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	<title>Comments on: Padres Batting by Count, 2004-2005</title>
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	<description>Blogging the San Diego Padres baseball club. Established 1997.</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 16:20:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Geoff Young</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12571</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Young</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Oct 2005 07:41:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12571</guid>
		<description>Ah, yes; the wedding ring. You may have a point there.
&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12571"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ah, yes; the wedding ring. You may have a point there.</p>
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12571">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Nick G.</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12570</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick G.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Oct 2005 06:29:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12570</guid>
		<description>It looks like it's going to be "sayonara KT:"

http://www.nctimes.com/articles/2005/10/20/sports/professional/padres/22_51_0010_19_05.txt

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/1020dbacksgm1020.html&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12570"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It looks like it&#8217;s going to be &#8220;sayonara KT:&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.nctimes.com/articles/2005/10/20/sports/professional/padres/22_51_0010_19_05.txt" rel="nofollow">http://www.nctimes.com/article....._19_05.txt</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/1020dbacksgm1020.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.azcentral.com/sport.....m1020.html</a>
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12570">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Medea's Child</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12569</link>
		<dc:creator>Medea's Child</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Oct 2005 00:27:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12569</guid>
		<description>"How come I never get any dates?"

Because you insist on wearing your wedding ring.



















Can't help you with the 2-1 counts, though it would be interesting to see a breakdown of splits off of a fastball relative to breaking balls, change ups, etc.

Medea's Child&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12569"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;How come I never get any dates?&#8221;</p>
<p>Because you insist on wearing your wedding ring.</p>
<p>Can&#8217;t help you with the 2-1 counts, though it would be interesting to see a breakdown of splits off of a fastball relative to breaking balls, change ups, etc.</p>
<p>Medea&#8217;s Child
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12569">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Geoff Young</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12568</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Young</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2005 21:30:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12568</guid>
		<description>Yeah, I understand being aggressive when ahead in the count, but was it David St. Hubbins who said there's a fine line between aggressive and stupid?

I'm running the numbers now for teams hitting on 2-1 counts throughout MLB. Better get a bucket.&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12568"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yeah, I understand being aggressive when ahead in the count, but was it David St. Hubbins who said there&#8217;s a fine line between aggressive and stupid?</p>
<p>I&#8217;m running the numbers now for teams hitting on 2-1 counts throughout MLB. Better get a bucket.
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12568">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Nick G.</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12567</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick G.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2005 10:47:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12567</guid>
		<description>A Tim Sullivan column on the possible departure of Towers:

http://www.signonsandiego.com/sports/sullivan/20051019-9999-1s19sullivan.html&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12567"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A Tim Sullivan column on the possible departure of Towers:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.signonsandiego.com/sports/sullivan/20051019-9999-1s19sullivan.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.signonsandiego.com/.....livan.html</a>
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12567">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: LynchMob</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12566</link>
		<dc:creator>LynchMob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2005 09:15:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12566</guid>
		<description>This is a funny read ... http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/051018.&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12566"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is a funny read &#8230; <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/051018" rel="nofollow">http://sports.espn.go.com/espn.....ons/051018</a>.
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12566">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Dex</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12565</link>
		<dc:creator>Dex</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2005 09:01:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12565</guid>
		<description>RE: Situational Hitting

I'm convinced that this is a team philosophy when it comes to particular counts. I may sound like a conspiracy theorist, but it seems to me that Bochy and Magadan have instilled a hitting philosophy that lends itself to impatient (read "aggressive") hitting in strange situations and grounding into a lot of double plays.

This is something I suspected all season. I may have to look at the numebrs more closely...&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12565"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RE: Situational Hitting</p>
<p>I&#8217;m convinced that this is a team philosophy when it comes to particular counts. I may sound like a conspiracy theorist, but it seems to me that Bochy and Magadan have instilled a hitting philosophy that lends itself to impatient (read &#8220;aggressive&#8221;) hitting in strange situations and grounding into a lot of double plays.</p>
<p>This is something I suspected all season. I may have to look at the numebrs more closely&#8230;
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12565">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Anthony</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12564</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2005 08:46:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12564</guid>
		<description>I came up with three possible reasons for the lack of 2-1 hitting:

1. Klesko and Nevin hitting balls to the warning track instead of over the wall.  2-1 is the count they would be expected to crush the ball but the homers that made it over the wall previously were getting caught at the warning track.  Whether it was caused by Petco, aging or the hitting coach I don't know but it sure seems like they hit a lot of balls to the warning track.   You could probably add Loretta to the mix too.

