First Projections for 2008

Dan has posted 2008 ZiPS projections for the Padres (hat tip to Ben B. in the comments). Some key names:

Josh Bard .281 .366 .401
Adrian Gonzalez .284 .351 .511
Matt Antonelli .254 .337 .376
Kevin Kouzmanoff .289 .345 .492
Khalil Greene .249 .300 .442
Scott Hairston .243 .317 .405
Brian Giles .268 .375 .398

The projection for Hairston is low — possibly by a lot, but the rest of these look reasonable to me. Center fielder remains a problem that I’m still studying.

Player ERA
Jake Peavy 2.99
Chris Young 3.32
Greg Maddux 3.91
Trevor Hoffman 2.53
Heath Bell 2.89
Cla Meredith 3.26

If Young is healthy, he’ll beat this. Hoffman? Well, his ERA stood at 2.53 after 162 games this year.

Winter Leagues

  • Saguaros 3, Phoenix 2 (box score). Antonelli went 2-for-3 batting seventh; he’s been way down in the order so far. Will Venable, batting fifth and DHing again, doubled and drove in a run. Nick Hundley, batting ninth, went 0-for-2 with a walk; he also caught the speedy Nyger Morgan trying to steal. Jonathan Ellis worked a scoreless sixth (still had trouble finding the plate — only 9 of 18 pitches were strikes). Neil Jamison closed for his second save. The lone blemish was a one-out single to Andrew McCutchen, whom Jamison promptly picked off first.

Finally, I’ve gotten a request from the folks at Holliday Never Touched the Plate. They are looking for “a copy of the play and replays from the original telecast”; if anyone here in San Diego can lend them a DVD, let me know and I’ll get y’all in touch with one another. (Also, remember that we’ve got gear for your Holliday needs.)