IGD: Padres vs Diamondbacks (19 Apr 07)

Thu, Apr 19, 2007Ballhype: hype it up!
by Geoff Young

first pitch: 12:35 p.m. PT
television: none
matchup: Jake Peavy (2-0, 0.90 ERA) vs Livan Hernandez (1-0, 1.80 ERA)
previews: Padres.com | SI.com

It’s probably too early to call this a trend, but there’s reason to be encouraged by Jake Peavy’s performance so far in ‘07. Forget the ERA, and look at pitch efficiency:

Date IP TBF #PIT P/PA P/IP
Apr 3 6 23 98 4.26 16.3
Apr 8 7 28 103 3.68 14.7
Apr 14 7 26 100 3.85 14.3

Again, who knows whether Peavy will be able to sustain lower pitch counts over the course of a full season. Wouldn’t it be nice if he could?

Picking up where last year's version left off, the Ducksnorts 2008 Baseball Annual provides in-depth analysis of and commentary on the San Diego Padres. Get your copy today.

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212 Responses to “IGD: Padres vs Diamondbacks (19 Apr 07)”

  1. Jefe Says:

    If there ever was a need for a gem, today is the day. Go Jake!! (and, go offense - we need you just as much if not more today)

    Current score: 0
  2. michael Says:

    Looks like Black took my suggestion for the line-up from the earlier post (Cruz second, OG third, Cameron fifth). It will be my fault if it doesn’t work.

    Current score: 0
  3. flash Says:

    Go Padres, wish I could be at Petco sitting in the sun enjoying the 2-for-1 hotdog deal. We need a good performance all around today, how about 8-1, that sounds just about perfect.

    Current score: 0
  4. BZ Says:

    I like this lineup. Particularly Cruz’ lifetime 1000+ OPS vs. Livan

    Current score: 0
  5. Phantom Says:

    They’re making him throw lots of pitches early on. Our friend from last nite is manning home plate tonite, so hopefully we won’t have any issues.

    Current score: 0
  6. Ben B. Says:

    Good to see somebody in our rotation knows how to hold runners.

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  7. Phantom Says:

    Sounds like Jake had him completely fooled.

    Current score: 0
  8. Richard Says:

    Brian Giles leads the team with 5.7 runs above replacement.

    Current score: 0
  9. Geoff Young Says:

    Now would be a real good time for Cameron to break out of his slump.

    Current score: 0
  10. Phantom Says:

    Bases juiced. C’mon Cameron, deep fly ball. I’m not asking for a slam here.

    Current score: 0
  11. Richard Says:

    Cameron is dead last with-3.1 RAR.

    Current score: 0
  12. Phantom Says:

    I’d rather have him K then GIDP if I had to choose.

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  13. Richard Says:

    -3.3

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  14. Phantom Says:

    That will work. Simple fly ball.

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  15. Geoff Young Says:

    Okay, that works.

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  16. Marsh Says:

    Cameron got the job done, but pulled an outside pitch…

    Current score: 0
  17. Ben B. Says:

    Yeah, but it was hit really well. You can get away with doing that against Livan Hernandez.

    Current score: 0
  18. Daniel Says:

    Ha, typical padres rally

    Current score: 0
  19. Marsh Says:

    announcers on mlb.tv (not sure which feed it was) said “typical padres rally, single-walk-walk for the bases loaded and they only manage one run”…. yup, that sounds about right…

    Current score: 0
  20. Ben B. Says:

    Those are the Padres radio guys.

    Current score: 0
  21. Phantom Says:

    We’re apparently averse to scoring more than one run early in the game.

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  22. Jefe Says:

    JaKKKKe!

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  23. Richard Says:

    Jake is throwing a ton of pitches.

    Current score: 0
  24. Phantom Says:

    4 Ks in 1.2 IP. Could be one of those days eh? I just hope he doesn’t get his pitch count up too high with this behavior.

    Current score: 0
  25. Marsh Says:

    wow, apparently I haven’t been paying enough attention - does every team put on such a shift for Russel Branyan?

