League Offensive Levels for Padres Affiliates, 2007

Wednesday, December 5, 2007
by Geoff Young
Yesterday we were talking about Rookie-league numbers and reader Didi asked about something I hinted at but didn't delve into as much as I might have. I wasn't being coy, so much as I was being... disorganized. In discussing the motivation behind providing comparable players for Padres minor leaguers, I noted that: Cedric Hunter hit .282/.344/.373 in the Midwest League, which seems really low until you consider how much his league suppressed offense in 2007. Didi then asked: Is it possible to describe the league (as you mentioned the number of games played and league average numbers) to add a bit more detail? Yes, it is absolutely possible. It also is absolutely necessary: Offensive Stats by League, 2007  MLBPCLTEXCALMWLNWLAZLDSL Statistics are courtesy of Baseball-Reference and ESPN. R/G4.805.134.635.594.345.135.664.65 BA.268.279.264.271.255.259.264.238 OBP.336.346.338.344.324.344.350.338 SLG.423.437.407.426.372.386.377.320 BB/SO.500.494.503.477.417.456.464.542 ISO.155.158.143.155.117.127.113.082 As you can see, ...

Why I Don’t Trust Rookie-League Numbers

Tuesday, December 4, 2007
by Geoff Young
I spent most of Monday piecing together the minor-league chapter for the Ducksnorts 2008 Annual. Mainly I worked on the pitchers -- Mat Latos and a whole lot of strike throwers with minimal upside. Part of what I'm doing is trying to provide context for individual players. When you look at a stat line, you need to know something about the environment in which it was produced in order to make sense of it. Comparable Players To that end, I'm playing around with comparables for key position players in the Padres organization (haven't decided if I'll do the same with pitchers). These have no predictive value but hopefully give some indication of how well a player performed relative to his current league. For example, Cedric Hunter hit .282/.344/.373 in ...
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