Padres Preview, Um, Preview

I’m about three-quarters of the way through with my Padres Preview for BTF. Here’s a sneak peak at a player near and dear to our hearts, Khalil Greene:

This time last year, the shortstop job was wide open in San Diego. Greene took control in spring and proved to be one of the stabilizing influences on the ballclub until a freak injury ended his season in early September. Last year in this space I said: “Greene frequently is compared to Rich Aurilia, and if Greene takes the job, he’ll hit about like Aurilia did in his first full season (.266/.319/.407).” Turns out we underestimated Greene’s hitting ability, as he finished up at .273/.349/.446 (including a whopping .294/.337/.647 in 85 at-bats as leadoff hitter). Particularly encouraging was his second half showing. Greene hit .293/.351/.540 after the All-Star break and likely would have won Rookie of the Year honors had he not broken his right index finger on a bad hop grounder with two weeks to play. Here’s a quick comparison between Greene’s first full season and those of a couple other heralded young shortstops:


        Age  PA   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+ WS
Greene   24 554 .273 .349 .446 112  20
Jeter    22 654 .314 .370 .430 101  18
Tejada   23 674 .251 .325 .427  91  20

Defensively Greene doesn’t have spectacular range but he has good instincts and a quick release on his throws. He also turns the double play well and doesn’t panic. Greene was one of the keys to the Padres’ big turnaround in 2004. If he stays healthy, he should build on his rookie season and be a very productive hitter at the bottom of the order, with 20+ homers a real possibility.

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