The One About Bradley

In case you somehow missed it, Milton Bradley is a Padre. Acquired Friday afternoon along with cash for minor-league right-hander Andrew Brown, the outfielder from Long Beach with a checkered past begins his Padres career on the disabled list due to a strained left oblique. (The Pads knew about the injury and didn’t request a physical “because if they had, they believed that Bradley likely would have been dealt to Texas.”)

So, what do we make of all this? Good question. Let’s take a closer look.

Brown, you may recall, came to the Padres in the November 2006 deal that sent Josh Barfield to Cleveland. You may also recall that Brown never appeared in a single game for the Padres.

Hoffman, Peavy Named to NL All-Star Team

Congratulations to Trevor Hoffman and Jake Peavy for being named to the National League All-Star team. Chris Young probably deserved to go as well, but I really have zero interest in the All-Star game, so I’ll leave the outrage to people who actually care.

Here’s to the health of Hoffman and Peavy. Let’s get a ring.

One point we identified in the Ducksnorts 2007 Baseball Annual as key to building a bullpen on the proverbial shoestring was to “give yourself plenty of options in spring to increase the odds of gambles paying off.” Specifically we identified Brown, Heath Bell, Royce Ring, and Scott Strickland as newcomers who might help, noting that “chances are slim that…all will contribute, but the likelihood that any one of them will be useful is pretty good.”

As it turns out, Bell has been more than useful and Ring has come in handy on occasion as well. Strickland has done nothing, while Brown has bided his time, waiting for an opportunity — in this case, a trade to an organization that can use him. Brown, to put it coarsely, became a bargaining chip. His ultimate use to the Padres consisted in being the piece that convinced the A’s to part with Bradley.

Ah yes, Bradley. Troubled. Enigmatic. Injury-prone. Talented. Let’s not forget talented.

Acknowledging Bradley’s on- and off-field issues, we don’t know how he’ll react to his new environment. One theory I’ve heard advanced by the pop psychologist types is that Bradley will disrupt the clubhouse and somehow negatively affect chemistry. (Oddly, these folks never seem to think that things could flow the other way, i.e., that the clubhouse will elevate Bradley. Why is that?) I’m not going to delve too deeply into this issue because I find it presumptuous to make claims about things I can’t know, but I will say that winning has a way of fixing a lot of problems.

The outlook is simple: either Bradley fits in here or he doesn’t. We’ll know soon enough, but there are reasons to be optimistic. It’s encouraging to note that one of his former coaches, Padres third-base coach Glenn Hoffman, expects good things from Bradley. In my view, a single word of endorsement from Hoffman, who has been in uniform with the guy, is worth infinitely more than every talk show caller put together.

The other reason I like Bradley’s chances here has to do with economics. Bradley is 29 years old and in the final year of his contract. As others have observed, he has every incentive to be a model citizen.

Of greater concern to me are the injuries. Bradley has managed as many as 500 plate appearances in a season just once over the first seven years of his big-league career (and he certainly won’t come anywhere near that total this season). He’s been on the disabled list — including now — four times in 2007: twice for a strained left hamstring (April 23 – May 11; May 15 – 30), once for a strained right calf (June 8 – 20), and now for the oblique.

I won’t pretend to like the fact that Bradley has played only 19 games this season. Neither will I pretend that a talent of his magnitude would have been available for a minor-league reliever with command issues if there weren’t mitigating factors. There’s always risk involved (or maybe in the case of Milton Bradley, it’s Risk), but the fact remains that when Bradley has been healthy, he’s been extremely productive. He potentially gives the Padres a potent switch-hitting bat that can slot anywhere from #1 to #6, as well as stellar defense in the outfield.

