I’m thinking it’s about time to fire up our community projections for the 2009 season. Last year we did reasonably well — as Paul DePodesta points out in the foreword to this year’s Annual (which I’m sure you’ve ordered by now!) we nailed Adrian Gonzalez, Scott Hairston, and Chase Headley:
If that’s not deadly accurate, then it’s at least comatosely accurate, which nobody can deny because the phrase “comatosely accurate” is complete jibberish.
The only thing we lacked last year was a snappy acronym honoring a relatively forgotten player. Well, I’ve fixed that. This year’s projection system is called IVIE, in honor of former Padres first-round pick Mike Ivie.
IVIE stands for Insipid Value Indication Estimator. I know this sounds complex and grandiose, but it’s just an inefficient way of saying “dumb guess.” And the first “I” could equally well represent “Idiotic,” “Imbecillic,” or “Inane.”
Anyway, the basic idea is that we all make our best guess at how guys will do this season. Then I tally ‘em up and use the averages as our projection. It’s a totally unscientific process, but when enough people who follow the team participate, it more or less works. Plus it’s fun.
Okay, enough with the talking already…
Blanco is difficult to project because he gets so little playing time, but last year screams fluke. Given that he’s 37 years old and moving from Wrigley Field to Petco Park, I’m expecting some serious slippage.
I note in the Annual that Hundley looks like the next catcher in the Ron Karkovice/Jason LaRue line to me. Don’t expect much in the way of batting average or OBP, but he will hit one a long way every now and then.
Those are my guesses; let’s see yours. Use the format PA, BA/OBP/SLG. We’re just doing catchers for now; we’ll cover the infielders on Wednesday, the outfielders on Friday, and the pitchers next week. Enjoy…