Padres Farm Report (3 Jun 08)

My mind is in full-on draft mode, and I’ve been re-reading some old notes: In 2004, I’d favored Stephen Drew over the two pitchers being targeted. Of the pitchers, I preferred Jeff Niemann to Jered Weaver. Oops…

In 2002, I’d wanted Cole Hamels over Khalil Greene. Then again, I’d also wanted Bobby Brownlie… I ran some numbers last July, and maybe it’s time to revisit those:

Win Shares, 2002 Draft First Round
Player 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total
Stats are through games of June 1, 2008, and are courtesy of Hardball Times and Baseball Graphs.
Khalil Greene, SD (13th pick) 1 21 17 13 19 2 73
Nick Swisher, Oak (16th) - 1 12 22 19 2 56
Jeff Francoeur, Atl (23rd) - - 13 16 22 4 55
Prince Fielder, Mil (7th) - - 2 17 28 6 53
Mark Teahen, Oak (39th) - - 10 19 16 4 49
Scott Kazmir, NYN (15th) - 1 13 14 17 3 48
Joe Blanton, Oak (24th) - 0 14 10 15 3 42
B.J. Upton, TB (2nd) - 4 - 2 23 8 37
Jeff Francis, Col (9th) - 2 6 13 14 0 35
Matt Cain, SF (25th) - - 5 12 12 4 33
Cole Hamels, Phi (17th) - - - 8 15 7 30

Fielder, Kazmir, and Upton all have risen since last we looked. Kazmir would have been a nice pick, although he was asking for a lot of money and the Padres don’t really draft high school pitchers in the first round (we’ll dig a little deeper into that phenomenon on Thursday).

For the record, Brownlie slipped to #21, where the Cubs nabbed him and paid $1 million more than the Padres spent on Greene (whom the Cubs had drafted but failed to sign the previous year). For all the bitterness Cubs harbor toward Mark Prior, you’d think they could spare some for Brownlie.

Well, that was fun. Back to work…

Triple-ALas Vegas 4, Portland 3

Josh GeerCraig Stansberry: 0-for-4
Peter Ciofrone (3B): 1-for-4, 2 E
Chase Headley: 0-for-3, HBP
Brian Myrow: 1-for-2, HR, 2 BB
Chip Ambres: 0-for-2, 2 BB
Will Venable (CF): 0-for-4, SB
Nick Hundley: 1-for-4, 2B
Matt Antonelli: 0-for-3, BB
Vince Sinisi (PH): 0-for-1
Josh Geer: 6 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 6 SO (11 GO)
Dirk Hayhurst: 2 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 1 SO

Myrow keeps hitting, Antonelli not so much (.176 BA)… Geer pitched well — no fly ball outs… Hayhurst returned to the bullpen after an outstanding spot start and didn’t miss a beat. At some point, we’ll need to remove “non” from his “non-prospect” appellation. I vote for sooner rather than later.

More coverage at the Portland Oregonian.

Double-ASan Antonio 4, Arkansas 1 (1st game); San Antonio 4, Arkansas 0 (2nd game)

Kyle BlanksDrew Macias: 0-for-6, BB
Chad Huffman: 1-for-3
Kyle Blanks: 3-for-5, 3B, HR, BB
Craig Cooper: 1-for-6
Seth Johnston: 0-for-5, BB
Colt Morton: 0-for-2, BB
Jose Lobaton: 1-for-3, HR
Will Inman: 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 HR, 1 BB, 5 SO (86 pitches, 54 strikes)
Mike Ekstrom: 2.1 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1 SO, HBP (5 GO)
Neil Jamison: 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0 SO

Inman went the distance in the opener… Ekstrom, who recently moved to the bullpen because “he kind of refused to use his change-up a lot,” started the second game… Big day for Blanks, but then, every day is a big day for him. ;-)


Off day for the Storm.

Low-AFort Wayne 5, Great Lakes 4

Luis Durango (DH): 0-for-3, BB, SH
Lance Zawadzki (SS): 2-for-5, SB
Justin Baum: 0-for-3, BB, SH
Felix Carrasco: 1-for-5
Yefri Carvajal: 1-for-5
Shane Buschini: 1-for-4, 2B, BB
Jeremy McBryde: 5.1 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 1 HR, 1 BB, 4 SO
Robert Woodard: 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 HR, 1 BB, 0 SO

Draft Watch: Reese Havens

Reese Havens, SS, U. of South Carolina

pre-draft rankings:

Havens earns high marks for his consistency at the plate and in the field. He is viewed as a legitimate shortstop and possesses decent power despite an unorthodox batting style. He also is lauded for “intangibles.” Hmmm. Sound like any other shortstops out of a college in South Carolina you know?

Tagged as: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

2 Responses »

  1. At what point does Antonelli’s failure to hit start to become cause for concern? Shouldn’t he be demoted at some point? I worry that he’s going to develop his own version of Burroughs-itis, so focused on one thing (taking pitches) that he stops hitting.

    Win Shares are a funny thing… I never would have guessed that Khalil would be ahead of those guys, although playing short and getting a head start seems to be his main advantage. I’ve always liked Khalil but I’d trade him for just about every guy on that list.

  2. #1@Anthony: I think now would be a good time to be concerned about Antonelli. BABIP is a useful evaluative tool, but at some point a guy has to start hitting.

    As for Khalil, he also gets a huge boost by being the first guy to establish himself at the big-league level. Take away ’03 and ’04, and he slips to #4 on that list.