Comments on: Friday Links (19 Oct 07)

By: Peter Friberg

Peter Friberg — Sun, 21 Oct 2007 04:52:23 +0000

GY, I saw your post at KnuckleCurve about Crisp sitting might drive down his price. I agree, but I can't help but wonder if his value is dropping along with the price...

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By: dprat

dprat — Sun, 21 Oct 2007 02:14:38 +0000

45: Pretty girls in Mexico, too, but that video is from the Licey team in the Dominican Republic.

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By: Kevin

Kevin — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 06:04:01 +0000

Garry Templeton is not my Padre either.

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By: anthony

anthony — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 05:17:23 +0000

I’m fine with Bard as the primary catcher but we really need to get a strong defensive catcher as a backup. I know the opponents SB rate isn’t a huge concern to the team and it’s more a function of the pitcher than the catcher but I’d like to see a guy with a gun back there on Bard’s days off.

47: If the Padres don’t sign some starters they’re basically throwing in the towel on 2008. We got lucky with Germano, the league caught up to his mediocre stuff toward the end of the year. I’m cautiously optimistic about Tomko as a #5 guy but we really need to sign at least one innings eater for the #4 slot, Livan Hernandez, Carlos Silva, someone like that. And it would be nice to have a decent swingman who can step in if someone goes down. Ledezma reminds me of Dewon Brazelton….

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By: Ben B.

Ben B. — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 03:37:32 +0000

Uh oh. In his recent mailbag at padres.com Corey Brock guesses that it’s probably just going to be some combination of Hensley, Germano, Cassel, Tomko, and maybe Geer at the back of the rotation.
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/articl.....red=rss_sd

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By: Ben B.

Ben B. — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 02:08:03 +0000

Looking over Posada’s BR page, I hadn’t realized he was such a good hitter. The .338 batting average this year came out of absolutely nowhere (previous career high .287), but he has a lot higher walk rate than I thought. But I’d guess the 122 and 109 OPS+ numbers he put up in his previous two season are much more accurate predictors of the numbers he’ll put up going forward than his 155 number from this year. Similarly I’m guessing the 107 Bard put up this year in full time duty is about his true talent level for the next couple of years.

That was my thinking on downplaying the gap. Posada would definitely help this team. As with everything, it all comes down to the dollars and years he’s actually going to get.

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By: Oside Jon

Oside Jon — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 02:02:04 +0000

I love that Youtube video of those hot chicks. I'm moving to Mexico.

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By: Richard

Richard — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 01:22:18 +0000

43: Given that we can expect a drop off in Posada’s performance, the gap isn’t *that* big, but fair point. I guess I was thinking more along the lines that Bard isn’t “part of the problem” offensively.

As for Bonds, I seem to recall him referring to PetCo as “baseball proof,” so maybe he wouldn’t want to call it home.

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By: Tom Waits

Tom Waits — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 01:00:25 +0000

40 (Kent): You’re right. He didn’t pop off about the kids until his option vested.

40, 42 (Posada): The dropoff from Posada to Bard isn’t that big? Posada’s averaged 25 HR a year, with a 381 OBP and a 479 SLG. The last 4 years his HR are more like 20….10 to 15 more than we can expect from Bard. A 127 OPS+ vs 102 for their careers is a major gap. That’s basically the difference between Mike Cameron and a mid-80s OPS+ CF, which aren’t that hard to find.

42 (Bonds): The court issue is important. Reporters speculate that the Feds and maybe baseball will go after him hard after the Mitchell report. But in baseball terms, 350 plate appearances of 480 OBP and 565 SLG is huge. Start him 3 games out of 5 and when he’s not starting he’s an awesome pinch hitter. I don’t think anyone knows what his contract will be, but Petco won’t be the first place he wants to call home.

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By: Paul

Paul — Sat, 20 Oct 2007 00:37:23 +0000

40, 41: I don’t know that Bonds in left would be wonderful. He is missing enough time now and playing bad enough defense that I’m not certain that he is a huge asset at this point-certainly not worth what we’d have to pay him (15M+, right?).

His average season over the last three years: only 369 plate appearances a year. He’s missing almost two months a year and that’s only going to get worse. I don’t know that he’s a great risk at this point, especially with court proceedings looming.

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