    Current score: 0
  26. Ben B. Says:

    Every time Branyan makes a non strike out out, I feel disappointed. C’mon, Branyan, ground outs are for Marcus Giles, you’re here to walk, strike out, and hit home runs.

    Current score: 0
  27. Jefe Says:

    The offense needs to take the pressure off of Jake. 34 pitches through 2 isn’t bad, but isn’t great… C’mon guys.

    Current score: 0
  28. Ben B. Says:

    A two out hit!

    Current score: 0
  29. Kevin Says:

    34 through two means he would throw 136 to pitch eight. Not so good.

    Current score: 0
  30. Jefe Says:

    wtg NOG! that’s a big run with a clutch 2-out hit (even if it was a bloop).

    Current score: 0
  31. Marsh Says:

    26: LOL

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  32. Phantom Says:

    Situational hitting? Are we sure that the San Diego Padres are on the field today?

    Current score: 0
  33. Geoff Young Says:

    Mike Thompson down, Justin Hampson up.

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  34. Stephen Says:

    Are we really fretting about pitch counts after 2 innings?

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  35. Marsh Says:

    Come OG - BE ORANGE! (i’m borrowing this line from another blogger)

    Current score: 0
  36. Kevin Says:

    I can’t speak for “we.”

    Current score: 0
  37. Kevin Says:

    But I will say that the Padres are on pace to win 9-0.

    Current score: 0
  38. Ben B. Says:

    34: Yep, we’re fretting. After 12 and 14 inning games, absolutely.

    Current score: 0
  39. Kevin Says:

    “We always watch the pitch count with Jake.”

    –Jerry Coleman

    Current score: 0
  40. Marsh Says:

    5 k’s for Peavy through 3… not a bad pace…

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  41. Kevin Says:

    Peavy: 47 pitches through three innings. Pace: 94 through six innings.

    His season ERA is now 0.47.

    Current score: 0
  42. Stephen Says:

    8-0, actually. :-)

    Me resembling old cranky ex-pitcher/fan/coach: Pitchers’ durability has been weakened, er, wussified by contemporary baseball’s obsession with pitch counts, 5-man rotations and innings limits. Discuss.

    Seriously, “everyone” is hurt all the time. I believe Rob Neyer has done some myth-wrecking about the “old-schooler” POV — pitchers threw 40 starts and 300 innings with little repercussion in the past — but I’d have to go searching for it.

    Current score: 0
  43. Kevin Says:

    Sorry, correction on ERA: 0.78

    Current score: 0
  44. Kevin Says:

    42: I agree.

    Current score: 0
  45. Kevin Says:

    42: Bill James has written the same on the subject.

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  46. Richard Says:

    “I don’t know if he was trying to catch the ball or dodge it.” - Jerry

    Current score: 0
  47. Phantom Says:

    Go Branyan! Our boys are getting consecutive hits!!!

    Let’s break it open hear and not look back.

    Current score: 0
  48. Kevin Says:

    1B plays olee with hopper. 3-0, Padres. Pace: 9-0

    Current score: 0
  49. BZ Says:

    There you go Russell, treat Livan like the 4.5 ERA innings-eater that he truly is…

    Current score: 0
  50. Kevin Says:

    re 46: That was great.

    Current score: 0
  51. Phantom Says:

    Jake with a 2-run triple!!! Way to help your own cause!!!

    Current score: 0
  52. Marsh Says:

    Awesome!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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  53. Richard Says:

    Jacob Edward Peavy tripled to left field?

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  54. Stephen Says:

    I loved it last season when Werndl was griping about “pitchers today” and pointed to Randy Jones as an example of a pitcher from yesteryear who racked up CG after CG. And I thought, “Jeez, Billy, how many years did RJ pitch (and pitch effectively)? Can’t you pick a better example?” Can the man even lift his arm? Apparently, if he can fish, right?

    Current score: 0
  55. Kevin Says:

    Wow. Triple by Peavy, helping his own cause. 6-0. Pace: 18-0.

    Current score: 0
  56. Phantom Says:

    Off the bat, Jerry thought it was gone. Let’s get him in.

    Anyone watching this? Should he have gone for the triple?

