OBG08 Revisited: Hitters

Back in February we did some community projections for the 2008 Padres. In the interest of accountability, here’s how we measured up to reality.

Catchers

Josh Bard, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 425 .278 .357 .410
Actual 198 .202 .279 .270

Yuck. Our most pessimistic projection had Bard at a 725 OPS.

Michael Barrett, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 246 .263 .323 .419
Actual 107 .202 .274 .298

We need a synonym for “yuck,” preferably something that rhymes. If only there were such a word…

Infielders

Adrian Gonzalez, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 641 .293 .362 .517
Actual 700 .279 .361 .510

We totally nailed this one. Imagine how many batting titles Gonzalez could win if he didn’t play half his games at Petco Park and weren’t Molina-brother slow.

Khalil Greene, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 561 .257 .309 .464
Actual 423 .213 .260 .339

Greene and Bard killed the offense this year, but we already knew that.

Tadahito Iguchi, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 532 .263 .341 .391
Actual 337 .232 .292 .306

Iguchi was actually a little worse than Marcus Giles in 2007, which just boggles the imagination.

Kevin Kouzmanoff, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 597 .294 .355 .503
Actual 668 .260 .299 .433

We were way too optimistic about Kouzmanoff. He fell short of our lowest expectations (800 OPS) by plenty. In our defense, Kouz looked fantastic down the stretch in 2007. You know who he reminds me of as a hitter, a little? Steve Garvey. He’s not as good as Garvey, of course, but his style is similar — quick through the zone, hates taking a pitch, hits everything hard.

Outfielders

Jim Edmonds, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 402 .255 .338 .418
Actual 401 .235 .343 .479

He’s still a dork.

Brian Giles, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 531 .274 .373 .412
Actual 653 .306 .398 .456

Our high-end projection had him at an 860 OPS+, which is pretty darned close to what he did.

Scott Hairston, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 392 .268 .327 .467
Actual 362 .248 .312 .479

That works.

Chase Headley, 2008
  PA BA OBP SLG
Projected 240 .266 .347 .435
Actual 368 .269 .337 .420

Damn, we’re good.

There you have it. We’ll look back at the pitchers on Friday.