Three years ago today that’s exactly what I was doing, giving WAG projections for the Padres 2002 pitching staff. WAGs on top, reality on the bottom.

                  IP   ERA BB  SO
Jarvis, Ke       180  4.94 55 121
                  35  4.37 10  24

Jones, Bo        180  5.05 52 104
                 108  5.50 21  60

Lawrence, Br     165  3.73 52 122
                 210  3.69 52 149

Tomko, Br        160  4.40 58 119
                 204  4.49 60 126

Tollberg, Br     145  4.06 39 100
                  62  6.13 19  33

Middlebrook, Ja   80  4.81 34  47
                  35  5.09 15  28 (w/SD)
                  51  4.73 22  42 (tot)

Baerlocher, Ry    75  5.18 32  49
                  --  ---- --  --

Hoffman, Tr       65  3.21 18  66
                  59  2.73 18  69

Tankersley, De    65  4.14 27  56
                  51  8.06 40  39

Fikac, Je         60  3.32 24  51
                  69  5.48 34  66

Embree, Al        55  4.91 21  50
                  29  0.94  9  38

Nunez, Jo         55  3.94 22  48
                   1  0.00  1   0

Davey, To         50  4.27 24  45
                  21  5.57 11  21

Herndon, Ju       50  5.19 19  22
                  --  ---- --  --

Clontz, Br        45  4.55 21  32
                  --  ---- --  --

Eaton, Ad         40  5.16 18  29
                  33  5.40 17  25

Bynum, Mi         30  5.15 14  21
                  27  5.27 15  17

Trujillo, J.      30  3.70 12  23
                   3 10.12  6   3

Bartosh, Cl       25  4.12 14  19
                  --  ---- --  --

Howard, Be        25  4.50 17  21
                  11  9.28 14  10

Peavy, Ja         25  4.06 11  18
                  98  4.52 33  90

I did pretty well with Lawrence, Tomko, and Hoffman; okay with Jones, Middlebrook, Eaton, and Bynum; not so good with the rest. I’d say I nailed 3 out of 21. Hey, it’s better odds than the lottery…