IGD: Padres vs Cubs (23 May 07)
Wed, May 23, 2007
by Geoff Young
first pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT
television: Channel 4SD
matchup: David Wells (1-2, 5.40 ERA) vs Sean Marshall (0-0, –)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com
I’m tired of looking at numbers. I have no angle for this one. Another win would be good…
Picking up where last year's version left off, the Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual provides in-depth analysis of and commentary on the San Diego Padres. Get your copy today.
May 23, 2007 at 6:17 pm
I don’t know if it was the *best* game they played last night but it was definatley one of the most entertaining.
May 23, 2007 at 6:24 pm
GY, here are some simple numbers. Most likely small sample size, but DW has some audacious Home/Road splits. If it is not sample, but accurate, he needs the big park and our outfield defense in a bad way:
ERA
Total: 5.40
Home: 3.04
Away: 8.84
May 23, 2007 at 6:49 pm
Not just Wells, but our entire staff - Home ERA = 2.03; Road ERA = 4.06. Greg Maddux is equally helped by the home park HERA = 2.30; RERA = 6.00.
Jake Peavy OTOH has given up a single run on 9 hits in 27 innings for a microscopic 0.33 RERA. 9 road walks though - he stinks.
May 23, 2007 at 6:51 pm
I’m going to try to carry over the Ichiro! vs Andruw thread from previous comment string …
re: Ichiro! vs Andruw … the bottom for both of them does scare me … it’s going to be risky for whatever teams signs them to their next contract … when Bonds first signed his mega-contract, it was clear to me that he was worth it … same for the last contract Vlad signed … but, you know what, “worth it” may not be the right term … because it’s not obvious that teams that carry contracts like that can win …
I’m a believer in “team depth” … and that seems hard to create in today’s free agent environment where every free agent seems to sign a contract that prohibits enough spending on the rest of the team for the team to be a winner … what a Catch-22 …
So then the focus becomes the draft … how do you find “the next stud”? And do that in the context of winning enough to keep fans happy, which means doing it with first-round pics in the 20+ range?
One approach is to do what it takes to get *a lot* of picks … hey, that’s what the Padres have done … we’ve got many extra picks this year … cool … let’s “spray and pray” … by that I mean that I hope they use a lot of the pics on “high upside” players … looking for “the first guy from this year’s draft to make an All-Star team” … hey, that sounds like an interesting metric: how many and how soon do players from each draft make an All-Star team? I sorta wish I had the patience to do that analysis … I’ll bet the data is avialable “on the web” …
Mark Ase Says:
May 23rd, 2007 at 6:00 pm
Can’t the Pads just sign both Jones and Ichiro and move Giles to LF for his last season in San Diego.
LynchMob Says:
May 23rd, 2007 at 6:02 pm
I *like* that idea! Run the numbers, can it work? Offer them both 1 year contracts … for what? $20 million? So add $40 million to next year’s payroll … see if that gets us a WS … why not?
May 23, 2007 at 7:03 pm
I think both Jones and Ichiro! are going to get more money than a team like the Padres (mid to low payroll) can get out of them. There’s just no way they’re going to be able to produce what they’re going to make in the final couple of years of their contracts, and a dead $18 million can kill our team.
The name I’m wishing for to fill our center field void next year is Lastings Milledge. It sounds like the Mets are really down on him for reasons other than his talent, and he could be had for much less than his talent would ordinarily command. Of course, this means he does come with some character issues (that I think are overstated, he’s not Elijah Dukes threatening to kill someone). And I also have no idea what it would take to acquire him or who I’d be willing to give up, and I recognize that there is no way this is going to happen.
May 23, 2007 at 7:08 pm
Damn, that was a fast 1/2 inning.
May 23, 2007 at 7:09 pm
I’ll take 8 more of those, please.
May 23, 2007 at 7:11 pm
Yes, that was sweet… think Boomer is feeling the pressure generated by Germano?
May 23, 2007 at 7:11 pm
OT … http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/boxscore?gid=270523115 … go Oliver! Whodathunk it? Not me!
May 23, 2007 at 7:13 pm
8 … no … but he should be … I’d hope he’d be …
May 23, 2007 at 7:16 pm
Down on the farm … Ekstrom gives up 5 hits + 6 walks in 5 IP … but 0 ERs? Yup … http://www.minorleaguebaseball.....x_sanaax_1 …
May 23, 2007 at 7:19 pm
After 1 …
Pitches-strikes - S Marshall 20-11; D Wells 7-7.
Ground balls-fly balls - S Marshall 2-1; D Wells 1-1.
Batters faced - S Marshall 4; D Wells 3.
