It’s time to start wrapping up our community projections. We’ve got about 20-25 guesses for most players so far. If you’ve contributed already, thanks. If you haven’t, head on over and do that thing:
Relief Pitchers
Starting Pitchers
Outfielders
Catchers and Infielders
I’ll leave these open till Friday, tally everything up over the weekend, and present the final results sometime [...]
Speaking of projections, we’re in the process of assembling the Ducksnorts community IVIE projections. If you’ve entered your guesses already, thanks; if not, go for it:
Relief Pitchers
Starting Pitchers
Outfielders
Catchers and Infielders
I’ve listed relievers first because they’re not getting much love (except from Fangraphs). Fix that for me, would you?
THT Forecasts have arrived. The marketing points:
Oliver projections for the next six years for over 7,000 major and minor league players. These projections include hitting, pitching, and fielding statistics (the latter based on Brian Cartwright’s own play-by-play system), wins above replacement (WAR) projections, and coming soon, base running as well. You can read more about [...]
It’s time once again to assemble our Ducksnorts community IVIE projections. For the curious, IVIE stands for Insipid Value Indication Estimator and, in the grand tradition of assigning cutesy acronyms to projection systems, is named in honor of former Padres first-round pick Mike Ivie.
In the past, we’ve solicited guesses in the comments, but this year [...]
In the interest of accountability and because there’s not much else to do in January, I thought we’d look back at our community projections made in March 2009.
First, the hitters:
Projected
Actual
Player
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
Comments
Matt Antonelli
224
.237
.322
.343
0
-
-
-
Hit .196/.300/.339 in 219 PA at Triple-A Portland
Henry Blanco
197
.234
.282
.344
232
.235
.320
.382
Chris Burke
184
.234
.310
.341
89
.207
.270
.305
Everth Cabrera
130
.201
.282
.287
438
.255
.342
.361
Obliterated expectations
David Eckstein
450
.274
.343
.350
568
.260
.323
.334
Cliff Floyd
208
.254
.342
.420
17
.125
.176
.125
Why did a National League team need a DH again?
Jody Gerut
488
.287
.354
.455
298
.230
.279
.376
Game fell [...]
Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you the comatosely accurate IVIE projections for 2009 (explanation). For the hitters, I’ve included the name of a player whose career line is similar to our projection. As always, thanks to all who participated. Enjoy…
Padres IVIE Projections for 2009: Hitters
Player
No.
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
Comp
Matt Antonelli
14
224
.237
.322
.343
Desi Relaford
Henry Blanco
23
197
.234
.282
.344
Buck Martinez
Chris Burke
14
184
.234
.310
.341
Rob Wilfong
Everth Cabrera
12
130
.201
.282
.287
Johnnie LeMaster
David Eckstein
15
450
.274
.343
.350
Tom [...]
You may have heard me on the radio during your Monday morning commute… if you happen to live in Montreal. Big thanks to Elliott, Shaun, and Denis at The Team 990 for having me on to talk Padres baseball.
IVIE community projections
catchers
infielders
outfielders
starting pitchers
I’ve also got a guest post up at Baseball Analysts. Thanks to Rich Lederer [...]
I hope you had an excellent weekend. I finally saw Stephen Strasburg pitch on Friday and was not disappointed. Then I watched Team Mexico and Team Korea work out at Petco Park on Saturday in preparation for their WBC games here this week. If you don’t mind dropping $50 for a $19 seat, you might [...]
In case you missed it, we’re doing community projections again this year. Read the introduction to learn more about the comatosely accurate IVIEs, available only here at Ducksnorts.
To the outfield we go…
Padres IVIE Projections (Draft) for 2009: Outfielders
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
Cliff Floyd
250
.262
.343
.417
Jody Gerut
450
.284
.345
.471
Brian Giles
600
.274
.361
.414
Scott Hairston
400
.247
.308
.466
Chase Headley
550
.270
.352
.432
Will Venable
225
.247
.306
.346
Floyd is one of those guys who even when he can’t do [...]
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Comping Cabrera: Eeyore’s Rebuttal
I don’t know why I’m so fascinated by Everth Cabrera. He doesn’t figure to be as critical a piece of the eventual puzzle as guys like Kyle Blanks and Mat Latos, but Cabrera’s skill set intrigues me.
Also, there’s the fact that he successfully made the jump from A-ball to the big leagues. We’ve noted that [...]