IGD: Padres vs Orioles (20 Jun 07)
Wed, Jun 20, 2007by Geoff Young
| time: | 7:05 p.m. PT |
| tv: | 4SD |
| sp: | Justin Germano (5-0, 2.36) vs Jeremy Guthrie (3-1, 2.57) |
| pre: | Padres.com, SI.com |
At some point, Justin Germano’s complete inability to miss bats has to catch up to him, right? Here’s hoping that it doesn’t happen tonight.
Go Padres!
Picking up where last year's version left off, the Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual provides in-depth analysis of and commentary on the San Diego Padres. Get your copy today.



June 20, 2007 at 6:24 pm
He actually missed some bats in his last start! 4 k’s in 6 innings. If he can sustain that rate, that would be enough to be a successful major league pitcher.
June 20, 2007 at 6:57 pm
Who is the guy that doesn’t like the Barrett trade? Was it a Cubs fan?
June 20, 2007 at 7:03 pm
Did anyone just see the Tejada/Greene comparison channel 4 showed? As of tonite, Khalil is out homering Tejada, has more RBIs than Tejada, and is slugging for a higher percentage than Tejada.
So no, don’t trade Khalil for Tejada.
June 20, 2007 at 7:07 pm
3: Tejada’s OBP is something like 80 points higher, though.
June 20, 2007 at 7:07 pm
I can’t wait to see Barrett take the backstop.
#3: Agreed
June 20, 2007 at 7:08 pm
Ok, who jinxed Justin?
June 20, 2007 at 7:09 pm
Geoff, is it too early to ask if you might have jinxed Germano’s ability to miss bats? That was a quick first run.
June 20, 2007 at 7:11 pm
#7: Make that quick two runs.
June 20, 2007 at 7:12 pm
Regression to the mean is swift and fierce.
June 20, 2007 at 7:14 pm
9 - that’s both brutal and hilarious. Get Hampson up.
June 20, 2007 at 7:14 pm
Following the game in Gamecast. Were the two doubles to left field balls that an average LF fielded?
June 20, 2007 at 7:14 pm
9: That would be funny if we weren’t losing 3-0.
June 20, 2007 at 7:15 pm
11: No.
June 20, 2007 at 7:15 pm
It only takes one ‘Oh *******’ to ruin 1000 ‘Attaboys.’
June 20, 2007 at 7:15 pm
Wow, just came over here in the hopes of figuring out what’s going on with this start by Germano. And the answer was right there on the first line of the blog: Geoff jinxed them.
June 20, 2007 at 7:15 pm
Thanks Richard….
June 20, 2007 at 7:17 pm
Germano appears to have found the outside corner.
June 20, 2007 at 7:17 pm
.833 BABIP tonight. That’s rough.
June 20, 2007 at 7:18 pm
11 - Nope. First was just inside third and fetched up against the corner of the seats, and the second was a line drive fairly deep that Branyan didn’t have a chance to field.
June 20, 2007 at 7:18 pm
That sure looked like a swing to anyone watching the game.
June 20, 2007 at 7:19 pm
20: Didn’t matter because he struck him out again on the next pitch.
June 20, 2007 at 7:20 pm
Justin’s got that curveball working now.
June 20, 2007 at 7:20 pm
Maybe ‘Geronimo’ will settle in.
June 20, 2007 at 7:20 pm
All of a sudden Germano has found it. Or, he survived the first four Oriole hitters who are decent and now gets to feast on their crappy bottom of the order.
June 20, 2007 at 7:22 pm
Ground ball, ground ball, line drive, line drive, walk, pop fly, strike out, strike out. That isn’t three runs most days.
June 20, 2007 at 7:22 pm
Let’s hope the Padres offense can replicate last nite’s affair. Germano needs to throw curves down all nite.
June 20, 2007 at 7:24 pm
Baltimore is 8th in the Majors in Defensive Efficiency.
June 20, 2007 at 7:25 pm
26: Guthrie’s nowhere near as bad as Trachsel, unfortunately.
June 20, 2007 at 7:28 pm
Long way to go thankfully….
June 20, 2007 at 7:33 pm
re 19: thanks Stu
June 20, 2007 at 7:33 pm
GY: You jinxed it man
June 20, 2007 at 7:35 pm
Germano sure does have four strikeouts tonight.