    Current score: 0
  57. Kevin Says:

    The throw was a little, but it could have been a close play. Peavy slid. He used quite a bit of energy on that triple and coming home on the sac fly, and he could have been involved in some contact at third if the throw was better.

    Hey, he’s a ball player.

    Current score: 0
  58. Richard Says:

    Both Giles brothers are batting .308. Kinda amusing.

    Current score: 0
  59. Eric Says:

    after the last few games, does anyone else feel that this is kind of a waste?

    Current score: 0
  60. Marsh Says:

    56: hard to say. With only 1 out, maybe. Looked like a bad throw, though I didn’t see a replay. 3rd baseman came down “without the ball” and laid a tag that looked like Peavy would have been out.

    Current score: 0
  61. Ben B. Says:

    The left fielder was retreating and dove the ball but missed. The ball bounced off of the wall. And then mlb tv froze and I missed the rest of the play, and subsequent replays have been too jittery for me to tell. I do know his slide into third was pretty ugly.

    Current score: 0
  62. Richard Says:

    59: No.

    Current score: 0
  63. Farquaad Says:

    Stephen -

    You lose credibility listening to Werndl - quoting him is inexcusable.

    I recommend a self-imposed time out, you determine the duration based upon your level of embarassment.

    Current score: 0
  64. Marsh Says:

    did we just score 5 runs? I’ve been taking vicatin today and there’s a chance that I’m snoozing right now and just dreaming it….

    Current score: 0
  65. Kevin Says:

    Six Ks for Peavy, actually ties his season high.

    Current score: 0
  66. Eric Says:

    62: right, neither did I, just checking.

    Current score: 0
  67. Kevin Says:

    I have to go the gym now (bummer), but I’m glad to do it with a 7-0 lead.

    Current score: 0
  68. Ben B. Says:

    So after Peavy finishes pitching today, can we switch him over to third base to keep his bat in the lineup?

    Current score: 0
  69. Kevin Says:

    He already pinch-hits.

    Current score: 0
  70. Phantom Says:

    68: I hear we need a new CF…

    Current score: 0
  71. Kevin Says:

    Peavy: 66 pitches.

    Current score: 0
  72. Stephen Says:

    63: Quoting him as a means to mock him. Can I scoot by with a warning? I was just telling a colleague that I’ve cut way back on my XX this year. Haven’t even lurked at the Padres msg board since last season. Feeling pretty good about myself.

    Current score: 0
  73. Richard Says:

    70: Seriously, when is Cameron going to fix his approach at the plate?

    Current score: 0
  74. Marsh Says:

    A-rod with a three-run game winning home run today… unbelievable….

    Current score: 0
  75. Richard Says:

    74: That guy is clutch. haha!

    Current score: 0
  76. Phantom Says:

    Wow! A base hit with nobody on from Cameron!

    Stunning.

    Current score: 0
  77. Tom Waits Says:

    72: I definitely took it as you mocking him and thus no need for the timeout.

    Werndl doesn’t have the brain horsepower to connect RJ’s workload with his 10 year career. The last 6 of those years he averaged below a 100 ERA+; 78 was pretty good, the other years went from average to bad.

    Current score: 0
  78. Marsh Says:

    good for cammy, maybe that will get him going…

    Current score: 0
  79. Tom Waits Says:

    Now if Khalil can jump on the Cameron bandwagon.

    Current score: 0
  80. Phantom Says:

    79: Don’t lump Khalil in with Cameron. Khalil has been involved in lots of important scoring plays this year.

    Also, Khalil doesn’t seem like he’s K-ing as much this year. What are the K comparisons between Khalil & Cameron?

    Current score: 0
  81. Geoff Young Says:

    WTF? I’m on a conference call for, like, 20 minutes and the boys bust out with six runs. Wow…

    Current score: 0
  82. Richard Says:

    78: Hopefully it’s the result of fixing what was wrong and not a fluke.

    Current score: 0
  83. Ben B. Says:

    Cameron hit the ball on the screws his first time up with the bases loaded. Unfortunately for him, it was hit right at the left fielder. This is not a matter of clutchness, this is a matter of Cameron currently struggling at the plate, and, in the first inning today, getting unlucky.

