The Perils of Projecting

Friday, September 5, 2008
by Geoff Young
Five years ago today I was extolling the virtues of one Sean Burroughs, noting the similarities between his second big-league season and that of Derek Jeter. It sounds ridiculous now, but the comparison seemed valid at the time: Sean Burroughs vs Derek Jeter, Sophomore Season  AgePABAOBPSLGOPS+ Statistics are courtesy of Baseball-Reference. Burroughs22578.286.352.402105 Jeter23748.291.370.405103 The key word here is "seemed." It's important to remember (and something I have to remind myself of constantly) that no two snowflakes are alike, even though they may look the same. It's also important to remember that there are no "sure things" when it comes to prospects. How does this apply to the current rebuilding project? Well, a lot of times -- ...

Padres Farm Report: Spotlight on Lake Elsinore

Wednesday, August 6, 2008
by Geoff Young
The situation may be bleak in San Diego this year, but a mere 74 miles to the north, things are looking pretty good. Let's take a quick drive up I-15 and see what's happening with the Storm... Lake Elsinore Storm in a Box: Record: 53-61 Runs Scored: 648 Runs Allowed: 629 BA/OBP/SLG: .275/.357/.400 (California League: .274/.343/.413) ERA: 4.89 (CAL: 4.57) DER: .628 (MWL: .629) Source: Baseball-Reference. First, the bad news. The pitching at Elsinore has been brutal. Only two teams, Rancho Cucamonga and High Desert, have higher team ERAs so far in 2008. High Desert has a good excuse, playing half its games in one of the most extreme environments in all of affiliated baseball. The Diamond, home of the Storm, historically has favored ...
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Padres Farm Report (8 Jul 08)

Tuesday, July 8, 2008
by Geoff Young
FYI, I'm way behind on my email. I don't expect that to change anytime soon. If you're expecting a response from me, it may be a while... Triple-A -- Fresno 11, Portland 10 Craig Stansberry (SS): 3-for-5, 3B, BB Peter Ciofrone: 1-for-4, BB, HBP Will Venable: 1-for-4, 2B, 2 BB Justin Huber (1B): 0-for-5, SF Vince Sinisi: 2-for-5, BB Colt Morton: 3-for-6, HR Matt Antonelli: 0-for-4 Cesar Ramos: 4.2 IP, 8 H, 8 R, 2 HR, 2 BB, 3 SO, HBP...

Padres Farm Report (29 Jun 08)

Sunday, June 29, 2008
by Geoff Young
Note that these reports will be on hiatus while I'm driving around California and Oregon. I'll be at the Beavers game on Monday and the Emeralds game on Tuesday. My schedule is very aggressive, but I'll try to sneak in some info, pix, and/or videos from the road. If not, they'll have to wait till I return... Triple-A -- Portland 7, Colorado Springs 2 Matt Antonelli: 2-for-4, BB Chip Ambres: 2-for-4, SF Will Venable: 0-for-1, 3 BB Nick Hundley: 1-for-4, HR Peter ...

Padres Farm Report (22 Jun 08)

Sunday, June 22, 2008
by Geoff Young
The Padres have signed supplemental first-round pick Jaff Decker [h/t Jonathan S.]. Triple-A -- Portland 4, Tacoma 2 Matt Antonelli: 1-for-4, 2B, SB Chip Ambres (RF): 1-for-4, 2B Brian Myrow: 2-for-4 Will Venable (CF): 4-for-4, 2B Nick Hundley: 0-for-4 Justin Huber: 1-for-3, BB Luis Rodriguez (DH): 0-for-4 Cesar Ramos: 7 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 5 SO Adam Bass: 0.2 IP, 1 H, ...

Padres Farm Report (19 Jun 08)

Thursday, June 19, 2008
by Geoff Young
Before we get to the goods, one of our readers was at Monday's Hall of Fame game (you know, the one between the Padres and Cubs that got rained out) and took some photos, as well as a video of Trevor Hoffman playing catch with one of his sons. Pretty cool... Triple-A -- Portland 4, Tucson 3 Matt Antonelli: 2-for-4, BB, SB Peter Ciofrone (3B): 1-for-5 Chip Ambres (RF): 1-for-5 Brian Myrow: 1-for-4, BB Will Venable (CF): 3-for-4, 2B...

Padres Farm Report (18 Jun 08)

Wednesday, June 18, 2008
by Geoff Young
Triple-A -- Tucson 7, Portland 3 Matt Antonelli: 1-for-4, 2B, BB Peter Ciofrone (3B): 0-for-5 Chip Ambres (RF): 0-for-5 Brian Myrow: 1-for-4, BB Will Venable (CF): 1-for-4, HR Nick Hundley: 2-for-2, HR, 2 BB Vince Sinisi (LF): 2-for-3, BB Luis Rodriguez: 0-for-3, BB Wade LeBlanc: 6 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 1 HR, 3 BB, 9 SO Dirk Hayhurst: 2 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 ...