IGD: Padres vs Cubs (22 May 07)

Tue, May 22, 2007Ballhype: hype it up!
by Geoff Young

first pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Jake Peavy (5-1, 1.64 ERA) vs Rich Hill (4-3, 2.91 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

So far in ‘07, the Padres haven’t made opposing pitchers pay for falling behind in the count as much as in recent years:

Padres Batters after 2-0 Count
Year PA/G BA OBP SLG ISO XB/H PA/HR
Stats are courtesy of Baseball-Reference and are through May 21, 2007.
2007 6.00 .253 .455 .342 .089 .271 264.0
2006 5.77 .315 .536 .498 .183 .369 58.4
2005 6.22 .310 .534 .482 .172 .338 53.0
2004 6.23 .301 .526 .469 .168 .317 43.9

It would be good to see the boys get back to punishing those who cannot throw strikes early in the count. How? Sorry, I just ask the questions around here…

Picking up where last year's version left off, the Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual provides in-depth analysis of and commentary on the San Diego Padres. Get your copy today.

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185 Responses to “IGD: Padres vs Cubs (22 May 07)”

  1. PM Says:

    Lets get this party started. We should take the Cubs two out of three and be ready for the Ms on Fri. Go Padres!

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  2. Geoff Young Says:

    Narrow strike zone tonight.

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  3. Phantom Says:

    Jake got squeezed right there.

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  4. jay Says:

    Better be that same zone for the Cubbies…

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  5. Richard Says:

    2: Yeah, that doesn’t bode well unless it’s consistent.

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  6. Richard Says:

    It’d be nice to see a called strike on the outer half.

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  7. Richard Says:

    A swinging strike is fine, too.

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  8. Richard Says:

    Wow, there’s the outside strike.

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  9. Phantom Says:

    Yeah, but Jake keeps his pitch count down by getting those outside corners called.

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  10. jay Says:

    Swinging and missing may be all of Jake’s K’s. The first pitch to Lee (K) looked just like pitches called balls on Soriano and Theriot. You have to be very good as an ump, because the pitchers just put it right at the edge. Can’t change your mind.

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  11. Richard Says:

    “Wicked” hanging slider down the middle of the plate. ha!

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  12. Ben B. Says:

    Gameday has Peavy hitting 99 on several pitches. That gun is usually a couple mph fast, but I still don’t see many people hitting 99 regularly.

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  13. jay Says:

    A little trivia on Aramis. Twice he has GIDP (not possible here) with diving catches by KG where he does the glove only flip to second to start the GIDP. Be interesting to see if happens later in the game.

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  14. Richard Says:

    Cubs 1 for 1 on batted balls. (line drive)

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  15. Richard Says:

    2 for 2. (2 line drives)

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  16. Richard Says:

    Peavy with what will be around a 30 pitch inning if he gets out of it right now.

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  17. Phantom Says:

    Damnit, his getting squeezed is not helping.

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  18. Richard Says:

    Thankfully Kouzy beat the runner to the bag. Cubs 2 for 3 on batted balls (2 LD, 1 GB).

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  19. Geoff Young Says:

    Nice play by Kouz to end the inning. That was way more difficult than it needed to be.

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  20. jay Says:

    Nice play by KK. My Tivo says he beat the runner.

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  21. Anthony Says:

    Both those hits came on two strike fastballs. I’d like to see Jake go with the slider there to get the swing and miss.

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  22. Richard Says:

    I missed how Giles got on base. If it was a hit, what kind of batted ball was it?

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  23. Geoff Young Says:

    You don’t see a WP on a walk every day…

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  24. Ben B. Says:

    Walk.

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  25. Geoff Young Says:

    #22: NOG drew a walk.

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  26. Phantom Says:

    Looks like this could be a tough inning for Hill, someone tell Cameron to take until a strike is thrown.

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  27. Richard Says:

    Wow. Hill can’t find the zone.

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  28. Richard Says:

    Nice to see Hill get the call. He earned it with his pinpoint accuracy earlier in the inning.

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  29. Phantom Says:

    Mike Cameron - Rally killer.

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  30. Richard Says:

    Tie ballgame.

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  31. Richard Says:

    Padres 1 for 1 on batted balls (LD)

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  32. Richard Says:

    Padres 1 for 2 on batted balls (LD, FB)

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  33. Geoff Young Says:

    Nice AB by Adrian. Khalil put a charge into one, too.

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  34. Anthony Says:

    Khalil changed his stance again. I like the crouch better, he seems more aggressive when he does that.

    How does this guy Hill have such good numbers? He doesn’t look impressive at all.

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  35. LynchMob Says:

    Down on the Farm … Nate Culp with another good outing for Ft Wayne … http://www.minorleaguebaseball.....p;did=milb … he’s one of the few bright spots on that team … Cedric 1-for-4 tonight with a 2B …

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  36. Phantom Says:

    34: Is this new stance better or worse, in your opinion?

