IGD: Padres vs Dodgers (28 Apr 07)

first pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Greg Maddux (1-2, 4.24 ERA) vs Brett Tomko (0-1, 2.65 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

If you, like me, are trying to get Friday night’s bad taste out of your mouth, I’ll note that despite the Padres’ terrible play over the past few games, they’re still in better shape now than they were at this time last year. After their first 23 games in 2006, the Pads were 8-15 (oddly enough, having just lost to Saturday night’s starter, Brett Tomko).

It’s a long season, folks. There aren’t any truly putrid teams in this division, and everyone is going to fight until the final out. My expectation is that at some point, the Padres will break the hearts of Diamondbacks and Dodgers fans.

I look forward to that.

1969: Padres Blow Late Lead Against Dodgers

April 28, 1969, San Diego: Dodgers 4, Padres 3 (box score)

Knuckleballer Joe Niekro made his first start in a Padres uniform. The Dodgers countered with southpaw Claude Osteen, who had shut out San Diego on three hits just 13 days earlier.

The Padres very quickly made sure they wouldn’t be blanked in this one, scoring an unearned in the first on a double play grounder off the bat of Tony Gonzalez. The Dodgers answered with an unearned run of their own in the top of the second.

The score remained tied until the bottom of the fourth. Then, with two outs, Ollie Brown singled to center. Nate Colbert followed with a homer to right-center. For Colbert, it was his fourth home run in five days.

Niekro, meanwhile, settled down and pitched a beauty. He allowed a walk in the third and a single in the fifth, and that was it until the eighth. In that inning, Niekro served up three straight two-out singles, the last of which made the score 3-2. Dick Kelley came in to put out the fire, getting Ted Sizemore to fly to right to end the inning.

Kelley didn’t do so well the following frame. Essentially he fell victim to the genius of Dodgers manager Walter Alston, who pulled all the right strings. With one out, pinch hitter Bill Russell singled to right. Another pinch hitter, Wes Parker, then tripled him home to tie the game. After a Willie Davis groundout, Ken Boyer came up to bat for Ron Fairly.

Even though Fairly was just 30 years old and still a dangerous hitter, he was coming off a down year. In particular, his line against lefties in ’68 was a dismal .171/.238/.189. For his part, Boyer had been a perennial All-Star for the St. Louis Cardinals in the late-’50s and early-’60s, winning the NL MVP Award in 1964. Now 38 years old, Boyer was at the very end of a fine career.

Boyer had batted once on the young season, striking out two days earlier against the Braves. This time he smashed a grounder to shortstop Tommy Dean and legged it out for a single, giving the Dodgers their first lead of the game, 4-3.

The Padres had one last chance. With Jim Brewer now pitching for Los Angeles, Brown led off the home half of the ninth with an infield single. But Colbert and Cito Gaston struck out, and Ed Spiezio grounded out to end the threat and the ballgame.

Trivia: Padres pitchers didn’t strike out a single batter until the ninth, when Kelley fanned shortstop Billy Grabarkewitz to lead off the inning.

Elsewhere in the world: Charles de Gaulle resigned as president of France.

IGD: Padres vs Dodgers (27 Apr 07)

first pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Clay Hensley (1-3, 9.45 ERA) vs Mark Hendrickson (1-0, 1.62 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

Clay HensleyHave you seen my command? Hi, this is Clay Hensley, pitcher for the San Diego Padres. I used to throw a wicked sinker, break bats, get hit in the back of the head by them, and win games anyway. I finished 10th in the National League in ERA last year. Now I can’t seem to get anyone out. I’m young and talented, so don’t stress; still, if you or anyone you know finds my command, would you please get in touch with the Padres? They could use a little pick-me-up right about now, and frankly, so could I. Thanks…

Friday Links (27 Apr 07)

That was a frustrating series in Phoenix. After losing a heartbreaker on Wednesday, there didn’t seem to be a lot of energy Thursday night (recap | box score). Other than the Adrian Gonzalez three-run homer in the first, the Padres looked completely flat against Livan Hernandez and the Diamondbacks.

