first pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: David Wells (1-2, 5.40 ERA) vs Sean Marshall (0-0, –)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com
I’m tired of looking at numbers. I have no angle for this one. Another win would be good…
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132 Comments
I don’t know if it was the *best* game they played last night but it was definatley one of the most entertaining.
GY, here are some simple numbers. Most likely small sample size, but DW has some audacious Home/Road splits. If it is not sample, but accurate, he needs the big park and our outfield defense in a bad way:
ERA
Total: 5.40
Home: 3.04
Away: 8.84
Not just Wells, but our entire staff – Home ERA = 2.03; Road ERA = 4.06. Greg Maddux is equally helped by the home park HERA = 2.30; RERA = 6.00.
Jake Peavy OTOH has given up a single run on 9 hits in 27 innings for a microscopic 0.33 RERA. 9 road walks though – he stinks.
I’m going to try to carry over the Ichiro! vs Andruw thread from previous comment string …
re: Ichiro! vs Andruw … the bottom for both of them does scare me … it’s going to be risky for whatever teams signs them to their next contract … when Bonds first signed his mega-contract, it was clear to me that he was worth it … same for the last contract Vlad signed … but, you know what, “worth it†may not be the right term … because it’s not obvious that teams that carry contracts like that can win …
I’m a believer in “team depth†… and that seems hard to create in today’s free agent environment where every free agent seems to sign a contract that prohibits enough spending on the rest of the team for the team to be a winner … what a Catch-22 …
So then the focus becomes the draft … how do you find “the next stud� And do that in the context of winning enough to keep fans happy, which means doing it with first-round pics in the 20+ range?
One approach is to do what it takes to get *a lot* of picks … hey, that’s what the Padres have done … we’ve got many extra picks this year … cool … let’s “spray and pray†… by that I mean that I hope they use a lot of the pics on “high upside†players … looking for “the first guy from this year’s draft to make an All-Star team†… hey, that sounds like an interesting metric: how many and how soon do players from each draft make an All-Star team? I sorta wish I had the patience to do that analysis … I’ll bet the data is avialable “on the web†…
Mark Ase Says:
May 23rd, 2007 at 6:00 pm
Can’t the Pads just sign both Jones and Ichiro and move Giles to LF for his last season in San Diego.
LynchMob Says:
May 23rd, 2007 at 6:02 pm
I *like* that idea! Run the numbers, can it work? Offer them both 1 year contracts … for what? $20 million? So add $40 million to next year’s payroll … see if that gets us a WS … why not?
I think both Jones and Ichiro! are going to get more money than a team like the Padres (mid to low payroll) can get out of them. There’s just no way they’re going to be able to produce what they’re going to make in the final couple of years of their contracts, and a dead $18 million can kill our team.
The name I’m wishing for to fill our center field void next year is Lastings Milledge. It sounds like the Mets are really down on him for reasons other than his talent, and he could be had for much less than his talent would ordinarily command. Of course, this means he does come with some character issues (that I think are overstated, he’s not Elijah Dukes threatening to kill someone). And I also have no idea what it would take to acquire him or who I’d be willing to give up, and I recognize that there is no way this is going to happen.
Damn, that was a fast 1/2 inning.
I’ll take 8 more of those, please.
Yes, that was sweet… think Boomer is feeling the pressure generated by Germano?
OT … http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/boxscore?gid=270523115 … go Oliver! Whodathunk it? Not me!
8 … no … but he should be … I’d hope he’d be …
Down on the farm … Ekstrom gives up 5 hits + 6 walks in 5 IP … but 0 ERs? Yup … http://www.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=milb&t=g_box&gid=2007_05_23_spraax_sanaax_1 …
After 1 …
Pitches-strikes – S Marshall 20-11; D Wells 7-7.
Ground balls-fly balls – S Marshall 2-1; D Wells 1-1.
Batters faced – S Marshall 4; D Wells 3.
There goes the no-hitter … I’ve been waiting since 1969 … s’pose I can wait one more day …
Thru 2 …
Pitches-strikes – S Marshall 33-19; D Wells 24-19.
Ground balls-fly balls – S Marshall 2-3; D Wells 2-2.
Batters faced – S Marshall 8; D Wells 8.
Yo … anyone watching it? Tell me about KK’s hit!
15: Sorry Lynch, I missed it.
Angel Pagan is a great name.
17: Oxymoron. Weird, what were his parents thinking?
Nice 6 pitch AB by Boomer …
This is the point at which HRs are a payoff.
Lynch, high fly to center just before the track. Easy catch.
