Projections

Archive for the ‘Projections’ Category

OBG08: Wolf, Prior, and Others

Thursday, February 7, 2008
by Geoff Young

OBG08: Le Menu Josh Bard/Michael Barrett Adrian Gonzalez Tadahito Iguchi Kevin Kouzmanoff Khalil Greene Scott Hairston Chase Headley Jim Edmonds Brian Giles Jake Peavy Chris Young Greg Maddux As a reminder, we're looking for your individual best guess on how these players will perform in 2008. Attempting to compensate for other guesses that you don't agree with defeats the purpose of the exercise. Okay, enough with the lecture. Now we get to the scary part of the rotation. I've got projections here for Randy Wolf, Mark Prior, and Clay Hensley. If you want to throw something out there for, say, Shawn Estes, Justin Germano, Enrique Gonzalez, or Glendon Rusch, go right ahead. Eric Nolte? Sure, why not. Randy Wolf Wolf is basically a ...

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Posted in Projections | 38 Comments »

OBG08: Greg Maddux

Wednesday, February 6, 2008
by Geoff Young

Last week I promised you a book update, so here it is: I'm making a few final tweaks to the back cover and glossary. The foreword is being written by a super secret guest (feel free to guess, although I'll neither confirm nor deny) and I expect to have that in my hands early next week. From there, I'll finalize the index, send everything to the printer, and order a proof so I can examine the physical product and make sure everything is okay. Assuming it is, then I just push a button and voila, the book will be on sale. Geoff @ The Pitch Brandon Rosage ...

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Posted in 2008 Baseball Annual, Projections | 55 Comments »

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OBG08: Chris Young

Tuesday, February 5, 2008
by Geoff Young

I was flipping through The 1996 Big Bad Baseball Annual (aff link) and ran across Don Malcolm's preview of the Padres that year. First off, Malcolm's discussion of Skip Spence was inspired, if a bit incongruous. A small sampling, from page 201: Occasionally there is a scraggy looking, doubled-over raggedy man, with a heavily weathered face and the remnants of a once-toothy grin flashing in a skeletal grimace, who can be seen wandering the aisles in the cheap seats at Jack Murphy Stadium. He stumbles from ...

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Posted in Projections | 28 Comments »

OBG08: Jake Peavy

Monday, February 4, 2008
by Geoff Young

Before we get to the projections, a quick note on the Khalil Greene deal that happened over the weekend. I've already discussed Greene's situation at length, so I'll just say now that I'm glad both sides worked together to get something done. The contract isn't as long as I (or the Padres) would have liked, but at least it eliminates the need for arbitration. It also gives the two sides a little more time to figure out whether an even longer term arrangement might be mutually beneficial. Optimal? Perhaps not. ...

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Posted in Projections | 29 Comments »

OBG08: Brian Giles

Sunday, February 3, 2008
by Geoff Young

What to say about Brian Giles? His power is pretty much gone (except when he visits Cincinnati -- that's July 21 - 23 if you're keeping score at home), and last year his walk totals took a dive. He also played all season with a bum knee that required surgery. Giles is 37 years old, so a rebound is far from assured. Still, if he can stay healthy, I expect a slight uptick: 600 PA, .282/.382/.432. This could be wishful thinking on my part, but I'm feeling a little froggy today.

Posted in Projections | 27 Comments »

OBG08: Jim Edmonds

Saturday, February 2, 2008
by Geoff Young

OBG08: Le Menu Josh Bard/Michael Barrett Adrian Gonzalez Tadahito Iguchi Kevin Kouzmanoff Khalil Greene Scott Hairston Chase Headley Before we get to Jim Edmonds, here's a quick recap of where things stand to date. Eventually I'll post a comprehensive list of our projections and upload a spreadsheet so everyone can ridicule us or whatever, but for now, if you haven't gotten your guesses in, please go to the appropriate entry and do so. Or not. Your call. Anywho, on to Edmonds. I really do not have a good feel for what he's capable of at this stage in his career. He's 38 years old and he barely cracked 400 plate appearances each of the past two seasons. His offensive skills appear to be in precipitous decline ...

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Posted in Projections | 35 Comments »

OBG08: Chase Headley

Thursday, January 31, 2008
by Geoff Young

Before we get started, I've got a new article up at Hardball Times that takes a look back at what Bill James once predicted for the future of Barry Bonds. As they say, it's interesting if you're interested in that sort of thing. Moving on, let's talk about Chase Headley. Far be it from someone named "Geoff" to run smack on another person's name, but doesn't "Chase Headley" sound like a soap opera character? He would wear cardigan sweaters, hunt pheasant, and say things like, "Do fetch me some champagne, dear boy." Anyway, the real Chase Headley ...

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Posted in Projections | 70 Comments »