May 23, 2007 at 7:25 pm
There goes the no-hitter … I’ve been waiting since 1969 … s’pose I can wait one more day …
May 23, 2007 at 7:35 pm
Thru 2 …
Pitches-strikes - S Marshall 33-19; D Wells 24-19.
Ground balls-fly balls - S Marshall 2-3; D Wells 2-2.
Batters faced - S Marshall 8; D Wells 8.
May 23, 2007 at 7:36 pm
Yo … anyone watching it? Tell me about KK’s hit!
May 23, 2007 at 7:42 pm
15: Sorry Lynch, I missed it.
May 23, 2007 at 7:43 pm
Angel Pagan is a great name.
May 23, 2007 at 7:44 pm
17: Oxymoron. Weird, what were his parents thinking?
May 23, 2007 at 7:45 pm
Nice 6 pitch AB by Boomer …
May 23, 2007 at 7:49 pm
This is the point at which HRs are a payoff.
May 23, 2007 at 7:50 pm
Lynch, high fly to center just before the track. Easy catch.
May 23, 2007 at 7:51 pm
I don’t think you’re allowed to hit home runs with runners on base.
May 23, 2007 at 7:51 pm
After 3 …
Pitches-strikes - S Marshall 52-29; D Wells 36-28.
Ground balls-fly balls - S Marshall 3-4; D Wells 2-4.
Batters faced - S Marshall 13; D Wells 11.
May 23, 2007 at 7:52 pm
Ben, don’t be a glass half empty guy.
May 23, 2007 at 7:53 pm
21 … that looks like the answer to a question … but I don’t know what the question was … do you?
May 23, 2007 at 7:54 pm
25: I know you aren’t getting the video. Just trying to help out.
May 23, 2007 at 7:54 pm
22/24 … you keep bringin’ the glass, Ben B, however full it is for you! Mine’s about half-empty too … in case you hadn’t noticed …
May 23, 2007 at 7:55 pm
26 … LOL … I appreciate the help … really … but I don’t know what #21 is talking about … so it doesn’t help … so, can you tell me what #21 was about?
May 23, 2007 at 7:56 pm
27: I have a keggerator, so mine is always full!
May 23, 2007 at 7:56 pm
Forget Ichiro and Andruw.
Is Mike Piazza available?
May 23, 2007 at 7:56 pm
28: The 3rd out with 2 on.
May 23, 2007 at 7:57 pm
Naw, Lynch, my glass is 3/4 full, I’d say. I strongly believe the Padres are the best team in the NL West this year and are going to win it. And when/if they get to the playoffs, I think they matchup well with any team. So I’m quite optimistic.
May 23, 2007 at 7:59 pm
Where’s GY tonight?
May 23, 2007 at 8:03 pm
31 … ah, you’re making me work … that’d be Adrian’s out to end the bottom of the 3rd … gotcha … thanks.
32 … 3/4 full … good times … bring it!
After 4 …
Pitches-strikes - S Marshall 52-29; D Wells 43-34.
Ground balls-fly balls - S Marshall 3-4; D Wells 2-7.
Batters faced - S Marshall 13; D Wells 14.
… numbers are looking good for Boomer … how’s the stuff lookin’?
May 23, 2007 at 8:04 pm
30 … maybe he could be the PTBNL? (note: I would still prefer JJ Furmaniak)
May 23, 2007 at 8:06 pm
Good double-off!
May 23, 2007 at 8:07 pm
Woohoo for good luck!
May 23, 2007 at 8:09 pm
RE: 35(Lynch)
You will have to introduce me to Furmaniak. Another Cianfrocco type, I imagine?
May 23, 2007 at 8:11 pm
In the top of the 5th …
- M. Murton singled to center
- M. DeRosa singled to left, M. Murton to second
- C. Izturis lined into double play right to shortstop, M. Murton out at second
… is that an early warning sign? Bottom of 5th is opportunity to PH … he’s only at 55 pitches … no way Bud does that …
May 23, 2007 at 8:16 pm
After 5 …
Pitches-strikes - S Marshall 78-44; D Wells 55-43.
Ground balls-fly balls - S Marshall 4-7; D Wells 2-8.
Batters faced - S Marshall 19; D Wells 18.
