.m. PT
tv: 4SD
sp: Jake Peavy (16-5, 2.10) vs Livan Hernandez (9-9, 4.67)
pre: Padres.com, B-R.com

I’ve just picked up the new Jason Falkner CD, I’m OK You’re OK (aff link), and as usual, listening to Falkner is a very humbling experience. Way too much talent for one person.

Speaking of which, Jake Peavy gets the call on three days rest in the finale at Arizona Wednesday night. Peavy lobbied to have his turn pushed up a day, giving us all a good excuse to wring our hands over potential bad outcomes. Here’s hoping our worries will have been over nothing…

Sorry, I Was Watching Tennis

Ugly game on Tuesday (box score). I bailed pretty early in this one, when it was clear that Chris Young still didn’t have his mojo working. The Padres are so beyond hosed if he doesn’t find his form, like, yesterday.

I ended up watching David Ferrer beat Rafael Nadal at the U.S. Open instead. Nothing against the Padres, but I wanted to see some competition, and tennis was a better bet. As it happened, Ferrer and Nadal both played an incredible match.

Tennis is so much easier for me to watch than baseball. I have no allegiances; I only want to see the game played well.

Padres Prospect Report

by Peter Friberg

AA

Playoffs begin Wednesday…

High-A

Playoffs begin Wednesday…

Short Season-A

Salem-Keizer 12, Eugene 5

Kellen Kulbacki: 2 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 0 RBI; 2B
Yefri Carvajal: 5 AB, 0 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 2 SO

Jake Peavy goes on short rest Wednesday night in the finale at Arizona. We’ll have the IGD up and running in the general vicinity of 5:30 p.m. PT. Go Padres!

1969: Niekro, Colbert Outlast Dodgers

September 5, 1969, San Diego: Padres 4, Dodgers 1 (box score)

For the second straight game, the Padres got the best of their neighbors from the north. Joe Niekro frustrated the Dodgers, scattering 10 hits but yielding just one run.

Los Angeles left two runners on base in the first inning, two more in the second, and three in the fourth. The Padres, meanwhile, got to Jim Bunning in their half of the fourth. Ollie Brown led off with a single; one out later, Nate Colbert clubbed a two-run homer to left. Cito Gaston later singled home Van Kelly to make the score 3-0.

The Dodgers scored their only run the next inning on singles by Willie Davis and Bill Sudakis. San Diego countered with its final tally in the bottom half of the fifth. With one out, Jose Arcia doubled to left. After a groundout to second advanced the runner to third, a wild pitch by reliever (and ex-Padre) Al McBean brought Arcia home to put the Padres up 4-1, which would be the final score.

Niekro hadn’t thrown a gem, but he had kept his club in the game. The Padres improved to 42-95, while Los Angeles fell to 74-61 and remained 1 1/2 games back of first place San Francisco in the National League West.

IGD: Padres @ Diamondbacks (4 Sep 07)

Game #138
time: 6:40 p.m. PT
tv: 4SD
sp: Chris Young (9-5, 2.38) vs Doug Davis (12-11, 4.09)
pre: Padres.com, B-R.com

As noted in Tuesday morning’s comments, the Padres have signed journeyman right-hander Brett Tomko for the stretch run. Tomko, a mainstay in the Padres rotation back in 2002, was a second-round pick of the Cincinnati Reds in 1995. He and Jarrod Washburn were the best pitchers taken that round, which is damning with faint praise. Tomko also rejoins Mike Cameron, with whom he once was traded for Ken Griffey Jr.

Eh, there’s more, but even I’ve lost interest…

Learning to Drive

Hard to offer meaningful commentary on a game that wasn’t televised. I assume from the 10 runs and five homers that the offense performed well. Either that or Micah Owings pitched like… well, you get the idea.

Padres at Ballhype

As you know, I’ve been doing some work with Ballhype of late. Just wanted to give everyone the heads-up on something that I should have pimped a long time ago: a group for Padres fans. This is one more way to connect with folks who dig the Friars as much as we do. Give it a spin if you’re so inclined…

It seems weird that a guy with 10 home runs this late in the season could have three multiple-homer games, but that’s Brian Giles for you. And congrats to Adrian Gonzalez for establishing a new career high with 25 homers.

Gonzalez had a tough stretch earlier in the year after he fouled a ball off his foot, but otherwise he’s been just as good in his second season as he was in his first. Actually, he’s been better in ’07. Forget batting average, and focus on these:

Adrian Gonzalez’ Development as a Hitter
Year PA P/PA BB/PA ISO XB/H G/F
Statistics are courtesy of ESPN and are through games of September 3, 2007.
2006 631 3.90 .083 .196 .364 1.42
2007 601 3.79 .092 .219 .432 0.92

Most of this is pretty straightforward. Gonzalez is drawing more walks this year and hitting the ball with greater authority.

