first pitch: 7:05 p.m., PT
television: Channel 4
matchup: Tim Redding (0-4, 7.94 ERA) vs Jamey Wright (1-2, 6.85 ERA)
game previews: ESPN | CBS SportsLine
Damian Jackson, recalled to replace last night’s hero Adam Hyzdu, who has been DFA’d, gets the start at shortstop. Call it the Ducksnorts curse. I’ll try not to put Jake Peavy‘s name in a headline anytime soon.
Speaking of curses, I can deny it no more. And so I appeal to the man himself:
A Humble Request to the Grand Wizard Valdezmort to Remove His Wicked Curse
Izzy, Izzy – oh how we long for thee;
Izzy, Izzy – oh what mystery lies beneath your curse?
Who foresaw that all who followed you would be worse?
Izzy, is he – Valdes or Valdez?
Who knew the loss of mediocrity
Would lead to such great travesty?
We have suffered through Sterling, Justin, Tank, and now Redding;
Where in Hades is our fifth starter heading?
Come what May, you’ve made us pay
In ways we’re all regretting.
Izzy, Izzy – who would have guessed
That among all others you were the best,
Blessed as you were with run support
And a curious reluctance to pitch inside?
From this truth we cannot hide:
Despite an ERA well over five,
The Padres’ bats did come alive
When each fifth day you toed the slab
And saved us from our drab existence,
Rewarding us with your persistence
At winning games despite our insistence
That it was all just smoke and mirrors.
Izzy, Izzy – with you we tripped the light craptastic,
But since you left, we’ve gone quite spastic;
So now we implore thee, in truly awful verse,
Please remove your wicked curse
That has our fifth starter in reverse.
We beg of thee, please set us free
And we shall speak no further ill of you
Than if you’d pitched like Vida Blue.
Mud reveals that he once donned the Bernie the Brewer mascot suit.
Is it me, or is Redding all of a sudden looking good? That last fastball was 93 mph and unhittable.
Batter – Before – After
Holliday – 0.49 – 0.26
Greene – 0.26 -0.10
Gonzalez – 0.10 – 0.00
He made Gonzalez look bad. Or maybe Gonzalez is bad. meh
In the table that I posted the URL previously … it says that if situation = 1st+3rd,0-outs, then the “Prob > 0″ (= “the probability that a team will score at least one run in that inning”) is 0.870 … but for 2nd+3rd,0-outs, it’s 0.860.
Nick: My first guess (Cammy) was wrong, but my second guess was right.
Nick, McGriff.
When did Sweeney try to fill Valdez’ shoes???
Khalil got HBP in his first AB tonight with Elsinore. Thankfully, I assume not on the hand because he’s still in the game.
I was thinking McGriff too. Didn’t Sheff come close that year as well? To bb-ref I go…
Redding through 4 innings: 57 pitches, 41 strikes; 8 GB, 2 FB. Not bad.
McGriff is right … see http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/HR_leagues.shtml for details
LM: Sweeney started Oct. 2 last year at Arizona: 3.1 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 3 K.
Brian Fuentes was the rat at Chuck E. Cheese. That’s good stuff.
Batter – Before – After
Nevin – 0.49 – 0.26
Klesko – 0.26 – 0.10
Hernandez – 0.10 – 0.23
Burroughs – 0.23 – 0.00
I’d rather not see players smiling when they’re losing.
That Aflac commercial just ain’t right.
Oh, that Sweeney … I was getting my Sweeney’s confused …
Khalil strikes out in AB #2.
Batter – Before – After
Wright – 0.49 – 0.26
Sullivan – 0.26 – 0.10
Barmes – 0.10 – 0.00
Redding is looking really good.
Tony’s SDSU squad is in a close one with Fullerton on ESPN2. 3-3 in the bottom of the 10th, CSUF with 2 runners on.
Redding’s ERA for the year has fallen to sub-7.00 levels. heh
Damian Jackson’s numbers at AAA Portland = ..353/.477/.647 in 64 PAs … en fuego!
Is that like the 10th time a Pads pitcher has screwed up a sac bunt this year? Seems like it…
That was ugly.
Perhaps Bochy should consider PH’ing earlier for the #5 guy …
Redding hasn’t thrown 70 pitches, LM.
AZ puts a 2-spot on the board vs Gi’nts … now up 2-1 …
I wish they’d show a camera angle from centerfield instead of all this other crap.
So? What are the chances that he gets pulled in the next 1/2 inning? And what was the “opportunity cost” of not PH’ing in that situation?
Have DJ run here? … try some small ball?
Back from a bowl of pasta. So, is this the most unlikely pitchers’ duel or what?
Loretta gets hit on the front pantleg.
Well, so much for the curse of Valdez…let’s see if this can end the curse of Giles’s bat
Giles vs Wright: .450/.656/.650 in 20 AB coming into tonight’s game.
Giles grounds a 3-1 pitch to first, inning over. Ugh.
Batter – Before – After
Jackson – 0.49 – 0.88
Redding – 0.88 – 0.52
Running: Jackson 0.69
Roberts – 0.69 – 0.33
Loretta – 0.33 – 0.44
Giles – 0.44 – 0.00
Damn. You don’t pull a pitcher who has only thrown 68 pitches and given up only one hard hit ball, just so you can have a guy who isn’t good enough to start in the field hit with a man on first.
Redding is reminiscent of Eaton.
Redding’s got a nice breaking ball tonight.
Batter – Before – After
Helton – 0.49 – 0.26
Hawpe – 0.26 – 0.10
Atkins – 0.10 – 0.00
Redding is looking down right un-hittable. He has good, good movement on his fastball.
OMG, that was a beautiful sequence to Atkins.
Wow, where has this been all year?
Humberto who? (not that I cared in the first place, but damn)
Redding has given up A LOT more than just 1 hard hit ball … just not tonight
… yet!
Redding through 6: 85 pitches, 60 strikes; 9 GB, 5 FB.
Khalil pops out in AB 3.
OT … have you guys noticed what David Dellucci’s doing for the Rangers? http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/5823 … 24 walks in ~73 PAs going into tonight … 1 more tonight … Lasix?
16% probability of scoring, now…
C’mon … we ALL wanted to tar & feather the guy and run him out of town after his last start … let’s not lose sight of the big picture … this guy is NOT GOOD! … is he?
WOW! He destroyed that baseball.
Boom goes the dynamite. Klesko is back.
Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!Dong!!!
Tie ballgame.