I don’t think you’re allowed to hit home runs with runners on base.
After 3 …
Pitches-strikes – S Marshall 52-29; D Wells 36-28.
Ground balls-fly balls – S Marshall 3-4; D Wells 2-4.
Batters faced – S Marshall 13; D Wells 11.
Ben, don’t be a glass half empty guy.
21 … that looks like the answer to a question … but I don’t know what the question was … do you?
25: I know you aren’t getting the video. Just trying to help out.
22/24 … you keep bringin’ the glass, Ben B, however full it is for you! Mine’s about half-empty too … in case you hadn’t noticed …
26 … LOL … I appreciate the help … really … but I don’t know what #21 is talking about … so it doesn’t help … so, can you tell me what #21 was about?
27: I have a keggerator, so mine is always full!
Forget Ichiro and Andruw.
Is Mike Piazza available?
28: The 3rd out with 2 on.
Naw, Lynch, my glass is 3/4 full, I’d say. I strongly believe the Padres are the best team in the NL West this year and are going to win it. And when/if they get to the playoffs, I think they matchup well with any team. So I’m quite optimistic.
Where’s GY tonight?
31 … ah, you’re making me work … that’d be Adrian’s out to end the bottom of the 3rd … gotcha … thanks.
32 … 3/4 full … good times … bring it!
After 4 …
Pitches-strikes – S Marshall 52-29; D Wells 43-34.
Ground balls-fly balls – S Marshall 3-4; D Wells 2-7.
Batters faced – S Marshall 13; D Wells 14.
… numbers are looking good for Boomer … how’s the stuff lookin’?
30 … maybe he could be the PTBNL? (note: I would still prefer JJ Furmaniak)
Good double-off!
Woohoo for good luck!
RE: 35(Lynch)
You will have to introduce me to Furmaniak. Another Cianfrocco type, I imagine?
In the top of the 5th …
- M. Murton singled to center
- M. DeRosa singled to left, M. Murton to second
- C. Izturis lined into double play right to shortstop, M. Murton out at second
… is that an early warning sign? Bottom of 5th is opportunity to PH … he’s only at 55 pitches … no way Bud does that …
After 5 …
Pitches-strikes – S Marshall 78-44; D Wells 55-43.
Ground balls-fly balls – S Marshall 4-7; D Wells 2-8.
Batters faced – S Marshall 19; D Wells 18.
38 … glad you asked … http://www.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Furmaniak%2520%2520SS&pos=&sid=milb&t=p_pbp&pid=434583 … he was drafted by the Padres … I saw him play a couple of times for AAA Portland a couple of years ago … we traded him (for Ross?) and he struggled at AAA level … but is kickin’ some serious butt this season … .288 .388 .518 … and the power is no fluke … he’s always had good power … I saw him hit one out of the park at Portland … that’s not a mamoth blast, but it’s a good poke … and he’s a decent glove … he was a starting SS all the way up the minors … now he’s also playing other positions as well (2B, 3B, LF, RF) …
39 … nope, I guess the top of the 5th was not a warning sign … here’s top of 6th …
- A. Soriano grounded out to second
- A. Pagan struck out swinging
- D. Lee grounded out to shortstop
… sweet … a 10-pitch inning …
I’d like to see KK get an AB this inning … rally cap on!
Soriano catched it running into the scoreboard. Damn good play on his part.
A-Gone with a can of corn.
RE: 41 (Lynch)
Furmaniak bears an uncanny likeness to Craig Biggio. If he can take a HBP like him, he may fit Alderson’s M.O.
If you ever want to catch a Beavers game let me know. I live in Olympia.
GY must be at the game tonight. Haven’t heard from him.
41 … re: JJ Furmaniak … see also http://www.minorleaguenews.com/baseball/features/articles2005/08/15/13.html … nice web page!
I thought corn was OF-only, no?
49: “Can of Corn” comes from the old Mom and Pop grocery stores when they shelved cans all the way to the ceiling and they would knock a can down with a long stick for an easy catch.
46 … will do … I’ve not been to nearly as many Portland Beavers games as I’d like to … I wonder if they’ll have a Paul McAnulty bobblehead day? Hey, you should get yourself on Frappr … http://www.frappr.com/ducksnorts
Thru 6 …
Pitches-strikes – S Marshall 87-50; D Wells 65-51.
Ground balls-fly balls – S Marshall 4-9; D Wells 4-8.
Batters faced – S Marshall 22; D Wells 21.
… I hope Jake is watching this!
Time to get Wells out of there.