    Current score: 0
  84. Eric Says:

    1st scoreless inning by the Padres offense in 16 hours

    Current score: 0
  85. Phantom Says:

    :-( Stupid HR

    Current score: 0
  86. Tom Waits Says:

    80: I’ll lump Khalil’s 262 OBP right in with Cameron. The XBH are nice, but him making outs has contributed to a lot of our struggles, too.

    He’s struck out 13 times, Cameron 15.

    Current score: 0
  87. Richard Says:

    Khalil’s actually hitting at about league average this year. He’s just been doing it with extra base hits.

    Current score: 0
  88. Richard Says:

    Khalil’s wOBA is about a hundred points higher than Cameron’s. There’s no comparison.

    Current score: 0
  89. Tom Waits Says:

    Power can make up for some lack of OBP, but not that much.

    Current score: 0
  90. Tom Waits Says:

    Geez, Jake. We need you to go 7.

    Current score: 0
  91. Farquaad Says:

    Geoff -

    Do me a favor, can you schedule another conference call for tomorrow night around 7:30

    Thx

    Current score: 0
  92. Phantom Says:

    My points, which I posted earlier in a different thread, is that Khalil has scored the game-winning run in 3 games already this year. Although his average isn’t way up there, he’s geting on in situations that matter.

    On an unrelated note, why is Jake giving up so many hits now?

    Current score: 0
  93. Richard Says:

    89: He has a .314 wOBA. MLB average is .319. wOBA is based in linear weights, so it models run scoring accurately.

    Current score: 0
  94. Richard Says:

    92: I have to imagine the triple and scoring on the sac fly took it out of him.

    Current score: 0
  95. Ben B. Says:

    92: Bad luck, and he’s missing his spots a little. But mostly bad luck. The balls aren’t being hit hard, they’re just falling in.

    Current score: 0
  96. Phantom Says:

    C’mon Jake, stop the bleeding. 3 runs this inning is way too much.

    Geoff, go back on the phone.

    Current score: 0
  97. Marsh Says:

    crapburgers!

    Current score: 0
  98. Geoff Young Says:

    #91: I’m trying to schedule another call for right now. Maybe I should just turn off the radio. :-(

    Current score: 0
  99. Marsh Says:

    we really needed jake to go a long way today..our bully doesn’t need anymore work..

    Current score: 0
  100. Richard Says:

    95: It happens. Also, the ump has been squeezing both starters today if you believe Gameday (which I’m not sure I do).

    Current score: 0
  101. Phantom Says:

    WOOT! Out of the inning!

    Current score: 0
  102. Tom Waits Says:

    92: He’s also making unproductive outs in situations that matter.

    93: I know you love wOBA, but I don’t. A player making outs almost 75% of the time is not productive. Any one XBH can only do so much damage. And the point was never that Greene was as bad as Cameron, just that he needs to start being more productive.

    Well, thanks Jake.

    Current score: 0
  103. Anthony Says:

    100: The pitch location data in the basic version of Gameday is (so I hear) entered by a human who judges the location by eye. The enhanced version uses an automated system that is supposedly very accurate. The enhanced system is missing a lot of data from last night’s game and looks to be totally offline today.

    Current score: 0
  104. Richard Says:

    102: Why do you dislike wOBA? It’s based on actual data.

    103: Thanks.

    Current score: 0
  105. Marsh Says:

    WOW - a bit (not completely) surprised to see Jake back out there. …. definitely trying to rest the bully…

    Current score: 0
  106. Phantom Says:

    C’mon Jake.

    So much for giving our bullpen a rest. He was looking so sharp today too.

    Current score: 0
  107. Richard Says:

    I have to imagine Jake is tired from running the bases.

    Current score: 0
  108. Ben B. Says:

    Is the D-Backs BABIP really .563? This is insane.

    Current score: 0
  109. Jefe Says:

    time to yank Jake.

    Current score: 0
  110. Phantom Says:

    This is bad news.

    Current score: 0
  111. Richard Says: