Comments on: Our Best Guesses for 2008: Josh Bard and Michael Barrett http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html Blogging the San Diego Padres baseball club. Established 1997. Sat, 22 Nov 2008 03:15:25 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.2 By: LynchMob http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-149876 LynchMob Tue, 12 Feb 2008 21:07:39 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-149876 BP's PECOTA likes Bard ... or at least I like what BP's PECOTA is predicting ... STAT OF THE DAY Top 5 2008 NL Catchers, by PECOTA Projected VORP Player, Team, EqA, VORP Russell Martin, LAN, .280, 29.9 Brian McCann, ATL, .275, 29.7 Josh Bard, SDN, .278, 26.7 J.R. House, HOU, .275, 25.5 Geovany Soto, CHN, .274, 23.5<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-149876">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> BP’s PECOTA likes Bard … or at least I like what BP’s PECOTA is predicting …

STAT OF THE DAY

Top 5 2008 NL Catchers, by PECOTA Projected VORP

Player, Team, EqA, VORP

Russell Martin, LAN, .280, 29.9
Brian McCann, ATL, .275, 29.7
Josh Bard, SDN, .278, 26.7
J.R. House, HOU, .275, 25.5
Geovany Soto, CHN, .274, 23.5

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]]> By: Richard http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-146500 Richard Tue, 05 Feb 2008 02:23:41 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-146500 Bard: 450 PA, .290/.370/.410 Barrett: 200 PA, .250/.310/.380<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-146500">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Bard: 450 PA, .290/.370/.410

Barrett: 200 PA, .250/.310/.380

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]]> By: Masticore317 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-143108 Masticore317 Sat, 26 Jan 2008 13:05:45 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-143108 Bard: 350 PA, .280/.365/.415 Barrett: 300 PA, .275/.335/.465<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-143108">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Bard: 350 PA, .280/.365/.415
Barrett: 300 PA, .275/.335/.465

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]]> By: Coronado Mike http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142712 Coronado Mike Fri, 25 Jan 2008 13:39:09 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142712 Bard: 410 PA, .277/.351/.402 Barrett: 281 PA, .268/.320/.417<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-142712">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Bard: 410 PA, .277/.351/.402
Barrett: 281 PA, .268/.320/.417

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]]> By: Lance Richardson http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142599 Lance Richardson Fri, 25 Jan 2008 06:33:13 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142599 Bard: 450 PA, .265/.335/.400 Barrett: 300 PA, .285/.345/.475 I suspect that Barrett will be used primarily in situations that he is most likely to succeed offensively, which will help his numbers. If he's not traded, that is...<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-142599">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Bard: 450 PA, .265/.335/.400
Barrett: 300 PA, .285/.345/.475

I suspect that Barrett will be used primarily in situations that he is most likely to succeed offensively, which will help his numbers.

If he’s not traded, that is…

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]]> By: Geoff Young http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142587 Geoff Young Fri, 25 Jan 2008 06:01:24 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142587 Fourteen precincts now reporting: Bard: 426 PA, .280/.356/.412 Barrett: 246 PA, .262/.323/.417<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-142587">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Fourteen precincts now reporting:

Bard: 426 PA, .280/.356/.412
Barrett: 246 PA, .262/.323/.417

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]]> By: Didi http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142567 Didi Fri, 25 Jan 2008 04:47:46 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142567 Bard: 440 PA, .287/.349/.427 Barrett: 198 PA, .260/.314/.401<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-142567">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Bard: 440 PA, .287/.349/.427
Barrett: 198 PA, .260/.314/.401

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]]> By: SDSUBaseball http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142535 SDSUBaseball Fri, 25 Jan 2008 03:37:35 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142535 Bard 450 PA .285/.350/.410 Barrett 250 PA .255/.310/.425<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-142535">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Bard 450 PA .285/.350/.410

Barrett 250 PA .255/.310/.425

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]]> By: Pat http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142526 Pat Fri, 25 Jan 2008 03:04:17 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142526 24: And Baseball Prospectus' fielding stats have been pretty heavily denigrated by the BTF crowd. ymmv.<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-142526">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> 24: And Baseball Prospectus’ fielding stats have been pretty heavily denigrated by the BTF crowd. ymmv.

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]]> By: Pat http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142524 Pat Fri, 25 Jan 2008 03:02:23 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2008/01/our-best-guesses-for-2008-josh-bard-and-michael-barrett.html#comment-142524 I'll go: Bard 450 PA .275/.357/.415 Barrett 150 PA .250/.320/.365 I'm going with more regression, I think, than most on Bard, but for a 30 year old catcher in Petco, I think that's great production. I think Barrett is toast. I looked at his splits to try to get a grip on his drop off last season. He was freakishly bad against LH pitching. The last time he was that bad was in 2004, before all of his big seasons. I'm going to go with the idea he's lost whatever edge he had developed though experience against LH'ers to aging. But that's OK because Bard is going to rake. :-)<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-142524">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> I’ll go:

Bard 450 PA .275/.357/.415

Barrett 150 PA .250/.320/.365

I’m going with more regression, I think, than most on Bard, but for a 30 year old catcher in Petco, I think that’s great production. I think Barrett is toast. I looked at his splits to try to get a grip on his drop off last season. He was freakishly bad against LH pitching. The last time he was that bad was in 2004, before all of his big seasons. I’m going to go with the idea he’s lost whatever edge he had developed though experience against LH’ers to aging.

But that’s OK because Bard is going to rake. :-)

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