49: Basically the ball comes almost straight down.
back-to-back walks … anybody warming up?
Everybody had a bead on that and no one called it.
I think Jose should have caught that. Marcus had no business trying to catch that that far out there.
49 … I’m with you, Stephen … I think of “can of corn” as OF-only … even given its origin …
Why isn’t Wells being pulled for someone that can get the K or ground ball?
This is all on Bud if they score here. Wells clearly has lost it, yet he’s still in there.
Man, did we get out of that one by the hair on our chinny chin chin?
59 … you mean like this?
C. Izturis grounded into double play second to shortstop to first, M. DeRosa out at second
58: I’ve heard the explanation given by Harry Carey and Jerry Coleman. It basically means the ball went straight up (high) and straight down.
I hope we PH for Wells here … he’s due up 5th this inning …
64: Kouz? Who’s up in the BPen?
65: Nevermind, my meds have me in slo-mo right now.
Kooooooooooouuuuuuzzzzzzzzzzz!
Oh KOUZ smoked that!!!!
KOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
KOOOOUUUUUZZZZZ!!!!!!
63 … I’ll say that either HC and JC were wrong … or you misinterp’d what they said … here’s a source that agrees with me … http://www.phrases.org.uk/bulletin_board/11/messages/625.html
Did it really go as far as GameDay had it? It looks like it went 450+ feet….
72 – might have been further. That was Andruw Jones in Petco-deep!
72: And then some.
RE: 51 (Lynch)
Kouz homered just as I Frappd. Good luck?
He crushed it into the far right area of the second level of left field bleachers.
I honestly think only Branyan’s shot last year was deeper in terms of balls hit by Padres
NOOOOOOOOO! Not Silent L!!!!
Ole!
How ’bout we just give Silent L to the Dodgers. Kinda like giving Frank Burns to the North Koreans.
Blum K’s. In other news, sun to rise in East tomorrow
The Crushin’ Russian strikes again! So far, he’s taking the mantle of Mr. May from Dave Winfield
82 – Lynch, I don’t know if you’re able to watch tonight, but if not make sure you do not miss the sportscenter highlight of that absolute BOMB Kouz hit
75 … just as you what? you can’t say that here, this is a family-oriented site! now, just be sure to go do it again next time KK comes to bat
RE: 80
I’d rather have Klinger than Blum. Oh yeah, he’s a Mud Hen.
83 … I’ll have to wait for it to post to mlb.com … no cable TV either …
I think I’m gonna start a new charity. The “Get Lynch a Satalite Dish or Cable to Pick Up the Padre Games.”
Dude, I feel your pain.
And the KK’s batting average is now over .200 … yow!
The U-T this morning said the Padres have some interest in signing Craig Wilson, so maybe this will put an end to Silent L getting important at bats.
RE: 88
Is that you Zippy?
87 … thanks, TD … but it’s not that painful … especially thanks to GY and all youse guyse here at Ducksnorts … so use this link https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr for the “charity” instead
91 … hmmm, that link didn’t do what I expected … it was meant to be the same as the “Support” button to the right (that says “PayPal Donate”) … which links directly to a page to donate to ducksnorts@geoffreynyoung.com … which seems worthwhile … in fact, I’m going to do so now … $2.02 … in honor of KK getting his batting average up to .202
91: Seriously, they have that thing now that you can hook into a local T.V. via internet (I forgot what it is called) and watch from your remote computer. Since my T.V is always tuned to 4SD during Baseball season, I’d be more than happy to hook up here as long as you bought the hardware.
93: Slingshot?
Kouzmanoff is hitting .349/.407/.651 this month.
93 … thanks for the offer, TD … I think you’re talking about Slingbox … http://us.slingmedia.com/page/home … cool! Like I said, not having cable isn’t painful for me … if I needed video, I’d probably go the mlb.tv route …
What are the most games the Pads have been over 500. this year?
It’s embarassing that Blum is our first PH’er off the bence … what’s the point? Seriously, wouldn’t Jake be a better option?
If any of you talk to Geoff tonight, please have him get a hold of me (Rick Schroder) concerning the June 9th outing. Have him check his E-Mail for my phone numbers. I have several people wanting to go and I need to know how he wants to deal with this.
98: Why waste a good pinch hitter with two outs and none on?
What is with Piniella and stupid and bizarre pitching changes? Bringing in a LOOGY to pitch to Adrian when he’s OPS-ing 1.033 against lefties this year in 50 AB.
Cue the bells…
102: Ditto
101: I forgot to mention pointless and that Wuertz is a better pitcher than Ohman.
