Reviewing the 2009 IVIEs

by Geoff Young on Jan 11, 2010

In the interest of accountability and because there’s not much else to do in January, I thought we’d look back at our community projections made in March 2009.

First, the hitters:

  Projected Actual  
Player PA BA OBP SLG PA BA OBP SLG Comments
Matt Antonelli 224 .237 .322 .343 0 - - - Hit .196/.300/.339 in 219 PA at Triple-A Portland
Henry Blanco 197 .234 .282 .344 232 .235 .320 .382  
Chris Burke 184 .234 .310 .341 89 .207 .270 .305  
Everth Cabrera 130 .201 .282 .287 438 .255 .342 .361 Obliterated expectations
David Eckstein 450 .274 .343 .350 568 .260 .323 .334  
Cliff Floyd 208 .254 .342 .420 17 .125 .176 .125 Why did a National League team need a DH again?
Jody Gerut 488 .287 .354 .455 298 .230 .279 .376 Game fell apart; exiled to Milwaukee
Brian Giles 554 .285 .378 .423 253 .191 .277 .271 Hit like ’88 Gary Pettis, without the speed or defense
Adrian Gonzalez 661 .285 .368 .515 681 .277 .407 .551 Took a big step forward in age 27 season
Edgar Gonzalez 254 .268 .324 .382 169 .216 .278 .373 Next stop: Japan
Scott Hairston 355 .248 .313 .463 464 .265 .307 .456 Hit .299/.358/.533 in 216 PA for San Diego before being traded to A’s
Chase Headley 550 .270 .345 .448 612 .262 .342 .392 Power didn’t arrive
Nick Hundley 401 .240 .300 .389 289 .238 .313 .406 Earlier comparisons to Ron Karkovice and Jason LaRue still look good
Kevin Kouzmanoff 594 .278 .327 .471 573 .255 .302 .420 Appears to have plateaued
Luis Rodriguez 375 .260 .314 .336 251 .202 .319 .260  
Will Venable 210 .257 .319 .369 324 .256 .323 .440 Got Headley’s power

And the pitchers:

  Projected Actual  
Player IP ERA IP ERA Comments
Cha Seung Baek 174 4.53 0 - Spent 2009 on the disabled list
Kevin Correia 113 4.75 198 3.91 Beat projected IP and ERA by plenty
Josh Geer 84 5.01 102.2 5.96 Recorded fifth highest single-season HR/9 all-time among pitchers with at least 100 IP
Wade LeBlanc 61 5.52 46.1 3.69 Performed much better than expected, albeit in limited innings
Jake Peavy 198 3.11 101.2 3.45 Spent much of the year hurt before ending up with the White Sox
Chris Young 164 3.69 76 5.21 Another lost season

We did a good job of guessing. Except when we didn’t.

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2 Responses »

  1. Jacob
    February 3, 2010 • 1:18 am

    Gerut comes to camp fat & sucky. Giles completely falls off. Those were hard to predict, I’d say.