Comments on: Projecting Greene http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/03/projecting-greene.html Blogging the San Diego Padres baseball club. Established 1997. Mon, 01 Dec 2008 21:23:32 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.2 By: Richard http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/03/projecting-greene.html#comment-737 Richard Thu, 31 Mar 2005 03:38:49 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/03/projecting-greene.html#comment-737 Anthony wrote: Maybe it's just not possible to quantify every last thing that contributes to a win. Heresy. <p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-737">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> Anthony wrote: Maybe it’s just not possible to quantify every last thing that contributes to a win.

Heresy.

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]]> By: Anthony http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/03/projecting-greene.html#comment-736 Anthony Mon, 28 Mar 2005 09:35:03 +0000 http://ducksnorts.com/blog/2005/03/projecting-greene.html#comment-736 I'm a huge Greene fan so my projections are even more optimistic: .285 .363 .492 I'm figuring about 30+ doubles and about 25 homeruns. Probably overly optimistic but I really think he has that kind of potential. I think his average will take a big jump now that he's more familiar with big league pitching and can hopefully avoid prolonged slumps. You're right about the kid's strength, he has tremendous power but unlike say Klesko, he doesn't look like he's trying to launch one out of the park. I can easily see Greene rising to the Nomar/Jeter/Tejada level over the next few years. Excellent point about the stathead tendency to ignore things that are hard to quantify. As James himself said recently, just because we haven't been able to measure clutch performance doesn't mean it doeasn't exist. The great thing about baseball is we can't really predict what Greene will do, just like know one could predict a breakout for Beltre or whether he's going to revert back to previous form. The only real solution is for statheads to accept that there is no solution. Maybe it's just not possible to quantify every last thing that contributes to a win.<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-736">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p> I’m a huge Greene fan so my projections are even more optimistic:
.285 .363 .492
I’m figuring about 30+ doubles and about 25 homeruns. Probably overly optimistic but I really think he has that kind of potential.

I think his average will take a big jump now that he’s more familiar with big league pitching and can hopefully avoid prolonged slumps. You’re right about the kid’s strength, he has tremendous power but unlike say Klesko, he doesn’t look like he’s trying to launch one out of the park. I can easily see Greene rising to the Nomar/Jeter/Tejada level over the next few years.

Excellent point about the stathead tendency to ignore things that are hard to quantify. As James himself said recently, just because we haven’t been able to measure clutch performance doesn’t mean it doeasn’t exist. The great thing about baseball is we can’t really predict what Greene will do, just like know one could predict a breakout for Beltre or whether he’s going to revert back to previous form. The only real solution is for statheads to accept that there is no solution. Maybe it’s just not possible to quantify every last thing that contributes to a win.

Current score: 0 (to vote for this comment, please visit the site)

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