trevor hoffman

When Projections Go Bad

Friday, May 30, 2008
by Geoff Young

What the heck, now is as good a time as any to revisit pre-season projections. I know, OPS and ERA aren't the end-all and be-all, but they're good enough for government work... Projections vs Reality: Hitters OPS PlayerBJ CH MA MI ZI DSAct Statistics are courtesy of FanGraphs and are through games of May 29, 2008. Click on column head for more info about projection system. Josh Bard785741791728767767540 Adrian Gonzalez839840842810862879894 Tadahito Iguchi760737756723751732657 Kevin Kouzmanoff882796789740837858741 Khalil Greene762764752747742773599 Scott Hairston833740769721722794714 Jim Edmonds830766782739784756498 Brian Giles820777783732773789815 Gonzalez and Giles are doing as well as or better than expected; Iguchi, Kouzmanoff, and Hairston are underperforming; and Bard, Greene, and Edmonds aren't even close. Projections vs Reality: Pitchers ERA PlayerBJ CH MA...

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Posted in Projections | 42 Comments »

IGD: Padres @ Mariners (17 May 08)

Saturday, May 17, 2008
by Geoff Young

Padres (16-27) @ Mariners (16-27) Randy Wolf vs Erik Bedard 7:10 p.m. PT Channel 4SD AM 1090, FM 105.7, XM 181 MLB, B-R Nice job by Trevor Hoffman on Friday night. For those who remain unclear on the dangers of judging a man based on an eight-game sample, here's a clue: Trevor Hoffman's Last 24 Games GIPHHRBBSOERABAOBPSLG Statistics are courtesy of Baseball-Reference and are through games of May 15, 2008. 8/28/07 - 9/25/078860161.13.207.233.241 9/28/07 - 4/11/088712151012.86.375.447.688 4/13/08 - 5/16/0888511101.13.179.207.321 And, no, you don't want to go reaching any conclusions based solely on this most recent stretch either.

Posted in In-Game Discussion | 91 Comments »

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Friday Links (25 Apr 08)

Friday, April 25, 2008
by Geoff Young

I'm pressed for time this morning, so links are offered with minimal commentary (and there was much rejoicing): Alan Drooz at the U-T misses Mike Cameron (h/t PM). Clay Hensley's first rehab start went well (h/t Field39). MB at Friar Forecast asks how we know when a player is done. Good question. Amy Nelson at ESPN jumps on the bandwagon and writes about Trevor Hoffman (h/t Coronado Mike). Tom Krasovic at the U-T informs us that Chase Headley was sent ...

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Posted in Notes and Links | 40 Comments »

Monkeys on Roller Skates

Thursday, April 24, 2008
by Geoff Young

Thanks to reader Lance for hooking us up with seats two rows behind the visitors dugout on Wednesday night. First time I've been anywhere near that close at Petco Park, and it's a whole different experience. For a guy like me who lives in nosebleed, just, wow. Also, belated welcome to all the folks at Gaslamp Ball who came over and hung with us while GLB was unavailable. Good to see so many familiar names as I browsed through the IGD.The national story will be that Trevor Hoffman blew a save. Hooray for the media. Here are some other stories that won't get as much play: Brian Giles struck out ...

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Posted in Game Recaps | 73 Comments »

None More Epic

Saturday, April 19, 2008
by Geoff Young

I'm late to the party -- blame a lack of sleep and previously scheduled interview (Jim returned the favor and interviewed me at AZ Snakepit) -- but here are some observations from Thursday's epic 22-inning battle with the Rockies: Jake Peavy dominated. Yeah, the game went another 14 innings after Peavy departed, but he was brilliant. Trevor Hoffman can thank Petco Park for killing two thunderous fly balls and keeping the game alive in the ninth. I'm still not ready to give up on baseball's all-time saves leader, but Hoffman's margin for error has slipped ...

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Posted in Game Recaps | 17 Comments »

Friday Links (11 Apr 08)

Friday, April 11, 2008
by Geoff Young

Quick reminder: The Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual is on sale. People tell me it doesn't suck, so go buy a copy or three. To the links... Jake Peavy has a mysterious substance on his hand (Yahoo!, h/t Kevin) and suddenly the "national" media knows where San Diego is. Solid effort, guys. Love this quote from Peavy: There's nothing on my hands that's not supposed to be. I thought it was funny that it was such a big deal. I've got no problems with anytime anybody needs to check me. In other words, he says "bring it," which is exactly what ...

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Posted in Notes and Links | 51 Comments »

I, Me, Mine

Thursday, April 10, 2008
by Geoff Young

No game on Thursday. Hey, the Padres can't lose. ;-) Meanwhile, I've been working on a few other things: John at MadFriars asked me a few questions about the Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual. I'll also be pimping the Annual on Bases Loaded with Elliott Price. Elliott is the former long-time play-by-play voice of the Montreal Expos. This is scheduled to air at 11 a.m. PT. My latest article at Hardball Times examines the belief that Trevor Hoffman struggles in non-save situations. I'm leaving Knuckle Curve to join the staff at Baseball Digest Daily. I've been ...

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Posted in Notes and Links, Open Thread, Site News | 123 Comments »