Two of my colleagues/friends at Hardball Times have penned articles that should be of interest to Padres fans.
First up, Myron Logan examines Jed Hoyer’s moves this winter. Myron’s thoughts pretty much mirror my own, and his discussion of Adrian Gonzalez is spot on:
With only one year left on his team-friendly deal (he’ll make $6.3 million in 2011), Gonzalez’s value is diminished. He’s a great player, sure, but starting in 2012 he’s going to be paid at a near free-market rate, and that is going to minimize his surplus value. From a business perspective, the Padres have maximized Gonzalez’s prime years while paying him much less than his worth, then traded him away for younger workers at just the right time.
Myron also breaks down each of the moves by projected WAR, and the results are enlightening. It isn’t so much that the Padres have lost a great deal of talent as redistributed it more evenly. In other words, all their eggs are no longer in the Gonzalez basket. Yeah, it still stings but diversification of assets is a good thing.
Chris Jaffe, meanwhile, predicts 2011 Hall of Fame results. He does this every year, and it’s always a fun read. This year’s hopefuls include former Padres Roberto Alomar, Fred McGriff, and Kevin Brown, as well as San Diego native Alan Trammell. One of those guys stands a great chance of being elected.