Oh well, today’s another day. In fact, it’s Friday, which means we have links:

  • Peavy learns from D-backs (Padres.com). Corey’s latest offering includes this quote from Jake Peavy: “I’m not going to be somebody that I’m not. I’m going to try and dominate.” On the one hand, it’ll be difficult for him to improve his efficiency with that approach. On the other, it must be nice to have “dominate” as a fallback option. Honestly, if he keeps pitching like he did on Wednesday, I don’t mind seeing him work only seven innings every time. With the Padres’ bullpen, that is usually a recipe for success. Speaking of Wednesday, I like the fact that Peavy didn’t know how many strikeouts he had. That tells me his focus was in the right place.
  • After three-week layoff, Estes returns to mound (North County Times). It’s easy to forget that Shawn Estes is still with this club. Ten months removed from Tommy John surgery, the left-hander is throwing 40-pitch, fastball-only bullpen sessions.
  • Open Thread: Nicknames (Gaslamp Ball). jbox is trying to come up with nicknames for current Padres. It’s a pretty good list. I’d add “Tree” for Pete LaForest, “Cheo” for Jose Cruz Jr., and NOG and OG for the Giles brothers. I’ve got some ideas for Geoff Blum as well, but they’re not exactly flattering.
  • Padres go Greene; Khalil cleans up (San Diego Union-Tribune). You may have noticed that the Padres shortstop enjoyed a nice road trip. What he did Tuesday night against Randy Johnson was about as good a hitting performance as you’ll see.
  • Mud not Mudd (On the Road with Matt and Mud). Ed clarifies the spelling of Mark Grant’s nickname. Just in case you were wondering. ;-)
  • Game Notes: Padres at Diamondbacks (Friar Watch). Anthony gives his usual solid analysis of the pitching from Thursday night’s contest. I totally agree about Chris Young — if the slider isn’t working, ditch it and go back to getting guys out with the fastball, like last year. Normally I wouldn’t advocate having a starter rely on only one pitch, but Young has demonstrated in the past that he can make it work.
  • Autograph Day: Cedric Hunter, Matt Stocco (Baseball in Fort Wayne). Chad has a couple nice autographed photos, including one of everyone’s favorite prospect.
The Padres Prospect Report

by Peter Friberg

You will not see all the notable performances from the night before, but you will see the notable performances from those who are actually prospects.

AAA

Justin Germano: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 SO, 0 HR

AA

Will Venable: 4 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 0 RBI
Chase Headley: 4 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 0 RBI; SO

High-A

Matt Antonelli: 4 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 0 RBI; BB, 2 SB
Matt Bush: 4 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 2 RBI
Manny Ayala: 6.2 IP, 9 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 3 SO, 1 HR

Low-A

Cedric Hunter: 4 AB, 0 R, 0 H, 0 RBI; 2 SO
Rayner Contreras: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 1 RBI
Nathanial Culp: 8.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO, 0 HR

Commentary:

Nothing today… The losses against Arizona suck.

Thanks, Peter. The Padres return home for three against the Dodgers starting tonight. Hopefully a little home cooking will get the guys back on track. We’ll have the IGD up and running around 6 p.m. PT. Happy Friday!

1969: Padres Take Two from Cincy

April 27, 1969, San Diego: Padres 5, Reds 2 (box score); Padres 10, Reds 9 (box score)

The Padres swept the first ever doubleheader at San Diego Stadium. In the opener, right-hander Clay Kirby hooked up against right-hander George Culver.

The Padres didn’t waste any time in this one. Tommy Dean led off the bottom of the first with a homer to left, the first of his big-league career.

After adding single runs in the third and the fifth, the Padres finished their scoring in the sixth inning. With two outs, Roberto Pena and Tony Gonzalez were hit by pitches. A balk moved the runners up 90 feet, and then Ollie Brown drove them both home with a double to right.

Kirby, meanwhile, had his good stuff working. He allowed just two hits and a walk over six innings while striking out nine. The Reds scored a couple runs off Gary Ross before he gave way to Frank Reberger, who retired three of four batters he faced to nail down the win.

The second game featured Johnny Podres and Jack Fisher. Neither pitcher lasted long, and it’s probably just as well. Seven errors were committed in the game, with eight of the 19 runs scored being unearned.

The Reds jumped on Podres for three runs in the first. The Padres got one of those back in the second. Cito Gaston drew a one-out walk. Ed Spiezio followed with a double to left. Chris Cannizzaro then drove home Gaston with a grounder to second.

The Padres added another run in the fourth and then exploded for five more in the sixth. They sent 10 batters to the plate that inning. It wasn’t pretty — three hits, five walks, an error, and three strikeouts — but whatever works.

Reberger, who saved the first game, came on in the eighth inning to try and close the second. The Reds, however, had other ideas. With one out, Pete Rose knocked a three-run homer to right to tie the game. After walking Bobby Tolan, Reberger served up a two-run shot to Alex Johnson. The Reds had reclaimed the lead, 9-7. The Padres tied it up again in the bottom half on a Jerry DaVanon double to right that plated Jose Arcia and Ivan Murrell.