    I wish Cameron could have done what Khalil did, although it ended up not being necessary with Adrian. Regardless, Cameron frustrates the bejesus out of me with men on.

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  37. LynchMob Says:

    And at AA San Antonio, Josh Geer with a very nice 7 innings of work … http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....x_sanaax_1

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  38. LynchMob Says:

    After 1 …

    Pitches-strikes - R Hill 24-13; J Peavy 30-19.

    Ground balls-fly balls - R Hill 0-1; J Peavy 1-0.

    Batters faced - R Hill 6; J Peavy 6.

    … it’s looking like it will be a battle of the bully’s …

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  39. jay Says:

    The K to Cameron looked like a strike, perhaps a bit closer than the non-calls on Jake, but the ump had two borderline non-calls on 2 strikes on Jake and gave Hill his sole borderline one. The camera angle makes it hard to really judge.

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  40. LynchMob Says:

    OT … Oswalt vs Lincecum rematch … dynomite!

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  41. Richard Says:

    39: I think it was a strike. The ump had just been squeezing Peav was all.

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  42. Anthony Says:

    36: When Khalil stands straight up like he usually does it seems like he waves at more of those sliders off the plate. When he bends at the knees like he did earlier he seems to attack the pitch more. Just an opinion, who knows if it’s really true. Maybe facing a lefty he knows he won’t see that slider so he adjusted his stance.

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  43. Phantom Says:

    42: Good call and nice catch. Hopefully he can recapture that tear he was on earlier.

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  44. Richard Says:

    Kouzy!

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  45. Geoff Young Says:

    Kouz, baby! Can’t stop him in May.

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  46. Anthony Says:

    Kouz missile!
    KK for player of the month!

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  47. Turbine Dude Says:

    Thanks GY.

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  48. Phantom Says:

    KOUZ!!!! Opposite field power!

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  49. Turbine Dude Says:

    GY, just replied to your E-Mail. I’m in for 3.

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  50. LynchMob Says:

    Somebody tell me about the KK bomb … where and how far?

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  51. Richard Says:

    50: Just over the wall in right.

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  52. Geoff Young Says:

    Was Nevin doing a crossword puzzle?

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  53. LynchMob Says:

    Dogs go up 1-0 in bottom of 2nd …

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  54. Turbine Dude Says:

    NOG!!! Alright.

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  55. Richard Says:

    And just so everyone can be bored by tales of my fantasy baseball team, I’d like to share with you that I benched my regular third baseman for Kouzmanoff tonight.

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  56. Richard Says:

    52: It looked that way.

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  57. Geoff Young Says:

    #49: Sweet. Thanks, bud!

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  58. LynchMob Says:

    55 … you da man! I’ve got KK … stuck with him thick & thin (but my league is deep … to cut KK, I’d have to pick up Blum … not an option). 51 - thanks.

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  59. LynchMob Says:

    After 2 …

    Pitches-strikes - R Hill 40-27; J Peavy 48-31.

    Ground balls-fly balls - R Hill 1-2; J Peavy 2-0.

    Batters faced - R Hill 11; J Peavy 10.

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  60. Richard Says:

    58: That’s a mighty deep league. I cut Kouzy after two weeks (I drafted him late). I picked him back up two weeks ago.

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  61. Richard Says:

    Cubby BABIP dips to .429 all outs made on balls in play were ground balls.

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  62. LynchMob Says:

    59 … contrast to this … thru 3 innings in the Oswalt vs Lincecum rematch …

    Pitches-strikes - R Oswalt 30-21; T Lincecum 30-23.

    Ground balls-fly balls - R Oswalt 7-1; T Lincecum 6-1.

    Batters faced - R Oswalt 9; T Lincecum 9.

    Sorry for the noise, I’m just a *huge* fan of both of those pitchers … and they are showing why tonight … ‘cept the K counts are down

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  63. Geoff Young Says:

    Has the strike zone changed since the first inning? Seems like Jake is getting that outside corner now.

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  64. Turbine Dude Says:

    Can of corn for the 3rd out. Nice.

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  65. Richard Says:

    63: Haven’t noticed.

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  66. Richard Says:

    Score. I benched Damon for Cameron tonight.

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  67. Turbine Dude Says:

    63: Looks like the ump is determining the zone based on the pitcher. I don’t agree with that, but it beats having Joe West behind the plate.

    OMG that was CRUSHED by Cammy!! Lynch, it was middle in out over center left field (I believe).

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  68. Richard Says:

    Damn! He’s on my team, too, but I failed to start him tonight. Oh well. Can’t win them all or something.

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  69. Phantom Says:

    Petco is not being too problematic tonite.

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  70. Turbine Dude Says:

    Adrian GONE-zales!

    Lynch, down and in. Crunched to just left of the right field pole.

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  71. Geoff Young Says:

    Padres have outhomered opposition, 18-5, at Petco Park this season.

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  72. LynchMob Says:

    That’s back-to-back Jack!