Check out how Bradley compares offensively over the past few seasons with other players (some of whom the Padres are believed to have coveted):

Selected Outfielders: April 1, 2003 – June 30, 2007
Player AB BA OBP SLG ISO XB/H AB/HR
Stats courtesy of David Pinto’s Day by Day Database.
Hideki Matsui 2248 .294 .369 .480 .186 .360 26.1
Dmitri Young 1843 .287 .349 .493 .206 .382 22.5
Milton Bradley 1587 .287 .377 .459 .172 .333 27.4
Trot Nixon 1585 .282 .372 .462 .180 .365 27.8
Cliff Floyd 1791 .271 .356 .473 .202 .386 21.1
Aubrey Huff 2547 .284 .344 .481 .197 .368 22.7
Aaron Rowand 1921 .287 .346 .461 .174 .350 29.1

The comps here that make the most sense to me are Nixon, Floyd, and Rowand — right down to the propensity for injury. For as much as people dog Scott Linebrink, would anyone honestly prefer to part with him for Rowand than move Brown for Bradley and a boatload of cash? (I mentioned that the Padres are on the hook for less than $700,000 of Bradley’s salary, right?)

It may not work — Nixon has been a disaster this season for the Indians — but even if that’s the case, what has been lost? Seriously, I hope Brown works out for the A’s, but remember that he couldn’t crack a staff in San Diego that includes two guys who almost never actually pitch.

Beyond the short-term gains, Bradley is one of the more intriguing center fielders that figure to be on the open market this coming winter. Most of the focus has been on marquee players such as Torii Hunter, Andruw Jones, and Ichiro Suzuki. The downside with them, of course, is that all will command marquee salaries to go with the spiffy brand name label.

Bradley isn’t as good as Hunter, Jones, or Suzuki, but if he’s healthy and he can fit into a team’s clubhouse, the gap isn’t as large as you might think. If only there were some way to learn these things before Bradley becomes a free agent. If only a team could bring him in for a trial run and see firsthand, in game situations, what exactly he’s capable of doing…

Padres Prospect Report

by Peter Friberg

You will not see Chris Young in the 2007 All Star game unless you vote early and vote often.

Let me say this, I did not think that any of the Padre hitters deserved to go to the All Star game. However, the guy I was “hoping” for was Trevor Hoffman. I was certain that Jake Peavy and Chris Young would make the team. Certain. They both had top 3 NL ERAs. The team’s pitching staff was the best in all of baseball… Furthermore, Chris demonstrated the last two years that he had staying power; this was not a random pitcher with a career 5.00 ERA having a lucky couple months…

Friday, June 29, 2007

AAA

No notable performances…

AA

Chase Headley: 4 AB, 3 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; HR, SO – G1
Will Venable: 3 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 3 RBI; 2B, BB, SO – G1
Cesar Ramos: 5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 SO, 0 HR – G1
Chase Headley: 2 AB, 2 R, 1 H, 0 RBI; 2B, 2 BB, SO – G2
Nick Hundley: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 5 RBI; HR, SF – G2

High-A

Matt Antonelli: 4 AB, 0 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 3 SO
Chad Huffman: 4 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 1 RBI; HR

Low-A

Cedric Hunter: 4 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 1 RBI, HR, 2 SO
Nathaniel Culp: 7.0 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 SO, 0 HR

Short Season-A

Danny Payne: 2 AB, 1 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 3 BB, SO – .542 OBP
Kellen Kulbacki: 4 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 0 RBI; 3B, BB, SO
Cory Luebke: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 SO, 0 HR

Rookie

Yefri Carajal: 3 AB, 2 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 2 BB, SO
Shawn Estes: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 SO, 0 HR – alive!
Cooper Brannan: 2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 SO, 0 HR

Commentary:

It’s good to see that Chase’s time in the big leagues didn’t disrupt his rhythm. I’m thinking the Texas League pitchers are not happy to see him back.

Danny Payne will not make my top-10 list (he’s a reasonable bet to be in the top 25, but probably outside the top 20) but he’s becoming one of my favorite players to look up. In 10 games, he now has 17 walks (awesome! — the 0 XBH; not so awesome).