The score remained 9-9 until the bottom of the 13th. Then, with right-hander Wayne Granger beginning his sixth inning of relief, Gonzalez led off with a grounder that first baseman Tony Perez couldn’t handle. After Ross sacrficed Gonzalez to second, Nate Colbert was intentionally walked. Granger struck out Gaston for the second out, but Spiezio followed with a single to left that scored Gonzalez and gave the Padres a 10-9 victory.

Trivia: In Chicago, Harmon Killebrew hit his 400th career home run off White Sox left-hander Gary Peters.

Elsewhere in the world: Led Zeppelin played at Fillmore West in San Francisco; Jimi Hendrix played at the Oakland Coliseum across the bay.

IGD: Padres @ Diamondbacks (26 Apr 07)

first pitch: 6:40 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Chris Young (2-1, 3.32 ERA) vs Livan Hernandez (1-1, 3.96 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

I’ve been fixing stuff all day, so no analysis here. In case you missed them earlier, here are Thursday’s 1969 Revisited installment and morning recap.

I could really use a win tonight. Go Padres!

When Is Zero Greater Than Sixteen?

The story was supposed to be Jake Peavy‘s 16 strikeouts and complete dominance. The story was supposed to be Terrmel Sledge‘s opposite field home run off sinkerballer Brandon Webb. The story was supposed to be anything but what it became.

It’s a credit to the Padres’ bullpen that a two-run lead headed to the eighth is considered a victory. Wednesday night provided a shocking reminder that this isn’t always the case. The fact that it came at the hands of Stephen “I Shoulda Been a Padre” Drew adds to the sting, but honestly, it’s nothing personal; a loss is a loss no matter how you slice it.

Peavy pitched the game of his life and gets nothing. Sorry, folks, I’m too disgusted to offer any cogent analysis. Maybe today will be better.

Padres Prospect Report

by Peter Friberg

You will not see all the notable performances from the night before, but you will see the notable performances from those who are actually prospects.

AAA

No games scheduled

AA

Chase Headley: 3 AB, 1 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; HR, BB – another home HR
Cesar Ramos: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 2 BB, 2 SO, 2 HR – the clock strikes midnight

High-A

David Freese: 5 AB, 0 R, 1 H, 0 RBI; 3 SO
Wade Leblanc: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR

Low-A

No games scheduled

Commentary:

It’s still too early to be conclusive, but Chase is now trending positively with his home/road splits:

Home: 32 AB: .281/.343/.500
Road: 37 AB: .432/.523/.811

I don’t get how BA (among others) rated Leblanc (16) behind Ramos (10).

Thanks, Peter. That’s all for now. Chris Young and Livan Hernandez square off tonight at 6:40 p.m. PT. We’ll have the IGD up and running by 5:30. Go Padres!

1969: Padres Mount Late Comeback to Defeat Reds

April 26, 1969, San Diego: Padres 5, Reds 2 (box score)

Dick Kelley and left-hander Jim Merritt locked horns in the second of four games between the Padres and Reds at San Diego Stadium. Merritt, who won 12 games with Minnesota the previous season, came to the Reds in a November 1968 deal that sent shortstop Leo Cardenas to the Twins.

On this day, Merritt dodged bullets through seven innings. The Padres put at least one runner on base in each of those frames, but couldn’t push any runs across. The Reds, meanwhile, had scored on a Johnny Bench home run to lead off the second inning and a Bench sacrifice fly in the fourth.

The Padres weren’t finished, though. Down 2-0 in the bottom of the eighth, Roberto Pena led off with a single to right. After another single by Ivan Murrell and a pop out by Al Ferrara, Nate Colbert drilled a three-run homer to left, giving the Padres a 3-2 lead. For Colbert, it was the third straight game in which he’d knocked a ball out of the park.

After a Cito Gaston groundout, Ed Spiezio singled to left, bringing up light-hitting Chris Cannizzaro. There’s an old adage that says opposing batters will let a pitcher know when he’s done. Cannizzaro let Merritt know by launching a two-run homer to left. After allowing just six hits through the first seven innings, Merrit allowed six more in the eighth.

Jack Baldschun, who had come on in relief of Kelley the previous inning, retired the Reds with ease in the ninth. The Padres, seemingly from out of nowhere, had come back to defeat the visitors and improve their record to 7-11 on the young season. Just 4,351 fans witnessed the Padres’ victory. This represented the lowest total in baseball that Saturday and the second lowest for the Padres in 10 home games.

