Projections

Preseason Projections for 2007 Revisited

Thursday, October 11, 2007
by Geoff Young

Thank you for your excellent suggestions on the book, and keep 'em coming. Meanwhile, as part of this project, I'm taking inventory of an entire season's worth of entries, which means that I'm still in "looking back" mode for now. In that vein, I thought it might be fun to re-examine preseason projections for key players. We've already looked at my expectations for Padres hitters and pitchers, but what did others think? Hitters, Part 1 Brian Giles BAOBPSLG Projected.277.386.438 Actual.271.361.416 Secondary skills in decline. Some of this is due to injury, some to aging. Adrian Gonzalez BAOBPSLG Projected.287.348.469 Actual.282.347.502 Every system underestimated Gonzalez' power. Josh Bard BAOBPSLG Projected.282.352.436 Actual.285.364.404 Bard underperformed by about three runs per 500 at-bats. That's a pretty darned good set of ...

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Posted in Minors, Projections | 42 Comments »

Tango’s Community Forecasts

Tuesday, March 20, 2007
by Geoff Young

TangoTiger is soliciting projections from readers (hat tip to Pat in the comments): Go to the page of your favorite team, and put in the OPS (OBP+SLG) and ERA you expect from as many players as you feel comfortable. As well, if you can, note the number of games for the non-pitchers and the role for the pitchers. The players listed are on the 40-man roster. Once the season starts, I'll report the Crowds' expectation, as well as those from the professional forecasting systems. Let's see who has more insight. Here is the Padres link. Give it a spin, then come back here and talk about it or anything else that's on your mind. You know, the usual stuff. Also, tonight's game against ...

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Posted in Baseball | 22 Comments »