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  73. LynchMob Says:

    67 & 70 … thanks, guys!

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  74. Geoff Young Says:

    Another nice drive by Khalil. Geez, this guy must get killed in places like Cincy and Philly.

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  75. Turbine Dude Says:

    Good God, they may have to call this game due to fog! Has anyone else noticed the marine layer moving into the park?

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  76. Richard Says:

    .250 BABIP by the Padres. .375 by the Cubs.

    The three home runs help, though.

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  77. Ben B. Says:

    I love hearing the KOUZ from the crowd as he comes to the plate.

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  78. Richard Says:

    75: That’d be fine if we can get in enough innings to get a win.

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  79. Ben B. Says:

    74: He had a 2.91 ERA coming into the game. I guess we get to be the ones regressing him to the mean.

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  80. LynchMob Says:

    Hey, check this out … the baseball-reference.com site just continues to get *BETTER* … http://www.baseball-reference......gbat.shtml … Franchise Depth Charts and Minor League Franchise Stats … GY, you gotta add this link to the right bar …

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  81. Turbine Dude Says:

    I remember watching Vida Blue play and everyone would chant ‘Bluuuueeeee’. Sounded like everyone was booing him. Kinda funny and kinda shows I’m gettin old.

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  82. LynchMob Says:

    Thru 3 …

    Pitches-strikes - R Hill 58-41; J Peavy 58-37.

    Ground balls-fly balls - R Hill 3-3; J Peavy 4-1.

    Batters faced - R Hill 16; J Peavy 13.

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  83. Richard Says:

    That .444 BABIP against Peavy is disgusting.

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  84. Krs1 Says:

    Errrr… Maybe the fences are good where they’re at huh?

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  85. Richard Says:

    83: Make that .400 BABIP.

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  86. Richard Says:

    5 of 5 grounders turned into outs by the Padres infielders.

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  87. Ben B. Says:

    Yes, but what is the Cubs’ line drive %?

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  88. Richard Says:

    87: 18%

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  89. Richard Says:

    Make it 25% LD and a .333 BABIP. Look at that. Now he’s been lucky. haha

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  90. LynchMob Says:

    Rox tie-up the D-Backs and Brew-ha’s tie-up the Dogs … I like the trend …

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  91. Richard Says:

    90: NL West clubs coughing up leads?

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  92. Richard Says:

    30% LD for Padres. .200 BABIP. Should be more like .420 BABIP with average luck.

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  93. LynchMob Says:

    Thru 4 …

    Pitches-strikes - R Hill 66-46; J Peavy 70-45.

    Ground balls-fly balls - R Hill 3-5; J Peavy 5-3.

    Batters faced - R Hill 19; J Peavy 17.

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  94. Richard Says:

    Kouzy is having a hell of a May. .333/.400/.590

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  95. Richard Says:

    Pretty play by Khalil.

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  96. Geoff Young Says:

    That was a sick play by Khalil. Wow.

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  97. Anthony Says:

    Wow! Did somebody overclock the Khalilbot? That was ridiculous.

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  98. Phantom Says:

    It’s plays like that that make me care less what his average is.

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  99. jay Says:

    That was so much fun to watch. Pretty, pretty play. So nice that you can throw hard bouncers to AGon, and you don’t have to worry.

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  100. Richard Says:

    Sweet! No doubter to left.

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  101. clyde Says:

    Wow, That was an AMAZING play by Greenie.

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  102. Geoff Young Says:

    So, we’ve established that a belt-high fastball down the middle isn’t a good pitch to throw Cameron.

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  103. Phantom Says:

    Great pick by Gonzales, no doubt. Khalil deserves to be play of the night on ESPN for that.

    Cameron with another bases empty bomb. I suppose I should be happy he’s hitting, but damn, it seems like these never come with men on.

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  104. Turbine Dude Says:

    CAMMY!!!!!! 2 HRs in 5 inninings.
    Lynch- middle in, went over the left wall.

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  105. Rich Campbell Says:

    Ok, I logged on to talk about Khalil’s sick play and Mike launches #2.

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  106. Phantom Says:

    102: Nonsense, Cameron never hits that pitch.

    *looks around*

    The scouts bought that, right?

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  107. Phantom Says:

    I really hope that KT sees fit to keep the IF together for a couple years. If Kouz can continue to hit like this and Khalil stays health, we’ll have one of the better infields in baseball for years to come.

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  108. Richard Says:

    That .167 babip is starting to bug me.

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  109. Turbine Dude Says:

    If we don’t see Silent L tonight that won’t hurt my feeling either.

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  110. Richard Says:

    103: That’s really more the fault of the guys in front of a hitter.

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  111. Geoff Young Says:

    #105: Rich, be sure to swing by the next time Cameron’s turn comes up in the order. :-)

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  112. Turbine Dude Says:

    If you didn’t catch it, check out Nick Canepa’s article in today’s San Diego UT Sports Page. Kinda funny.

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