IGD: Padres @ Devil Rays (14 Jun 07)

Thu, Jun 14, 2007Ballhype: hype it up!
by Geoff Young
Game #65
time: 9:10 a.m. PT
tv: none
sp: Justin Germano (4-0, 2.75) vs J.P. Howell (1-0, 4.85)
pre: Padres.com, SI.com

Wake up, fall out of bed, drag a comb across your head. There’s a game on this morning, and the Padres have a chance to take another series.

Nobody likes a four-game losing streak, but a 9-0 win sure makes everything better — at least for a little while. And, hey, both Kevin Cameron and Justin Hampson got into Wednesday night’s game. This reminds me, I may have stumbled onto a way to maximize a 12-man pitching staff:

Percentage of Appearances in Low-Leverage Situations
  G +/-4 Pct
Stats are through games of June 13, 2007, and are courtesy of Baseball-Reference. +/-4 represents the games in which a pitcher entered with his club leading or trailing by four runs or more.
Cameron 14 9 .643
Hampson 11 7 .636
Brocail 26 13 .500
Bell 31 9 .290
Meredith 28 5 .179
Hoffman 27 3 .111
Linebrink 28 3 .107

If the game is out of hand, there’s a decent chance that Cameron or Hampson will get into the game. Of course, this assumes that Doug Brocail is unavailable:

Who gets the call in blowouts?

Shoot, I really thought we had that solved. Ah well, perhaps some other day. Go Padres!

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197 Responses to “IGD: Padres @ Devil Rays (14 Jun 07)”

  1. Phantom Says:

    There’s no better way to pass a day at work then listening to our guys.

    Let’s hope Germano can find his control again and shake the specter of his last start. Here’s to another 5 run first by the Padres (I’m still hoping my prognostication has some mileage left).

    Current score: 0
  2. PM Says:

    Don’t look now, but pads are the best team in the NL at .578 folowed closely be the Dodgers (of course) at .576. Hitting, we don’t need no stinking hitting.

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  3. Friar Phil Says:

    Lineups are posted on mlb gameday. Nice move by Black to use Bard as DH — keep his bat in the lineup and a day off behind the plate.

    The Puerto Rican outfield of Cruz and Bocachica also bodes well in Florida. Go Padres!

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  4. Brian G. Says:

    Morning all!

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  5. Phantom Says:

    I’ve been very impressed with Bocachica’s defense of late. He’s a very capable outfielder and has played a great back-up CF to Cameron.

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  6. Geoff Young Says:

    #4: Morning!

    Ex-Padre Raul Casanova in the lineup today.

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  7. St. Oops Says:

    4: Good evening! I mean, good morning to you.

    Wouldn’t you know that the one night I have plans this week is the one night that the Padres are playing at a decent hour for me?

    I’m hanging around for the first inning in hopes that it’s a repeat of last night’s.

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  8. Geoff Young Says:

    I’m listening to the Rays feed. Sounds like NOG just got robbed there to start the game.

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  9. Phantom Says:

    Damn, sounds like Marcus just put a charge into one.

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  10. St. Oops Says:

    8: Love how the Rays broadcast just showed NOG running the bases rather than, oh I don’t know, where the ball went.

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  11. Evan Says:

    Excellent slide by Cameron to break up the DP.

    This broadcast is…interesting.

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  12. Geoff Young Says:

    Kouz is getting into real nice hitters counts. Sounds like if NOG’s ball isn’t caught, we’re looking at another big first.

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  13. St. Oops Says:

    11: If you’re talking about the Rays broadcast…it’s the worst thing I’ve ever seen. I had to pull up Gameday to figure out what on earth is happening since they don’t show replays, don’t have any chyrons showing the score or what-not and I’m going back and forth between work things and the game. UGHHHHH. Stupid AAAA team.

    At least they’re pitching like a AAAA team as well. Let’s plate some more runs boys!

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  14. St. Oops Says:

    Spoken too soon. Come on Germano!

    Time to bike home.

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  15. Evan Says:

    13: Pretty clear this isn’t the official broadcast, just some random feeds of whatever cameras are in the park.

    Only one run but some hard hit balls that inning. I like it.