One number I find fascinating is the P/PA. Gonzalez is seeing fewer pitches per plate appearance and yet his on-base skills have improved. This seems like the patiently aggressive philosophy in action: Let ‘er rip or let it go.

The other number that stands out to me is Gonzalez’ groundball-to-flyball ratio. First off, how does a guy with his “speed” break a .300 batting average while hitting a ton of grounders? Second, the fact that Gonzalez is hitting so many more balls in the air this year reinforces what the increased ISO already suggests: he is still learning to drive the ball.

Kinda scary when you think about it…

Padres Prospect Report

by Peter Friberg

You will not see much more minor league baseball. The San Antonio Missions and Lake Elsinore Storm are each head to the playoffs. And I’m not entirely certain what’s going on with the Eugene Emeralds…

[Ed note: The Emeralds have games at home Tuesday and Wednesday night. They are 21 games out of first place, so the post-season appears to be out of the question. ;-) ]

Friday, August 31, 2007

AAA

Fresno 10, Portland 9

Yordany Ramirez: 3 AB, 2 R, 3 H, 1 RBI; 3 BB
Clay Hensley: 5.0 IP, 11 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 2 BB, 1 SO, 1 HR
Jared Wells: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 SO, 0 HR

AA

San Antonio 5, Midland 4

Chase Headley: 4 AB, 1 R, 3 H, 1 RBI; HR
Nick Hundley: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 1 RBI; BB
Mike Ekstrom: 6.0 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 1 BB, 8 SO, 0 HR

High-A

Postponed…

Low-A

South Bend 4, Fort Wayne 3

Aaron Breit: 6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 4 SO, 0 HR – thank you

Short Season-A

Salem-Keizer 14, Eugene 5

Luis Durango: 4 AB, 0 R, 3 H, 0 RBI; BB, 2 CS – NWL BA leader (.371)
Kellen Kulbacki: 4 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 0 RBI; 2B

Rookie

Season complete.

Commentary:

I’m encouraged to see Yordany Ramirez post better numbers after being promoted (skipping a level no less): .269/.298/.385 in High-A and .315/.353/.433 in Triple-A.

[Ed note: Beware of small samples; Ramirez still isn't much of a hitter.]

Likewise after struggling for most of the season, Aaron Breit allowed 1 earned run in his last two starts (10.2 IP). Breit has a nice arm and everyone liked him coming into this season. If he resumes his 2006 level of dominance (3.08 ERA) in 2008 he’ll reinsert himself into the Padres long-term plans.

Saturday, September 1, 2007

AAA

Fresno 4, Portland 1

Will Startup: 2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 4 SO, 0 HR

AA

San Antonio 5, Corpus Christi 1

Nick Hundley: 5 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; 2B, SO
Wade LeBlanc: 6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 SO, 1 HR

High-A

Lake Elsinore 12, Inland Empire 1

David Freese: 3 AB, 2 R, 1 H, 0 RBI; BB, SB
Kyle Blanks: 4 AB, 2 R, 3 H, 2 RBI
Mike Baxter: 4 AB, 2 R, 2 H, 3 RBI; HR, BB, SO
Corey Luebke: 3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 SO, 0 HR

Low-A

Game 1: Great Lakes 6, Fort Wayne 4

No significant performances…

Game 2: Fort Wayne 11, Great Lakes 2

Eric Sogard: 4 AB, 1 R, 3 H, 3 RBI; 2B, SF

Short Season-A

Eugene 4, Salem-Keizer 2

Drew Cumberland: 4 AB, 0 R, 1 H, 0 RBI; BB – Eugene debut
Kellen Kulbacki: 5 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 1 RBI; 2B, SO

Commentary:

If you aren’t paying attention to Eric Sogard, you aren’t paying attention.

Sogard’s college stats (ASU):

.400/.488/.612 with 12 2B, 4 3B, and 11 HR, 39 BB, 24 SO

Sogard’s minor league numbers:

.255/.336/.365 with 11 2B, 0 3B, and 4 HR, 24 BB, 31 SO

Don’t be surprised when his numbers take a positive jump in ’08 — and no, this isn’t because Keith Law likes Sogard — I’ve been including Sogard in these reports for weeks — it’s because he’s good.

Sunday, September 2, 2007

AAA

Fresno 7, Portland 6

Cedric Hunter: 0 AB, 0 R, 0 H, 1 RBI; BB – AAA debut: bases-loaded walk
Jared Wells: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 SO, 0 HR – 3.00 ERA as reliever

AA

Corpus Christi 5, San Antonio 2

Chad Huffman: 4 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 0 RBI; SO
Will Inman: 6.0 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 10 SO, 1 HR

High-A

Inland Empire 10, Lake Elsinore 1

David Freese: 3 AB, 0 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 2 SO

Low-A

Fort Wayne 8, Great Lakes 3

Eric Sogard: 5 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 3 RBI; HR, SO

Short Season-A

Salem-Keizer 14, Eugene 5

No significant performances…

Commentary:

The more I see of Will Inman’s stats, the more I think he probably should/will be back in Double-A San Antonio for at least the beginning of ’08. He’s easily one the top pitchers in the system, but he isn’t dominating Double-A the way he has dominated every other level.