June 20, 2007 at 7:35 pm
Geoff didn’t jinx it; Germano’s missing all kinds of bats with 4 k’s through 2.
June 20, 2007 at 7:37 pm
4 hits in a row to go along with those 4 K’s haha, lets hope he gets through 6 and thats all he gives up.
Bats need to wake up! Lets see some of last nights magic
June 20, 2007 at 7:37 pm
this kid has an easy motion for 98…
June 20, 2007 at 7:38 pm
A large part of last night’s success was due to the crappiness of Trachsel and the Orioles’ bullpen. Guthrie, and actually the rest of the Orioles’ rotation, is pretty good.
June 20, 2007 at 7:38 pm
Guthrie is throwing smoke. 98 mph, Sheesh.
June 20, 2007 at 7:39 pm
GAS! Quite a different look from Trachsel
June 20, 2007 at 7:39 pm
36: Then we gotta beat up the ‘pen
June 20, 2007 at 7:41 pm
39: Absolutely. Taking pitches and working counts to get the starter out as soon as possible is a must tonight and tomorrow.
June 20, 2007 at 7:43 pm
Come on Headley, bust out the San Antonio big bat
June 20, 2007 at 7:44 pm
Branyan has walked in 17% of his Plate Appearances this year. That’s pretty nice.
June 20, 2007 at 7:46 pm
Headley battled.
June 20, 2007 at 7:46 pm
Yup and he just got under that pitch
June 20, 2007 at 7:47 pm
Much better inning there. 25 pitches thrown by Guthrie.
June 20, 2007 at 7:47 pm
Good AB by Chase. Guthrie busted him inside on a good fastball to induce the flyout.
Nice swing by Khalil. I noticed he almost rolled his ankle coming out of the box, but he’s looking comfortable at the plate right now.
June 20, 2007 at 7:49 pm
45: Should add that’s 25 pitches thrown in the second, 33 total.
June 20, 2007 at 7:51 pm
Nice quick inning for Germano
June 20, 2007 at 7:52 pm
47: Another inning like the second would be nice. We need to get Guthrie out of there asap.
June 20, 2007 at 7:52 pm
49: Except this time get a run
June 20, 2007 at 7:54 pm
Nice help your own cause
June 20, 2007 at 7:54 pm
Nice to see a pitcher get a knock once in a while.
June 20, 2007 at 7:55 pm
Justin Germano has someone been really good with the bat this year. He’s now hitting .429.
June 20, 2007 at 7:55 pm
52: In 11 PA this year, Germano has two singles, a double and an unintentional walk to his credit.
June 20, 2007 at 7:58 pm
Coming into the game Germano was 10th on the team in offensive VORP.
June 20, 2007 at 8:00 pm
How’s Headley look so far?
June 20, 2007 at 8:00 pm
Ben, Richard, my comment was generalistic. Most people expect an easy out from the pitcher. Jake isn’t bad at bat, nor CY.
June 20, 2007 at 8:01 pm
Jim Palmer for the Aflac trivia question…
June 20, 2007 at 8:03 pm
Since being called up, and from what I have seen, he has looked well.
He went 1-10 in the Chicago series, but it might well have been 3-10. In his first at bat he was robbed by Floyd in a flyball to LF and in his last at bat of the series, he missed a double on the first base side by inches.
I did not saw yesterday’s game, but in his first at bat he battled several fastballs, before flying to left.
I guess that in my opinion he has not been overmatched and he has seen a good number of pitches each at bat.
June 20, 2007 at 8:05 pm
59 - thanks for the info. Tough to get an idea just reading the box score
June 20, 2007 at 8:06 pm
#58: Sorry.
June 20, 2007 at 8:08 pm
#61: I gave it a shot…
June 20, 2007 at 8:10 pm
“don’t you have to have a couple of dumb guys who can play?” Quote of the night….
June 20, 2007 at 8:16 pm
The offense needs to make this right.
June 20, 2007 at 8:18 pm
Germano is pitching a hell of a game.
June 20, 2007 at 8:20 pm
That hit both of them. haha
June 20, 2007 at 8:21 pm
Headley chased a couple in that AB.
June 20, 2007 at 8:22 pm
(67) Agree, makes me look bad after my comment in 57.
June 20, 2007 at 8:25 pm
Padre hitters are third in the major leagues in strikeouts this year, but also 7th in walks. It would be nice to see more of the latter and fewer of the former now.