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  16. Phantom Says:

    Germano gets thru the 1st quickly, good sign.

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  17. Geoff Young Says:

    Sounds like Germano got away with a couple there.

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  18. Evan Says:

    Rays hit two to the warning track in dead center, not as good sign.

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  19. The Fathers Says:

    16: Not a good sign when they are bombs to the deepest part of the park. Germano needs ground balls, not deep fly outs.

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  20. Phantom Says:

    Damn, stupid umpire standing in the way.

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  21. Tom Waits Says:

    What’s the over-under on balls hit to the Rays 3b?

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  22. Evan Says:

    Broadcast update: 2nd inning, director has finally found the instant replay button.

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  23. Geoff Young Says:

    Cameron’s first-inning single has been ruled an error. Anyone see the play? Does this make sense, or is the Tampa Bay scorer still guessing?

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  24. Brian G. Says:

    Same question I asked previously with a new wrinkle: IF the Padres sign Brady Clark, who goes? Sledge, P-Mac, pitcher #12, someone else?

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  25. Evan Says:

    23: Mike hit it hard but right at Iwamura, who I think got a glove on it but it bounced away. Hard to tell exactly. Director had not yet found replay section of the broadcast owners manual.

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  26. Geoff Young Says:

    #24: Should = pitcher #12; will = P-Mac.

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  27. Brian G. Says:

    Thank you, GY.

    Should I have included Raul Casanova on the list for old times’ sake?

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  28. Geoff Young Says:

    #27: Just one man’s opinion. Sure, add Casanova and maybe Chris Cannizzaro while you’re at it.

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  29. Evan Says:

    Nice DP. Kouz ranged pretty far to his left and NOG made a real nice turn with Pena coming in.

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  30. Evan Says:

    Broadcast update: 4th inning and the director has found the chyron button.

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  31. Phantom Says:

    It sounds like this guy is throwing nothing but junk. We gotta start putting up some crooked numbers.

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  32. Ben B. Says:

    Oh crap. Kouz out, Blum in. Obligatory question of why not Branyan instead of Blum.

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  33. Didi Says:

    What happened to Kouz?

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  34. Ben B. Says:

    The radio guys don’t know.

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  35. Stephen Says:

    Alright, Justin, be more fascist.

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  36. Geoff Young Says:

    #32: Because that would make sense?

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  37. Evan Says:

    33: Kouz’s swing looked a little awkward but nothing too bad. He was reaching for a fastball low and away and grounded in foul off of third base. Nothing noticeably bad about the swing and he didn’t seem to be holding any body part.

    Maybe he just wanted Flag Day off.

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  38. Ben B. Says:

    37: I could understand that. I definitely want Flag Day off.

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  39. Didi Says:

    Thanks, Evan.

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  40. St. Oops Says:

    37: Maybe he’s taking one for the team in trying to expose Bummer’s weaknesses as much as possible in the race to the All-Star break.

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  41. Paul R Says:

    Just because I’m curious…
    If Kouz had to miss two weeks on the DL, would we call up Headley from AA to fill in for him, or would we get two solid weeks of Geoff Blum? I’m afraid that I know the answer…

    32: I think that they’re trying to protect Branyan from LHP, plus Blum reputedly plays better defense than Branyan. With a lead, I don’t mind choosing Blum over Branyan here.

    Current score: 0
  42. Evan Says:

    Ouch. Germano grooved that 0-2 pitch badly. He’s REAL lucky Pena got under it.

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  43. Didi Says:

    41: Russell Branyan can play 3B.

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  44. Geoff Young Says:

    #43: He’s also a better hitter against LHP than Blum.

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  45. St. Oops Says:

    44: So’s my bed-ridden grandmother.

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  46. St. Oops Says:

    So, hypothetically, if that had just been the end of the 6th/7th inning, is Cla available to pitch?

    I’m VERY afraid of the answer.

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  47. Paul R Says:

    44: He’s a better hitter vs. LHP this season, but over the last three years, Branyan has a .165/.230/.341 line vs. LHP. That’s a .571 OPS, which is slightly worse than Blum’s .660 line over the same time period. Obviously, neither is terribly confidence inspiring, but if Blum does play better defense (which I admit is debatable), then I’d rather have him in there.
    Branyan always looks particularly bad to me against guys like Howell who don’t really throw a fastball. I like seeing him face guys like Turnbow who just throw fastballs.