Saturday, June 30, 2007

AAA

Tim Stauffer: 6.0 IP, 10 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO, 1 HR

AA

Chase Headley: 4 AB, 0 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; BB, 2 SO

High-A

Matt Antonelli: 4 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 0 RBI; BB
Kyle Blanks: 4 AB, 2 R, 2 H, 1 RBI; HR, SO
Wade LeBlanc: 5.1 IP, 7 H, 5 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 4 SO, 0 HR

Low-A

Rayner Contreras: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 7 RBI; 2B, HR, 2 BB, SO
Drew Miller: 5.0 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 10 SO, 0 HR
R.J. Rodriguez: 0.2 IP, 2 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 1 BB, 0 SO, 1 HR

Short Season-A

Danny Payne: 4 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 1 RBI; 3B, BB, SO – 1st pro XBH
John Hussey: 4.0 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 8 SO, 1 HR

Rookie

Yefri Carvajal: 4 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 2 RBI

Commentary:

Wade LeBlanc still has a stellar 2.64 ERA but he has allowed 4 earned runs in three of his last four starts (4 ER in 7.1 IP, 1 ER in 4.0 IP, 4 ER in 6.0 IP, and 4 ER in 5.1 IP on Saturday).

Sunday, July 1, 2007

AAA

Vince Sinisi: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 1 RBI; 2 2B – .311/.357/.477
Paul McAnulty: 5 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; 2B
Pete LaForest: 3 AB, 2 R, 2 H, 3 RBI; 2 HR, BB, SO

AA

Chase Headley: 2 AB, 1 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 2 BB

High-A

Matt Antonelli: 5 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; CS
Chad Huffman: 5 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 3 RBI; HR, 2 SO

Low-A

Aaron Breit: 3.0 IP, 1 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 6 BB, 3 SO, 0 HR – yikes!

Short Season-A

Danny Payne: 4 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 1 RBI; 2B, BB, SO
Kellen Kulbacki: 3 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 1 RBI; 2 BB, SO
Jeremy McBryde: 3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 SO, 0 HR

Rookie

Jose Martinez: 1.0 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 1 BB, 0 SO, 1 HR – got the “W”
Orlando Lara: 2.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 SO, 0 HR

Commentary:

Vince Sinisi is interesting. I don’t know how good he is defensively and he’s probably more of a fourth outfielder than a starter, but his success is good to see.

Sinisi looks interesting, but I seriously hope Pete LaForest is on the 2008 roster!

Going into his July 1 contest, Chad Huffman only had 19 at-bats in the three hole. Roughly half of his 250 at-bats have been batting fifth (usually behind David Freese and Kyle Blanks). Sunday Chad batted in front of those two — I don’t think that batting order is insignificant. We’ll see if that trend continues.

Thanks, Peter. The Padres return home to host the Florida Marlins for three four games. The series opener is Monday night, first pitch 7:05 p.m. PT. You know where to be…

1969: Marichal Marches Giants Past Niekro, Padres

July 2, 1969, San Diego: Giants 6, Padres 3 (box score)

I hope that if nothing else, this look back at the Padres’ inaugural season has given everyone a greater appreciation for where the franchise is now. Honestly, if the club hadn’t been doing so well over the past few seasons, I’m not sure I could maintain my enthusiasm for this series. It’s tough to write about a team that loses two-thirds of its games and still has half a season remaining on the schedule.

Anyway.

The Giants scored two off Joe Niekro in the first on a most unusual sequence. With runners at first and second, no out, and one run in, Willie McCovey flied to center field. Ron Hunt scored from second, with Bobby Bonds being thrown out on play that went 8-5-4-3. If anyone saw this, I’d love to hear a description.

San Francisco extended its lead in the fourth. McCovey drew a one-out walk and Jim Ray Hart followed with his first home run of the season.

The Padres, after making some noise the previous inning, broke through against Juan Marichal in the fifth. Van Kelly, batting for Niekro, led off with a double to right. John Sipin followed with a single. After Roberto Pena grounded into a fielders choice that forced Kelly at home, Ollie Brown singled to left, plating Sipin and Pena. Nate Colbert flied to center for the second out, and then Al Ferrara doubled to the gap in left-center to bring home Brown and pull the Padres to within one run. This was as close as San Diego would come.

