In case you missed it, we’re doing community projections again this year. Read the introduction to learn more about the comatosely accurate IVIEs, available only here at Ducksnorts.
To the outfield we go…
| PA | BA | OBP | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Floyd | 250 | .262 | .343 | .417 |
| Jody Gerut | 450 | .284 | .345 | .471 |
| Brian Giles | 600 | .274 | .361 | .414 |
| Scott Hairston | 400 | .247 | .308 | .466 |
| Chase Headley | 550 | .270 | .352 | .432 |
| Will Venable | 225 | .247 | .306 | .346 |
Floyd is one of those guys who even when he can’t do anything else will still be able to hit, which is good because he can’t do anything else.
My two underlying assumptions with Gerut are that he’ll slip from last year’s performance and he won’t make it through the season unscathed. Beyond that, I have no idea what to expect.
I hope folks appreciate how great Giles was in 2008. At his age, he won’t do that again, but he’ll continue to provide value until he’s traded.
Hairston is turning into a handy fourth outfielder. I could see him getting moved at some point during the season — maybe after one of his hot streaks.
Headley’s projections assume he won’t hurt himself trying to play left field. Actually, everyone else’s projections assume he won’t hurt them.
I could see Venable performing much better than this. His minor-league numbers don’t paint the picture of a ballplayer, but he sure looked like one in September.
You know the drill: give me your guesses in the format PA, BA/OBP/SLG. We’ll cover the pitchers next week.
PA BA OBP SLG
Cliff Floyd 200 .266 .337 .425
Jody Gerut 425 .291 .345 .451
Brian Giles 600 .283 .361 .425
Scott Hairston 350 .247 .310 .455
Chase Headley 550 .275 .330 .450
Will Venable 225 .275 .320 .375
Cliff Floyd 200 .250 .325 .430
Jody Gerut 550 .290 .345 .450
Brian Giles 600 .290 .375 .400
Scott Hairston 300 .240 .310 .435
Chase Headley 550 .265 .365 .440
Will Venable 355 .266 .320 .350
I don’t see Giles in the blue and sand past May and I also think that Kouz will be moved at the deadline and Headley will play the last half of the year at 3B.
Floyd 220 .258/.341/.419
Gerut 415 .284/.348/.465
Giles 590 .280/.378/.427
Hairston 390 .253/.322/.465
Headley 534 .269/.347/.442
Venable 225 .255/.315/.377
1) Believe it or not, I did not look at your projections prior to making mine. They are quite similar though (even on the PA).
2) I think I may be underestimating Hairston’s PA. If Kouz is traded at some point, Hairston will surely see a lot more playing time in LF.
Hey Geoff, did you see last night’s Mexico game? Big time San Diego connection…there was 3 ex- San Diego high school starters Robles, Sandoval and Gonzalez (all 3 and Murrillo played ball in Tijuana)
Cliff Floyd 210 .250 .340 .403
Jody Gerut 420 .274 .385 .471
Brian Giles 600 .290 .370 .405
Scott Hairston 385 .230 .301 .425
Chase Headley 580 .281 .335 .435
Will Venable 205 .250 .306 .352
Floyd 200 .255 .330 .410
Gerut 550 .301 .355 .501
Giles 500 .265 .381 .405
Hairston 350 .247 .304 .458
Headley 600 .257 .337 .445
Venable 300 .258 .331 .386
Cliff Floyd 250 .239 .343 .417
Jody Gerut 450 .284 .345 .471
Brian Giles 550 .285 .370 .414
Scott Hairston 400 .247 .308 .466
Chase Headley 550 .270 .352 .432
I agree on Hariston/Headley, but I am surprised that you are predicting a career worst year for OG.
Floyd may not adapt well to pinch hitting so I think that his numbers should be smaller, but it is really hard to tell.
It is interesting that everybody is projecting a fire sale by the all star break.
Cliff Floyd .275/.388/.425, 200 Ab’s
Jody Gerut .275/.390/.410, 500 Ab’s
Brian Giles .288/.400/.425, 600 Ab’s
Scott Hairston .251/.320/.450, 250 Ab’s
Chase Headley .271/.325/.475, 450 Ab’s
Will Venable .240/.291/.300, 70 Ab’s