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  48. Geoff Young Says:

    Nice at-bat by Adrian. Down 0-2, works the leadoff walk.

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  49. Evan Says:

    Excellent AB. Laid off some tough pitches.

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  50. Phantom Says:

    Grr. How many freaking times are we gonna hit it Iwamura?

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  51. Evan Says:

    Lots of hard hit balls in this game. Most of which have gone directly to Iwamura.

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  52. Evan Says:

    Broadcast update: director finds Devils Rays logo button. Decides he likes it more than the actual game.

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  53. St. Oops Says:

    52: I think he has a crush on Iwamura, based on his current display.

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  54. Didi Says:

    Good article by Dan Fox.

    Small sample aside, as we suspected: OG doesn’t swing at bad pitches, and Khalil swings at them. NOG and Kouz are in the same quadrant as Khalil.
    Interesting.

    http://danagonistes.blogspot.c.....html#links

    Current score: 0
  55. Geoff Young Says:

    #47: These are incredibly small samples, but here are Blum and Branyan vs LHP since start of ‘06:

    Blum: 64 PA, .180/.219/.246
    Branyan: 55 PA, .222/.364/.511

    I’m less upset about the decision to bring Blum in here than to have him DH against Kazmir in the opener.

    Brocail and Hampson up in the bullpen.

    Current score: 0
  56. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    Blum kills Branyan on defense. Branyan misses the AL. On a random note K-Cam needs to pitch more. He looked pretty bad yesterday and I think its because he sits around rotting in the pen all day. Personally I dont really like Hampson, I would rather see Royce Ring up here.

    Current score: 0
  57. Didi Says:

    Looking at comp, NOG is Ty Wigginton without the power. Surprising.

    Nice DP to get out of the inning.

    Current score: 0
  58. Evan Says:

    Okay. Khalil now has permission to swing feebly at sliders out of the zone. That DP was nice.

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  59. Geoff Young Says:

    Bell now getting ready; that’s more like it.

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  60. Stephen Says:

    56: You would say that, wouldn’t you?

    ESPN’s fielding stats don’t list DPs. Seems like the Pads turn more then their fair share. Does anyone know where I can find double-play stats?

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  61. Evan Says:

    I think the OF and middle IF could take a nap and we’d still only be up a couple. Iwamura is definitely on Howell’s Xmas card list.

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  62. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    60: Would say what?

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  63. Paul R Says:

    55: The decision to DH Blum was totally indefensible. No excuse for it. It was tough to watch his AB’s against Kazmir–he just looked awful.

    I know that the loss the other day was not his fault, but I’m tired of seeing Brocail get innings at the expense of Cameron. I feel just as comfortable with Cameron out there and I agree with 56 that he’s got to pitch a little more. I don’t have an issue with Hampson or Ring-I think that they’re basically the same guy. Ring is dominating AAA, but Hampson doesn’t get used anyway.

    Current score: 0
  64. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    60: MLB.com show double plays. Shows us at 60, 15th in MLB 6th in NL

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  65. Paul R Says:

    A little surprising not to see Linebrink here, no?

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  66. Paul R Says:

    64: I’d bet that he’s referring to Ring as an SDSU alum and your screen name.

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  67. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    He probably was. I am kind of happy to not see Linebrink

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  68. Evan Says:

    Broadcast update: Seventh inning. Director appears to have found the star wipe button. These effects are not special.

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  69. Paul R Says:

    Kouzmanoff day-to-day with a “back tweak.” Could be worse-if he goes on the DL I’d like to see Headley.

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  70. St. Oops Says:

    65: Liney in the 7th?

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  71. Paul R Says:

    Evan-
    Is Bell looking as dominating as he sounds? Having his power after Germano’s finesse is a pretty good combo.

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  72. PM Says:

    Score?

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  73. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    69: My guess is we will see Robles

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  74. Geoff Young Says:

    #69: But you won’t. ;-)

    #72: We’re still up, 1-0.