In the eighth, Hal Lanier doubled home two more runs against reliever Tommie Sisk to make the score 6-3. Sipin managed a two-out single off Marichal in the ninth, but Pena popped up to second to end the game. In front of nearly 7000 fans at San Diego Stadium, the Padres had lost their fifth straight.

Trivia: Hart, who had pounded 23 homers the previous season at age 26, hit just three in 1969. After averaging a tick under 28 home runs per season through his first five full seasons, Hart hit 31 total over his final six seasons.

IGD: Padres @ Dodgers (1 Jul 07)

Game #80
time: 1:10 p.m. PT
tv: 4SD
sp: Justin Germano (5-1, 2.67) vs Chad Billingsley (4-0, 4.01)
pre: Padres.com, SI.com

I’ve got no real angle for this one other than a sweep would be nice. The Padres have won seven straight road series and are 24-17 away from Petco Park this season. They also have the best run differential (+82) in the National League through June. Only the Detroit Tigers (+85) are better in MLB.

Did I mention a sweep? Yeah, that’d be good. Welcome to July, and go Padres!

1969: July Starts the Way June Ended, with a Loss

July 1, 1969, San Diego: Giants 5, Padres 4 (box score)

The good news is that the Padres managed to collect 10 hits and score four runs. The bad news is that shoddy defense cost San Diego three runs and, ultimately, the game.

The Giants got to starter Dick Kelley right away. Bobby Bonds and Ron Hunt led off the game with back-to-back singles. With one out, Willie McCovey drove home Bonds. A two-out walk to Jack Hiatt scored Hunt. Kelley then retired Hal Lanier with the bases loaded to escape with “only” a 2-0 defecit.

The Padres struck for a run of their own in the bottom of the second. Al Ferrara reached on an error by third baseman Bobby Etheridge. After Ed Spiezio flied to center, Walt Hriniak drew a walk. Cito Gaston followed with a single to left that scored Ferrara. The Padres, with two on and one out, were unable to score any additional runs in the inning.

In the fourth, the Padres tied the game. Ferrara doubled and Spiezio singled him home to start the inning. Hriniak again walked, putting runners at first and second with no out. But Giants starter Bobby Bolin proceeded to retire the next three batters in succession, leaving the score tied at 2-2.

The Giants pushed back in the fifth. Two singles and a Hriniak passed ball put San Francisco on top, 3-2. The next inning, the Padres knotted the score again on a pinch single by Larry Stahl that plated Spiezio, who had led off the frame with a single of his own.

In the seventh, the Giants scored the winning runs courtesy of a Spiezio throwing error. San Diego pushed across a single run in the ninth to make the score 5-4, but Ollie Brown flied to center with a runner on first to end the contest.

Elsewhere in the world: Prince Charles was invested with his title in a ceremony at Caernarfon Castle.

IGD: Padres @ Dodgers (30 Jun 07)

Game #79
time: 7:10 p.m. PT
tv: 4SD
sp: Jake Peavy (9-2, 2.14) vs Brad Penny (10-1, 2.04)
pre: Padres.com, SI.com

Saturday night’s game is being hyped as a battle to see who will start the All-Star game. I don’t know about all that, but I do know that this should be a fun pitching matchup.

A couple things about Brad Penny’s line this year jump out at me. First, he’s been remarkably consistent from month to month:

Brad Penny, 2007 by Month
  IP/GS H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 ERA BA OBP SLG
Stats are through games of June 29, 2007, and are courtesy of Baseball-Reference.
Apr 6.47 8.35 0.00 3.62 3.06 1.95 .256 .336 .333
May 6.28 7.17 0.00 2.39 7.65 2.15 .216 .272 .266
Jun 7.13 7.82 0.50 1.26 6.81 2.02 .237 .265 .351

Penny has allowed more than four runs in a game just once (May 18 at Anaheim, his only loss of the season), and both homers he’s allowed came on June 3 against the Pirates (Adam LaRoche and Jason Bay if you’re wondering). This is not the same pitcher that posted a 6.25 ERA in the second half of 2006.

