IGD: Padres vs Cubs (24 May 07)

first pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: Chris Young (5-3, 2.89 ERA) vs Jason Marquis (5-1, 2.76 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

In light of the “only 17 percent of runners who steal bases eventually score” mantra we’ve been hearing, I thought it might be instructive to see how that stat is holding up so far this year for the Padres rotation:

Padres Starters and the Running Game
  GS PA SB CS SBR SBR/SB
Stats are through May 23, 2007, and courtesy of Baseball-Reference. SBR is the number of runs scored by runners who stole a base.
Germano 3 68 1 1 0 .000
Hensley 6 138 4 0 3 .750
Maddux 9 228 14 0 5 .357
Peavy 10 261 5 1 1 .200
Wells 9 219 5 2 5 1.000
Young 9 227 15 0 5 .333
Starters 46 1141 44 4 19 .432

Bearing in mind the usual small sample caveats, that’s a shade higher than 17%. Reportedly, only six of the 41 runners who stole successfully against Chris Young last season came around to score, which I find amazing. I’d be curious to see what the numbers look like from season to season.

Maybe this year is the aberration. Or maybe 17% is just a figure thrown out there to provide comfort in the face of this team’s complete inability to control the running game.

On an unrelated note, Jason Marquis is hereby invited to turn into a pumpkin.

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194 Responses »

  1. 149: Blum minus the L=you guessed it.

  2. 149: I think it happened tonight.

  3. 148: Good ol’ small sample size…

  4. Thru 8 …

    Pitches-strikes – J Marquis 94-55; B Howry 12-7; C Young 93-62; C Meredith 11-9.

    Ground balls-fly balls – J Marquis 12-4; B Howry 0-3; C Young 5-6; C Meredith 2-1.

    Batters faced – J Marquis 27; B Howry 3; C Young 25; C Meredith 4.

    … hmm, didn’t miss much, did I?

  5. Thanks TD, that should have been obvious…

  6. 149: I’m new, but considering how he’s (not) been hitting, there is no ‘L’

  7. 152: I can’t remember who tagged him with that moniker, but it was a couple of weeks ago. May have been Lynch.

  8. Padres.com poll asks: What Padres player has improved the most in May?

    21 people voted Geoff Blum. He must have a large family.

  9. 158: Those are the same people that emphatically follow American Idol and voted for that kid with the messed up hair.

  10. Got AB by Lee, darn it…

  11. I hardly ever curse in here. But, shit that sucks.

  12. Nice throw, NOG.

  13. God damnit San Diego, c’mon.

  14. If Marcus didn’t have to throw over the runner, that might have been an out.

  15. Oh, this is so not good with bases loaded and no outs.

  16. And it just keeps getting better. Who gave instructions to hit the self-destruct button?

  17. I sincerely hope they can pull this out, but it does not look good thus far.

  18. If we can keep this to 1 or 2, we do get Dempster…

  19. Holy shit! The play at the plate!