first pitch: 9:35 a.m., PT
television: none
matchup: Brian Lawrence (5-11, 4.50 ERA) vs Mark Redman (5-11, 4.30 ERA)
preview: ESPN | Padres.com
Tables, we’ve got tables…
| Period | GS | W | L | ERA | H/9 | HR/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/4 – 5/31 | 52 | 18 | 14 | 4.33 | 9.28 | 0.97 | 2.62 | 6.60 |
| 6/1 – 8/3 | 55 | 14 | 28 | 5.07 | 9.74 | 1.32 | 2.82 | 6.28 |
| Stats courtesy David Pinto’s Day by Day Database. | ||||||||
More hits, walks, and especially homers, fewer strikeouts. No great mystery there. And the anemic offense hasn’t helped matters:
| RA | GS | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr – 31 May 05 | |||
| 0-3 | 31 | 16 | 3 |
| 4+ | 21 | 2 | 11 |
| 1 Jun – 3 Aug 05 | |||
| 0-3 | 27 | 12 | 5 |
| 4+ | 28 | 2 | 23 |
| Stats courtesy David Pinto’s Day by Day Database. | |||
One final set of numbers, and then a crazy idea.
| 4/4 – 5/31 | 6/1 – 8/3 | |
|---|---|---|
| Percentage of starts with 0-3 runs allowed | 59.6 | 49.1 |
| Percentage of wins by starters in those starts | 51.6 | 44.4 |
| Percentage of starts with 4+ runs allowed | 40.4 | 50.9 |
| Percentage of losses by starters in those starts | 52.4 | 82.1 |
| Stats courtesy David Pinto’s Day by Day Database. | ||
The starters used to give up three runs or fewer 6 times in 10 starts; now one of those starts has crossed over to the 4+ realm. Also, the starters aren’t winning as many of the “good” starts and are losing a lot more of the “bad” ones. Where the offense might have picked up the starter on an off night earlier in the season, you can pretty much kiss the game goodbye if a guy gives up four runs now.
The crazy idea? Clay Hensley in the rotation. The only obstacles I see are that he isn’t a veteran and it makes too much sense. Whaddya think?
Hard to imagine a Padre game without a double switch.
Wasn’t there another pitcher named Clay (not Kirby) who pitched for San Diego maybe two or three years ago?
Three things:
1. Astacio doesn’t belong in the rotation of a contender.
2. Again, what in the world has gotten into Olivo?
3. I’ve been called *much* worse than Goff.
Clay Condrey. I think he’s in the Phillies organization now.
Thank you! That’s been bugging me for a couple of days now.
Mazzilli replaced with Perlozzo. … two more runs.
Nice Hit, Dave.
Now, with a 9-run lead in the 9th, would be an ideal time to use Astacio.
Jackson gets thrown out, and almost everyone else changes positions. Now Bochy is earning that extension.
Come on, Eaton.
The Pirates are teeing off. Swinging early and succesful.
Re: Gameday
Yes, I believe MLB does have a person at every game entering the data as it happens. I remember before the season started there was a link to Monster for two jobs: one was a stringer, who would write articles for MLB.com, and the other was for the person to track and enter the info into MLB’s software/hardware for Gameday. I applied, but never got a call. Oh well, couldn’t afford to live in San Diego on those wages anyway.
To those that are watching the game on TV, does Eaton look as rusty.
What’re your impressions?
Good win for the Padres.
Now, let’s go get the Nats.
Didi, I didn’t see him today, but on Tuesday he did not look rusty. He was pumping the fastball at 92, 93 and I saw one at 94, and those were for strikes. I’d have to guess he did not have the stuff and/or the location today which he had on Tuesday though.
But a win’s a win. Go Padres!
Thanks, Pat.
Didi, where are you? Are you a Nats fan?
Kevin, I’m in San Diego.
No, I’m not a Nats fan (on the account of how often the Expos were beating the Padres even during the lean years) even if I really like a lot of their players. I wish Nick Johnson is our 1B-man (even if he’s an ex-Yankees). I’d love to go catch a game there, though.
I do admire the Expos organization with how many major-leaguers it turned out over the years.
Of course, Bowden is going to ruin that. Guzman at SS for 4 years? Why?
Yes, I wish they can make the playoff one of these days, just so they can say, thank you MLB and we’d like to share our WS wins with all the teams out there. That’d be a hoot.
Padres 3B Joe Randa was a late scratch after fouling a ball off his foot during batting practice.
Damian Jackson, who replaced Randa, went 0-for-6 and was ejected for throwing equipment during the Padres’ four-run ninth.
I sorta like Bochy, but why wasn’t he canned a la Mazzili?
Alderson is patient, and Towers and Bochy are really tight, but even if those things weren’t true, Bochy just signed a two-year extension a couple months ago.