The other facet of Penny’s game this year that I find a bit surprising in light of his reputation as someone who falls apart when trouble rears its head is the way he has shut down batters with runners in scoring position. Opponents are hitting .188/.258/.200 against Penny with RISP in 90 plate appearances. His numbers last year in the same situation: .315/.374/.492 in 206 plate appearances.

Let’s face it: Penny is a stud. He makes me wish that Paul DePodesta had never been GM of the Dodgers.

What about Jake Peavy? After a blistering May (0.79 ERA, 425 OPS), he’s come back to Earth a bit in June (3.69, 674). He also has assumed Chris Young‘s title of Road Warrior (0.88, 405 in six starts away from Petco).

Finally, and apropos of nothing, here’s one more table for you:

Runs and Home Runs per Game, 2007 by Month
  R/G HR/G
SD Opp SD Opp
Stats are through games of June 29, 2007, and are courtesy of Baseball-Reference.
Apr 4.42 4.08 0.96 0.58
May 4.04 2.48 0.85 0.41
Jun 4.84 3.68 1.04 0.56
tot 4.42 3.40 0.95 0.51

When has this team ever outscored and outhomered the opposition the way it is doing now? Go Padres!

Hall of Fame Plans?

With Tony Gwynn’s induction into the Hall of Fame less than a month away, now might be a good time to revisit plans to meet up at Cooperstown. Here’s what I’m doing; how about you?

1969: Falling? We Haven’t Even Started

June 30, 1969, San Diego: Giants 6, Padres 1 (box score)

The scary thing isn’t that the Padres went 7-22 in June to bring their season record to 27-52, it’s that they went 25-58 the rest of the way. As a relative newcomer to the party who has had to “suffer” through the ’93 Fire Sale and the lean years of 1999-2003, I can’t begin to imagine what life as a Padres fan was like back at the beginning.

Clay Kirby and veteran left-hander Mike McCormick faced off in the opener of a three-game series between the Padres and Giants at San Diego Stadium. As they had the previous game, the Padres scored a lone run in the first inning and then fell silent.

John Sipin led off the first with a single to left. One out later, an Ollie Brown single put runners at the corners. After Nate Colbert drew a walk, Al Ferrara flied to center, bringing home Sipin.

In the third inning, San Francisco went to work against Kirby. With the bases loaded and one out, Willie Mays singled to left, scoring Hal Lanier and Bobby Bonds. The next batter, future Padre Willie McCovey, doubled home Ron Hunt and Mays to extend the lead to 4-1.

The Giants tacked on two more runs in the fourth, and McCormick took care of the rest. Other than a minor rally in the seventh, the Padres never even got a runner into scoring position, as Kirby was saddled with his tenth loss of the season.

Trivia: McCovey’s number 44 was not retired by the Padres.

IGD: Padres @ Dodgers (29 Jun 07)

Game #78
time: 7:40 p.m. PT
tv: 4SD
sp: Chris Young (7-3, 2.08) vs Hong-Chih Kuo (1-3, 6.33)
pre: Padres.com, SI.com

I guess Luis Gonzalez didn’t get the memo. You know, the one that says he’s washed up. Gonzalez is batting .350/.424/.624 over 132 plate appearances since May 21 and .301/.393/.500 overall. Russell Martin? Still a pain in the neck. Jeff Kent and Andre Ethier are doing okay, but the rest of the Dodgers offense is pretty dormant.

In an effort to get youngster James Loney more playing time (good idea), the Dodgers have moved Nomar Garciaparra to third base (bad idea), where his tepid .266/.306/.321 line wouldn’t seem to justify the injury risk of playing him at the hot corner. Garciaparra, the oldest 33-year-old in baseball, has one home run in 2007. That’s the same number as Friday night’s starter, Hong-Chih Kuo.