June 20, 2007 at 8:33 pm
Hey boys…how bout some runs this inning…..
June 20, 2007 at 8:37 pm
Cruz has seen 5 pitches in 3 at bats. You’re not helping, Jose.
June 20, 2007 at 8:39 pm
In the inning where they should have been extending Guthrie to the point of getting someone up in the bullpen, the Padres make three outs on 8 pitches.
June 20, 2007 at 8:40 pm
3rd overall in SO’s? I didn’t know tha’ holy hell that guy’s got a gun! Perfect placement just like last night.
Alright then, 3 innings for 3 runs. There’s time
June 20, 2007 at 8:41 pm
why will black not let Germano pitch more than 6 innings
June 20, 2007 at 8:44 pm
I can’t believe A-Gone recovered to get that one!
June 20, 2007 at 8:49 pm
This stuff frustrates me so much. You desperately want to run up the pitch count to get the starter out and involve the bullpen, and Bard pops out on a 2-0 pitch.
June 20, 2007 at 8:51 pm
After throwing 73 pitches through 5, Guthrie has breezed through the 6th and 7th with 17 pitches. If the Padres see the bullpen at all tonight, it’s only going to be for one inning.
June 20, 2007 at 8:55 pm
74: he was at 100 pitches
June 20, 2007 at 8:59 pm
Why was Brocail still in the game?
June 20, 2007 at 9:00 pm
Re: 79 because they are down 4 nothing and cameron pitched yesterday and there is no way black would let him go back to back days
June 20, 2007 at 9:06 pm
#80 + day game + Wells = rest the bullpen… could be.
(Guthrie pitching a witch of a game)
June 20, 2007 at 9:08 pm
This is really, really bad. To add insult to injury, Black is bringing in Silent L for Khalil.
June 20, 2007 at 9:09 pm
We actually had a decent chance of coming back until Brocail gave up all these runs, given the Orioles bullpen. That would have required forcing Guthrie to throw more than 10 pitches next inning though, which probably wouldn’t have happened.
June 20, 2007 at 9:10 pm
Wow, this game’s no fun … let’s take a look around the minors …
At AAA, the Portland Beavers are making like the Oregon St Beavers (dig
) so far …
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....a_freaaa_1
LaForest with HR #15 … hmmm, that’s some pop … but BA is only .211 and OBP only .325 …
June 20, 2007 at 9:10 pm
I’m a little worried that this series has slipped away from us tonite. No offense to Boomer, but I had already written off tomorrow’s game as a loss. Unless Erik Bedard decides to suck, we’re not gonna get out of this series with a win.
June 20, 2007 at 9:12 pm
At AA, Chase Headley’s replacement, Brett Bonvechio, hit his 4th HR in as many days …
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....x_coraax_1
… and Sean Thompson had a decent start.
June 20, 2007 at 9:13 pm
85: The Orioles bullpen is so bad that almost no deficit is too great, as long as we get Bedard out of there after 7 innings.
June 20, 2007 at 9:13 pm
Well, at least it won’t be a shutout.
June 20, 2007 at 9:14 pm
Russell Branyan is awesome. Good work by Black to keep working him in the game in left and also giving Headley at bats at third.
June 20, 2007 at 9:14 pm
I gave up on the game, how’d we score a run?
June 20, 2007 at 9:15 pm
#90: Solo HR by Branyan.
June 20, 2007 at 9:16 pm
way to catch up with it, Branyan
June 20, 2007 at 9:16 pm
91: Thanks much. At least we avoid the shut-out.
June 20, 2007 at 9:19 pm
We have way too many relievers to let Brocail pitch that long when we were only down 3-0 to after his first inning. Go to Cameron, stop letting Brocail pitch more than one inning, I dont get managements love affair with Brocail.
June 20, 2007 at 9:19 pm
DIPS didn’t like the Padres tonight. 9 k’s for both sides, two walks by the Padres against one for the Orioles, and only homer in the game allowed by the Orioles. And yet the score is 7-1 Orioles. Grasping at straws and finding moral victories is not nearly as much fun as winning.