97 … based on this web page … http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SDP/2007_sched.shtml … which is *awesome* … I’d say 5 … ie. right now …
HELLS BELLS!!!!!!!
100 … are you talking about Blum … or Jake?
438 Ft. for Kouz’s homer.
One strike away.
Oh shit. Nice triple. Bad for us…I hope not.
Good. That would have been a sad thing to happen to Wellsy.
Trevor and Cruz pull it off.
Padres WIN!
Dogs up 4-0 … so looks like first place will have to wait another day …
113: That sucks. It only costs about $40 to get to LA on the Amtrak. Maybe we could by Blum a ticket.
BTW, IMHO Cruz was feeling the presence of the porch. I think OG, who is very comfortable out there and has no fear of contact with walls, may have caught the ball off the bat of DeRosa.
And I’m not saying that to be critical of Cruz. He made a solid effort.
114: Buy
Here’s an out-of-the-box idea for our pitching “rotation” … it’s a 2+4-man rotation … it’s a 20-day rotation … it goes like this … Peavy and Young get their regular starts every 5th game … whilest the other 4 rotate thru the remaining 3 spots … over 20 games, it looks like this …
1 Peavy
2 Young
3 Hensley
4 Maddux
5 Germano
6 Peavy
7 Young
8 Wells
9 Hensley
10 Maddux
11 Peavy
12 Young
13 Germano
14 Wells
15 Hensley
16 Peavy
17 Young
18 Maddux
19 Germano
20 Wells
Variations could include …
– skipping one of the 4 if an off-day aligns with their start day
– or just bumping the 4-man part
– or only letting Wells start at Petco
If we did this, I think the 4 (Hensley, Maddux, Germano, and Wells) would all benefit from the extra rest …
Then I’d not feel so bad having a 12-man pitching staff …
115 … nice observation, Rich … it’s a reminder of OG’s value beyond the boxscore …
Lynch, you da man. Pls. tell GY to get a hold of me if you chat with him tonight or tommorow. I’m going to sleep. See ya tommorow.
-Rick
tomorrow
117 … or how about this 8-game rotation … where Jake and Young go every 4th day … and the other 4 go every 8th day …
1 Peavy
2 Young
3 Hensley
4 Maddux
5 Peavy
6 Young
7 Germano
8 Wells
Or this 2+3 man rotation 12-game rotation …
1 Peavy
2 Young
3 #3
4 #4
5 Peavy
6 Young
7 #5
8 #3
9 Peavy
10 Young
11 #4
12 #5
… which is what the 2+4-man 8-game rotation would turn into if one of the 4 got hurt …
Good night. I’m out.
Update on OG’s health … http://sandiego.padres.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20070523&content_id=1981870&vkey=news_sd&fext=.jsp&c_id=sd … Right fielder Brian Giles wasn’t in the starting lineup Wednesday and, based on the way that his right knee was feeling, he might not return anytime soon. Giles did not play for the third consecutive game due to a bone bruise in his knee.
It’s been a while since I’ve checked in on Corey Brock’s blog at mlb.com … I’m not liking that guy’s writing … but it’s who we’ve got there … anyway, he wrote a “quater report card” … and he actually said this …
Only recently has Geoff Blum, the Padres best pinch-hitter, started to find his swing.
… and man, did that set me off! Go read my rant … and chime in … I just don’t think we can/should let a comment like that stand unopposed …
http://coreybrock.mlblogs.com/coreybrock/2007/05/quarter_grades.html
Glad we survived tonight! Nice to win one we probably didn’t deserve to for a change…
#33: Section 300.
#72: The home run Kouz hit was an absolute bomb. OMG, it was a thing of beauty.
#80, 85: Nice MASH references. Haven’t had any of those around here in… ever…
#92: Thanks for the love, LM!
Crazy game. I’m exhausted…
Nice article on Buddy Black.
http://www.tdn.com/articles/2007/05/24/sports/news13.txt
127 … hmmm, don’t know how/why, but i’m betting that that link changed to http://www.tdn.com/articles/2007/05/23/sports/news13.txt … it is a nice article … thanks for the pointer!
121 & 122: What a great idea? I don’t understand why teams are not doing this to maximize the output from their aces.
69: Excellent call!!
re 125: Got your back, Lynch. Where did they find that maroon?
130 … careful TF … i’m not sure what a “maroon” is, but let’s go after the message, not the messanger …
Maroon is a Bugs Bunny term for a dope. Mild insult, and completely appropriate given the overall “quality” of Brock’s “writing”.