The Padres, meanwhile, welcome Brian Giles back to the lineup. Nobody seems to be expecting much from him, which is probably just as well. Better to be pleasantly surprised than disappointed that he still isn’t the player he once was.

Chris Young? I feel like I should say something about him, but I’ve run out of superlatives. How ’bout if he just keeps doing what he’s doing. Yeah, that’ll work.

Go Padres!

Friday Links (29 Jun 07)

First off, thanks to everyone for helping out yesterday with the overlooked players. This is subject to change, but right now based on your feedback, I’m leaning toward Mike Ivie, Ruppert Jones, and Brad Ausmus to go along with Ollie Brown.

Onto the links!

That’s all I’ve got. Peter, what’s up with the prospects?

Padres Prospect Report

by Peter Friberg

You will not see Nick Schmidt in an Arkansas uniform in 2008; he signed with the Padres on Thursday.

Also…

You will not see that “0″ in Ryan Ketchner’s win column. Ryan is a heck of a pitcher and the Padres are lucky to have him. But up until tonight, the offense did not show up on nights he pitched. Again, Ryan, congrats on your first win in the Padres organization.

AAA

Vince Sinisi: 4 AB, 1 R, 4 H, 3 RBI
Ryan Ketchner: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 9 SO, 1 HR

AA

Postponed…

High-A

Matt Antonelli: 5 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 1 RBI; HR, SO
Chad Huffman: 4 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; 2B, HR, 2 SO
Manny Ayala: 6.0 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 5 ER, 2 BB, 2 SO, 1 HR

Low-A

Game postponed in 4th inning…

Short Season-A

Luis Durango: 5 AB, 2 R, 3 H, 1 RBI; HR
Ray Stokes: 3 AB, 3 R, 2 H, 3 RBI; 3B, BB, 3 SB
Danny Payne: 2 AB, 0 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 2 BB, 3 SB
Justin Pickett: 4 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; HR, BB, 2 SO
Mat Latos: 3.0 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 3 SO, 0 HR

Rookie

No game scheduled…

Commentary:

To give you an idea what kind of pitcher Ryan is, in his last three games the lefty has gone 19 IP, 16 H, 6 ER (2.84 ERA), 2 BB, 21 SO…

It’ll be interesting to see which “A-ball” pitcher the Padres gave up to get Milton Bradley. Since Kansas City was only giving up Leo Nunez to get Bradley before the trade was cancelled, I do not think it is likely that the Padres had to give up someone like Wade LeBlanc.

The Padres have some serious offense in Lake Elsinore and Eugene.

Thanks, Peter. I’m not quite as enthusiastic about Ketchner as you seem to be, but we’ll see what happens. The Padres are in LA for the weekend. We’ll have Friday night’s IGD up and running by 6:30 p.m. PT or thereabouts. Go Padres!

1969: Foster Freezes Padres

June 29, 1969, San Diego: Dodgers 3, Padres 1 (box score)

Just as the Eskimos were reputed to have many words for snow, fans of the expansion Padres may have had many words to express the concept of loss. Whichever one they used on this day, the meaning was the same.

The Padres broke out to an early 1-0 lead against rookie right-hander Alan Foster. Second baseman John Sipin singled to start the home half of the first inning. After stealing second and advancing to third on a Roberto Pena groundout, Sipin scored courtesy of an Ivan Murrell double to left. Murrell, unfortunately, was left stranded and the Padres had finished their scoring for the game.

Los Angeles took a 2-1 lead in the third. In typical Dodgers fashion, three singles and a walk off Al Santorini netted two runs. They added an insurance run in the seventh on a triple by Willie Crawford and a single by Willie Davis.

Foster, meanwhile, worked seven strong innings for the visitors before yielding to lefty Jim Brewer. The Dodgers’ closer retired six of the seven batters he faced to preserve the victory.

Elsewhere in the world: Ilan Mitchell-Smith (Weird Science) was born in New York City.