Inman’s San Antonio statistics:

3-3 with a 4.17 ERA in 41.0 IP with 33 H, 6 HR, 19 BB, 40 SO, and a .224 BAA

Inman’s composite Double-A statistics:

4-8 with a 4.80 ERA in 80.2 IP with 71 H, 13 HR, 35 BB, 82 SO, and a .241 BAA

[Ed note: The main issue with Inman right now appears to be his control. There aren't enough data points to make any firm conclusions, but this wasn't a concern with Inman in '05 or '06, so hopefully it's just part of the learning curve.]

Monday, September 3, 2007

AAA

Final regular season game…

Portland 3, Fresno 2

Cedric Hunter: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; HR, SO

AA

Final regular season game – playoffs begin Wednesday @ Frisco

San Antonio 6, Corpus Christi 4

Matt Antonelli: 3 AB, 2 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; BB, SF
Chase Headley: 5 AB, 0 R, 4 H, 1 RBI; 2B

High-A

Final regular season game – playoffs begin Wednesday @ Inland Empire

Lake Elsinore 7, Inland Empire 2

David Freese: 4 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 2 RBI
Kyle Blanks: 3 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 2 RBI; HR
Jose Lobaton: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI
Ernesto Frieri: 2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 SO, 0 HR

Low-A

Final regular season game…

Fort Wayne 6, Great Lakes 2

No significant performances…

Short Season-A

Eugene 12, Salem-Keizer 7

Drew Cumberland: 4 AB, 3 R, 3 H, 0 RBI, BB
Yefri Carvajal: 5 AB, 2 R, 3 H, 2 RBI; SO
Mat Latos: 4.2 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 2 ER, 4 BB, 4 SO, 0 HR – only 1 HR all season

Commentary:

Happy Labor Day! System Sweep!

Thanks, Peter. Game 2 of the showdown in Arizona starts at 6:40 p.m. PT. We’ll have the IGD up and running about an hour before then. With luck, the first-half version of Chris Young will show up and lead the Padres to victory…

1969: Al Ferrara 3, Dodgers 0

September 4, 1969, San Diego: Padres 3, Dodgers 0 (box score)

Dick Kelley and Bill Singer squared off in the first of a four-game series at San Diego Stadium. Kelley didn’t last long in this one, being lifted for Gary Ross with one on and two out in the third. (Anyone know the story here?)

The Padres, meanwhile, took the lead in the bottom half. With one out, Roberto Pena singled to center, as did Ollie Brown. Al Ferrara followed with a double to right-center that scored Pena and Brown, putting San Diego on top, 2-0.

Ferrara led off the sixth with a home run to left to extend the Padres’ lead to 3-0. Ross took care of the rest, spinning 6 1/3 innings of shutout baseball. The first two batters reached for Los Angeles in the ninth, but after Ted Sizemore popped out to the pitcher, Tom Haller lined to shortstop Tommy Dean (just in for defensive purposes), who doubled Bobby Valentine off second base to end the contest.

Trivia: Dodgers center fielder Willie Davis saw his hitting streak snapped at 31 games.

IGD: Padres @ Diamondbacks (3 Sep 07)

Game #137
time: 1:40 p.m. PT
tv: none
sp: Greg Maddux (10-9, 3.79) vs Micah Owings (6-7, 4.51)
pre: Padres.com, B-R.com

Happy Labor Day, folks. The Padres and Diamondbacks enter their three-game series separated by mere percentage points at the top of the National League West with fewer than 30 games remaining. Could it get any better?

Well, yeah. The game could be televised. Hello!

1969: Phillies Pound Padres

September 3, 1969, San Diego: Phillies 9, Padres 1 (box score)

Ugly, ugly loss. Did I say ugly?

The Padres scored only once. In the seventh inning, with left-hander Woodie Fryman on the mound for the visitors, San Diego parlayed an Ivan Murrell single and two Phillies errors into a run. That made the score 9-1.

The rest? You don’t want to know, but I’ll tell you anyway.

Al Santorini made the start for San Diego. Allowed single runs in the first, second, and fifth innings, and four more in the sixth.

You want details. Okay, then; Deron Johnson, Ron Stone, and Don Money each collected three hits. Johnny Callison drove in three runs, Stone drove in two more. Even Fryman singled and scored a run in the sixth. Heck, Fryman stole a base that inning — third base, no less. Care to guess how many stolen bases Fryman ended up with in his 18-year career? Yep, just the one.

Highlights for the Padres included, um, well… Nate Colbert tripled to right-center with two out in the fourth. Ed Spiezio scored the team’s only run. Jack Baldschun worked a scoreless ninth inning.

I dunno, we’re reaching here. I told you it was ugly…