2. Trying too hard to work a walk.  Lack of confidence in one's abilities could lead to a situation where the hitter thinks since he's ahead in the count he should try to squeeze out a walk.  I'm thinking specifically of Burroughs here.  When a hitter is thinking defensively even when the count is in his favor he's not going to do very well.  At the very least he wasn't looking to pull the ball on 2-1, he was looking to slap it to left field.

3. Pitchers exploiting a young player's weakness.  Khalil had a good year last year but has shown a tendency to chase pitches out of the zone this year.  Word may have gotten around the league that you don't have to groove one on 2-1, throw him a slider outside and he'll wave at it.  Same thing with Nady.

Interesting numbers, I'd love to see these for all of MLB.  It's amazing to me that otherwise they're so consistent.&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12564"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I came up with three possible reasons for the lack of 2-1 hitting:</p>
<p>1. Klesko and Nevin hitting balls to the warning track instead of over the wall.  2-1 is the count they would be expected to crush the ball but the homers that made it over the wall previously were getting caught at the warning track.  Whether it was caused by Petco, aging or the hitting coach I don&#8217;t know but it sure seems like they hit a lot of balls to the warning track.   You could probably add Loretta to the mix too.</p>
<p>2. Trying too hard to work a walk.  Lack of confidence in one&#8217;s abilities could lead to a situation where the hitter thinks since he&#8217;s ahead in the count he should try to squeeze out a walk.  I&#8217;m thinking specifically of Burroughs here.  When a hitter is thinking defensively even when the count is in his favor he&#8217;s not going to do very well.  At the very least he wasn&#8217;t looking to pull the ball on 2-1, he was looking to slap it to left field.</p>
<p>3. Pitchers exploiting a young player&#8217;s weakness.  Khalil had a good year last year but has shown a tendency to chase pitches out of the zone this year.  Word may have gotten around the league that you don&#8217;t have to groove one on 2-1, throw him a slider outside and he&#8217;ll wave at it.  Same thing with Nady.</p>
<p>Interesting numbers, I&#8217;d love to see these for all of MLB.  It&#8217;s amazing to me that otherwise they&#8217;re so consistent.
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12564">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Geoff Young</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12563</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Young</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2005 07:40:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12563</guid>
		<description>Nick: According to the Washington Post, Schneider is arbitration eligible:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/10/03/AR2005100301850.html&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12563"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nick: According to the Washington Post, Schneider is arbitration eligible:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/10/03/AR2005100301850.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.washingtonpost.com/.....01850.html</a>
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12563">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Geoff Young</title>
		<link>http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12562</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Young</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Oct 2005 06:55:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/10/padres-batting-by-count-2004-2005.html#comment-12562</guid>
		<description>BA has complete organizational stats up. Here are the Pads:

http://tinyurl.com/bhqud

They've got BA/OBP/SLG against pitchers, as well as G/F ratio this year. Check out the G/F ratio of Paul Abraham at Elsinore and Mobile. He's a bit long in the tooth for a prospect (plus he's a reliever), but I wonder if he might be a useful part somewhere down the line (in a Jeremy Fikac kind of way).&lt;p class="top-comments"&gt;Current score: &lt;span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12562"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BA has complete organizational stats up. Here are the Pads:</p>
<p><a href="http://tinyurl.com/bhqud" rel="nofollow">http://tinyurl.com/bhqud</a></p>
<p>They&#8217;ve got BA/OBP/SLG against pitchers, as well as G/F ratio this year. Check out the G/F ratio of Paul Abraham at Elsinore and Mobile. He&#8217;s a bit long in the tooth for a prospect (plus he&#8217;s a reliever), but I wonder if he might be a useful part somewhere down the line (in a Jeremy Fikac kind of way).
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12562">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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