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  75. Paul R Says:

    70: Yup-I had the inning wrong…oops

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  76. Didi Says:

    Branyan already turned 6 DPs to Kouz’s 7 and Blum’s 3 this year.

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  77. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    72: 1-0 in the BTM 7th

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  78. Evan Says:

    71: Can’t catch up with the fastball so far. Got Crawford on back to back high, inside heat. Norton was also late on strike three. So far, looking like he deserves an All-Star slot.

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  79. Geoff Young Says:

    Rays radio guys heaping all kinds of praise on the Padres pitching staff: “They just don’t groove pitches.”

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  80. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    76: the amount of DP’s turned is kind of the luck of the draw

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  81. Evan Says:

    78: Also, Bell is doing a good job locating the breaking stuff.

    Except for ball four, of course.

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  82. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    “They just don’t groove pitches.”

    What does that even mean?

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  83. Didi Says:

    I’m surprised and glad that Bud Black pulled Germano after only 78 pitches. I wish he’d done the same thing with Wells last week.

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  84. Phantom Says:

    C’mon Bell, get it together.

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  85. Evan Says:

    Yea, apparently I should just shut up about Bell’s good location.

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  86. Paul R Says:

    83: I’m hoping that Wells has now proved to Black that he is about a 6 inning/80 pitch guy, no matter how good that he looks during those 80 pitches.

    I was a little surprised to see Germano pulled after 6 shutout innings also, but it seemed like there were some hard hit balls the last couple of innings.

    Current score: 0
  87. Phantom Says:

    82: It means that we don’t serve flattened out fastballs that can be crushed.

    Our HR allowed rates compared to other clubs has got to be fairly low.

    Current score: 0
  88. Didi Says:

    What the heck? Back to back walks. Come on Bell!

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  89. Geoff Young Says:

    #82: I guess they’re used to seeing guys that throw more hittable pitches.

    Current score: 0
  90. Paul R Says:

    Delmon is pretty scary here.

    Current score: 0
  91. Phantom Says:

    Ugh, c’mon Bell. What’s up with our freaking relievers lately?

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  92. Paul R Says:

    Nice! Three strikeouts in the inning!

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  93. Didi Says:

    Urgh! Not a wild pitch, Bell. Get it together, would you?
    Here’s a distraction: you see that buxom blonde behind home plate? I heard she’s a he.

    Current score: 0
  94. Phantom Says:

    Whew, that was uglier than it needed to be.

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  95. Didi Says:

    Oh, goodie. Now, boys. Score more runs!

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  96. Didi Says:

    Okay. Gotta go to a meeting. Go Padres!

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  97. St. Oops Says:

    87: Padres pitching lead the majors with the fewest HR allowed (33). Devil Rays are second to last with 81 HR allowed.

    Current score: 0
  98. Phantom Says:

    Woot! Lead off double!

    Bunt him over, get him in.

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  99. Evan Says:

    Nice hit by Bowen.

    We really need more runs. We’re getting shut down by John Halama redux.

    Current score: 0
  100. Ben B. Says:

    Oh those hip Padre radio guys, laughing about the Will Ferrell cowbell skit.

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  101. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    We need some insurance runs if Linebrink is pitching the 8th

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  102. Paul R Says:

    100: I was thinking the same thing-I thought that I was listening to Matt and Mud for a minute.

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  103. SDSUBASEBALL Says:

    Alright Cruz bring Bowen in from 3rd

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  104. St. Oops Says:

    Liney’s been pretty solid of late, but I wouldn’t complain about getting one or two runs.

    Nice execution on the sac for NOG.

    Broadcast update: Philip Early needs to head to the service desk. I sure hope he’s not watching via webcast in another city. That would be a pain.

    Current score: 0
  105. Evan Says:

    Note to self: Trying to pull the fastball six inches outside maybe not the best approach.

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  106. Stephen Says:

    Playing for one run. I love — uh not love it.

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  107. Phantom Says:

    Nice job Crudge. Way to get it done.

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  108. St. Oops Says:

    CRUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUZ!

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  109. Evan Says:

    Much better.

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