Predicting the Future, Badly
Thu, Feb 17, 2005
by Geoff Young
Three years ago today that’s exactly what I was doing, giving WAG projections for the Padres 2002 pitching staff. WAGs on top, reality on the bottom.
IP ERA BB SO
Jarvis, Ke 180 4.94 55 121
35 4.37 10 24
Jones, Bo 180 5.05 52 104
108 5.50 21 60
Lawrence, Br 165 3.73 52 122
210 3.69 52 149
Tomko, Br 160 4.40 58 119
204 4.49 60 126
Tollberg, Br 145 4.06 39 100
62 6.13 19 33
Middlebrook, Ja 80 4.81 34 47
35 5.09 15 28 (w/SD)
51 4.73 22 42 (tot)
Baerlocher, Ry 75 5.18 32 49
-- ---- -- --
Hoffman, Tr 65 3.21 18 66
59 2.73 18 69
Tankersley, De 65 4.14 27 56
51 8.06 40 39
Fikac, Je 60 3.32 24 51
69 5.48 34 66
Embree, Al 55 4.91 21 50
29 0.94 9 38
Nunez, Jo 55 3.94 22 48
1 0.00 1 0
Davey, To 50 4.27 24 45
21 5.57 11 21
Herndon, Ju 50 5.19 19 22
-- ---- -- --
Clontz, Br 45 4.55 21 32
-- ---- -- --
Eaton, Ad 40 5.16 18 29
33 5.40 17 25
Bynum, Mi 30 5.15 14 21
27 5.27 15 17
Trujillo, J. 30 3.70 12 23
3 10.12 6 3
Bartosh, Cl 25 4.12 14 19
-- ---- -- --
Howard, Be 25 4.50 17 21
11 9.28 14 10
Peavy, Ja 25 4.06 11 18
98 4.52 33 90
I did pretty well with Lawrence, Tomko, and Hoffman; okay with Jones, Middlebrook, Eaton, and Bynum; not so good with the rest. I’d say I nailed 3 out of 21. Hey, it’s better odds than the lottery…
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