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OBG08 Projections for Padres Hitters

Saturday, February 16, 2008
by Geoff Young
Here are the results of our community projections for 2008 Padres hitters. To see voting and discussion for an individual player, click on his name. A spreadsheet containing all of our picks will be available shortly. Thanks to all for participating! OBG08 Projections for Select Padres Hitters PlayerNo.PABAOBPSLGOPS Range Key: No., number of people who submitted guesses; PA, plate appearances; BA, batting average; OBP, on-base percentage; SLG, slugging percentage; OPS range, lower and upper guesses for OBP + SLG. Catchers Bard, Josh19425.278.357.410725 - 816 Barrett, Michael19246.263.323.419670 - 830 Infielders Gonzalez, Adrian19641.293.362.517780 - 935 Greene, Khalil21561.257.309.464730 - 832 Iguchi, Tadahito17532.263.341.391680 - 774 Kouzmanoff, Kevin20597.294.355.503800 - 1026 Outfielders Edmonds, Jim17402.255.338.418645 - 840 Giles, Brian17531.274.373.412700 - 860 Hairston, Scott20392.268.327.467741 - 860 Headley, Chase15240.266.347.435670 - 900 A few quick comments: If ...
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Posted in Projections | 11 Comments »

OBG08: Wolf, Prior, and Others

Thursday, February 7, 2008
by Geoff Young
OBG08: Le Menu Josh Bard/Michael Barrett Adrian Gonzalez Tadahito Iguchi Kevin Kouzmanoff Khalil Greene Scott Hairston Chase Headley Jim Edmonds Brian Giles Jake Peavy Chris Young Greg Maddux As a reminder, we're looking for your individual best guess on how these players will perform in 2008. Attempting to compensate for other guesses that you don't agree with defeats the purpose of the exercise. Okay, enough with the lecture. Now we get to the scary part of the rotation. I've got projections here for Randy Wolf, Mark Prior, and Clay Hensley. If you want to throw something out there for, say, Shawn Estes, Justin Germano, Enrique Gonzalez, or Glendon Rusch, go right ahead. Eric Nolte? Sure, why not. Randy Wolf Wolf is basically a ...
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Posted in Projections | 38 Comments »

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OBG08: Jim Edmonds

Saturday, February 2, 2008
by Geoff Young
OBG08: Le Menu Josh Bard/Michael Barrett Adrian Gonzalez Tadahito Iguchi Kevin Kouzmanoff Khalil Greene Scott Hairston Chase Headley Before we get to Jim Edmonds, here's a quick recap of where things stand to date. Eventually I'll post a comprehensive list of our projections and upload a spreadsheet so everyone can ridicule us or whatever, but for now, if you haven't gotten your guesses in, please go to the appropriate entry and do so. Or not. Your call. Anywho, on to Edmonds. I really do not have a good feel for what he's capable of at this stage in his career. He's 38 years old and he barely cracked 400 plate appearances each of the past two seasons. His offensive skills appear to be in precipitous decline ...
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Posted in Projections | 35 Comments »

OBG08: Tadahito Iguchi

Sunday, January 27, 2008
by Geoff Young
Next up in our community projections is newcomer Tadahito Iguchi. The veteran second baseman possesses a broad base of offensive skills, but his power has declined each year since he arrived in North America. Iguchi is 33 and will play half his games in a park that suppresses offense, which suggests that a reversal of this trend is unlikely. I'll go with 550 PA, .263/.343/.391. What sayest thou?

Posted in Projections | 23 Comments »

Friday Links (21 Dec 07)

Friday, December 21, 2007
by Geoff Young
Links. Who doesn't love 'em? Short and sweet: Tony Gwynn talks about the Mitchell Report (San Diego Union-Tribune). MB analyzes the Jim Edmonds trade (Friar Forecast). Tom Krasovic offers his thoughts on Edmonds as well (San Diego Union-Tribune). Joe P. Sheehan examines similar pitchers by pitch type (Baseball Analysts, hat tip Friar Forecast). Chris Young is working with Tiger Woods' physical therapist in an attempt to keep himself healthy (San ...
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Posted in Notes and Links | 31 Comments »

Padres Acquire Edmonds

Saturday, December 15, 2007
by Geoff Young
The Padres are about to pick up center fielder Jim Edmonds from St. Louis for minor-league third baseman David Freese. Reportedly, the Cardinals also will be sending $1 million, which is why the deal hasn't been formally announced yet. Edmonds is in decline, and the Pads will need a contingency plan, but I like this move. They're essentially signing him to a 1-year, $7 million deal. Like the acquisitions of Randy Wolf and Tadahito Iguchi (and the re-signing of Greg Maddux), it's a relatively low-risk move. The last time San Diego brought in a guy that everyone else had written off, it worked out pretty ...
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Posted in 2008 Annual, Trade Analysis | 59 Comments »

Friday Links (14 Dec 07)

Friday, December 14, 2007
by Geoff Young
Quick word on the book before we get to links. I've completed drafts of three chapters; two more are very close to being done, another is at about 40-50%, and I'm just getting started on "2007 in Review." On that last point, I've gone through the past 14 months or so of blog postings and highlighted some of the most important points. From that, I've created a rough outline. Next steps are to flesh everything out, follow up on research inquiries I made several months ago, etc. The outline is a bit ambitious, and I'm not sure I'll be able to give everything the attention it's due, but I shall do my best. To that end, and kind of the point of me telling you all this, ...
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Posted in 2008 Annual, Notes and Links | 126 Comments »

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