Trivia: Baldschun attended Miami University (Ohio), the same school that future Padre pitcher Steve Fireovid later attended.

Elsewhere in the world: Morihei Ueshiba, founder of aikido, died; Jimi Hendrix played a concert at the L.A. Forum that spawned an out-of-print record.

IGD: Padres @ Diamondbacks (25 Apr 07)

first pitch: 6:40 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Jake Peavy (3-0, 2.13 ERA) vs Brandon Webb (1-1, 4.00 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

What am I supposed to do with four games worth of data from Jake Peavy? I want to analyze something, but it’s hard to tell which of these numbers are real. The closer I look, the more emphatic the message bcomes: ask again later.

I will note that Peavy has enjoyed a great deal of success against the current Diamondbacks roster. He’s held them to a .179/.228/.327 line over 168 career at-bats. The only guys who have done any real damage are Eric Byrnes (.333/.333/.583 in 12 AB) and Conor Jackson (.375/.444/.438 in 16 AB).

On the other side, Brandon Webb has been fairly effective (.252/.313/.380 in 242 AB) against current Padres. Adrian Gonzalez (.412/.474/.706 in 17 AB), Russell Branyan (.294/.381/.529 in 17 AB), and Jose Cruz Jr. (.333/.360/.458 in 24 AB) are the exceptions. Figure on Branyan and Cruz getting starts tonight.

Odd stat of the moment: Five players are tied for the team lead in walks. Branyan, Gonzalez, Rob Bowen, Mike Cameron, and Terrmel Sledge all have drawn eight free passes so far.

On the injury front, Josh Bard is due to come off the disabled list on Friday and there’s talk of whose spot he’ll take on the roster. Because Pete LaForest can be claimed on waivers if the Padres attempt to send him back to Triple-A, they may end up keeping three catchers.

This raises the question of who else might be moved to make room for Bard. The two most obvious choices would seem to be left-hander Justin Hampson and infielder Geoff Blum. The Padres, though, appear committed to both a 12-man pitching staff and the out machine that is Blum. My gut tells me that Oscar Robles is the odd man out, but we’ll see.

Meanwhile, there’s a game to be played. Go Padres!

Note: The site was down during this game, so discussion is over here. At some point, I hope to reintegrate those comments into this post. It’s kind of a pain in the rear, though, and I’ve already had enough of those for one day. ;-)

Gonzalez, Greene Ruin Big Unit’s Return

That was fun. Two old guys serving up meat, and plenty of it? What’s not to love.

Randy Johnson made his 2007 debut and looked a bit rusty. He had the good stuff, but his command wasn’t quite there and the Padres took advantage. Jose Cruz Jr., Adrian Gonzalez, and Khalil Greene all had field days at the plate against Johnson and a slew of relievers.

With the Padres down 2-0 in the third, Cruz drew a one-out walk. One out later, Gonzalez hammered a 2-0 fastball clocked at 93 mph out over the wall in left field to tie the game. According to the TV guys, this marked the 24th homer allowed to a lefty in 19 seasons by Johnson.

Greene pretty much did the rest. In the second inning, he smoked a 90-mph heater on the outer half for a ground-rule double to left. In the fourth, he punched another outside fastball to right for a rare single. Then in the fifth, he drove a 92-mph offering to the gap in left-center for a bases-clearing double that capped a six-run barrage against Johnson.

David Wells looked sharp at times, not so much at others. He had a nice curve working early in the game. In the second, Wells got Eric Byrnes and Tony Clark swinging for the first two outs, making them look silly in the process. But the southpaw then hung breaking balls to Chad Tracy (triple to right) and Carlos Quentin (homer to left) on back-to-back pitches.

Wells battled, but almost completely fell apart in the fifth. Staked to a 6-3 lead, he walked catcher Robby Hammock to start the inning. After retiring the next two batters, Wells served up back-to-back triples to Stephen Drew and Orlando Hudson. A walk to Byrnes got the bullpen busy, but Clark grounded to second to keep the score 6-5.

For the night, Wells allowed eight hits — three triples, a double, and a homer — in five innings. Now it became a battle of the bullpens. Advantage San Diego:

Padres and Diamondbacks Bullpens through April 23, 2007
  BA OBP SLG OPS+
Stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.
Padres .185 .260 .252 47
Diamondbacks .254 .344 .417 116

The Padres struck for their second consecutive four-run inning in the sixth. Most of the damage came against left-hander Dana Eveland, though righty Brandon Medders helped as well. Eveland presumably came in because Brian Giles and Gonzalez were due up third and fourth in the inning. Giles notched an RBI single, while Gonzalez followed with an RBI ground-rule double to left. So much for that strategy.

