first pitch: 7:05 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Clay Hensley (8-11, 4.05 ERA) vs Jason Jennings (7-12, 3.61 ERA)
buy tickets
Our hearts were ringing
In the key that our souls were singing.
As we danced in the night,
Remember how the stars stole the night away.
Not exactly a battle cry, but it will do. I’ll be out at Petco Park tonight, so you’re on your own for this one. Padres are a game back with 24 remaining. Give me that any year.
Marlins pitcher has a no-hitter through 8.2 tonight (4 walks)
And he does it! First of the year, I think.
In case you missed my reply… BigKTFan (great name, btw):
I’m basing my assertion on the conclusions drawn from huge amounts of research done by the guys who wrote “The Book.†I’m also not saying that you should manage your bullpen purely on rest. If the lefty and righty pitchers are equal in talent, you want the lefty against a LHB and the righty against a RHB. However, if the RHP is significantly better, you want him against both the RHB and LHB. Things like GB% of both the hitter and pitcher come into play when making a decision like that, too.
I don’t have the numbers in front of me, so I’m not confident that Bochy made the (in)correct choice. What I am confident of is that 17 PA (or whatever it was) mean dick.
Anyone who hasn’t read “The Book,” should really check it out. It’s a phenomenal read.
what’s a franchise got to do to get a freakin’ no-no? Florida has FOUR already. Sheesh, we don’t even have a cycle from a hitter yet do we? WATFO?
Thanks, Richard. I’ll have to get it. Not sure how many at-bats Helton had against Hoffman. A smaller sample size has less meaning, but there has to be a threshold where one can begin to make assumptions based on previous batter-pitcher match ups. Granted, if Helton was hitting .600 in 5 at-bats, yeah, it’s meaningless, but if it was over 20 at bats (not a whole lot, but…), I still say it means something. But maybe that’s because I haven’t read “The Book.”
Does anyone know Helton’s career numbers vs. Embree and Hoffman or where we can find out?
Phils down 5-2 in 9th.
20 at-bats is also nothing. For instance, when looking wOBA one’s season line should be regressed by adding 220 PA of average wOBA (that’s average relative to position, playing time, etc, not average average).
Helton has hit .308/.400/.769 against Embree over a handful of PA. But again, that has no predictive value.
It’s annoying how ESPN and others frequently leave out ROE, HBP & PA. Also that they don’t differentiate between UBB & IBB is just plain unhelpful.
Batting three LHB in a row is just wrong.
That was some jump DR got there.
I HATE the hit & run.
The first two strikes of the PA were swinging strikes. That would suggest at least to me that there’s a pretty decent chance that Piazza would swing and miss a third time. That said, I hate the hit & run regardless of if it’s a bad decision or a horrible one.
How many strike em out, throw em out DPs is that this year? I can think of at least 3. That burns me up more than any other play, I’d rather see a GIDP than that.
The hit & run is just a bad call.
Well, Padre base-stealers have only been thrown out 26 times. I suppose one could look up all 26 and see if they were K/CS DPs.
Hit and run has it’s uses but it just seems like the risk/reward in that situation is not good. I mean, if Piazza gets a hit at least one guy is going to score anyway. Just don’t hit and run with two strikes because it destroys the inning.
There was one on July 7.
I’d keep looking but ESPN.com is destroying my will to live.
I agree with all of you regarding the hit and run…but consider this is a rookie catcher playing for the Rockies…
Hit submit too soon…so…with a rookie catcher playing..it’s worth taking some chances…
Re: 19..why are you losing you will to live?
I’m curious what that has to do with anything. Did he not play catcher in the minors?
Heh, it was a rhetorical question. I didn’t expect anyone to actually look it up. I know we had some last year too. I’m pretty sure Klesko was picked off first on the Sut move twice last year too.
Some of the pages on ESPN.com load a bit too slowly.
re: 2
It’s the first no-hitter since Randy Johnson’s perfect game on May 18, 2004 — the longest no-hitter drought of the Post-War Era — one more characteristic of the most extreme hitters era in baseball history (1994-present).
The front of ESPN.com currently says that no-hitter was in 2002, but that’s incorrect.
re:22.. that’s a good point..but the Rockies announcers made big deal out of it and suggested that the Padres should run on him..
re: Richard
I’m glad you’re active tonight, but I’m worried about your pitch count.
Dave Roberts has 41 stolen bases, the most by a Padres player since Bip Roberts 46 in 1990. Even with tonight’s caught stealing, Roberts’ SB percentage is .891.
In 1980, Jerry Mumphrey was 52-for-57 (.912) for the Padres.
Fair point Kevin. I’ll probably be gone by the fifth inning.
DR triples and he could have gone in standing.
It’s nice to see Dave playing this far over his head for us. He’s surely in line for a huge (over)payday.
Roberts had 12 triples this season, the most by a Padres player since Tony Gwynn had 13 in 1987.
Roberts has 12 triples this season, the most by a Padres player since Tony Gwynn’s 13 in 1987.
Good job by Giles to keep that a single.
Sorry about the double post.
It’s hard for me to imagine Gwynn hitting 13 triples, but I wasn’t really following baseball that closely when I was 2.
Only 50% GB for Clay tonight. It’s the 37.5% LD that’s bothering me.
Gwynn was 27 that season and also had a career-high 56 stolen bases.
55.6% and 33.3% after that. That 33.3% is still high…
5 pitches?
Six pitches…
I don’t know if the Padres are about to turn in one of them, but we’re seeing a lot of low-hit games because it’s late in the season, and teams are tired. Sanchez had a no-no tonight, and Randy Johnson took one late into the game.
63.6% GB
13.2 P/IP
Richard..you are closing in on your pitch count..
7th damn strikeout of the night for Jennings.
Mr. TTO with a non-TTO.
*tips cap* Goodnight everyone.
Are you really done?
hensleys pitching a great game.. hopefuly the offense can get him the w