June 20, 2007 at 9:20 pm
No games in the Cal League nor Midwest League tonight … it’s All-Star break there …
One of the new kids in the lineup is the short-season A-ball Northwest League and our Eugene Emeralds …
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....x_spoasx_1
Danny Payne, our 6th pick in this year’s draft (#64 overall, as an CF’er from Georgia Tech), has now walked 7 times in the first 2 games of the season … YOW!!! … and he’s still found time to get a hit … and steal 2 bases …
2 HRs for Zach Brown, a 27th round pick out of The Citadel …
Lots of other good offense and pitching as the Ems are up 11-1 in the 8th …
June 20, 2007 at 9:21 pm
If KG was still in, that would have been a DP.
June 20, 2007 at 9:22 pm
95: Look at your hits column, K’s and walks dont matter if you dont hit and the other team does
June 20, 2007 at 9:22 pm
Kevin Cameron is getting killed by his defense the past two nights.
June 20, 2007 at 9:23 pm
97: Those are the kinds of intangibles that some people fail to take into consideration with Khalil. It’s not that he doesn’t have a ton of errors, it’s that he just makes plays that aren’t outs or are hits with other guys.
June 20, 2007 at 9:23 pm
97: Naw, Markaikis is too quick, but he would had gotten the guy at second.
June 20, 2007 at 9:24 pm
99: Yet he still hasnt allowed a run
June 20, 2007 at 9:25 pm
The youngest team in the Padres organzation, the AZL Padres, don’t start their short-season until Friday … http://web.minorleaguebaseball.....mp;cid=410
June 20, 2007 at 9:28 pm
Chris Gomez taught B(l)um everything he knows about hitting!
Gomez was B(l)um before B(l)um was cool!
June 20, 2007 at 9:28 pm
98: Research has been done showing pitchers have little control over balls put in play against them. They can strike guys out, they can avoid walking them, they can avoid giving up home runs, but once the ball is put into play, there’s nothing they can do. The Padres’ pitchers have done a good job the past two days of striking guys out, not walking guys, and not giving up home runs. They just gotten killed on balls in play, which is partly bad luck, partly bad defense, and partly good hitting by the Orioles.
June 20, 2007 at 9:33 pm
105: The whole start of the first inning Germano made bad pitches, he left them up. He can control that and hitters can control a pitch left up in the zone much better. After than he settled in and made good pitches keeping the ball down. Brocail on the other hand…
The Orioles are a good hitting team. The Padres couldnt locate thier pitches in key situations.
June 20, 2007 at 9:35 pm
B(l)um is the tieing run … just fyi …
June 20, 2007 at 9:49 pm
Lots to tidbits here …
http://www.nctimes.com/article....._19_07.txt
OG update … sounds like he’s healing … perhaps a few rehab games with the Storm this weekend …
KK says he’s “noticeably better” … and Black said Kouzmanoff would return to the lineup when healthy and it was “likely” Headley would return to the minors.
And Bud and GY have a disagreement brewing …
Manager Bud Black said he’d like to see RHP Jake Peavy pitch in the All-Star Game if he’s selected, even if it means the team has to work around it. “I want our guys to play,” Black said.
… and I side with GY on this one … we need for Jake to get real W’s and rest … period.
June 20, 2007 at 9:54 pm
84 … check that … LaForest with 2 HRs tonight … #s 15 and 16 … that’s a lot of HRs … just sayin’ …
June 20, 2007 at 10:02 pm
Brocail = Other Team’s HVC
To continue the analogy, I propose implementing an embargo on Brocail. Can I get a second?
June 20, 2007 at 10:57 pm
Just got home. That was a lame effort, but Germano rebounded nicely after the rocky start. If he can strike out seven batters every time I jinx him, I’ll have to do that more often.
Also, Jeremy Guthrie looked real good. I had no idea…
June 21, 2007 at 12:40 am
110: SECOND!
June 21, 2007 at 3:56 am
Bud’s quote about the all-star game pisses me off. If you’re the Devil Rays and your ace makes the show, you work the rotation to make sure he can go out there and enjoy the reward.
But we’re not the freaking Devil Rays. We’re in a very heated race in one of baseball’s toughest divisions. Every game counts.
Oh well, at least Jake’s never had a poor showing after exhibition games before. Oh wait…
June 21, 2007 at 4:08 am
Hey, Jake pitching well in the all star game is one step closer to home field advantage in the world series.
Hmmm…maybe I’m thinking too far ahead…
June 21, 2007 at 7:59 am
LM: Good luck to the Beavers repeating. I hope they do it.