What followed was pure comedy genius. Greene hit a 2-1 slider on the outer half to left field. Byrnes came on to try and catch the sinking liner but the ball just got under his glove. Byrnes quickly recovered and fired home to try and nail Gonzalez. Inexplicably, Medders cut the ball off, whirled, and fired to second. Actually, he fired well past second and into a completely vacated spot in right-center, allowing Greene to score without a throw. This may not have been the ugliest play I’ve ever seen, but it’s up there.

The Padres ‘pen? Four hitless innings, yawn. Heath “Automatic for the People” Bell worked a perfect sixth and seventh, while Doug “Ya Gotta Have Heart” Brocail followed with a perfect eighth, before turning things over to Kevin “I’m Too Cool for a Nickname” Cameron and Trevor Hoffman to seal the victory. Cameron shouldn’t have needed the help, but Gonzalez made a rare error to keep the inning alive. As Anthony notes, Hoffman is one heckuva fallback option. Also, he threw only two pitches, so no harm done.

Padres Prospect Report

by Peter Friberg

You will not see all the notable performances from the night before, but you will see the notable performances from those who are actually prospects.

AAA

Postponed

AA

Chase Headley: 4 AB, 2 R, 3 H, 0 RBI; 2 2B, SO – Nice home game!

High-A

Matt Antonelli: 4 AB, 2 R, 2 H, 1 RBI; 2 BB, SB, CS
David Freese: 6 AB, 1 R, 4 H, 4 RBI; 3B
Chad Huffman: 4 AB, 1 R, 1 H, 0 RBI; 2 BB, SO
Matt Bush: 4 AB, 2 R, 2 H, 2 RBI; 2B, BB
Yordany Ramirez: 5 AB, 3 R, 3 H, 2 RBI, SB

Low-A

Cedric Hunter: 4 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 1 RBI; SB
Rayner Contreras: 3 AB, 0 R, 2 H, 0 RBI; SB
Drew Miller: 7.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 11 SO, 0 HR

Commentary:

Lake Elsinore scored 15 runs while only hitting three extra-base hits (one double and two triples).

LynchMob in the comments section (if you’re not commenting, get involved! We have a good group of bright Padres fans in there. As Colin Cowherd said on ESPNradio Tuesday morning, San Diego baseball fans are probably the most underrated baseball fans in the country. Okay, that’s a “long enough” aside) pointed out that I missed Drew Miller in my Top 25 (shame on me — if I re-did my rankings he’d be in the 12-16 range). Baseball America called him the 12th best Padres prospect. He’s already one of the hardest throwers in the system (he tops out at 96 according to BA) and he has a ceiling as a #3 starter.

. . .

Top College Shortstops

Baseball America released its top 50 high school and top 50 college prospects for the draft last week (for subscribers). However, since I pointed out that the Padres have holes at shortstop and a lack of elite pitchers, I wanted to look at those lists with my comments in mind.

It is virtually impossible and nearly irrelevant to rate high schoolers by their statistics, but you can get a good idea about a college hitter by looking at his statistics.

The following shortstops made Baseball America‘s “Midseason Update: College Top 50 Prospects” (alphabetically):

Zack Cozart Jr. R-R 6-1 190 Mississippi
272 AB: .338/.370/.515 with 16 2B, 1 3B, 10 HR, a 17/28 BB/SO ratio, & 15-18 SB-ATT

Todd Frazier Jr. R-R 6-4 215 Rutgers
147 AB: .381/.503/.755 with 9 HR, 2 3B, 14 HR, a 38/29 BB/SO ratio, & 17-20 SB-ATT

Josh Horton Jr. L-R 6-1 198 North Carolina
144 AB: .340/.473/.507 with 9 2B, 3 3B, 3 HR, a 35/6 BB/S0 ratio, & 6-6 SB-ATT

Danny Worth Jr. R-R 6-1 165 Pepperdine
177 AB: .373/.449/.548 with 18 2B, 2 3B, 3 HR, a 24/15 BB/SO ratio, & 9-13 SB-ATT

Based on a quick look at their statistics, I’d rate Frazier first (as BA does) followed in order by Horton (because of his sick plate discipline), Cozart, then Worth.

Again, this is without the aid of a scout’s eye and without an eye toward the players’ defensive abilities.

As always, big thanks to Peter for helping out with prospect coverage. Pads and Snakes again Wednesday night at 6:40 p.m. PT. Jake Peavy and Brandon Webb — should be fun. We’ll have the IGD up and running by 5:30. Go Padres!