May 23, 2007 at 8:20 pm
38 … glad you asked … http://www.minorleaguebaseball.....pid=434583 … he was drafted by the Padres … I saw him play a couple of times for AAA Portland a couple of years ago … we traded him (for Ross?) and he struggled at AAA level … but is kickin’ some serious butt this season … .288 .388 .518 … and the power is no fluke … he’s always had good power … I saw him hit one out of the park at Portland … that’s not a mamoth blast, but it’s a good poke … and he’s a decent glove … he was a starting SS all the way up the minors … now he’s also playing other positions as well (2B, 3B, LF, RF) …
May 23, 2007 at 8:21 pm
39 … nope, I guess the top of the 5th was not a warning sign … here’s top of 6th …
- A. Soriano grounded out to second
- A. Pagan struck out swinging
- D. Lee grounded out to shortstop
… sweet … a 10-pitch inning …
May 23, 2007 at 8:23 pm
I’d like to see KK get an AB this inning … rally cap on!
May 23, 2007 at 8:24 pm
Soriano catched it running into the scoreboard. Damn good play on his part.
May 23, 2007 at 8:25 pm
A-Gone with a can of corn.
May 23, 2007 at 8:26 pm
RE: 41 (Lynch)
Furmaniak bears an uncanny likeness to Craig Biggio. If he can take a HBP like him, he may fit Alderson’s M.O.
If you ever want to catch a Beavers game let me know. I live in Olympia.
May 23, 2007 at 8:26 pm
GY must be at the game tonight. Haven’t heard from him.
May 23, 2007 at 8:27 pm
41 … re: JJ Furmaniak … see also http://www.minorleaguenews.com.....15/13.html … nice web page!
May 23, 2007 at 8:28 pm
I thought corn was OF-only, no?
May 23, 2007 at 8:31 pm
49: “Can of Corn” comes from the old Mom and Pop grocery stores when they shelved cans all the way to the ceiling and they would knock a can down with a long stick for an easy catch.
May 23, 2007 at 8:31 pm
46 … will do … I’ve not been to nearly as many Portland Beavers games as I’d like to … I wonder if they’ll have a Paul McAnulty bobblehead day? Hey, you should get yourself on Frappr … http://www.frappr.com/ducksnorts
May 23, 2007 at 8:32 pm
Thru 6 …
Pitches-strikes - S Marshall 87-50; D Wells 65-51.
Ground balls-fly balls - S Marshall 4-9; D Wells 4-8.
Batters faced - S Marshall 22; D Wells 21.
… I hope Jake is watching this!
May 23, 2007 at 8:33 pm
Time to get Wells out of there.
May 23, 2007 at 8:34 pm
49: Basically the ball comes almost straight down.
May 23, 2007 at 8:35 pm
back-to-back walks … anybody warming up?
May 23, 2007 at 8:36 pm
Everybody had a bead on that and no one called it.
May 23, 2007 at 8:37 pm
I think Jose should have caught that. Marcus had no business trying to catch that that far out there.
May 23, 2007 at 8:37 pm
49 … I’m with you, Stephen … I think of “can of corn” as OF-only … even given its origin …
May 23, 2007 at 8:37 pm
Why isn’t Wells being pulled for someone that can get the K or ground ball?
May 23, 2007 at 8:38 pm
This is all on Bud if they score here. Wells clearly has lost it, yet he’s still in there.
May 23, 2007 at 8:38 pm
Man, did we get out of that one by the hair on our chinny chin chin?
May 23, 2007 at 8:40 pm
59 … you mean like this?
C. Izturis grounded into double play second to shortstop to first, M. DeRosa out at second
May 23, 2007 at 8:40 pm
58: I’ve heard the explanation given by Harry Carey and Jerry Coleman. It basically means the ball went straight up (high) and straight down.
May 23, 2007 at 8:41 pm
I hope we PH for Wells here … he’s due up 5th this inning …
May 23, 2007 at 8:43 pm
64: Kouz? Who’s up in the BPen?
May 23, 2007 at 8:44 pm
65: Nevermind, my meds have me in slo-mo right now.
May 23, 2007 at 8:45 pm
Kooooooooooouuuuuuzzzzzzzzzzz!
May 23, 2007 at 8:45 pm
Oh KOUZ smoked that!!!!
May 23, 2007 at 8:46 pm
KOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
May 23, 2007 at 8:46 pm
KOOOOUUUUUZZZZZ!!!!!!
May 23, 2007 at 8:46 pm
63 … I’ll say that either HC and JC were wrong … or you misinterp’d what they said … here’s a source that agrees with me … http://www.phrases.org.uk/bull.....s/625.html
May 23, 2007 at 8:46 pm
Did it really go as far as GameDay had it? It looks like it went 450+ feet….
May 23, 2007 at 8:47 pm
72 - might have been further. That was Andruw Jones in Petco-deep!
May 23, 2007 at 8:47 pm
72: And then some.
May 23, 2007 at 8:47 pm
RE: 51 (Lynch)
Kouz homered just as I Frappd. Good luck?
May 23, 2007 at 8:47 pm
He crushed it into the far right area of the second level of left field bleachers.
May 23, 2007 at 8:48 pm
I honestly think only Branyan’s shot last year was deeper in terms of balls hit by Padres
May 23, 2007 at 8:49 pm
NOOOOOOOOO! Not Silent L!!!!
May 23, 2007 at 8:49 pm
Ole!
May 23, 2007 at 8:51 pm
How ’bout we just give Silent L to the Dodgers. Kinda like giving Frank Burns to the North Koreans.
May 23, 2007 at 8:51 pm
Blum K’s. In other news, sun to rise in East tomorrow
May 23, 2007 at 8:51 pm
The Crushin’ Russian strikes again! So far, he’s taking the mantle of Mr. May from Dave Winfield
May 23, 2007 at 8:52 pm
82 - Lynch, I don’t know if you’re able to watch tonight, but if not make sure you do not miss the sportscenter highlight of that absolute BOMB Kouz hit
May 23, 2007 at 8:53 pm
75 … just as you what? you can’t say that here, this is a family-oriented site! now, just be sure to go do it again next time KK comes to bat
May 23, 2007 at 8:54 pm
RE: 80
I’d rather have Klinger than Blum. Oh yeah, he’s a Mud Hen.
May 23, 2007 at 8:54 pm
83 … I’ll have to wait for it to post to mlb.com … no cable TV either …
May 23, 2007 at 8:54 pm
I think I’m gonna start a new charity. The “Get Lynch a Satalite Dish or Cable to Pick Up the Padre Games.”
Dude, I feel your pain.
May 23, 2007 at 8:55 pm
And the KK’s batting average is now over .200 … yow!
May 23, 2007 at 8:55 pm
The U-T this morning said the Padres have some interest in signing Craig Wilson, so maybe this will put an end to Silent L getting important at bats.
May 23, 2007 at 8:56 pm
RE: 88
Is that you Zippy?
May 23, 2007 at 8:57 pm
87 … thanks, TD … but it’s not that painful … especially thanks to GY and all youse guyse here at Ducksnorts … so use this link https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr for the “charity” instead
May 23, 2007 at 9:00 pm
91 … hmmm, that link didn’t do what I expected … it was meant to be the same as the “Support” button to the right (that says “PayPal Donate”) … which links directly to a page to donate to ducksnorts@geoffreynyoung.com … which seems worthwhile … in fact, I’m going to do so now … $2.02 … in honor of KK getting his batting average up to .202
May 23, 2007 at 9:01 pm
91: Seriously, they have that thing now that you can hook into a local T.V. via internet (I forgot what it is called) and watch from your remote computer. Since my T.V is always tuned to 4SD during Baseball season, I’d be more than happy to hook up here as long as you bought the hardware.
May 23, 2007 at 9:02 pm
93: Slingshot?
May 23, 2007 at 9:04 pm
Kouzmanoff is hitting .349/.407/.651 this month.
May 23, 2007 at 9:06 pm
93 … thanks for the offer, TD … I think you’re talking about Slingbox … http://us.slingmedia.com/page/home … cool! Like I said, not having cable isn’t painful for me … if I needed video, I’d probably go the mlb.tv route …
May 23, 2007 at 9:07 pm
What are the most games the Pads have been over 500. this year?
May 23, 2007 at 9:08 pm
It’s embarassing that Blum is our first PH’er off the bence … what’s the point? Seriously, wouldn’t Jake be a better option?
May 23, 2007 at 9:09 pm
If any of you talk to Geoff tonight, please have him get a hold of me (Rick Schroder) concerning the June 9th outing. Have him check his E-Mail for my phone numbers. I have several people wanting to go and I need to know how he wants to deal with this.
May 23, 2007 at 9:09 pm
98: Why waste a good pinch hitter with two outs and none on?
May 23, 2007 at 9:09 pm
What is with Piniella and stupid and bizarre pitching changes? Bringing in a LOOGY to pitch to Adrian when he’s OPS-ing 1.033 against lefties this year in 50 AB.
May 23, 2007 at 9:10 pm
Cue the bells…
May 23, 2007 at 9:10 pm
102: Ditto
May 23, 2007 at 9:10 pm
101: I forgot to mention pointless and that Wuertz is a better pitcher than Ohman.
May 23, 2007 at 9:11 pm
97 … based on this web page … http://www.baseball-reference......ched.shtml … which is *awesome* … I’d say 5 … ie. right now …
May 23, 2007 at 9:12 pm